Prakash here- Crypto Enthusiast & Day trading Pro,Passionate about Price Action and sharing crypto market Insights as a proud Binance KOL || X - @INCOMECRYPTO24
BTC remains under sell-side control following multiple downside BOS events and a confirmed CHoCH at the lows. Rallies continue to form IDMs but fail to reclaim prior structure, validating bearish continuation rather than reversal.
From a positioning perspective, CoinGlass liquidation data shows heavy long leverage stacked below current price, aligning perfectly with the structural bias. These liquidation clusters act as downside liquidity magnets, explaining the persistent acceleration once support levels fail.
Sell-side POIs above remain unmitigated, confirming prior distribution and reinforcing the bearish macro narrative. Until price reclaims structure with acceptance, pullbacks are corrective and best viewed as short-side opportunities.
Bias: Sell-side
Execution: Shorts on IDM / minor supply
Targets: Long liquidation clusters aligned with structural lows
What’s Really Happening Over the Last ~44 Hours WITH $BTC
This is classic price compression after expansion.
After the aggressive impulse drop, Bitcoin entered a low-volatility consolidation phase, boxed cleanly inside a well-defined range. This is not random chop this is structured acceptance by the market.
Range Bound Structure: Price has respected both upper and lower boundaries with precision. No follow-through outside the box.
Volatility Squeeze: Candle bodies are shrinking. Momentum is cooling. Energy is being stored.
Support Validation: The lower band has been defended multiple times. Sellers are failing to push price lower.
No Demand, No Supply: This is equilibrium — both sides are waiting for a catalyst.
Market Psychology
Smart money already made the move on the impulse. Retail is bored. Liquidity is being engineered.
This phase exists to trap impatience and prepare expansion.
What Comes Next
A range expansion is inevitable
Direction will be decided by liquidity grab, not indicators
Expect a violent move, not a slow drift
📌 Until the range breaks with volume, this is hands-off or scalp-only territory. Breakout traders wait. Professionals observe.
Cardano $ADA : Slow burn. Ecosystem maturity and governance upgrades matter more than hype.
Solana : High beta winner. DeFi, NFTs, and performance narrative attract risk capital.
Catalysts
Global rate cuts and liquidity expansion
Institutional allocation returning on clarity and infrastructure Stronger on-chain metrics across L1s
Strategic Take Position early, rotate intelligently, and respect volatility. BTC leads, ETH confirms, alts accelerate. The playbook is classic but execution decides winners.
$ONDO Regulatory clarity unlocked: Eliminates a key barrier to institutional onboarding.
Tokenization narrative strengthens: ONDO now moves into a leadership zone for U.S.-based RWA expansion.
Capital flow tailwind: Expect increased liquidity, deeper partnerships, and accelerated product deployment.
Why This Matters
This is a market-structure catalyst. Regulatory clearance in the U.S. is rare and signals strong confidence in ONDO’s model. Watch for rapid ecosystem growth around treasuries, yield products, and institutional-grade RWAs.
Bitcoin is hovering right below the green supply zone that has been acting as a major resistance. Buyers are holding steady with clear higher lows, showing strong upward intent. If BTC gives a clean 4H or 1D close above this entire green block, the structure shifts toward bullish continuation.
A confirmed breakout usually invites a pullback, and the same zone often becomes the retest area. If price flips this level into support, the retest becomes a high quality spot for a controlled DCA entry with a clear invalidation point.
Current market behavior, rising volume and consistent buyer pressure all support the possibility of continuation if BTC manages to hold above the zone after the breakout. A clean retest followed by a bounce would validate the trend and strengthen the setup further.
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Why is the market down: a clear and sensible 2-minute explanation
America's long shutdown and data blindness
The United States has been in a partial shutdown for the past 43 days. Only essential departments were operating, while all other government units were closed. About 700,000 government employees had to stay home without pay, and many important economic departments were also shut down. This directly affected the release of macroeconomic data such as inflation numbers, employment reports, and industrial output, which were not released for 43 days. When no data comes in for such a long time, the market goes into a kind of blind state where everything starts to rely on guesswork.