A concise and easy-to-understand guide to trading $BTC on Binance for newcomers!
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Enable 2FA to protect your account ๐ Binance - Enable 2FA ๐ฐ Deposit money into Binance
Deposit USDT, USDC or any crypto Or buy directly via P2P Binance - Deposit money ๐ Open a Spot trade with $BTC Go to Trade โ Spot Select the BTC/USDT pair Select order type:
Limit: set your desired price Market: buy immediately at market price Enter the amount & click Buy $BTC
โจThe market cap of stablecoins is at a high level โ a lot of money hasn't actually entered crypto yet โจThis flow of money is like โfuel ready to goโ โฝ, just waiting for a clear signal to pump into the market โจWhen stablecoins drop sharply, it's often when BTC & altcoins start to rally โจOn the contrary, stablecoins are stable or increasing โ the market is still cautious, not FOMOing ๐ฅ Simply explained for newcomers: ๐ Money hasn't disappeared, it's just standing outside observing
โจ$BTC still accounts for a large portion โ big money still prioritizes safety โจ โจ$ETH is gradually increasing over time โ capital is beginning to seek selective growth โจStablecoins hold a significant proportion โ many people are waiting on the sidelines, not rushing to all-in โจOther altcoins are increasing slowly โ it's not yet the 'blooming' season for altcoins ๐ For newcomers: โจThe market is not FOMOing yet โจWhen stablecoins drop sharply + altcoins rise rapidly โ that is when the real altseason begins
โจOpen contracts are increasing significantly โ big money is entering, not just small players having fun. โจBTC price is rising along with OI โ the market is betting on significant volatility ahead. โจHigh OI = high expectations โ the price could surge or fluctuate strongly, no longer moving sideways smoothly. ๐ For newcomers: โจWhen many people place bets, the market is preparing for a wave. โจAt this moment, FOMO can lead to quick losses, patience can lead to longevity.
๐ฅThe Fear & Greed Index is currently at 28 โ the Fear zone, which means: โจInvestors are cautious, avoiding FOMO. โจThe cash flow is observing more than diving into the market. โจThis is often the area where newcomers can feel confused โ but it's also where long-term investors start to pay attention. ๐ฅLooking deeper into the historical chart: โจWhenever the index falls into the fear zone, the market usually creates a short-term bottom before recovering.
๐ฅ The market is slightly leaning towards safety: Dominance of $BTC is increasing, altcoin cash flow is weak, sentiment remains in a cautious zone. This is not a time for FOMO, but a market phase of 'resetting the rhythm' to prepare for a new run. ๐ฅ The cash flow on the ETF & on-chain shows that money has not left the market, it is just temporarily standing by. When the stablecoin flow returns stronger, the trend can change very quickly.
โจ BTC is still holding a leading position, but signals of dispersed capital flow are emerging, no longer absolutely focused on BTC as before. This usually marks the beginning of each recovery cycle for altcoins. โจCurrently, the Top 10 group is recovering better - a sign that hot money is starting to 'test the waters' with larger coins first, while the Top 50 โ Top 100 group remains quite weak. โจ This behavior is very familiar in the market: money always follows the safe order first before spreading to smaller coins.
โจThis chart compares the volume of Futures (perpetual contracts) with the volume of Spot (actual trades) of BTC. โจTeal line = Futures/Spot ratio โจGray & blue columns = Spot volume โจDark gray column = Futures volume โจGold line = BTC price ๐ฏ Notable points: 1๏ธโฃ The Futures/Spot ratio continuously maintains a high range โ It means the market is being driven by leverage. โ When Futures dominate, prices fluctuate more, both up and down.
โจ The chart shows the price levels with many Long/Short positions using leverage that are awaiting liquidation. โจRed zone = accumulated debt for Short (many Short orders awaiting liquidation). โจBlue zone = accumulated debt for Long. โจGold/orange/blue column = leveraged position 10x โ 100x. ๐ฏ The most important point: ๐ The current price around ~92,100 USD is situated between two large liquidation clusters. โจJust below: many high leverage Long positions โ a slight market push down leads to mass liquidation.
โจThe chart shows that outflows (red) have consistently exceeded inflows (green) for many months. โจMany wallets are withdrawing $BTC from the exchange or taking profits. โจInflows only appear in small bursts, not consistently. โจBTC price reacts accurately to cash flow behavior: rising โ adjusting โ and then weakening when outflows are strong. ๐ง Meaning of the trend: โจWhen outflows dominate โ the market lacks strong buying power, defensive sentiment.
ETF MONEY โจBTC ETF: -61M USD โ cash flow is being withdrawn, the fund is reducing its position. โจETH ETF: +79M USD โ stable cash inflow, in contrast to BTC. ๐ง Meaning โจBTC is being taken profit more โ cautious sentiment, investors are reducing risk. โจETH is attracting money again โ it may be related to upgrade expectations, staking, or temporary cash flow rotation from BTC to ETH. โจWhen BTC weakens but ETH maintains positive cash flow โ the market is differentiating, not a panic sell across the board.
Altcoin Season (ASI) The Altcoin Season Index (ASI) is currently at 21/100, meaning the market is still heavily leaning towards Bitcoin, not yet the explosive season for altcoins. When the index is below 25 โ it is usually Bitcoin Season. โจThe market capitalization of altcoins has decreased slightly over the past 30 days, fluctuating around a low level, indicating that the capital has not yet returned strongly. โจThe Altcoin Season Index (ASI) has increased slightly at the end of the period, but it is still far from the 75+ range โ the range considered the 'true Altcoin Season'.
Falcon Finance ๐ What is Falcon Finance? A DeFi protocol that allows the use of various assets (BTC, ETH, stablecoin, even RWA) as collateral to mint USDf โ the stablecoin of the ecosystem. When staking USDf, you receive sUSDf with automatic yield from on-chain yield strategies. ๐ฅ Highlights: โจHighly Flexible Collateral: Supports major crypto + tokenized assets. โจStable Yield: sUSDf generates profit from arbitrage, staking, funding-rateโฆ
BTC - Volatility Historical volatility chart of Bitcoin, showing $BTC BTC fluctuating strongly or weakly over different periods. This is an important indicator to understand whether the market is hot, cold, or preparing to change trends. ๐ 1. When volatility is HIGH โ the market is chaotic, prices tend to spike/drop sharply Areas with a sharp rise of 5%โ10% usually appear in: โจBull run start โ prices increase dramatically
Bitcoin Investor Tool The chart you sent is the Bitcoin Investor Tool โ 2-Year MA & 2-Year MA x5, one of the long-standing metrics that helps investors avoid FOMO and identify reasonable price areas for BTC according to the cycle. ๐ 1. 2-Year MA (green line) โ CHEAP PRICE ZONE / ACCUMULATION โจWhen $BTC BTC is below or close to the 2-year MA line โ it is usually the best long-term buying area. โจHistorically: BTC touched the 2-Year MA at the bottom in 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022โฆ and subsequently began a new upward cycle.
TOKENIZATION IS THE NEXT PIECE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKET
@AZ Blockchain According to shares from Larry Fink and Rob Goldstein on The Economist, tokenisation (asset encoding on blockchain) is becoming a bridge between traditional finance and digital finance, opening up a completely new era for global capital flowโจ 1๏ธโฃ What is tokenisation and why is it important? โง Convert any asset (stocks, bonds, real estate, currencyโฆ) into digital assets. โง Faster, transparent, safe transactions, no intermediaries needed.
Bitcoin Rainbow Chart ๐ Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is a long-term chart that helps assess whether BTC is in the zone: too cheap โ accumulation โ reasonable โ FOMO โ bubble. It does not predict the future, but provides a very intuitive view of market psychology & cycles. ๐ BTC is currently in the BLUE COLOR zone โ โMAJOR DISCOUNT / BUY IN!โ โจThis is a zone that often appears at the beginning of a new growth cycle. โจ10 years of history shows: every time BTC is in this zone โ it subsequently enters a strong upward phase lasting several months to several years.
BITCOIN HODL WAVES The Bitcoin HODL Waves chart shows the holding levels of investors by each age of BTC (0d โ 10y). This is one of the cleanest indicators to understand market sentiment. ๐ 1. The long-term HODL wave is dominating โจThe color bands of BTC over 1 year (dark green, light green, purple, blue...) are expanding and stabilizing, meaning: โจMost of the BTC is in the hands of long-term holders.
Total Market Cap Based on the crypto market capitalization chart (Total Market Cap + Top 10 / Top 50 / Top 100 group), we can clearly see the rhythm of 'up โ down โ adjustment' of the entire market, not just Bitcoin. ๐ 1. Where is the total market capitalization now? โจThe total market capitalization of crypto has decreased from around $4.2T โ to about $3T. โจThis is a significant decrease but does not break the long-term upward trend, meaning that:
MVRV X-Score The MVRV Z-score chart is one of the strongest on-chain metrics to determine whether Bitcoin is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued. This is a particularly suitable indicator for newcomers because it directly reflects the overall market's profit and loss. โจWhen the Z-score rises to high levels (highlighted in green) โ the market has too much profit โ risk of a peak.
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