比特渔夫说行情

🚨 Don't catch flying knives in the rebound from extreme declines! Funds are fleeing madly!
Brothers, good morning.
The current market is no longer an adjustment, but a daily level crash. Even the weekly EMA200 has not been held, what does this signal mean? Experienced traders know.
⚠️ Core view: I won't participate in this rebound!
Don't be misled by the temporary red; this is just the process of confirming the resistance level.
📉 Layout strategy (high win rate short layout):
1️⃣ BTC (Big Coin): Rebound to the daily resistance area of $67,500 - $68,000, go short boldly.
• Defense: $69,300
• Target: Second test of the low point $61,000
2️⃣ ETH (Ethereum): Rebound to around $1,970 - $2,000, go short boldly.
• Defense: $2,060
• Target: Second test of the low point $1,770
💡 Operation reminder:
For the first short, enter with a light position, and wait to confirm that the resistance is effective before continuing to add positions. In this kind of market, staying alive is the key to the second half!
Brothers who agree, please like and follow, and share your cost in the comments; I can help you analyze.
#BTC #ETH #加密货币 #行情分析📈

📊 BTC confirms entry into a bear market rhythm, is the rebound a trap for bulls?
Currently, the market is unlikely to reverse the downward trend without new stimulus news. Although there was a brief inflow of ETFs on February 2, the norm of large net outflows has resumed. Coupled with the potential selling pressure of over 600,000 bitcoins, the market remains precarious.
Core point analysis:
🔹 BTC (Bitcoin):
• Daily resistance: $73,000 - 74,000. If it cannot quickly reclaim 73, all increases will be a "false rebound."
• Trading strategy: Continue to hold short positions near resistance levels.
• Short-term long opportunities: Watch for signs of a bottom near 70,400.
🔹 ETH (Ethereum):
• Weak trend: Dragged down by Bitcoin, daily resistance level 2,180 - 2,200.
• Trading strategy: A pullback to 2,180 without breaking is a shorting opportunity.
• Short-term long opportunities: Watch for a bottom at 2,080.
💡 Bottom-fishing signals:
From a broad perspective, please remain patient. Focus on Bitcoin entering the 68,500 - 69,000 range and Ethereum entering the 1,800 - 1,820 area. Also, keep a close eye on whether ETF capital outflows weaken and whether institutional large holders increase after-hours.
#BTC #V神卖币 #ETH

From the weekly perspective, BTC is expected to rebound around 69000, while ETH is expected to rebound around 1800. Everyone can place orders in advance to ambush. Last night's 71000 and 2010 can also be placed in batches. Try going long with a light position, and we will add more once it stabilizes. The upper pressure for BTC is above 745, and for ETH, it is above 2250. These positions are all good short-selling opportunities: #BTC #eth #行情解析

BTC&ETH Short-term Trend Judgment

BTC is currently holding around 75, forming a W-bottom pattern in 15 minutes, with the neck line near 765, currently attempting to break through 765.
Be patient and wait for a breakthrough of 765, then test the effectiveness of support at that position before entering long.
Short-term resistance levels above: 775, 790, pay attention to these two positions for short opportunities.

ETH is experiencing a false drop near 2150, funds are clearly trying to support it, with significant signs of MACD divergence in 1 hour, and a W-bottom structure forming simultaneously in 15 minutes.
The neck line is at 2260, MA60 suppresses at 2275, and the downtrend line from the high of 2374 suppresses at 2270, creating a resonance.
Pay attention to the breakthrough situation at 2260: if it cannot break through, go short directly; if it breaks through, watch for short opportunities at 2320 and 2370.

#BTC何时反弹？ #加密市场回调

This week's core market focus events

📊 Summary of key market nodes this week! Federal Reserve candidates, AI conference, core financial reports + inflation data coming in thick and fast, with hidden geopolitical risks, quick save this!

🔹 Core macro & policy

• Key focus: Bessent, Trump speeches, announcement of the next Federal Reserve candidate (as early as next week), popular candidate Riedel (54% probability of being elected) supports a rate cut to 3%

• Geopolitical risks: Situation in Venezuela, Middle East Iran, Greenland heating up, aggressive measures in the US raising risk aversion sentiment, pay attention to gold and yen fluctuations

🔹 Key industry events

• Tuesday: OpenAI Developer Conference! Focus on AI commercialization + education plan upgrades, release of new scenarios for tools like ChatGPT Edu, paying attention to core partners like Nvidia and Microsoft

🔹 Key data & earnings report schedule (highlight this!)

• Wednesday 7:50: Japan's December interest rate decision (expected to raise to 0.75%), pay attention to Ueda's statements; US stocks after hours: Meta, Microsoft, Tesla earnings reports

• Thursday 21:30: US December PCE data (core inflation indicator, affecting rate cut pace); next day 03:00: Federal Reserve interest rate decision, 03:30 Powell speaks; US stocks after hours: Apple earnings report

• Friday 7:30: Japan's December unemployment rate; 21:30: US December PPI data

🔹 Potential risk warning

• Saturday: Federal Reserve Governor Milan's retention dynamics; risk of US government shutdown (Senate waiting to vote on funding bill, potential shutdown at the end of January)
#美股七巨头财报

Ethereum has once again encountered resistance after rebounding to around 3070 since Monday, with a preliminary downward structure forming on a 15-minute scale, requiring close attention to the local support at the 2900 line. After the price dipped to the 2900 support level, it stabilized and rebounded to around 2980. From the perspective of a 15-minute minor trend, it briefly disrupted the previous downward structure, but the effectiveness of the 2900 support still needs further confirmation.

If the 2900 support level holds firm, the downward structure will officially collapse, and the market is likely to enter a range consolidation phase, with hopes of testing the 2960-2980 pressure range again; if the 2900 support is effectively breached, the downward structure will continue, and the price will dip to the 2800-2820 daily level support area. If this area is lost, the market will further test the daily second-low point support at 2750.

Current market sentiment is strongly interconnected, with ETF funds experiencing a net outflow for several consecutive days, and a large amount of selling pressure accumulating at the 3000 level above, showing clear signs of selling pressure. Essentially, this is a deep wash and market repricing process led by institutions, and the current market liquidity is relatively scarce, so operations should remain cautious, strictly control positions, and wish everyone a successful opening!

#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

12.24🍎Bitcoin Market Analysis📊, you will regret not clicking in to take a look!!!
Bitcoin has encountered resistance again after rebounding to around 90500 following the Nasdaq on Monday, a 15-minute downtrend structure has formed, but attention should still be paid to the local support at 86500. After dropping to the 86500 support, it rebounded to around 88400. From the perspective of the 15-minute small timeframe, this temporarily disrupted the downtrend structure, but it still needs to confirm the validity of the 86500 support. If the 86500 support below holds, it confirms the disruption of the downtrend structure, leading to a price consolidation and another rebound to test the resistance at 88000-88400. If the 86500 support is effectively broken, the downtrend structure will continue, and it will test the effective support at 85500-85000 on the daily chart again. If 85000 cannot hold, it will continue to test the daily chart's next low point support at 83700-84300. Currently, ETF funds have seen a net outflow for 4 days, with over 1 billion in sell orders accumulated above. Addresses holding over 1k have started to flow into exchanges for selling, marking a significant washout, a repricing of the market by institutions, and a lack of liquidity, often requiring traders to remain more alert. Wishing everyone good luck in opening positions!
#ETH走势分析 #比特币与黄金战争

📊 12.23-12.26 Key Macro Events in the Crypto Market (with Important Ratings + Trading Tips), Low Liquidity During Christmas Week, Beware of Black Swans!

December 23 (Tuesday)

• 21:30 U.S. Q3 GDP Revision + PCE Data Update (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)

• Impact: PCE is the Fed's inflation anchor, GDP revision affects interest rate expectations, directly influencing the valuation and capital flow of risk assets like BTC/ETH

• Trading Tip: Volatility集中在数据公布后1-2小时，提前减杠杆防插针

December 24 (Wednesday, Christmas Eve)

• 07:50 Bank of Japan Meeting Minutes (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Tip: The aftershock of December rate hikes has not settled, the minutes reveal the rate hike path, affecting yen arbitrage funds and global liquidity

◦ Next Rate Announcement: January 23, 2026 (Focus on)

• 21:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week of December 20 (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Impact: Reflects the resilience of the labor market, relates to the pace of rate cuts, indirectly affecting risk appetite

• Market Arrangement: U.S. stock market closes early, European stock market closed/early closure, Hong Kong stock market half-day (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Risk: Liquidity plummeting, market easily manipulated, suggest light positions or wait and see

December 25 (Thursday, Christmas Day)

• Speech by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Impact: May release policy signals, guiding the yen and global capital flows

• Market Arrangement: U.S. stock market/Hong Kong stock market/European stock market closed (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Risk: Liquidity at a freezing point, avoid opening positions, maintain risk control on existing positions

• Potential Event: Trump may announce the Federal Reserve Chair nominee early (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Impact: The nominee's stance directly changes monetary policy expectations, potentially causing significant market volatility

December 26 (Friday, Boxing Day)

• 07:30 Japan's November Unemployment Rate (Important Level: ⭐⭐⭐)

◦ Impact: Reflects the economic fundamentals, relates to the pace of rate hikes, indirectly transmitting to the crypto market
#加密市场观察 #比特币流动性

The central bank's interest rate hike is a certainty. Where will BTC and ETH go? 👉 Click here to learn today's BTC and ETH martial arts secrets 👈

BTC: Last night, it fell from 895 to 844. The 15-minute drop structure has changed, forming a W shape at 844 without breaking the low. However, the number of K lines is not many, so be cautious of a rapid drop after breaking 85. A rebound above 86 is needed for confirmation. Currently reported at 85433, with support at 84-844 below and resistance at 86-862 above. If it stabilizes above 86 after the 1-hour close, it can be bought low. Look towards 872. If it breaks 85 with volume, aggressive shorting can be pursued, targeting around 835-84.

ETH: Last night, it stabilized after following the big pie down from 2997 to around 2780. The 15-minute level has formed a bottom-rebound pattern, resonating with the W bottom of the big pie. However, the continuity of the K line is insufficient, so be cautious of false breakouts followed by pullbacks. A rebound above 2860 is needed for stabilization confirmation. Currently reported around 2830, with support at 2750-2780 below and resistance at around 2860 above. If it stabilizes above 2860 after the 1-hour close, it can be lightly bought low, targeting the 2920-2930 range. If it breaks 2805 with volume, aggressive traders can follow the trend and short, targeting around 2750.

#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

#比特币行情分析 A graphic understanding of the upcoming market analysis for Bitcoin

Today's market update: Bitcoin rebounded from 1063 to 1112, close to 5000 points, naturally leading to high selling and low buying in the spot market. Last night, during the rebound in US stocks to 1112, a candlestick with long upper and lower shadows formed quickly, indicating the intensification of the bullish and bearish struggle. The size of the body reflects the advantage of one side; however, unfortunately, the body seems not to have continued closing above 1107. Thus, the preliminary judgment is that the potential support for Bitcoin is above 1107, followed by a direct strong decline. The price touched the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern again, and it can be seen that after reaching 1086, there was also some bullish and bearish struggle, but the next candlestick body closed above the upper shadow at 1092. Therefore, the short-term resistance for Bitcoin is currently above 1092, and there have been multiple retests of this resistance level leading to rebounds, but the current rebound is relatively weak. On Saturday, liquidity is low, and the bulls have not moved, with only some scattered buying volume below. Furthermore, this rebound did not reach the previous high of 1112, nor did it touch 1107, only rebounding to 1105 before quickly forming a candlestick with a long upper shadow (inverted hammer). Subsequently, the price has undergone a correction. Currently, it appears to be consolidating and oscillating between 109 and 1105. If it breaks below 109, there is a high probability it will decline to test around 106. Over the weekend, it's best to observe more and act less.

#巨鲸动向 #币安Launchpool上线KITE #加密市场回调

Finally had a big bite, this wave of second pancake continues, at 3850 continue to supplement Cang $BTC $ETH

Brothers, today I'll briefly share the market situation. Currently, the resistance level for Bitcoin is at 1096-11. As long as the market does not break through the low point of 1086, there is a high probability of a rebound back to 1096-11. If it stabilizes at 1096, 1102 can easily reach a new high. However, if it breaks below the low point of 1006, it may continue to decline and test the range of 1075-1063. Please pay attention to the rebound in this range. Overall, Bitcoin's daily line shows a converging triangle. As long as it does not break below 1063, there is still hope for a breakout from the converging triangle.

As for Ethereum, this guy is behaving quite unusually. The upper resistance is at 3900. Today, it has been fluctuating between 3870-3900, and it subsequently broke through 3870. Therefore, the first resistance is at 3870, and the second resistance is at 3900. The market is currently at 3807, showing a rebound. Observe whether it can break through 3870. If it can break 3870, it is expected to continue reaching the previous high of 3905. If it cannot break through 3870, there is a high probability it will continue to break below 3805 and test the range of 3740-3700. Please pay attention to the rebound in this range. The daily trend structure of Ethereum has not deteriorated, but the rebound momentum is weak. We need to be cautious not to break below 3700. If it breaks 3700, watch for a second dip to 3400.
$BTC $ETH
#加密市场回调 #币安Alpha上新

The bloggers who are bearish across the internet must be dumbfounded, right? This wave of Bitcoin flips some analysis and opinions I shared in my last post. I can proudly say it's more valuable than what you paid for. Keep it up, this wave of Bitcoin will only see a pullback at 116. The retracement to 116 and 1095 are good opportunities to add positions #加密市场回调 #Strategy增持比特币

#美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC
Brothers, those who have seen this post, are you secretly happy in your bed right now? I should have provided an early warning about this trend reversal across the internet, right? Let's continue the pattern; this wave of Bitcoin must at least surge to around 112 before there will be a significant pullback. As long as it dares to dip to 107, I will boldly buy in. This year should be the last major rebound market, so make sure to seize the opportunity.

1. Large Pancake: After the rebound at 103470, the 15-minute downtrend structure has changed, and it needs to break 1075 in 1 hour to confirm. The key support is 1063; if broken, it will test 104489 (can short with a small position), if not broken and stabilizes, it can go long on low. If it stabilizes above 1095, there is a high probability that the main force will wash out positions and then violently rise, looking at 116+. Next week, pay attention to ETF inflows.

2. Second Pancake: The 8-minute confirmation indicates the main force is washing out positions, with a strong buying pressure at 3671 rebound, and the 15-minute downtrend structure has been damaged. It needs to break 3950 in 1 hour to confirm; currently, it is hitting the upper track: if broken, it will pull back to buy at 3880; if not broken and it breaks below 3880, the consolidation will continue, pay attention to short at 3930 and buy at 3830-3850.

#加密市场回调 #现货黄金创历史新高 #比特币 #以太坊ETF批准预期

Market Key Levels for Bitcoin and Ethereum

1. Bitcoin (BTC)

• Core Support: 111100, this level corresponds to the key structural level of the 109500 low, and has completed the 'pressure to support' transition.

• Market Response:

1. If it does not break 111100, it indicates that the bulls are still strong, and a short-term bullish outlook can be maintained;

2. If it breaks 111100, pay close attention to the two key support levels of 111100 and 109500, and watch for buying opportunities here;

3. After breaking, it is very likely to enter a consolidated range, be cautious with high selling and low buying.

2. Ethereum (ETH)

• Core Support: 3790, this level corresponds to the key structural level of the 3640 low, also completing the 'pressure to support' transition.

• Market Response:

1. If it holds above 3790, bullish momentum remains strong, and the short-term trend is biased towards strength;

2. If it breaks 3790, watch for 3760 and 3640 as two key support levels, and consider buying opportunities here;

3. After breaking, the main force may continue to consolidate within this range, and operations should focus on a range-based strategy.
$BTC $ETH
Note: The above is only a technical structural analysis; market fluctuations contain uncertainties, and trading should be conducted with proper risk management.