The future society is automation with #AI becoming the center, acting as the brain to operate and solve all problems.
Humans focus on two tasks: training and requirements (WHAT WHY). AI will take care of the rest (HOW) to achieve the goal.
If personalized AI agents are desired, truly understanding to provide optimal results, users need to share a lot of sensitive personal data. At that point, privacy in the AI era is a notable pain point.
The Privacy AI project group will become a force similar to Privacy coins.
Moreover, the boundary between Human and AI in the online on-chain space is gradually becoming blurred. Proof of human will also be a PMF project group.
Additionally, as mentioned in the previous post, agent-to-agent will be a near milestone in the AI-centric era. Agents operate and work together autonomously.
AI is clearly a transformative revolution for humanity.
The next phase of Agentic AI will be the focus of development in this field. Agents work together autonomously.
The project team for agentic AI infrastructure is quite remarkable. For example: agent identity, agentic payment, agent reputation, agent-to-agent commerce.
In addition to development and usage roles, humans/businesses also need to enhance their own reputation with AI. Because in the future, the person paying to use your service may not be human but agents.
#CLOB will gradually replace the traditional #AMM model.
In the past, AMM in the crypto market developed due to blockchain networks with slow speeds, high gas fees, and poor liquidity. Clearly, order books had no competitive edge.
Over the years, along with technological advancements, blockchains have gradually differentiated their purposes into execution/trading and settlement/SoV blockchains.
While store of value blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum do not focus on scaling but maximize decentralization, security, and privacy, the high transaction throughput market is ceded to execution blockchains.
This group is forced to sacrifice decentralization to achieve scale in speed and gas fees. Many blockchains have block times that reach milliseconds and throughput in the hundreds of thousands of TPS. For example: Hyperliquid, MegaETH, Ethereal. As a result, the model #CLOB has an environment to fully leverage its advantages.
The remaining bottleneck is liquidity, as CLOB will perform poorly in low liquidity environments. Successful projects are often those with abundant financial resources to kickstart before talking about attracting cash flow. Therefore, "big daddy" is an important point for this group of projects.
It is not coincidental that large organizations are racing to build CLOB DEX. Hyperliquid is merely a driving factor for parties to accelerate their operations. The growth trend of the new industry is a necessity.
Saying this does not mean that AMM will disappear; it is suitable in the layer of SoV blockchains or low liquidity trading pairs. Where users accept low speeds and are willing to pay high fees to keep assets on the native chain and ensure privacy. $ASTER
To be honest, in the story of expanding the network for mass adoption, only Layer 2 on #Ethereum provides the highest level of reliability. There will be no model that can solve the impossible trilemma: Decentralization, Security, Scalability. Developers are forced to sacrifice one aspect to trade for the remaining two. Among the current top L1s, Solana, Sui, and Hyperliquid have already chosen to sacrifice decentralization from the beginning in exchange for speed and cost, so there's nothing more to say; there’s no need to discuss scalability anymore.
This season, users have become much smarter. It's no longer the case that a lengthy whitepaper and a beautiful website will entice users to invest. Users generally know or know how to find sources to evaluate the project's fundamentals. Not to mention that this season's capital flow comes largely from institutions, and institutions are not lacking in brains.
The thesis this season divides into two extremes: really good or gambling. If it's just mediocre without a narrative, then it’s clear that only market makers and day traders will be involved, with no holders. Therefore, since the beginning of the season, the trend has always been BTC + memecoins.
Another point is that this season, there are projects everywhere while the capital flow is not significantly better than last season, and with users being smarter, the difficulty of the game increases.
As Arthur Hayes said: “It’s fundamental szn btches”.
Alt season always exists, but it’s not for everyone. Only for projects with solid fundamentals.
$BTC closed the candle in the D frame with quite stable volume. Expecting a test around 103x with low volume then a pump afterwards would be stronger than going straight.
QUICK OVERVIEW OF THE TOKENOMICS OF SOME TOP MARKET REVENUE PROJECTS - $UNI $CAKE $HYPE
UNI - Uniswap Generating around $1.2 billion in fees annually. 0.25% of transaction volume is interface fees ($5 - $10M per month) flowing to Uniswap Labs, while the remaining LP fees belong to Liquidity Providers => UNI holders receive no value, lmao. Moreover, UNI's tokenomic design does not cap the total supply. The initial total supply = 1B, and after the vesting period is over, the permanent inflation process of 2% per year begins. Although this figure is not too large (~21% after 10 years), it gradually erodes the value of holders.
Most general-purpose blockchains and projects on them will gradually die if they do not find a niche. We have too many blockchain networks, but looking back, only a few networks have real users. First, in terms of surface, blockchain has two user segments: #consumer and #investor. The consumer group is currently very small and often does not care what blockchain is; what they use is the product's features. So, essentially, blockchain is left with only one user segment, which is investors, including investors, airdrop farmers, yield farmers, and market makers. So don't be surprised when the market is purely PvP.
Previous seasons had a small BTC market capitalization, so it was easy for SM to take profits without needing too much liquidity to exit the cycle.
This season has the participation of ETFs, Blackrock, the United States, and many countries, so taking profits now requires a huge amount of liquidity.
The battlefield now is a battle of organizations, while liquidity from retail is like toothpicks. So in the coming time, don't be fooled by posts from organizations A, B, and C raising billions of dollars to buy BTC and feel bullish. That could actually be liquidity for larger whales to take profits.
Smart money is indeed smart money, but there are smarter big players.
In the middle of this year, we will have an Ethereum season, then at the end of the year, we will have a RWA, and another stablecoin season will be a complete success 🥹
The market is in a comfortable trading range, do what you want to do. If you want to buy or sell, go ahead, but don't wait until the price moves and then chase it, because either you'll buy high or sell low.
Organizations can use Private Blockchains and not issue tokens, but there is one thing they cannot do without, that is Oracle and Crosschain Solution. #Chainlink is always considered the standard of this field. Not to mention Swift.
Initially created by developers and then a group of technology enthusiasts joined CTO. After a while, the profits were too high, and this group sold off => Whales entered CTO. => Whales sold off => VCs entered CTO => VCs sold off => Countries entered CTO
Decentralization or Permissionless is just a story. The ultimate goal is still profit extraction.
If the profit potential is not visible, the market will not move.
Therefore, to know if a project or coin is still alive, we need to see if that project still has a profit extraction group.
China is the workshop of the world, with a large working class. When faced with high tariffs, goods cannot be exported, leading factories to close. The number of unemployed rises, people suffer from hunger, class conflicts arise, and political instability ensues.
China is also not sitting idle; they are striving to boost exports to maintain factories by seeking out other markets.
However, Trump's tariffs on the whole world have their reasons. If the goal is to encircle China, it is clear without guessing what one of the terms for countries at the negotiation table will be: limiting imports from China.
Another effort to increase exports is to actively weaken the domestic currency. A weaker currency will make produced goods much cheaper compared to other countries, thus increasing export demand. Hence, since last year, China has pumped a lot of money into the economy.
But everything is part of Trump's plan. He continuously calls on the Fed to lower interest rates and inject money. The goal is to actively weaken the Dollar. As China pumps, the US will also (likely) pump, rendering the effort to weaken the domestic currency for increasing exports ineffective. If both sides keep pumping like the recent “interest rate cuts,” it will be a crazy scenario for valuable stored assets.
In danger lies opportunity; Trump's tumultuous actions in the world simultaneously create an era of opportunity for those who know how to seize it. A massive asset transfer is currently underway.