华尔街操盘手余哥
1.7k Posts
华尔街操盘手余哥
主做美股跟主流，6年实战交易经验，10万本金两年时间最高做到1730万，敬畏市场，感谢关注，愿关注者皆财源广进！
High-Frequency Trader
2.2 Years
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PINNED
🔥 Yo, folks! The chatroom is live! Now it's way easier to connect, and you won't miss out on any of Yuge's insider info!
Using it is super simple:
① Just type "chatroom" in the search bar to find the entrance.
② Hit the scan icon in the top right corner, then click the + icon to add me as a contact.
③ Enter my Binance ID (like mine: eth6688).
④ One-click search, and you can add me, so we can chat anytime!
Get added ASAP, and you'll be my "VIP"—you'll get the important updates first! 💪💪
Using it is super simple:
① Just type "chatroom" in the search bar to find the entrance.
② Hit the scan icon in the top right corner, then click the + icon to add me as a contact.
③ Enter my Binance ID (like mine: eth6688).
④ One-click search, and you can add me, so we can chat anytime!
Get added ASAP, and you'll be my "VIP"—you'll get the important updates first! 💪💪
PINNED
Deposit 1000U and make a crazy profit of 2wu! $ALLO —this wave directly got my followers to take off!
Who understands, family members! My followers used to deposit 1000U just to give it a try. After that, they told me they currently owed more than 100,000 yuan in external debts and urgently wanted to quickly get their money back. Coincidentally, at that time the market was looking good, and my AI monitoring detected unusual activity from ALLIO. Then, we entered through a hidden position, and directly let my followers go all-in on the ALLIO contracts with more. I originally just thought we’d let him earn a bit and then exit. But when I realized he still had tens of thousands in external debt, I had him keep adding positions when the market was rising—boom, he made a huge profit!
From the opening position until yesterday, he’s already multiplied by more than 20 times. He told me that night he didn’t sleep at all and watched the market all day. Watching the account roll from 1000U all the way to 21826U—his hands were trembling. This ALLIO trade directly helped my followers achieve a small goal: not only did they repay the debts, but they also walked away feeling light and free. It was insanely satisfying! Right now I’ve already had the followers take profit and exit. When the emotions reach the peak—that’s when it’s time for us to exit.
$INJ $GUA
Who understands, family members! My followers used to deposit 1000U just to give it a try. After that, they told me they currently owed more than 100,000 yuan in external debts and urgently wanted to quickly get their money back. Coincidentally, at that time the market was looking good, and my AI monitoring detected unusual activity from ALLIO. Then, we entered through a hidden position, and directly let my followers go all-in on the ALLIO contracts with more. I originally just thought we’d let him earn a bit and then exit. But when I realized he still had tens of thousands in external debt, I had him keep adding positions when the market was rising—boom, he made a huge profit!
From the opening position until yesterday, he’s already multiplied by more than 20 times. He told me that night he didn’t sleep at all and watched the market all day. Watching the account roll from 1000U all the way to 21826U—his hands were trembling. This ALLIO trade directly helped my followers achieve a small goal: not only did they repay the debts, but they also walked away feeling light and free. It was insanely satisfying! Right now I’ve already had the followers take profit and exit. When the emotions reach the peak—that’s when it’s time for us to exit.
$INJ $GUA
Many people don't want to cut their losses.
They believe that cutting losses causes losses.
In any case, as long as you don't cut your losses, there will be no losses.
Actually, losses aren't caused by you cutting them off; losses already exist in the first place.
Cutting losses and correctly controlling risk is an indispensable part of trading.
This is a psychological threshold you must cross in order to trade; if you can't get past this, the market will inevitably eliminate you.
$BTC #三星SK海力士今年内股价上涨
They believe that cutting losses causes losses.
In any case, as long as you don't cut your losses, there will be no losses.
Actually, losses aren't caused by you cutting them off; losses already exist in the first place.
Cutting losses and correctly controlling risk is an indispensable part of trading.
This is a psychological threshold you must cross in order to trade; if you can't get past this, the market will inevitably eliminate you.
$BTC #三星SK海力士今年内股价上涨
We can be certain that $MSTR won’t be followed by another big drop.
Anything below 90 is worth buying.
It’s almost certain that MSTR will return to 100 again.
Buying at 90 and selling at 100 is an 11% return, plus a fixed annual dividend of 12%.
Besides, it’s now 85— it was 79 yesterday.
#MSTR
Anything below 90 is worth buying.
It’s almost certain that MSTR will return to 100 again.
Buying at 90 and selling at 100 is an 11% return, plus a fixed annual dividend of 12%.
Besides, it’s now 85— it was 79 yesterday.
#MSTR
It's better to trade US stocks than to trade copycat/microcap tokens on Binance!
Now Binance is also listing US stocks. As long as you don’t reduce your market value, there’s basically no risk of going to zero. With $GLW now collaborating with NVIDIA and Hwang Renxun’s cost at 190, it’s still not too late to get in!
Right now, as long as you hold onto AI tech stocks and sell the “zero-to-nothing” copycat tokens you have, embracing US stocks is the correct move!
Now Binance is also listing US stocks. As long as you don’t reduce your market value, there’s basically no risk of going to zero. With $GLW now collaborating with NVIDIA and Hwang Renxun’s cost at 190, it’s still not too late to get in!
Right now, as long as you hold onto AI tech stocks and sell the “zero-to-nothing” copycat tokens you have, embracing US stocks is the correct move!
华尔街操盘手余哥
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BullishCorning (GLW), the real primary surge is starting! 🚀
Corning is no longer a traditional glass company. It has positioned itself on the most core track of AI infrastructure.
Nvidia and Corning have reached a long-term partnership. Corning will expand U.S. optical interconnect capacity by 10x, increase fiber capacity by more than 50%, and build 3 new factories to provide key optical interconnect products for AI data centers. As AI compute power continues to expand, demand for high-speed optical communications will only keep growing—Corning is right at the core of this industry chain.
Reaching a market cap of 500 billion would be around $600. For Corning, which has officially agreed with Nvidia to expand production by 10x on the record, a 10x increase in earnings is far more than just a $600 price.
For trading, the recommendation is to go all-in on longs at the current price to target $600. Set a stop loss at $200. The risk-reward ratio is reasonable!
#GLW
Corning is no longer a traditional glass company. It has positioned itself on the most core track of AI infrastructure.
Nvidia and Corning have reached a long-term partnership. Corning will expand U.S. optical interconnect capacity by 10x, increase fiber capacity by more than 50%, and build 3 new factories to provide key optical interconnect products for AI data centers. As AI compute power continues to expand, demand for high-speed optical communications will only keep growing—Corning is right at the core of this industry chain.
Reaching a market cap of 500 billion would be around $600. For Corning, which has officially agreed with Nvidia to expand production by 10x on the record, a 10x increase in earnings is far more than just a $600 price.
For trading, the recommendation is to go all-in on longs at the current price to target $600. Set a stop loss at $200. The risk-reward ratio is reasonable!
#GLW
Corning (GLW), the real primary surge is starting! 🚀
Corning is no longer a traditional glass company. It has positioned itself on the most core track of AI infrastructure.
Nvidia and Corning have reached a long-term partnership. Corning will expand U.S. optical interconnect capacity by 10x, increase fiber capacity by more than 50%, and build 3 new factories to provide key optical interconnect products for AI data centers. As AI compute power continues to expand, demand for high-speed optical communications will only keep growing—Corning is right at the core of this industry chain.
Reaching a market cap of 500 billion would be around $600. For Corning, which has officially agreed with Nvidia to expand production by 10x on the record, a 10x increase in earnings is far more than just a $600 price.
For trading, the recommendation is to go all-in on longs at the current price to target $600. Set a stop loss at $200. The risk-reward ratio is reasonable!
#GLW
Corning is no longer a traditional glass company. It has positioned itself on the most core track of AI infrastructure.
Nvidia and Corning have reached a long-term partnership. Corning will expand U.S. optical interconnect capacity by 10x, increase fiber capacity by more than 50%, and build 3 new factories to provide key optical interconnect products for AI data centers. As AI compute power continues to expand, demand for high-speed optical communications will only keep growing—Corning is right at the core of this industry chain.
Reaching a market cap of 500 billion would be around $600. For Corning, which has officially agreed with Nvidia to expand production by 10x on the record, a 10x increase in earnings is far more than just a $600 price.
For trading, the recommendation is to go all-in on longs at the current price to target $600. Set a stop loss at $200. The risk-reward ratio is reasonable!
#GLW
#ETH open orders are still open; it’s about 20-odd points away from hitting the stop-loss..... Can this time we really make it to the other side?
It’s already almost the beginning of the month. At the start of the month, the U.S. will need to rebalance and reshuffle risk assets. Given Bitcoin’s current performance, it can only be smashed down; it’s impossible to pump. There’s no reason to buy.
So stick to your own idea and wait for the market to play out—wait for Ethereum to catch up on the lag....
$ETH
It’s already almost the beginning of the month. At the start of the month, the U.S. will need to rebalance and reshuffle risk assets. Given Bitcoin’s current performance, it can only be smashed down; it’s impossible to pump. There’s no reason to buy.
So stick to your own idea and wait for the market to play out—wait for Ethereum to catch up on the lag....
$ETH
华尔街操盘手余哥
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BearishCan ETH worth 4,000,000u go to the other side?
Maybe tonight will set a new low.
#比特币现货ETF净流出17.9亿美元 $ETH
Maybe tonight will set a new low.
#比特币现货ETF净流出17.9亿美元 $ETH
$LAB Take profit at the highest point feels great. I didn’t go short the other way because Lab’s fees are extremely high. Considering it’s not suitable, this coin can only be used to go long when an opportunity comes up—shorting would just be handing money to the dog syndicate.
#LAB
#LAB
The bull market is coming back next month!
After falling from the beginning of the year to July, I have a hunch that the downturn is pretty much nearly over. In about 1–2 months, the bull market will return. At this time, you must not get shaken off the train.
At this point recently, altcoins keep dropping one after another, and the market panic index is rising higher and higher. When things reach their extreme, they turn around. The mastermind’s goal has been achieved—everyone who should get out has gotten out.
The bull market progress is 70%. The remaining 30% is our main battlefield.
c trading approach:
$BTC 5.4–5.6w enter long! For stop-loss, it’s best not to set it at first. Target: new highs!
#BullMarket
After falling from the beginning of the year to July, I have a hunch that the downturn is pretty much nearly over. In about 1–2 months, the bull market will return. At this time, you must not get shaken off the train.
At this point recently, altcoins keep dropping one after another, and the market panic index is rising higher and higher. When things reach their extreme, they turn around. The mastermind’s goal has been achieved—everyone who should get out has gotten out.
The bull market progress is 70%. The remaining 30% is our main battlefield.
c trading approach:
$BTC 5.4–5.6w enter long! For stop-loss, it’s best not to set it at first. Target: new highs!
#BullMarket
$ACT This upward rally is already over! Get short!
On the four-hour chart, it has topped. All freely tradable coins rising face clear resistance. Don’t chase longs—look for new lows!
#ACT
On the four-hour chart, it has topped. All freely tradable coins rising face clear resistance. Don’t chase longs—look for new lows!
#ACT
ETFs continue to retreat; since the beginning of the year, BTC held by ETFs has already seen net outflows of 100,000.
Since the beginning of the year, ETF capital has continued to flow out, and the market reaction has been very clear. Compared with the 2025 peak, institutional holdings have already declined significantly. With weaker ETF buying demand, BTC has also lost what used to be its most important incremental source of funds.
Many people attribute the decline to market sentiment, but I believe the real factor affecting price action is still institutional capital. In the past, ETFs kept seeing net inflows, and BTC steadily set new highs. Now, with ongoing outflows, the market naturally lacks buyers to absorb supply, and every rebound meets heavier selling pressure.
That said, don’t assume the market will keep falling. ETF fund flows are an important indicator. As long as institutions start accumulating again, market sentiment often recovers quickly.
In terms of strategy: if ETFs continue to record net outflows, be patient and wait for the market to release risk. Once you see several consecutive trading days return to net inflows, and BTC stabilizes around a key support level, that’s when you can consider increasing your position—this is the more worthwhile phase of the rally.
#道指收创纪录新高 $BTC
Since the beginning of the year, ETF capital has continued to flow out, and the market reaction has been very clear. Compared with the 2025 peak, institutional holdings have already declined significantly. With weaker ETF buying demand, BTC has also lost what used to be its most important incremental source of funds.
Many people attribute the decline to market sentiment, but I believe the real factor affecting price action is still institutional capital. In the past, ETFs kept seeing net inflows, and BTC steadily set new highs. Now, with ongoing outflows, the market naturally lacks buyers to absorb supply, and every rebound meets heavier selling pressure.
That said, don’t assume the market will keep falling. ETF fund flows are an important indicator. As long as institutions start accumulating again, market sentiment often recovers quickly.
In terms of strategy: if ETFs continue to record net outflows, be patient and wait for the market to release risk. Once you see several consecutive trading days return to net inflows, and BTC stabilizes around a key support level, that’s when you can consider increasing your position—this is the more worthwhile phase of the rally.
#道指收创纪录新高 $BTC
华尔街操盘手余哥
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BullishMy judgment hasn't changed. $BTC 54,000-56,000 USD is still the most值得注意 bottom area worth watching in this cycle. If it really retraces to this level, I'd rather treat it as a long-term entry opportunity than keep chasing panic and selling out.
As for lower levels, I won't look at them for now. The market can create panic, but in the end, prices still return to capital and value.
#黄金维持跌势
As for lower levels, I won't look at them for now. The market can create panic, but in the end, prices still return to capital and value.
#黄金维持跌势
Stop staring at those hundredx copycat coins and daydreaming—out of a hundred, only one might make it. What’s the difference from fishing for a needle in the sea?
Brother Yu used 5 months to turn an account with less than 3,000 USDT into 980,000 USDT.
Not by chasing all-in copycats, and not by luck—but by steadily taking 3% every day and compounding it.
Yes, you heard that right. This is the real “money printer” that’s actually suitable for ordinary people.
Brother Yu used to be a professional account liquidator too, losing so badly that he wanted to quit the scene.
Then after a hard lesson, he made one change: splitting the account into two halves.
One half locked into a cold wallet—no one touches it. That’s my moat for protecting principal.
The other half is used to roll profits. Even if this half gets wiped out, it only loses the profits—never a hair of the principal.
From that day on, I stopped gambling my life away and instead followed a three-step discipline displayed on-screen:
First, ride the trend—don’t bottom-pick.
Only trade long setups with clear bullish direction on the daily timeframe. Wait for the 1-hour candle to pull back to key moving averages before entering. As long as there’s no sign of turning red after the wick, I don’t add even a single cent.
Second, split profits—let profits roll profits.
Whenever I make a bit, I immediately split the profits into several parts: one for withdrawing into your pocket, one to keep rolling, and one as a risk insurance.
At the same time, continuously raise the stop-loss level to lock in gains.
Third, sunset and shut down—don’t stay up late to review.
No more than two trades per day. When it’s time, close the software.
In the evening, take time to write an error log. Same trap, absolutely not the second time.
See? This isn’t about prediction—it's about mechanical execution: structure, accelerated volume, and strict discipline.
Don’t underestimate steady gains every day. Do the compounding math—after a while it becomes an astonishing multiple.
Compared with those “hundredx coin” lottery-style plays that people shout about every day, this steady approach is what suits most ordinary people.
#BTC $TAC $SYN
Brother Yu used 5 months to turn an account with less than 3,000 USDT into 980,000 USDT.
Not by chasing all-in copycats, and not by luck—but by steadily taking 3% every day and compounding it.
Yes, you heard that right. This is the real “money printer” that’s actually suitable for ordinary people.
Brother Yu used to be a professional account liquidator too, losing so badly that he wanted to quit the scene.
Then after a hard lesson, he made one change: splitting the account into two halves.
One half locked into a cold wallet—no one touches it. That’s my moat for protecting principal.
The other half is used to roll profits. Even if this half gets wiped out, it only loses the profits—never a hair of the principal.
From that day on, I stopped gambling my life away and instead followed a three-step discipline displayed on-screen:
First, ride the trend—don’t bottom-pick.
Only trade long setups with clear bullish direction on the daily timeframe. Wait for the 1-hour candle to pull back to key moving averages before entering. As long as there’s no sign of turning red after the wick, I don’t add even a single cent.
Second, split profits—let profits roll profits.
Whenever I make a bit, I immediately split the profits into several parts: one for withdrawing into your pocket, one to keep rolling, and one as a risk insurance.
At the same time, continuously raise the stop-loss level to lock in gains.
Third, sunset and shut down—don’t stay up late to review.
No more than two trades per day. When it’s time, close the software.
In the evening, take time to write an error log. Same trap, absolutely not the second time.
See? This isn’t about prediction—it's about mechanical execution: structure, accelerated volume, and strict discipline.
Don’t underestimate steady gains every day. Do the compounding math—after a while it becomes an astonishing multiple.
Compared with those “hundredx coin” lottery-style plays that people shout about every day, this steady approach is what suits most ordinary people.
#BTC $TAC $SYN
In the crypto world, all the “AI” projects that everyone hangs their hopes on are just worthless coins with no real substance. You can tell just by looking at the charts—when they pump the price, it’s mainly to unload their holdings. Which of WLD, Tao, or IO hasn’t just made fresh lows again and again?
Once you touch the AI sector coins, you end up dead—pump them, and then they set up a short. The altcoin season is already gone; it won’t return to the era in 2021 when chain games blew up and surged like crazy!
Today, $AIGENSYN has been pulled up onto the gainers leaderboard again. And it’s still mainly set up for shorting—short it all the way back to your grandma’s house!
#道指收创纪录新高
Once you touch the AI sector coins, you end up dead—pump them, and then they set up a short. The altcoin season is already gone; it won’t return to the era in 2021 when chain games blew up and surged like crazy!
Today, $AIGENSYN has been pulled up onto the gainers leaderboard again. And it’s still mainly set up for shorting—short it all the way back to your grandma’s house!
#道指收创纪录新高
My judgment hasn't changed. $BTC 54,000-56,000 USD is still the most值得注意 bottom area worth watching in this cycle. If it really retraces to this level, I'd rather treat it as a long-term entry opportunity than keep chasing panic and selling out.
As for lower levels, I won't look at them for now. The market can create panic, but in the end, prices still return to capital and value.
#黄金维持跌势
As for lower levels, I won't look at them for now. The market can create panic, but in the end, prices still return to capital and value.
#黄金维持跌势
Yesterday I shared the value area of $HYPE : it was below 60—and last night it directly pulled back to around 67 dollars!
Besides price, there’s a lot in HYPE worth paying attention to.
The Hyperliquid team released the July unlock schedule. People think this is bearish. But the reality is that this time the team only unlocks about 452,000 HYPE. Compared with the unlock size from late last year and early this year, this is just a normal, small-scale release—not as shocking as the market imagination.
More importantly, HYPE has been continuously repurchasing through the Assistance Fund. Protocol revenue keeps flowing back into the market, so supply is actually still contracting. The real factor affecting price is never just the unlock amount in isolation—it’s whether the new supply can be absorbed by the market.
Looking at the chart: even if BTC remains relatively weak, HYPE has still managed to reclaim the 67-dollar area, which suggests the incoming support is not bad. In the short term, the key resistance to watch is 74–75 dollars. If it breaks out with volume, there’s potential to continue challenging 78–81 dollars. On the downside, focus on support at 53–54 dollars. As long as this area doesn’t break, the medium-term structure hasn’t turned bad.
So my thinking hasn’t changed: I’m not betting on whether 40 dollars will come—I’m waiting for pullbacks and building in batches. Strong coins usually don’t wait until everyone is fully ready before they start rising.
#hype
Besides price, there’s a lot in HYPE worth paying attention to.
The Hyperliquid team released the July unlock schedule. People think this is bearish. But the reality is that this time the team only unlocks about 452,000 HYPE. Compared with the unlock size from late last year and early this year, this is just a normal, small-scale release—not as shocking as the market imagination.
More importantly, HYPE has been continuously repurchasing through the Assistance Fund. Protocol revenue keeps flowing back into the market, so supply is actually still contracting. The real factor affecting price is never just the unlock amount in isolation—it’s whether the new supply can be absorbed by the market.
Looking at the chart: even if BTC remains relatively weak, HYPE has still managed to reclaim the 67-dollar area, which suggests the incoming support is not bad. In the short term, the key resistance to watch is 74–75 dollars. If it breaks out with volume, there’s potential to continue challenging 78–81 dollars. On the downside, focus on support at 53–54 dollars. As long as this area doesn’t break, the medium-term structure hasn’t turned bad.
So my thinking hasn’t changed: I’m not betting on whether 40 dollars will come—I’m waiting for pullbacks and building in batches. Strong coins usually don’t wait until everyone is fully ready before they start rising.
#hype
..., ten, hundred, thousand, ten thousand, one hundred thousand, dad, grandpa, ancestors..... how much did they borrow? It's impossible to count.
Verified
The possibility of MSTR blowing up is basically zero now, as “coin hoarders who only buy and never sell” have shifted into “flexible managers” in capital operations.
The strategy still involves hoarding $BTC, but it can also be sold at any time, up to $1.25 billion.
At the current price of $60,000, that equates to nearly 21,000 BTC.
MSTR currently holds 840,000 BTC, so this is only a small portion.
But before it was “only buy and never sell”; now it’s flexibly adjusted.
For MSTR as a company, this is a short-term positive, since the risk of a blow-up has sharply dropped.
However, in the long run, the “Bitcoin leverage” characteristic of this MSTR asset will weaken.
So in the next bull market, MSTR’s multiple will be lower.
If this trade thesis holds, then anything below 90 is worth buying.
It’s almost certain that STRC will return to 100 again.
Buying at 90 and selling at 100 is an 11% return, with a fixed dividend yield of 12% annualized.
What’s more, it’s now 82—yesterday it was still 75.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $MSTR.US
The strategy still involves hoarding $BTC, but it can also be sold at any time, up to $1.25 billion.
At the current price of $60,000, that equates to nearly 21,000 BTC.
MSTR currently holds 840,000 BTC, so this is only a small portion.
But before it was “only buy and never sell”; now it’s flexibly adjusted.
For MSTR as a company, this is a short-term positive, since the risk of a blow-up has sharply dropped.
However, in the long run, the “Bitcoin leverage” characteristic of this MSTR asset will weaken.
So in the next bull market, MSTR’s multiple will be lower.
If this trade thesis holds, then anything below 90 is worth buying.
It’s almost certain that STRC will return to 100 again.
Buying at 90 and selling at 100 is an 11% return, with a fixed dividend yield of 12% annualized.
What’s more, it’s now 82—yesterday it was still 75.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $MSTR.US
华尔街操盘手余哥
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BearishThe simplest original narrative of MSTR was: “I’ll never sell BTC. I’ll finance to buy BTC, BTC goes up, and I win.”
Now this setup is getting increasingly complicated. Treat BTC as the underlying collateral, and then layer on leverage, wrap it with dividend plays, and even do buybacks. The more you tinker, the more it starts to look like a financial machine that needs constant life support.
Let me make a few points:
$MSTR.US
First, BTC itself doesn’t generate cash flow, but everything wrapped around it requires cash flow.
Preferred equity has to pay dividends; debt has to pay interest; and if the market doesn’t buy it, you have to raise the dividend yield. When BTC is rising, there’s no problem. But if BTC trades sideways for a long time, it becomes very uncomfortable.
Second, a 12% dividend is already not cheap.
If a preferred stock needs to offer 12% annualized returns just to keep the price stable, it means the market is already starting to demand higher compensation. This isn’t a strong bullish signal—it’s more like financing costs are rising.
Third, speaking of buybacks but saying you won’t use the dollar reserve—at bottom, it still relies on external capital.
So where does that capital come from? Continued financing, issuing new instruments, or selling BTC.
It sounds like: “I want to stabilize my debt, stabilize my equity, and also stabilize my faith.”
Fourth, once the channel to sell BTC is opened, the narrative changes.
Before, everyone treated BTC as a permanent buy order. Now it becomes: when you need to maintain your capital structure, you can also sell.
That has a huge psychological impact on believers.
The hardest problem is that this model basically doesn’t blow up all at once. Instead, it drifts into a long-term, multi-year chronic bleeding situation.
When BTC keeps rising, all problems can be masked by the price.
But once BTC has been going sideways for a long time, financing costs, preferred dividend burdens, contraction of market premium, and the depletion of cash reserves will gradually turn on you.
As for the market—like in 2022 when it plunged and then took a dip trade and held, only to quickly run into a new bull-market high—that storyline basically doesn’t exist.
Don’t turn into “old-guard” assets and it’ll be fine.
Slowly grind it out~
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC
Now this setup is getting increasingly complicated. Treat BTC as the underlying collateral, and then layer on leverage, wrap it with dividend plays, and even do buybacks. The more you tinker, the more it starts to look like a financial machine that needs constant life support.
Let me make a few points:
$MSTR.US
First, BTC itself doesn’t generate cash flow, but everything wrapped around it requires cash flow.
Preferred equity has to pay dividends; debt has to pay interest; and if the market doesn’t buy it, you have to raise the dividend yield. When BTC is rising, there’s no problem. But if BTC trades sideways for a long time, it becomes very uncomfortable.
Second, a 12% dividend is already not cheap.
If a preferred stock needs to offer 12% annualized returns just to keep the price stable, it means the market is already starting to demand higher compensation. This isn’t a strong bullish signal—it’s more like financing costs are rising.
Third, speaking of buybacks but saying you won’t use the dollar reserve—at bottom, it still relies on external capital.
So where does that capital come from? Continued financing, issuing new instruments, or selling BTC.
It sounds like: “I want to stabilize my debt, stabilize my equity, and also stabilize my faith.”
Fourth, once the channel to sell BTC is opened, the narrative changes.
Before, everyone treated BTC as a permanent buy order. Now it becomes: when you need to maintain your capital structure, you can also sell.
That has a huge psychological impact on believers.
The hardest problem is that this model basically doesn’t blow up all at once. Instead, it drifts into a long-term, multi-year chronic bleeding situation.
When BTC keeps rising, all problems can be masked by the price.
But once BTC has been going sideways for a long time, financing costs, preferred dividend burdens, contraction of market premium, and the depletion of cash reserves will gradually turn on you.
As for the market—like in 2022 when it plunged and then took a dip trade and held, only to quickly run into a new bull-market high—that storyline basically doesn’t exist.
Don’t turn into “old-guard” assets and it’ll be fine.
Slowly grind it out~
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC $BTC
You must control your hands. Right now, quite a few people have probably worn away a lot of money in these past few days. The specific reason is: after the drop, the rebound speed is slow, the price swings are large, there’s a lot of back-and-forth “killing,” and at the current price level, $600 is 1%. That means with leverage of 2x or more, a $600 move will cause a loss of 2%. I suggest that people placing orders at this time should not trade at high frequency—set a wider stop loss. After all, at this point you’re either betting on a drop of $40,000, or betting on a big rebound. That kind of narrow stop loss in the middle will only grind down your principal.
#比特币现货ETF净流出17.9亿美元
$BTC
#比特币现货ETF净流出17.9亿美元
$BTC
Last time Saylor sold Bitcoin in 2022, it hit the bottom
We’re here again in 2026
Buckle up 🚀
The final drop is coming right away!
$BTC
We’re here again in 2026
Buckle up 🚀
The final drop is coming right away!
$BTC
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