#BTC Actually, it's really exhausting to take orders, having to livestream and watch the market. I also have to worry about the fees deducted from each of your trades. Today, while livestreaming, I opened positions, and the entry point was very stable. I'm worried that if you hit the stop loss, it will hurt, but in the end, just a tiny position...... 🌺 This trade was rough; I aimed for practicality. From the beginning, taking orders in the square, then taking orders during the livestream, and then following orders, I've grown a lot along this journey. Thank you to the brothers who have always accompanied me. Wait for me to adjust my mindset once again and fully commit to bringing you trades.
For order tracking, check my profile "His/Her Transactions" Set a ratio model, just copy all positions. Right-side trading, only mainstream. 🧧follow me💰
#ETH A small test to try my hand, chasing a sharp drop entry point, immediately got trapped, no stop-loss for the win rate, short positions to establish a stronghold, long positions to scalp, enduring headaches, cut it off, lost 2U hahahaha 😂
#ETH $ETH Those who want to follow my trades can pay attention to me💰 Right-side trading, seeking steady victory, just starting to lead trades You can try simulating follow orders (follow me)🧧
#BTC The countdown for interest rate hikes has begun: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has just released a key signal: The meeting on December 19 may initiate interest rate hikes, which would be the largest move since 1995. The market is already in a frenzy, but the most dangerous aspect may not be the stock market, but rather the cryptocurrency space, especially Ethereum. The probability of a rate hike has soared to over 80%, with a possible increase of 25 basis points, or even a drastic hike of 50 basis points. Why is ETH the first to bear the brunt? Behind it is the collapse of the largest yen arbitrage trade globally, where investors borrow yen at nearly zero cost and flood into high-yield assets like U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies. As ETH is the hardest hit area of DeFi leverage, once arbitrage retreats, it will face a series of liquidations. History always sounds the alarm: In July 2024, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates, and Bitcoin fell by 23% in a single day, with over 20 billion liquidated across the network. Although this time is different, the market has partially priced in the situation in advance, and the number of unliquidated leveraged contracts has decreased by 40% from its peak, but the risk has not diminished at all. Data shows that nearly 1 billion in leveraged positions still hang in the air, and Ethereum's key support level is at 2600. Once it falls below this level, it could trigger a highly risky avalanche of sell-offs. Ethereum's Achilles' heel lies in the DeFi ecosystem: Layer upon layer of leverage and concentrated institutional holdings make it more sensitive than BTC and SOL. If the interest rate hike is confirmed on December 19, a wave of arbitrage trade liquidations may sweep the market instantly; however, if it is unexpectedly delayed, short covering may bring about a rebound. However, do not blindly bottom fish; before the meeting, any leveraged position is like walking on thin ice.
#BTC走势分析 According to today's (December 14) market data Intraday market trend and current market situation Core price position
Intraday trend: The market continues to weaken, and the price has dropped below $89,000. Key resistance: $92,000 - $94,000. This is a crucial area that determines the short-term direction, and a breakout may open up upside potential. Important support: $89,000 - $89,100. The price has dropped below this area, with the next level of support around $88,000.
Core characteristics of the market
Main viewpoint: The market structure is not favorable for a significant rise, spot demand (such as ETF fund flows) is weak, and there is ongoing selling pressure from long-term holders. Volume and sentiment: Trading volume has significantly shrunk, market participation is low, and sentiment is cautious. Volatility expectations: Short-term volatility indicators have risen, and the options market shows that traders are positioning for potential volatility events.
Technical analysis and key levels observation
Resistance area ($92,000-$94,000): This is the focal point of the current bull-bear struggle. Analysts point out that if Bitcoin can effectively break through this area, it may open the path to $100,000. Conversely, if it continues to face resistance, downward pressure will increase. Support area (around $89,000)**: The support has been breached today. You need to closely monitor whether the price can quickly recover; if a confirmed effective break occurs, it may further test **$88,000 or even lower. Technical pattern: Some analysts indicate that the current price is compressed within the range of $86,000** to **$100,000. There are also views mentioning that after a high-level fluctuation, the price is gradually descending, forming a downward channel in the short term.
Short-term market outlook and key points of attention
Overall, the market may maintain low volatility and narrow fluctuations before the end of the year. The short-term direction will depend on the following factors:
1. The key to the bull-bear contest
Demand vs. Selling: Price movements depend on the two forces of weak ETF demand and ongoing selling from long-term holders, and which one prevails.
2. Macro and time factors
Holiday effect: As the Western Christmas holiday approaches, market activity may further decline, which is a seasonal characteristic at the end of the year. Macroeconomic policy: Although the Federal Reserve's December meeting has passed, the market may remain attentive to future interest rate paths and political factors such as the U.S. elections.