I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now it’s playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115K–116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K. I’m still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, I’ll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125K–128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasn’t changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Monday’s price action will give a clearer direction.
🔸 Weekly: BTC touched the long-term trendline again → clear rejection happened. 👉 Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
🔸 Daily: Price is inside the 110K–125K supply zone. Structure is weak. If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
📊 My Trade:
✅ First target 105K hit Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you guys I’m bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now it’s trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. I’m still bearish.
I’ve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If you’re still holding longs, I’d strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Don’t get trapped by hype like “Bitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.” That’s just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
➡️Hey Traders! To succeed in futures trading, strict risk management is essential. Always allocate only 10% of your wallet per trade. Start with 5% on your initial entry and 5% on your secondary entry. For example, if you have $100 in your wallet, limit your investment to $10 per trade (meaning $5 on the first entry and $5 on the second). Sticking to this 10% rule is key!
➡️When you reach your target, adjust your stop loss (SL) to the entry price. If further targets are hit (e.g., Target 2 or Target 4), move your SL up to protect those gains. Remember: SL is critical—anything can happen in crypto, as we've seen with assets like FTT and Luna.
✨ Profit-Taking Strategy: When the first target is reached, book 25% profit, and continue to take incremental profits as you hit each target. If SL hits, no worries—we'll recover, but only if you follow the setup consistently.
🔑 Key Binance Futures Risk Management ❌ To avoid significant losses, follow this margin formula:
3x leverage: Use 18% of your margin 5x leverage: Use 15% of your margin 10x leverage: Use 10% of your margin 15x leverage: Use 5% of your margin 20x leverage: Use 4% of your margin 25x leverage: Use 3% of your margin 50x leverage: Use 2% of your margin 75x leverage: Use 1% of your margin 100x leverage: Use 1% of your margin ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐🔽🔽
✅Trade In Discipline Way The People who Follow Discipline,They can make profit 99% Guaranteed ,1% is risk for Market Bad News and volatility
🔠We are not trading here like gambling.
🔊I am here for you to guide❤️ 🔴Use 5% of Fund with 10x Leverage 🟢1ST Set TP 4 And SL 🔴Most important thing ⚠️Use Last Price for Short ⚠️Use Mark Price for Long
🔴There is two entry in every given signal
⚠️Buy 50% For 1st Given Entry ⚠️Buy 50% For 2nd Given Entry ⚠️If said Buy/Sell in market price ,Then Enter in Markets price ⚠️If said Buy/Sell in Given Entry ,Then Wait for the entry and put limt order to the entries.
✅This can bring your price in Mid price of both Enrty
❌Some people enter in Entry 1 with 100% ,that's why when price going towards the Entry Two ,those people get panicked
✅This is call DCA (Doller Cost Average)
⏺Rule 1 : In Each TP Book 25% Profit
⚠️Move Your Stop loss at entry when Tp 1 hit. ⚠️Then when TP2 hit then move stop loss to TP1 🔅Do It To the last TP
🔴Rule 2 : Set TP1 with 25% book profit ⚠️If TP 2 hit move your stop loss TP1 ⚠️If TP3 hit move your stop loss TP2 ➡️Do It To the last TPs
⏺Rule 3 : Use Trailing Stop Loss. If You are busy ⚠️CB ,( call back) rate 0.5% ⚠️Active price TP1 ⚠️Usdt 100% ⚠️use last price in trailing stop .. not mark price
⚠️Note:- you can use any rule (method) from these three rules for Profit booking. Understanding the Crypto Lingo: • ATH – All time high • ATL – All time low • BEARISH – An expectation that price is going to decrease • BULLISH – An expectation that price is going to increase • CMP - Current Market Price • EP - Entry Price • FIAT – Government-issued currency • FOMO – Fear of missing out • FUD – Fear / Uncertainty & Doubt • HODL – Hold on for dear life • ICO – Initial coin offering • JOMO – Joy of missing out • LONG – Margin bull position • MA - Moving Average • MCAP – Market Capitalization • MOON – Continuous upward movement of price • NFT – Non fungible token • OTC – Over the counter • PUMP – Upward price movement • ROI – Return on investment • SHITCOIN – A coin with no potential value or use • SHORT – Margin bear position • SWING – Zig Zag price movement(Upwards & Downwards) • TA – Technical Analysis • REKT – When you have a bad loss • RSI – Relative Strength Index • WHALE – Very wealthy trader/Market mover
Someone DM’d me asking why I don’t post many trades at CMP, only limit orders, and why I’m mainly focused on a BTC short that I’ve been holding since 118k.
I’m guessing many of you have the same question, so here’s my reasoning.
1. We are in a bear market. There’s honestly not much to do right now except wait.
“So if we’re in a bear market, why aren’t you always shorting?”
I am. I’ve been holding a BTC short for the past four months. I warned you countless times that this was the top and not to expect much more upside. Right now, I’m waiting for a much better opportunity, one that I’m best at, buying bottoms.
2. I believe we’re closer to the end of the downside than the beginning.
Most people only understand what’s happening after it has already played out. The same thing happens in bull markets, and it’s happening again now. This bear market didn’t just start. It’s been here for months, as I’ve been saying. The real bear phase began around 99k, which I’ve mentioned many times.
As I said in my last BTC big update, I’m watching 72k as a strong support. That’s where I plan to add spot positions. We need to see a bounce there. If we don’t, then we likely enter an accumulation zone between 50k and 72k, and I think we’ll stay in that range for a long time before the next bull run begins.
I’m basically waiting for two things, which I’ve always shared here:
BTC reclaiming 99k to add more short positions
A potential bottom around 72k
As for altcoins, they’re in a very bad state right now. Things can change, but until they do, don’t try to be a hero and buy blindly. Some alts look cheap, but there’s still a good chance we see another 30% drop before they form a proper bottom.
The bottom line is simple: protect your liquidity and wait for better opportunities. If you really feel the need to buy something now, reduce your position size in case you’re wrong.
And of course, I’ll be here to share opportunities when they actually show up.
Merry Christmas in advance to those who still have money 🎄
Crypto Skull Signal
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Bearish
#BITCOIN BIG SUNDAY UPDATE
$BTC has already dumped more than $40k, and it’s been almost 4 months since I turned bearish on BTC. I’ve been warning non stop that this is the top. Don’t expect more pump. It’s ready to drop.
I told you 100K was the strongest support. Weekly close below it = bear market 😂 The 1W 50 EMA is broken. Since 25K BTC pumped every touch. Now it's the 5th week below it. Welcome to the bear market. A pullback to the 50 EMA is possible, and if it happens, I’ll add more shorts.
As you can see, the yellow line has been BTC’s biggest resistance since 2018. Every time price hits it, BTC gets rejected and enters a long accumulation phase. After the 2018 rejection, BTC spent more than 3 years trading inside accumulation.
Then COVID hit, liquidity flooded the market, and BTC pumped hard straight back into the same trendline.
That rally was also rejected. What followed? Another accumulation phase that lasted more than 1.5 years before the next expansion.
Now look at the present. BTC has once again hit the same resistance trendline and is getting rejected. History is repeating, not rhyming.
In my view, 75–72K is the last major support. If we lose that zone, BTC enters the 3rd accumulation range between 53K and 72K. {future}(BTCUSDT) #TrumpTariffs
There is a clear breakdown around 88.3k once again. As long as BTC remains below 88k, every bounce is a lower high and downside continuation risk stays elevated, with 77k as the next logical stop. If BTC reclaims and holds above 88k, the breakdown is invalidated and the upside target shifts back to 100k.
So I’m setting limit entries to buy coins at the best possible prices. Are you ready ⁉️⁉️⁉️