Ethereum $1,900 Retest Could Decide Next Major Move – Is ETH Preparing For New Lows?
As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon.
Ethereum Weekly Close On Sight On Thursday, Ethereum dropped 1.4% to retest a key area for the second consecutive day. After hitting a 10-month low of $1,747, the King of Altcoins bounced more than 15% to trade between $2,000 and $2,150 over the past few days. However, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap failed to hold the crucial $2,000 horizontal barrier on Wednesday and tested the $1,900 mark for the first time in a week. As most of the crypto market retests crucial levels, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim a major horizontal area. Some market observers have warned that cryptocurrency could fall to new lows if the price doesn’t bounce soon. After attempting to reclaim the key psychological level in the early hours of Thursday, Ethereum was rejected toward the recent lows, briefly falling below it. Analyst Ted Pillows highlighted the importance of ETH’s current zone, as it has previously triggered major moves.
To him, if the altcoin fails to reclaim the $2,000 area in the coming days, a full retrace toward the recent lows should be expected soon. Similarly, market observer Crypto Busy noted that the cryptocurrency is currently trading above a major long-term support. According to the post, the recent correction has sent Ethereum toward a three-year rising support line, which “will decide the next big move.” The analyst warned that “If the trendline breaks with strong weekly closes below $1,900, the structure weakens.” Therefore, ETH must hold its current levels in the coming days to avoid a weekly close below this level. Otherwise, its price could drop “into the next liquidity pockets around $1,600 and possibly $1,300, where the next historical support zones exist.” Is ETH’s ‘Real’ Bull Market Two Years Away? A trader shared a potential macro-outlook for Ethereum that suggests the cryptocurrency could still see another major shakeout. My thesis is that the major bullish move that began around 2019–2020 has transitioned into a large and prolonged macro correction, and that Ethereum has been consolidating within this broader corrective structure ever since. He outlined four phases for the macro structure: the pump, the correction, the shakeout, and the moon. The initial phase, which occurred between 2019 and 2021, marked “the true impulsive bullish move,” with strong trend expansion and increasing momentum.
According to the market observer, the strong rally that followed the 2022 bear market appears to be a “counter-trend move within a broader corrective range” rather than a renewed bull market and the start of a new long-term cycle. As he explained, ETH’s range-bound behavior signals distribution and consolidation instead of continuation. “From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure,” he affirmed. Therefore, the current macro structure would suggest that a final shakeout phase could “still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle. Based on this, the trader anticipated a final liquidity-driven move to the downside in the coming months, followed by “the moon” phase, potentially next year, when “the structure suggests the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs.”
On the HTF Bitcoin has now: - Reclaimed HTF structure and the 2025 yearly low - Broken out on the 1W RSI - Ticked bullish on the 1W MACD - Broken above the 100D SMA
On the bearish side we have: - Below the 1W 50EMA - Below the 200D EMA - Short term holders average cost & true market mean at $79,000
There are some very key levels for BTC to work through here before you could begin to confirm a new uptrend.
However, every previous time Bitcoin has reclaimed HTF structure, it has marked the cycle low. In addition, with the RSI and MACD so strong, I am, every day that passes, expecting this to mark our low and move higher.
On the LTF we have: - Price stabilising at this key level - Funding on its longest negative streak in years - Spot leading the rally - Coinbase premium consistently positive
In short, there has been a strong bid for Bitcoin and its holding it.
My thoughts as we head into next week/month are that a rejection here to a retest of the $74k level could be next, retest the HTF structure breakout...
But then a move towards $86,000, breaking through STH cost basis and true market mean this time, to have a go at the 1W 50 and 1D 200 EMA's. They will bring another challenge.
Overall though, I am of the view that we have very likely bottomed here and the breaking above $74,400 on the weekly confirms the expanded flat correction for me.
Both the RSI, MACD and weekly structure show positive signs.
If we lose this level again on a next weekly close, that would be bearish and I would then be looking for lower targets in the range again.
#pixel $PIXEL A lot of people think @Pixels is fully Web3, but that’s not really how it works.
The part you actually interact with every second moving your character, farming, completing tasks runs on regular systems built for speed. If all of that was on the blockchain, the game would feel slow and frustrating because blockchain transactions take time.
Instead, Pixels keeps the gameplay off-chain so everything feels smooth and instant. Actions are processed quickly using normal servers, which makes the experience more like a traditional game.
The blockchain side is used mainly for what really matters—ownership and assets. Things like NFTs, items, and value are stored on-chain, where players have real control and transparency.
So it’s basically split into two parts: fast gameplay off-chain, and secure ownership on-chain.
This approach isn’t random. It’s a smart balance between performance and trust. You get a game that actually feels good to play, while still keeping the benefits of Web3 where it counts.
The big question is: if most of the important gameplay runs off-chain, can we still call it a true Web3 game? Or is this hybrid model the only way these games can really work at scale?
LATEST: Bitcoin ownership is quietly shifting into institutional hands at scale.
From 2021–2026: • 2021: Early curiosity from a few companies. • 2024: Institutions start building serious exposure (~8%). 2026: Now over 14%+ of $BTC supply held and still rising.
The trend is simple: fewer coins on open markets, more locked into long-term balance sheets.
LATEST: Bitcoin ownership is quietly shifting into institutional hands at scale.
From 2021–2026: • 2021: Early curiosity from a few companies. • 2024: Institutions start building serious exposure (~8%). • 2026: Now over 14%+ of BTC supply held and still rising.
The trend is simple: fewer coins on open markets, more locked into long-term balance sheets.
Oil surged from 70 to 118, now around 96. CPI jumped to 3.3%, Core PCE 3.1%. Growth is slowing, inflation rising, and the Fed is stuck at 3.5% to 3.75%. Stagflation risk is building. The IMF sees 3.1% growth, 4.4% inflation.
Bitcoin looks weak on the surface, stuck at 75K to 78K with repeated rejections.
But underneath, funding stayed negative for 46 days, whales accumulated 270K BTC in a month, and exchange balances hit 7 year lows.
Polymarket gives 79K plus a 39% shot.
Bottom line: macro is messy, BTC is rangebound, but smart money is accumulating. May could be pivotal.
$BTC & Stocks started the week off strong as metals have sold off.
But as OIL has been starting to move again the past few days, risk assets have stalled and are now chopping sideways.
Market is eagerly awaiting clarity from the conflict in the middle east. The longer it drags on and oil keeps moving higher, the more pressure will be put on these.
THE LARGEST SUPPLY TRANSFER OF THIS CYCLE IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW. 🚨
Long term holders absorbed 303K BTC in 30 days. > Strategy added 53K BTC. > ETFs absorbed another 16.8K BTC. While short term holders dumped 290K BTC in panic.
This is not normal market activity. This is a generational wealth transfer happening in real time.
Weak hands distributing to the strongest hands on the planet.
Institutions. Long term holders. The most convicted players in this entire market.
Every previous time this pattern appeared at this scale The ones who sold to institutions never forgave themselves.
The transfer is happening right now. Which side are you on.
#pixel $PIXEL Most people are still reading @Pixels like it’s driven by hype cycles.
It’s not.
What’s actually happening sits deeper in the game’s design — in how time is structured, stretched, and occasionally bypassed.
Inside Pixels, progress isn’t instant. It’s broken into small delays: crafting queues, upgrade gaps, energy limits. Individually, they feel minor. Together, they shape the pace of everything.
And PIXEL is positioned right there.
Not as a reward. Not as a bonus layer.
But as a tool that interacts directly with time.
It doesn’t remove gameplay. It changes how long things take.
That creates a subtle split in behavior. Some players choose speed. Others accept the delay. Over time, that difference compounds not just in progress, but in how each group experiences the game.
This is where the usual “player count = demand” model starts to miss the point.
Demand isn’t only about how many people are playing.
It’s about how often players decide that waiting isn’t worth it.
That decision can happen repeatedly. But it’s sensitive.
If the delays feel artificial, players step back. If they barely notice them, spending disappears.
So the balance becomes everything.
For me, the focus isn’t on updates or short-term volume spikes anymore.
It’s on behavior over time.
Are players consistently choosing speed, or slowly adjusting to the system and needing it less?
Because in this model, value doesn’t come from activity alone.
It comes from how much players are willing to pay to reclaim their time.
According to SoSoValue, on April 21 (ET), Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $11.8442 million, marking a 6-day streak, while Ethereum spot ETFs recorded $43.3589 million in net inflows, continuing a 9-day streak.
BTC moved higher and cleared the liquidation cluster around $78,000. This move was not supported by strong spot demand; while Binance and Bitfinex showed buying activity, Coinbase remained weak. For continuation to the upside, spot demand needs to strengthen, otherwise this breakout may remain a weak liquidity-driven move.