The growth rate of my assets over 90 days is 100.93%, which is higher than 99.6% of Binance users! ❤️
How did I achieve this?
Easily! Disciplined trend trading. Using simple entry criteria! Moreover, I only trade a few assets - $BTC $ETH $SUI and do not spread myself thin on other coins.
🙄 The ceasefire regime has effectively been canceled. Iran stated that it attacked American warships using drones in response to the strike and seizure of an Iranian cargo ship by the U.S. in the Strait of Hormuz. We await the U.S. response. The stock market reacts with a decline - $BTC , $ETH are falling along with it! 📉
👀 Liquidity collection before a stronger drop on $BTC ?
It would be funny if this rise in Bitcoin was just a liquidity collection before a stronger drop.
Signs to watch for: 1. Resumption of hostilities between the USA and Iran. 2. Break of trend support 3. Drop below MA100 4. Drop below MA50
This rise occurred on hopes of a ceasefire between the USA and Iran this weekend. There is no ceasefire, the Strait of Hormuz is closed, Yemeni Houthis have stated they will also close the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. Panic in the markets will give Bitcoin a good downward momentum. Next week will be interesting.
The price broke the daily MA100 and the high in the range. The breakout opens good growth options, up to the daily MA200. The news background and the situation regarding the war in Iran are completely on the side of the bulls. In such a situation, I can no longer afford to hold shorts.
I have been left with the feeling for the second week that we are witnesses to a well-planned mystification.
Do you remember why the markets suddenly began to rise? Trump published a series of posts about negotiations between the USA and Iran, which gave the markets several impulses for growth. However, while there were at least some details and activity from the negotiating groups in the first round of talks, the second round is completely unclear - neither in terms nor in requirements. Plus, the representatives from Iran are silent.
Additionally, today the Security Council of the Russian Federation warned that the US negotiations with Iran might be a cover for preparations for a ground invasion.
Personally, I highly doubt that this war will end so quickly. It takes two to tango. And the representatives from Iran do not seem like those who will dance to the music ordered by Trump.
The breakdown of negotiations and the continuation of hostilities will trigger a new wave of panic in the markets. And this is a dump $BTC , $ETH , etc. Perhaps it's already time, #S&P500 set a new ATH. Let's observe!
Yes, I am surprised. I did not expect such growth during the war - 2 months of decline were recovered in just 10 days.
It will be interesting to see what happens next. When the price does not react to moving averages, it often leads to sideways movement, during which trend indicators (moving averages, etc.) lose effectiveness, as they do not show a clear direction of movement. A similar situation with $BTC in October 2025 ended with a dump and mass liquidation.
Last time, on 15.01.2026, the rise of BTC to the daily MA100 at 97.500 was final, after which a strong decline followed.
Currently, the conditions for a reversal are even better: - main resistance at 74.500 - overbought on the daily timeframe - daily MA100
The only downside is Trump's activity on social media, which so far does not allow sellers to turn the market.
Conditions for a reversal are present, and yesterday above 74.500, the bears staged an excellent sell-off. The end of the week will show whether they can leverage their advantage in this situation.
Parallel (price) channel - the best tool for analysis $BTC !
Similar channels are essentially a self-fulfilling prophecy. The more traders define the channel, the more its lines, support and resistance, will be used for opening and closing traders' positions.
📉 The price reaction to the resistance of the channel's peak is logical and predictable. After all, this is a classic sell signal!
✔ The first part of the idea has been realized! (👉 link)
✔ The assumption that until the beginning of April, the price will move sideways until it encounters the resistance of the channel's peak has also been realized. (👉 link)
📉 In April, I expect the price of Bitcoin to fall within the channel to the weekly MA200! Short positions are a priority! Wishing everyone successful trading!
👀 One of the most challenging areas for trading on $BTC ! What makes it special?
I reviewed the history of Bitcoin over the past couple of years and during several corrections, I found no more difficult area. Look at how many times the price knocked out possible stops at the last high. Standard short setups based on overbought conditions, divergence, etc., were all difficult to maintain with stops.
This situation is also a classic example of Stop hunting. Traders with shorts see that they are right, as they trade the standard, but can do nothing. And all this happened against the backdrop of negotiations between the USA and Iran, which failed.
📉 This short-term positive regarding the war in Iran spoiled the trade. But it seems that everything has now fallen into place. I continue to hold the short on $BTC and expect a good profit.
👀 Reversal $ETH at channel resistance, what should traders expect next?
Bearish Engulfing - is a reversal candlestick pattern in trading, indicating a high probability of a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
The appearance of this reversal pattern at the resistance of the channel top in an overbought state is not a coincidence. Not all traders short the sideways movement in the channel, but with great enthusiasm, they open short positions when the price touches strong resistance.
📉 I expect further decline of ETH within the channel to stronger supports - trendline and 1550.
I continue to hold a short position at $ETH . Short-term positivity regarding Iran spoiled the trade. But now everything has fallen into place.