会飞的比特币

Based on previous experience, if October kicks off a bull market, we have about three months left to position our holdings. Which potential tokens should we stack up on????

We need to get our positions sorted in these three months.

The next bull market will be driven by the era of everything going on-chain with RWA.

It’s all about which tokens will be at the center of this storm.

Check out this chart. US Treasuries will definitely lead the pack as on-chain assets.

There was a theory that suggested we should Bitcoinize US Treasuries, which are nearly $40 trillion. That means Bitcoin would need to pump about 13x, bringing it close to $900k per coin.

Let’s not get into which assets are going on-chain for now. Instead, let’s see which tokens will dominate this movement?

First off, stablecoins will be the backbone for settlements. They are undoubtedly the most crucial part.

The ranking of stablecoin on-chain circulation is: $ETH > $TRX > $SOL > $BNB > $HYPE > $BASE > $ARB > $POL > $APT > $XRP

The market cap ranking for stablecoins is USDT, USDC, USDS, USDE, DAI, USD1, USDP, RLUSD, which correspond to the following project tokens: $CRCL, $SKY, $ENA, $MKR (with SKY replacing), $WLFI, $XRP (some are issued by institutions themselves and won't be displayed).

In terms of network asset value rankings: ETH, BNB, SOL, XLM, HYPE, ZK, AVAX, ARB, POL.

The most impactful ones are #LINK , #ONDO , #SKY , #XLM , #CFG .

Here’s a brief overview of each:
$LINK - Leading oracle, balancing real-time prices across platforms.
$ONDO - (Ondo Finance) Leading tokenization of pure RWA assets.
SKY - The largest decentralized RWA treasury globally.
XLM - Compliance-focused cross-border settlement leader in RWA.
CFG - Leading player in RWA physical asset deployment.

You can start positioning by combining candlestick analysis and stacking up on:

Based on candlestick analysis, here’s a ranking of the top 100 coins by market cap, with the top 15 that have good accumulation and solid volume as follows:

$ETH, $LINK , $PENDLE , $XRP, $TON, $ETHFI, ￥$SOL, $HYPE, $ADA, $ONDO 11th: $NEAR, 12th: $STRK, 13th: $AVAX, 14th: $FET, 15th: $INJ

So theoretically, among the top 100 market cap coins, these 15 are the standout ones. The others in the top 100 that aren’t listed here aren’t looking good. For example, BSV and BNB may be in the top 100 by market cap, but their accumulation isn’t strong.

For the top 10 coins' accumulation situation, I’ve compiled a table to reference or save for myself.

$BTC or further dipping into the $40,000 range, with the ETF and weak demand further intensifying sell-off pressure

The Clarity Bill was already pretty tough to get through before the year ended. It looks like
$BTC $ETH

📝$CAP – LONG

🔜 Entry Range: 0.02365 – 0.02375

📌 Target Price: 0.02441, 0.02512, 0.02583

🙅‍♂️ Stop Loss: 0.02228

📋 Long Reasons:

Multi-period OI keeps rising, capital accumulates sufficiently on monthly timeframe.

Sharp drop is institutional shakeout; price rebounds in 6h with strong oversold rebound demand.

Neutral funding rate ensures healthy positions and limited overhead selling pressure.

✏️ Move stop loss to entry range after first target is hit.

📝$CAP – LONG

🔜 Entry price: 0.02370-0.2380

📌 Target price: 0.02441, 0.02512, 0.02583

🙅‍♂️ Stop-loss: 0.02228

📋 Reasons to go long:

OI across multiple timeframes continues to rise, with monthly-line funds fully accumulating.

The big drop is a shakeout; after the 6-hour stabilization, a rebound is underway, showing strong willingness to repair oversold conditions.

With neutral fees, the position is healthy, and there is less overhead pressure from trapped traders.

【US Stock Capital Flow Express】Last week, US technology sector fund net outflows totaled $15 billion, marking the largest weekly outflow in 2 and a half years. Institutions cashed out profits from AI’s high-level positions.
$AAPL $MSFT $AMZN

📝$GMT – LONG

🔜 Entry Price: 0.00764
📌 Target Price: 0.00772, 0.00786, 0.00801, 0.00835
🙅‍♂️ Stop-Loss Price: 0.00726

✏️ After the first take-profit, move the stop-loss to the entry price.

[Breaking News] A well-known whale in the storage sector increased a 323,900 USD short position of $DRAM , bringing total holdings to 4.2425 million USD, with an unrealized loss of 17.78%. Heavy selling pressure above, so chasing higher prices should be approached with caution.

⚡$SKHYNIX Hynix’s No.1 short is cutting losses on a $1.05 million short position—reducing exposure under risk control. The remaining short holdings are still as high as $12.7 million, with the current unrealized loss exceeding 34%.

The liquidation price is far from the current price, so there’s no risk of liquidation right now. The whale has only slightly stopped out and hasn’t exited. Selling pressure above still remains a burden, so if you’re chasing higher prices in AI storage, be sure to proceed with caution.

⚡Maji $ETH : Emergency stop-loss and de-risking on long positions, cutting 310 units to hedge; total remaining position is $1.87 million.

Current unrealized loss exceeds 32%. The liquidation price is less than $5 away from the current price. The long position is on the verge of crossing the liquidation line. Large holders are passively reducing positions to avoid liquidation cascade risks.

Near-term selling pressure has not been fully released. If you’re looking to bottom-pick, be extremely cautious and stay away from high-leverage gambles.

Seasoned high-price sell-off options trader adds to short position again $MU (Micron Technology US stock) short 37.84 shares

The add-on amount is about 1.0032 million USD, and the current total short position size reaches 6.3162 million USD

⚡XRPL teams up with VS1 Finance to launch an institutional-compliance open-source lending application!

Built on four core underlying capabilities—identity credentials, permissioned domains, single-asset vaults, and native lending—providing banks and asset managers worldwide with compliance-ready credit system templates that can be reused directly.

$XRP has officially completed on-chain credit capabilities; RWA collateralized financing use cases are set to fully take off, further accelerating ecosystem deployment for institutions.

$LUMIA

Entry: $0.124050 - $0.124300

TP1: $0.11872

TP2: $0.11356

TP3: $0.10840

SL: $0.12896

Short (Sell) Logic

The recent short-term rally is excessively strong; the price is at a high level in a trend-continuation phase, where profit-taking and selling pressure are relatively heavy.

The asset falls into a risk-avoidance zone; without a pullback and stabilization confirmation, chasing a long position carries extremely high risk.

In the past 6 hours, upward momentum has slowed and volume support is insufficient; the continuation momentum for bulls is weak.

Short $LUMIA

Entry: $0.124050 - $0.124300

TP1: $0.11872

TP2: $0.11356

TP3: $0.10840

SL: $0.12896

Short Logic

Excessive short-term gains lead to strong profit-taking selling pressure at high levels.

The asset is marked risk-avoidance; long positions are risky without pullback confirmation.

Weak 6-hour uptrend and insufficient volume show fading bull follow-up momentum.

Empty $SNX

Entry: $0.214200 - $0.214734

TP1: $0.20593

TP2: $0.19726

TP3: $0.18859

SL: $0.22015

Shorting rationale

Multi-period OI continues to decline, with capital steadily exiting and long momentum weakening. Price keeps falling consecutively; the downtrend is clear and near-term sell pressure is relatively heavy. This is a risk-avoidance instrument with no signs of stabilization yet, and the downside potential has not been fully realized.

Short $SNX

Entry: $0.214200 - $0.214734

TP1: $0.20593

TP2: $0.19726

TP3: $0.18859

SL: $0.22015

Short Logic

Continuous multi-period OI decline means capital outflow and weak bull momentum. Price keeps falling with clear downtrend and heavy selling pressure. No stabilization signal, downside room has not been fully released.

$VANA

Entry: $1.1485 - $1.1519

TP1: $1.0926

TP2: $1.0315

TP3: $0.9704

SL: $1.1967

Short-selling rationale

1-hour OI shows a clear decline; short-term funds take profits and exit, and bullish momentum weakens. In the short term, prices surge continuously but without a deep pullback; a large amount of profitable positions has piled up at high levels, and profit-taking sell pressure is heavy. In the 6-hour window, the increased volume is only high-level turnover, not indicative of long-term capital entering; strong demand for a pullback is evident.

Short $VANA

Entry: $1.1485 - $1.1519

TP1: $1.0926

TP2: $1.0315

TP3: $0.9704

SL: $1.1967

Short Logic

The accelerated rally enters the late stage, 1h OI drops 4.8% as short-term capital takes profits in advance, signaling fading bull momentum.

Slight negative funding cannot offset rising profit-taking pressure after continuous rally without deep consolidation.

Sharp 6h volume growth mainly reflects capital turnover at highs rather than long-term institutional inflow, triggering strong technical correction demand.

Multi $ALICE

Entry: $0.131720 - $0.132080

TP1: $0.13856

TP2: $0.14473

TP3: $0.15090

SL: $0.12645

Long (Buy) Logic

Multi-period OI surges significantly; the 30-day open interest is nearly doubled. Combined with negative carry/financing rates in the depth, shorts continue to pay holding costs, providing extremely strong upside squeeze momentum.

In the past 6 hours, trading volume spiked by 303.8%, delivering momentum through volume and price continuing to be in the contract ignition/launch phase. Multiple DEX (decentralized exchange) anomalies have brought sustained market hype.

With volume and order book resonance plus negative carry/financing rate as fuel, incremental capital is concentrated into the market, and the long-term trend continues with high certainty.