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$BTC I ate the melon in the square, and I will give you something nutritious. This 1518 rolling warehouse strategy, I took a look at it, which is to set the EMA15 and EMA18 lines. You only need to click on the gear in the time level section of the K-line interface, then click on indicators, select EMA (Exponential Moving Average), check the two, and set the parameter values to 15 and 18 respectively, and then change the colors to different ones. There is no such strategy's inventor; you can invent a 1619 strategy, and you will find that it is basically the same thing.

$BTC is currently still in a triangular consolidation range. The left side order range given on the 12th is 88000～85000. This morning, the lowest dipped to 87500. To continue upwards, it needs to recover above 90,000. From the perspective of the US dollar index, the daily level has completely broken below the moving average, which is good news for the crypto market. The fundamentals of Bitcoin have not changed; the short-term decline is due to some other negative news. As long as the US dollar index cannot form a daily bullish trend, I believe the Bitcoin bull market is still on.

The daily line of $ASTER 2 looks like it has continuously broken below without recovering for 5 consecutive times. Be aware of the risks; you might not know that this coin has risen from 0.0x. The K-line on Binance is not a complete K-line at all. What you see as the bottom is not the real bottom.

$BTC The US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin (BTC) primarily exhibit a negative (inverse) relationship, but this relationship is not absolute and can change with macroeconomic conditions and market narratives.
In simple terms: when the dollar is strong, Bitcoin is usually weak; when the dollar is weak, Bitcoin is usually strong.

From the chart, it can be seen that the points where the US Dollar Index encounters resistance and declines are the lowest points for Bitcoin's rebound. Similarly, the points where the US Dollar Index rebounds are also the points where Bitcoin reaches a short-term peak.

Current situation analysis:
The market is currently in a delicate balance. In the second half of 2025, as the Federal Reserve deepens its interest rate cut cycle, the US Dollar Index is expected to retreat from the high above 100, providing a macro basis for Bitcoin to challenge the $90,000-$100,000 range. Currently, both have temporarily returned to a relatively typical negative correlation logic: as long as the US Dollar Index does not rebound significantly back above 103, the high support for Bitcoin remains relatively solid.

The US Dollar Index is the "inverse wind vane" for Bitcoin prices.
Short term outlook: Watch the 15-minute or 1-hour K-line of DXY; if DXY surges rapidly, BTC usually experiences a sharp drop.
Long term outlook: As long as the dollar remains in a weak range below 100, the logic of a major bull market for Bitcoin usually still holds.

If you are trading BTC, it is advisable to use the US Dollar Index as an auxiliary filtering indicator, rather than the sole basis for entering trades:
Observe trend divergence:
If you want to go long on Bitcoin, it is best to wait for DXY to show a clear top structure or be in a downtrend.
If you find DXY strongly breaking through key resistance levels (e.g., breaking the 100 mark), the risk of going long on BTC is very high, and you should reduce your position or wait.
Key point resonance:
When BTC drops to key support levels while DXY rises to key resistance levels and shows signs of stagnation, this is a high-probability buying (going long) signal.
Pay attention to "decoupling" signals:
If DXY drops sharply, but BTC does not rise and even declines, it indicates that the internal funds in the crypto space are extremely weak (the main force is unloading), which is a very dangerous bearish signal.

$BTC Don't just look at the big whales operating behind the scenes, how much has he invested? His current positions actually have only 3 times leverage. It is impossible to liquidate him in the short term.

$BTC Do not act rashly at this position now, the amplitude has narrowed, wait until it comes out to make a decision.

$BTC has not broken the upward channel rebound and still looks at 0.382 here. Currently, it is above the 20-day moving average at the daily level, and after the 3-day line recovers EMA200, it has not broken below.

No. $BTC 23 is looking at a rebound of 9.4, 9.4 has already been touched, continue to touch 9.9, provided that 9.2 cannot break down

The U.S. stock market can navigate through wars, bubbles, and crises while continuously hitting new highs, not because of money printing, but because companies like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA continue to create globally high-profit products. Innovation and buybacks are the true forces pushing the indices upward.

The long-term trend of BTC is highly synchronized with the U.S. stock market:

When technological innovation is strong, liquidity is healthy, and risk appetite is rising, the U.S. stock market hits new highs, and BTC often enters a major upward phase;

When American tech companies enter a new cycle (such as the explosion of AI computing power), the risk asset properties of BTC will be magnified in sync.

So, whether it’s the U.S. stock market or BTC, what determines the long-term trend is not events, but the innovation cycle + capital return.

Before the main trend ends, do not easily get off the train.

$BTC The Federal Reserve bought $26 billion in bonds, now it’s like an appetizer. When will the real easing begin?

The precise definition at this stage is:
"Stop tapering + slight easing," which belongs to "a little easing on the throttle," but it is still far from "flooring the throttle and speeding up."
The real feast (restart of QE) is likely to wait for any of the following conditions to trigger:

Non-farm payrolls significantly below expectations for 2–3 consecutive months (e.g., +50,000, negative employment), unemployment rate rapidly rising to 5.0–5.5%, stock or bond market suddenly plummeting by 15–20%, triggering a liquidity crisis, the deficit exploding after Trump took office, the Treasury issuing too many bonds, forcing the Fed to step in. Before that, this little operation now is:
To serve the market a small glass of aperitif, while subtly hinting: buddy, there’s plenty more wine in the cellar, don’t panic. So you can totally remain calm, eat your popcorn, and wait until the real feast is served before raising your glass.

If easing is about to happen, you tell me the bear market is here? Can the bear market have such a big fluctuation?

$ZEC Look at this winding condition, it is definitely not acceptable if it is less than 247.

$pippin The average short price for the air force is 0.14. Why is it short at the mountainside? Because the exchange's candlestick chart is incomplete. Let me show you the complete candlestick chart on the blockchain. If 0.177 cannot effectively break down, the shorts should be ready for 0.27. The net will definitely be collected sooner or later, and we have an idea of how much we can withstand.

$ETH has recorded the historical performance from the past 9 years (2016 - 2024) during weeks 49 to 52.
Compared to the data of Bitcoin (BTC) just mentioned, Ethereum has exhibited a completely different characteristic in its year-end performance, with greater volatility and significant differences in pace.

The trend in week 49 reverses the recent strong observations to see if the rise continues into 23/24, if so it presents a right-side opportunity.
The risk of a sharp drop in week 50 is weaker than the high-risk warning for BTC. The decline of ETH is usually deeper than that of BTC, making it suitable for shorts or hedging.
In week 51, a rebound synchronizes with the Christmas market, and both have high winning rates, making it suitable for going long.
In week 52, the strength is stronger than the critical divergence point for BTC.
Historical data shows that BTC tends to correct, while ETH tends to shift from decline to rise or make up for the drop. One can consider going long on ETH / shorting BTC as a strategic exchange rate.

For Ethereum, be particularly cautious of the pullback risk in week 50 (mid-December), as the historical median drop of -5% can be fatal for contract traders. However, if you can endure this week, the historical winning rate for the last two weeks of the year (weeks 51-52) is very high.

$BTC used AI to analyze the probability of an increase in the coming weeks.
In week 49, the bullish probability is 58.3%, with a usual rebound at the beginning of December.
In week 50, the fluctuation is 50.0%, with a win rate of 50-50, suggesting to watch closely.
In week 51, the bullish probability is 58.3%, with better median returns before Christmas.
In week 52, the bearish probability is 41.7%, having fallen for four consecutive years recently, with a high risk of profit-taking at year-end.
If you plan to engage in short-term trading, be especially cautious of the pullback risk in week 52 (the last week of the year) based on historical data.

#QQQETF Recently, you must have seen investment in Nasdaq on Douyin. For various reasons, you don't know how to buy, or your buying limit is restricted. Now Binance has integrated ONDO's stock tokens. You just need to enter your WEB3 wallet and search for QQQ in the stock token section. This is it. Note that trading can only occur during U.S. stock market hours. If you haven't filled in the invitation code, use BOXART to get a rebate on transaction fees.

$BTC

This chart reveals why the price of the coin has held at $90k but has not yet surged dramatically. This is a typical **“Passive Accumulation”** phase.

CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) - a typical divergence:
Observation: Pay attention to the second column (Spot CVD) and the third column (Contract CVD), both lines are heading downward.

Interpretation: This means that the **active sell orders (Market Sell)** in the market are still very strong, and retail investors or panic sellers continue to sell at market prices.

Key Point: Although CVD is declining, the price (Price) has remained around $90k without making new lows.

What does this mean? This is textbook-level **“Limit Order Absorption.” (Limit Buy Absorption)**. Someone (as seen from the on-chain data, a giant whale over 10k) has placed a large number of limit buy orders below, like a wall, absorbing all the goods thrown out by retail investors.

Funding Rate:
Observation: The rate reading is 0.0037 (slightly positive), the bars are very short, with occasional red bars (negative rate).

Interpretation: The leveraged market has calmed down. The previous frenzy at $120k (high rates) is gone, and there is no extreme short squeeze (deep negative rates). This is a healthy “reset” state, suitable for starting a new trend.

$BTC I analyzed the wallet holdings of the chain's huge whales for GEMINI, and the conclusions are as follows:

Based on these three charts, the current market scenario (as of the end of November 2025) is as follows:
Price Background: Bitcoin has just experienced a significant correction from $120k to $90k (a drop of about 25%).
Long/Short Battle: The market has not completely collapsed but has undergone a chip exchange.
Sellers: Holders of 1k-10k BTC (possibly institutions that believe it is the top) are selling off.
Buyers: Super whales holding >10k BTC are aggressively buying in.
Main Logic: This divergence of "super whales accumulating + price drop" is usually characteristic of a phase bottom. Historically, when the number of addresses holding >10k BTC surges during a price drop, it often indicates that smart money is entering the market, increasing the probability of a rebound in the future.
In short:
Although the 1k-10k level is still selling off, causing pressure on the market, the top-tier funds (>10k) have already started to buy heavily. If the buying power of the super whales can be sustained, the current $88k-$90k range is likely to form a solid support bottom.
Suggestion: Pay attention to whether the inflow of >10k BTC addresses is related to inflows to exchanges (deposit selling pressure)? If this is data for withdrawals to cold wallets, that would be a significant positive; if it is inflows to exchange hot wallets, then further selling should be watched out for. However, from the sharp rise in the charts, it looks more like off-exchange trading (OTC) or large purchases settling for ETFs.