Fualnguyen

DCA Altcoins in a Stubborn Market: When Patience Becomes a Burden

You will burn out if you continue a DCA journey with altcoins in the current environment.
Right now, you’re not just facing price volatility, but also the market’s stubbornness and extreme unpredictability.
The market no longer operates on the logic that patience will always be rewarded.
Prolonged sideways action, fake pumps, and sudden sell-offs constantly erode traders’ psychology.
As a result, DCA in altcoins is no longer a capital strategy, but a test of mental endurance.

In such conditions, the most dangerous action is continuing out of habit.
Instead of mechanical DCA, a more selective and risk-aware approach is required.
Holding cash at this stage is not staying out—it is a position of strength.
If you still engage with altcoins, focus only on core projects with strong liquidity.
Do not spread your conviction across too many names.

The current market rewards discipline, not hope.
Trade the ranges, always define clear TP and SL levels. Do not try to predict the bottom before capital flows return. Your most important task is to preserve both capital and clarity. Because real opportunities only come to those who are strong enough to last until the end.

The harshness of the market is not limited to BTC—it extends to ETH, BNB, and SOL as well.
When BTC becomes unpredictable, major altcoins no longer follow the simple logic of “strong coins hold, weak coins fall.”
ETH may maintain a better structure than BTC, yet it still gets dragged down when short-term capital exits the market.
BNB, despite strong ecosystem support and buyback mechanisms, remains compressed and violently shaken to flush out both longs and shorts.
SOL tends to react faster and more aggressively than the broader market—surging during periods of euphoria but dropping sharply when sentiment shifts.
The real harshness lies in the fact that price levels that appear safe often become the most painful traps for impatient traders.
The market is not wrong—it is simply testing who has the discipline to survive.
In this environment, success is not about predicting direction, but about risk management and timing.

Futures Market Signals
$BNB LONG
• Entry: 861.615
• TP: 887.463
• SL: 848.691

$SOL LONG
• Entry: 127.7098
• TP: 131.5411
• SL: 125.7942

Prediction Markets Are Gaining Momentum

Prediction markets are platforms where participants allocate capital based on the outcomes of future events rather than directly trading asset prices. The price of each outcome reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. This mechanism leverages the wisdom of the crowd and often reacts to news and shifts in expectations faster than traditional markets. Compared to futures, prediction markets carry limited risk, as participants can only lose the amount they stake and face no liquidation risk. In crypto, prediction markets commonly focus on events such as BTC and ETH price levels, ETF approvals, hard forks, or macroeconomic data releases. Binance currently offers Binance Prediction as a short-term event forecasting product rather than issuing a dedicated token. However, Binance does list several infrastructure tokens that support decentralized prediction markets. Gnosis (GNO) is one of the longest-running on-chain prediction market platforms. UMA (UMA) provides verification and oracle mechanisms and is widely used by Polymarket to resolve event outcomes. Additionally, Chainlink (LINK) plays a critical role in bringing real-world data on-chain for prediction markets.

Midway through the U.S. session today, total market capitalization has failed to reclaim the $3T level. Most altcoins remain under selling pressure from retail traders, continuing to sink into the broad correction triggered by yesterday’s BTC crash.

At the moment, capital is prioritizing a recovery in core, large-cap assets. Therefore, it is reasonable to LONG the rebound wave on these majors to capture short-term profits.

⸻

Futures Market Signals

LONG $ETH
• Entry: 2,916.49
• TP (+3%): 3,003.98
• SL (−1.5%): 2,872.74

LONG $BNB
• Entry: 861.615
• TP (+3%): 887.46
• SL (−1.5%): 848.69

From #Glassnode

With the spot price trading around $86.4K, the key on-chain price models have now shifted slightly:

🔴 STH Cost Basis: $101.8K
🟡 Active Investors Mean: $87.9k
--- Spot Price: $86.4K ---
🟢True Market Mean: $81.3K
🔵 Realized Price: $56.3K

Overall, with the spot price hovering just below the Active Investors Mean and still well above the True Market Mean and Realized Price, this suggests the market is in a fragile equilibrium—short-term holders remain under pressure, while long-term structure has not yet broken 💪

When ETH holds its strength, it’s also the right moment to go LONG on a short-term wave for two leading projects in the Ethereum ecosystem, targeting a 4% recovery and cutting losses at −2%.

Futures Market Signals

LONG $ENA
• Entry: 0.2226
• TP: 0.2315
• SL: 0.2181

LONG $EIGEN
• Entry: 0.4184
• TP: 0.4351
• SL: 0.4100

Follow these position and be patient 💪

Crypto Will Crash Again – But We Must Not Break

Crypto doesn’t crash just once and end there; it wears us down through many small, consecutive crashes.
In every cycle, the market delivers sudden drops designed to drain liquidity and test the conviction of those who stay.
This doesn’t mean you’re incompetent—it means you’re operating in one of the harshest markets in the world.
Everyone has been stopped out, doubted themselves, and felt like putting the mouse down and walking away.
The difference lies in who understands the nature of the game and who lets emotions drive decisions.
Crypto doesn’t reward impatience; it pays those who know how to wait.
There are periods when making money isn’t about trading more, but about trading less.
Preserving capital is already a victory in a noisy and unstable market.
Not every bounce is the start of an uptrend, and not every dump is the end of the story.
What truly matters is maintaining the discipline to take profit at the right time and cut losses when necessary.
Feeling exhausted is not failure—it’s proof that you’ve been pushing yourself.
Allowing yourself to step back and observe more clearly is a smart decision.
The market will still be there, and so will the opportunities, as long as you remain standing.
Those who survive this difficult phase will be the ones who reap the rewards in the next.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and remember that not giving up is already a powerful advantage.

$BTC has reclaimed the $87,000 level, and this stabilization is gradually helping other major platform coins stabilize as well.
However, this move should be viewed as a technical rebound, not a recovery driven by committed capital inflows yet. Therefore, strict TP/SL discipline and patience are essential.

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Futures Market Signals

LONG $BNB
• Entry: 861.615
• TP: 904.70
• SL: 840.08

LONG $SOL
• Entry: 127.7098
• TP: 134.10
• SL: 124.52

Stay disciplined and let the setup play out 💪

Over the past 24 hours, BTC has dropped by 5,000 points, roughly 4.1%. This is likely a short-term Max Pain zone, and BTC may see a mild technical rebound of around 2%.

Futures Market Signals

$BTC LONG
• Entry: 85,794
• TP: 87,950
• SL: 84,750

$ETH LONG
• Entry: 2,916
• TP: 3,060
• SL: 2,840

BTC is ranging around the $85,000–$86,000 zone, and more than 10 hours after last night’s crash at the start of the U.S. session, BTC has failed to reclaim the $86,000 level.
Most major layer-1 coins have been hit by a chain reaction from BTC’s price action, dropping into new support zones and now accumulating there.

BTC likely needs to continue ranging for another 6–8 hours, allowing the Bollinger Bands to tighten before the next move unfolds.

What’s your trading plan for today?
As for me, I’m adding more spot positions via DCA on $ASTER and $BNB , as they’re sitting at extremely attractive and rare price levels 👌

BTC price has shown a mild recovery.
Close and take profit on all SHORT positions, and look for new entries to go LONG on the rebound 💪

The Genesis of Sudden Pump/Dump Events and US Market Manipulation in Crypto

The crypto market often experiences sudden pump and dump events when the US trading session opens, a phenomenon attributable to a combination of capital flows and liquidity factors. The US session is the most liquid period due to the overlap with European trading hours, making it an ideal window for US-based institutional investors and "whales" to execute large-volume trades. This influx of substantial capital is often associated with technical manipulation tactics such as Wash Trading (falsely inflating volume) or Stop-Loss Hunting (triggering cascading sell orders), leading to rapid and violent price changes.
The market’s extreme reaction during this time is strong evidence affirming the powerful dominance of the United States over the global crypto space. This dominance is not limited to illicit profit-taking schemes but extends to macro-level manipulation via governmental agencies. Decisions made by the Federal Reserve (Fed) on interest rates shape global monetary policy, directly impacting the flow of capital into or out of risky assets like Bitcoin. Concurrently, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) holds supreme authority in approving investment products like ETFs or prosecuting projects, causing extreme price reactions. In essence, the US is not only where volatility occurs but also the center of power dictating the market's trajectory and legitimacy through its capitalization, regulation, and news flow, making it the single largest catalyst for major pump/dump movements.

A surprising Monday during the U.S. session.
BTC’s decline shows no sign of stopping, and two Layer-1 coins, ADA and HBAR, won’t escape its impact.

Futures Market Signals

SHORT $HBAR
Entry: 0.11291
TP: 0.10726 | SL: 0.11573

SHORT $ADA
Entry: 0.3820
TP: 0.36290 | SL: 0.39155

BTC Derivatives Sweeps and Their Impact on Major Layer-1 Coins

In the current phase, BTC has been repeatedly making sharp pump and dump moves to liquidate both long and short positions, clearly showing that the derivatives market is in control. As short-term speculative capital is constantly shaken out, major Layer-1 coins are starting to react differently by forming structurally meaningful support zones. ETH is showing relatively strong demand around the 3,100 level, where selling pressure weakens and longer-term capital begins to step in. BNB holding the 880 area reflects continued confidence in the Binance ecosystem despite BTC’s volatility. Meanwhile, SOL finding support near 130 highlights the market’s medium-term expectations for high-performance Layer-1 blockchains. These levels may not represent absolute bottoms, but they do mark areas of clear tug-of-war between sellers and holders. This suggests that while BTC remains highly noisy, the market is quietly becoming more selective. At this stage, observation and risk management are more appropriate than FOMO-driven trading based on short-term volatility.

This position is starting to look good 👍 The price hasn’t moved too far yet, so you still have a chance to catch up.

Futures Market Signals
SHORT $PIPPIN
Entry now: 0.379
TP: 0.350
SL: 0.395
Entered the position and patiently follow it through to the end 💪

$PIPPIN has completed its 3-day upward move, and on the H4 timeframe it has confirmed strong volume while touching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with key resistance located at the ATH around 0.41.

From here, PIPPIN’s price needs a healthy correction back toward the middle band area to retest strength and rebuild sufficient momentum for the next upward move.

$BTC has broken below the $88,000 level. What could be better than holding Short positions right now? 💪

Aggressive Long/Short Sweeps: A Sign of Missing True Holders

The current market is suffering from a serious lack of long-term holders across many intermediate price levels. When real holders step aside, the order book becomes thin and easy to manipulate with relatively small capital. This creates ideal conditions for market makers and bots to hunt liquidity. As a result, price action turns choppy, repeatedly sweeping long and short positions. Most trading activity now comes from short-term traders using high leverage. Open Interest and funding rates expand rapidly but lack sustainability. High BTC dominance further weakens the natural support for altcoins. The market fails to form a clear and stable price equilibrium. These sharp moves reflect market emptiness rather than genuine strength. Only when holder-driven capital returns will price action become smoother and more stable again.

Futures Market Signals
SHORT $PIPPIN
Entry now: 0.379
TP: 0.350
SL: 0.395

Entered the position and patiently follow it through to the end 💪

PIPPIN has completed its 3-day upward move, and on the H4 timeframe it has confirmed strong volume while touching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with key resistance located at the ATH around 0.41.
From here, PIPPIN’s price needs a healthy correction back toward the middle band area to retest strength and rebuild sufficient momentum for the next upward move.

Altcoins Are Growing Resilient to Short-Term Bitcoin Noise, But Still Tied to the Bigger Trend

Altcoins are showing signs of becoming more resilient to short-term noise from Bitcoin, as short-term correlations have weakened and price reactions are no longer perfectly synchronized. Recent market data suggests that many altcoins only experience brief volatility during sudden Bitcoin crashes or pumps aimed at liquidating long or short positions, before quickly stabilizing. One key reason is that excessive leverage in the altcoin market has been largely flushed out, reducing the spillover impact from Bitcoin-driven liquidity hunts. At the same time, Bitcoin dominance has shown periods of decline, indicating that capital is no longer flowing exclusively into BTC. In practice, several top-cap altcoins have maintained their own price structures and key support levels even as Bitcoin experienced sharp intraday volatility. This reflects a more selective flow of capital, favoring projects with strong narratives, news catalysts, or well-designed tokenomics. Additionally, the altcoin-to-Bitcoin market cap ratio has improved during certain phases, reinforcing the view that altcoins are less sensitive to every Bitcoin price swing. However, the systemic relationship between Bitcoin and altcoins has not been fully broken. If Bitcoin loses major support levels or confirms a clear downtrend, altcoins are still likely to face broad selling pressure. Therefore, the conclusion is that altcoins have become less reactive to short-term Bitcoin noise, but they are not yet strong enough to fully detach from the broader market trend.