GoatCryptoGains

Michael Saylor: -$13,514,000,000 (-40%)

Tom Lee: -$10,374,000,000 (-53%)

Naturally, it's not a problem if I'm slightly down 😅

# BTC Analysis Over the Last 24 Hours 🔍

## Daily Price Action 📊

Bitcoin has been fluctuating around **$64,100-64,300**, showing a clear sideways movement. In the past 24 hours, BTC dipped to **$63,720** (at 1 AM) before bouncing back. Notably, the price surged from **$63,900** to **$64,300** around 7 PM, but failed to maintain this upward momentum 📉

Trading volume spiked the most between **7 PM-12 AM**, indicating a lively market during this time. Currently, BTC is facing resistance at **$64,270** and needs stronger momentum to breakout 💪

## Market Spotlight 🔥

**Drama Strategy (MSTR)** is in the spotlight! 😮 This strategy currently holds **846,842 BTC** (accounting for over 4% of total BTC), but is under significant pressure:
- Average cost of **$66,385/BTC** leaves them nearly at breakeven at current prices
- If BTC stays at this level for a few years, the strategy could face serious troubles 😰
- Preferred shares STRC dropped 11%, from $100 to $89

Meanwhile, **SpaceX** is seen as a more sustainable BTC holder with only **18,712 BTC** and has gained over 100% 🚀

**BTC ETF** remains weak with **$4.69B** withdrawn over the past 2 months, but cash flow has started to stabilize after the longest outflow streak ever 📈

💡 *The market is currently in an accumulation phase, so patience is key for the next catalyst!*
The above information was sourced and compiled by AI, and it does not constitute investment advice.

NEWS UPDATE 11/06 | Khoa Chophel x GoatCryptoGains

Wishing you all a smooth trading day.

Macro

* Trump continues to ramp up pressure on Iran, stating that Tehran will have to “pay the price” for prolonging negotiations and that the U.S. is ready to take stronger actions if necessary.
* Iran announces the closure of the Strait of Hormuz following U.S. airstrikes, warning that vessels passing through may become military targets.
* The U.S. confirms it has disabled an oil tanker suspected of violating sanctions against Iranian oil.

Hormuz is the most crucial oil transport route in the world, so any escalation here can significantly impact the energy market.

Market Recap

BTC: 62.0K
Gold: 4,095
WTI Oil: 90.1 USD

ETF Flow

🔴 BTC: -65.4M USD
🔴 ETH: -16.6M USD
⚪️ SOL: 0 USD
🟢 HYPE: +2.8M USD

Crypto Quick Hits

* Raydium gets exploited through a vulnerability in the old AMM V3, with damage around 1.34M USD.
* Botanix announces the closure of the Bitcoin Layer 2 network after nearly 4 years of development; users need to withdraw assets before 09/07.
* StarkWare and Sui unveil an anonymous trading solution that can still be audited when necessary.
* CME launches Nasdaq Crypto Index futures contract, tracking BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, BCH, LINK, and XLM.

Fear & Greed: 14 (Extreme Fear)

Liquidation Map

Upper Cluster: 62,800 – 63,100
Lower Cluster: 60,900 – 61,100

24h Liquidations: 408.34M USD
Largest Order: 3.30M USD

Conclusion

* BTC continues to range in the area of 60.8K – 62.8K.
* Fear & Greed remains at very low levels, with funding differentiation indicating that the crowd is still trading in a state of fear and lacking clear direction.

🗞 NEWSLETTER 31/05 – Khoa Chophel x GoatCryptoGains

🌍 MACRO & GEOPOLITICS

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has announced that the US has agreed to release $12 billion in frozen assets in a draft new agreement. If a final consensus is reached.

💰 The US has reported seizing nearly $1 billion in crypto related to Iran, almost double the figure previously announced in April.

📊 MARKET RECAP

₿ BTC is hovering around 73.9K

🥇 Gold is sitting at around 4,537

🛢 WTI Oil is trading around $88.35

ETF Cash Flow from the US

🔴 BTC: -$125.3 million
🔴 ETH: -$18 million
🟢 SOL: +$1.3 million

😱 FEAR & GREED

Current: 35 (Fear)

💣 LIQUIDATION MAP

Upper cluster: 74,600 - 75,000

Lower cluster: 72,800 - 73,200

Liquidation volume in the last 24 hours: $114.41M

Largest liquidation order: $567.62K

📡 ONCHAIN & CASH FLOW

🏦 Bitcoin ETFs have recorded 10 consecutive outflows, with total cash leaving the market nearing $3 billion since mid-May. Ethereum ETFs are also experiencing 13 consecutive negative sessions, indicating that institutional cash has yet to return to the crypto space.

🔻 Total on-chain borrowing volume decreased from $26 billion to $25.5 billion, reflecting a defensive sentiment among DeFi investors and whales.

👉 CONCLUSION:

- BTC is sideways in the H1 timeframe at 73.2k - 74.3k with low liquidity over the weekend; the liquidation zones above and below are quite thick, so a sweep may happen, guys.
- Fear & Greed has slightly increased from 33 to 35, it seems like retail investors are gradually losing patience and have to act now.
- The Funding Rate remains positive at 0.0044%, with the Long side still holding the advantage.

Long $SUPER
SL: 0.112
TP: x2

After an explosive 20% rally, the token is now going through a healthy technical pullback as RSI entered the overbought zone.

What stands out here is the sudden spike in negative funding — a clear sign that the crowd is aggressively piling into shorts.

And in volatile markets, crowded shorts often become fuel for the next move up.
One strong reason price could continue higher is to sweep the dense liquidation cluster sitting above.

Patience and risk management remain key. 📈

A quick note for investors

The market is currently in a sensitive phase, with signs that a larger trend may be forming. At times like this, the priority should be focus: protect capital, allocate wisely, and observe carefully so you’re ready when real opportunities appear.

But the crowd often does the opposite.
Some traders stubbornly average down, while others become attached to their ego after a few correct calls. Slowly, the focus shifts away from the market to defending opinions and arguing perspectives.

And those emotions are exactly what the market loves to feed on.

As investors, we analyze the market to grow our balance, not to seek validation from others.
Keep your attention on protecting capital and capturing opportunity, not on distractions that add no value to your money.

📊 MARKET UPDATE FOR 28/4

🌍 Geopolitical News:
The conflict has entered its 60th day, with no clear progress in US-Iran tensions.

🇮🇷 Iran proposed a 3-step peace plan through Pakistan:
• Complete ceasefire
• Discussions on the Strait of Hormuz
• Nuclear negotiations (only after the first 2 steps are completed)

🇺🇸 US Response:
• Trump remains skeptical, has not accepted
• The US demands addressing the nuclear issue from the outset
• No acceptance of Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz
→ There is still a significant gap between the two sides' perspectives

📈 Market:
BTC is hovering around 77.3K – 77.5K
Gold around 4.68x
Oil has surged to around $96

🔥 Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed: 43 – Neutral

🧊 Liquidation (Heatmap):
Major liquidity zones:
• Above: 78,483
• Below: 76,185

📊 Overview:
The market is still in an upward trend, but signs of “overheating” are starting to appear. This phase is not for FOMO, but for risk management and making smart position choices.
$BTC

a million shining lights
the highlight is again in the red light

📊 View #BTC 22/04

BTC is currently maintaining a positive upward structure after a liquidation sweep below and absorbing good news from the market.
The price has also closely followed yesterday's view: rising in the morning - correcting in the evening, and the team has achieved a nice target.

Overall, the market is still operating in the following manner:
➡️ Strong volatility in the initial phase
➡️ Then self-balancing

📈 Indicators:

* RSI on the 15m–1h timeframe: currently touching the overbought edge
* RSI on the 4h timeframe: still has short-term upward momentum
* Crowd psychology: greed persists
* Funding: gradually turning positive → signs of increasing FOMO

⸻

🎯 Expected scenario:

* The price may push for one last upward movement
* Target range: 77k9 – 78k3 (sweep the liquidation cluster above)
* After that:
➝ Technical correction of about 1.5% – 2.5%
➝ Back to the range of 76k – 77k
➝ Then stabilize the structure

⸻

⚠️ Note for everyone:
Winning is not too joyful for too long, losing is not too sad for too long.
👉 Real profit = gain – loss, not just looking at targets.

The most important thing is still:
Discipline + safe trading method.
$BTC

📊 MORNING REPORT 21/04

• Iran asserts that it will not negotiate under pressure or blockades, although it remains open to dialogue if they choose to initiate it, while also declaring that they have prepared 'new cards' on the battlefield.

• President Trump emphasized that if a new agreement with Iran is reached, it will be a tougher deal than the JCPOA, aimed at completely preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons, not a repeat version of the old agreement.

• Oil (WTI) fluctuates around 86 USD → continuing the downward trend.

• BTC has rebounded to around 75,8xx USD.

• Gold (XAU) holds around 4,81xx USD → accumulating after a rise.

• The Fear & Greed Index is at 55.

• Notable liquidation zone ($BTC ):

• 🔺 Upper zone: 76,985
• 🔻 Lower zone: 75,48i3

📌 Overview:

#BTC is experiencing a cautious rebound, the crowd still sees the conflict in a positive light, oil has yet to address supply issues. The market is in a risk-off state where managing risks is more important than making money.

📊 MORNING NEWS 12/04

• The US and Iran have sent delegations to Islamabad, paving the way for a new round of negotiations to ease tensions.

• Oil (WTI) is trading around 91 USD → downward pressure still exists, but is stabilizing after a drop.

• BTC is currently around 73,050 USD → continues to move sideways at the peak, with no clear signs of breaking the trend.

• XAU (Gold) around 4,752 USD → shows signs of cooling down, but still maintains a high price level, decreasing slowly.

• The greed & fear index is at 50 (Neutral) → market sentiment is gradually becoming more FOMO.

• Notable liquidation zones (BTC):

• 🔺 Upper zone: 74,369 – 74,045
• 🔻 Lower zone: 72,370 – 71,937

📌 Overview:
BTC is still moving sideways at the top of the uptrend, with no clear direction yet. Gold is cooling down but has not broken the trend. Oil is temporarily stabilizing after a strong drop → the overall market is in a state of rest – accumulation – waiting for new information.

📊 MORNING BRIEF 10/04

* Tensions between the US and Iran remain in a state of "fragile ceasefire"

* Oil, after a sharp decline, is currently recovering slightly and fluctuating around the ~97 – 100 USD range, indicating that the market is beginning to balance supply expectations.

* BTC has surged to around ~73k but quickly adjusted, currently hovering around ~71.5k – 72k, showing that buying power is still present but not strong enough to create a clear trend.

* The greed index is currently at 46 (Neutral) → market sentiment is neutral, with no signs of FOMO.

* Liquidation heatmap:

👉 Upper range: 73,268 – 73,620

👉 Lower range: 71,214 – 71,449

📌 Overview:

The market is in an accumulation phase and reacting to news.
The buying side still maintains its position but has not yet created a clear breakthrough.
Volatility is narrowing, waiting for a new impetus to determine the trend.
$BTC

📊 MORNING BRIEFING 08/04

* President Trump has agreed to temporarily halt bombings in Iran for 2 weeks – a last-minute “turnaround” just hours before the deadline.

* This is a bilateral ceasefire; the U.S. has confirmed it received a 10-point proposal from Iran and assesses that negotiations are possible.

* Two weeks – enough to finalize a deal, but also enough to create more drama if no results are achieved.

* Immediately following the news, the market reacted quite clearly:

+ Oil surged strongly, maintaining around the ~90–91 USD range

+ Gold continued to rise, staying above the ~4.7xx range

+ #BTC quickly surged from ~68k to ~72k, currently around ~71.7k

📌 Overview:
Market sentiment is reacting quickly at the initial phase and then self-balancing; DON’T FOMO
$BTC

📊 BTC Quick View – 8AM | Mar 28

Last night’s setup delivered a clean short-term long for the team ✅

Currently, $BTC is trading around 66.4k, showing a minor recovery at the bottom of the trend.

- Funding is still deeply negative → shorts are crowded
- Liquidation zone around 67k area remains attractive → high chance of a push up to sweep liquidity
- Short-term RSI is oversold and starting to curl up

💡 Weekend conditions + low volume + waiting for news →
→ Market is likely to move sideways or offer quick scalping opportunities

⚠️ Note: Even with lower volatility, fake moves and quick liquidity grabs can happen → manage risk carefully

👉 Not enough confirmation yet for a stronger bias this morning
Will update further by noon

#Crypto #TradingView $BTC

📉 Fast Market

Oil is rising while BTC and gold are both falling → it is highly likely that the market is absorbing news related to the conflict.

With this type of volatility, prices often behave unpredictably, making it easy to see liquidity sweeps and fake moves.

👉 Strategy at this moment: limit entering orders, prioritize standing by and observing.
Wait for the market to fully absorb the news and form a clear structure before participating; it will be safer.

💡 The news cycle is the playground for large capital flows, not the time for FOMO.
$BTC

Yesterday many of you asked me about #siren – is it still “okay”? 👀

Quick view: funding is not deeply negative for a pumped token → this suggests the short side has mostly been shaken out after previous liquidation-driven moves.

Notably, the sweep range and candle wicks are starting to show weakening demand → the market is slowing down, which often creates a clean entry opportunity if you catch the right timing.

If you're in this play, stay patient and wait for confirmation — don’t FOMO the late move 🧠

Welcome to Goat Team 🐐🚀

🚨
THE FINAL PHASE OF BEAR MARKET IS VERY CLOSE!

THE FINAL DROP IS STILL AHEAD — BE CAREFUL AND PREPARE YOUR POSITIONS IN ADVANCE

THE NEXT 60 DAYS #BTC WILL SHOCK YOU!

TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS & FOLLOW ME AND BOOKMARK THIS
$BTC

📊 #BTC Daily Chart – Compression phase before a big move
Looking at the current structure, BTC is still in a mid-term downtrend, with price holding below the EMA200 and consistently forming lower highs. After the sharp drop, instead of a strong recovery, the market has shifted into a tight consolidation range (65k – 72k), shaping a classic bear flag — typically a continuation pattern.

From a technical perspective, indicators are leaning bearish. RSI sits around 43, showing weak buying pressure with room to move lower. MACD is turning down again, while Bollinger Bands are squeezing — a clear sign that volatility expansion is coming soon.

Right now, the 67k level is a key support being tested multiple times. A confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger a move toward 65k → 63k → 60k. On the flip side, if price holds and bounces, the 70k – 72k zone acts as immediate resistance. However, any upside move into this area is likely just a relief rally unless BTC can break and hold above 74k–76k.
👉 Summary:
BTC is consolidating within a downtrend. The market is “coiling” for a larger move, with the current bias still leaning bearish. Patience and reaction to key levels matter more than chasing price here.
What’s your bias right now — bullish or bearish? 👇
$BTC

In the market long enough for ads to clearly understand the saying: The right person at the wrong time - painfully to the extreme!
(View yesterday for the team full view but wrong entry.)
STILL the same lesson, you may be right but you’re not sure you can make money, but if you’re wrong... you pay the price with money.
And one more beautiful variable is: You are right but you still lose money! (this sentence anyone with a wife will understand)
$BTC