沧楠晟

Let me see who hasn't added me as a Binance friend yet. For business cooperation and market discussion, you can add me.
Binance chat ID: 9bh1at
#币安钱包将推出预测市场 #谷歌量子AI警示加密安全 $BNB
$ETH

About when the bubble will burst, I think it has to wait until after the rain stops. Now it has burst a batch, and another batch will spring up again. When I was 5 years old, I was already observing bubbles… $MAGMA

Previously, we said that Japan’s economic rise was because the United States fought the Korean War, and suddenly Japan became a logistics base.

South Korea’s economic rise was also because the United States handed it a meal.

In a situation where we were lagging behind, saying this might make us feel better—after all, Japan and South Korea didn’t rely on themselves; they relied on the United States handing them a meal.

But then, after the United States fought the Vietnam War for 10 years, why didn’t the Philippines seize this opportunity?

All the reasons are pinned on the United States—turning the United States into a man who, in this world, has to take the blame for everything.

I really don’t like this kind of tone.

Under this logic, some remarks from the liberal camp are also arguably correct: stretch out to the United States, and you become developed; shut your legs toward the United States, and you fall behind.

Less of a delicate little-goddess mindset—I can’t stand it right now. Especially for a country as large as China, it should be that our own importance comes first.$TLM

Last night’s U.S. stocks, today’s China, Japan, and Korea—Zuckerberg paid for all of it. His tech can’t keep up; he wants to creepily develop in the shadows, but he smashed someone else’s poetry and afar. $M

My Trading “Three Swords”: Only Trade Uptrends, Only Take the First Retest, Only Buy High-Volume Breakouts
My Trading “Three Swords”: Only Trade Uptrends, Only Take the First Retest, Only Buy High-Volume Breakouts

There’s a scenario like this: an experienced surfer enters a top-tier surfing competition. Before the event, he’s full of confidence, believing he can conquer any kind of wave. But once the competition begins—wind picks up, waves get rough—he stands up every time he sees a wave and chases after it. In the end, he’s repeatedly pulled under by unpredictable undertow currents, exhausting his strength. The eventual champion, meanwhile, stands up only three times throughout the whole event—he only catches those massive waves with a clear “surging” direction, while the rest of the time he stays prone on the board, observing.
We can predict the outcome: the surfer withdraws early due to physical exhaustion, while the champion lifts the trophy.
As you can see, the dividing line between a skilled person and a loser isn’t whether you’re brave—it’s whether you’re picky. Trading is the same: we can’t defeat the ocean of volatility; we can only choose the wave that belongs to us.
I remember a book that explains the value of “restraint”: “In the ultimate showdown between experts, it’s not about who knows more. It’s about who can control their own hands. What often determines long-term results isn’t how many flashy techniques you add, but how many useless actions you delete.”
The book also gives an example of practicing swordsmanship. The gist is: when ordinary people pick up a sword and wave it around randomly, it’s just a way to vent. But if you train only one move—“thrust”—and practice it 50,000 times, you become a swordsman. If you practice that same single move 500,000 times, you become a master of the sword path. Ultimate mastery is achieved through deliberate “narrowing.”
If you want to treat investing as a lifelong calling, the first step isn’t to learn complicated indicators—it’s to cut out 90% of the trades you shouldn’t be making. If you only had one year, you’d probably want to catch every impulse. But if you’re given a twenty-year cycle, you’ll surely understand: good hunters are good at waiting. So how do you get through this long waiting? You must build an ironclad entry filter, filtering out every ambiguous opportunity.
$TAIKO

Today a big increase proved your view right. Tomorrow if the market reverses, then your view is wrong again. The day after tomorrow, it flips again—and it’s right again, hahaha. So as long as the market keeps reversing, if you have a clear viewpoint, there will definitely be times when you get slapped. Don’t argue with others about it—especially in real life—because even if you “win” the argument, someone will still be unhappy. ​​​
So then it’s this: buy what will rise, sell what will fall. It’s not that if something rises more you should sell it off, or if it falls more you should buy it. That kind of approach will only end up trying to hold onto the strong and pick the weak. Don’t fall in love, and don’t spread your attention to everyone—buy the strong, not the weak. That’s what I said in the pre-market—so much to say; I was busy yesterday afternoon and didn’t get to say it. This morning I’ve added it all. ​​​
$TAIKO

Can trading be passed down through a family?

Recently, I met a senior trader.

First generation, in their 80s. A master among masters—before retirement, their position was not low. (Not a direct family member)

Second generation, in their 50s. Consistently profitable long-term (direct line). They used leverage before to reach 50 million, but they took out most of the money to build a house and rent it out, so the account they have now is only three to four million left for playing around.

Third generation, in their 30s. Consistently profitable long-term (direct line). No loans, no leverage, and they hold about 70% positions for the long term.

Fourth generation is still in kindergarten.

All of the above have a main job, and trading is a side venture.

So, can trading truly become a skill and be passed down? Just like making roujiamo and pancakes—turn it into a family secret recipe. Passed from generation to generation. $TAIKO

The funniest part is that he copied my positions and made money—that’s path dependence. He said, “Copy it again! Copy it again!” I stopped him: “This one is trash! Really trash!” He said, “It’s fine! Profit and loss are on me!!” Then he went all in with a heavy position.

Now this stock, I’m down 2,880. He’s down 5,000.
Him: $NFP

Gold price tomorrow is about to surge!
That screenshot from the last post still went up—by $18 per ounce.
Right now it’s already up to $90 per ounce!!!
So did I bottom-fish successfully yesterday～

More than 90% of global central banks plan to keep increasing their gold holdings. Below $4,000, official physical-buy orders continue to take over and absorb sell orders. Even if the dollar strengthens and interest rates remain relatively high, there won’t be an endless free-fall. If the downside potential is tightly capped, then the moment a rebound signal appears, funds will rush in to bottom-fish. $XAU

Why do so many people curse the crypto world and still keep trading it? This answer makes way too much sense. ​$NFP

Don’t have overly high expectations in July.

After all, by the end of June, 29 and 30 have already started rising in advance.

For this rebound, be highly attentive in July.

I myself am constantly watching the market.

I may take action at any time. ​​​$NFP

The calmer the market is, the more surreptitious currents are surging. The big players are waiting, while retail investors are panicking!

Before the year ends, will there be another round of new lows? How many more waves of further sell-offs are coming?

From 126,000 to 58,000—are the chances of pushing further down to the 55,000 “big deal” still far away?

At the 6-wx point, there are no shortage of people buying the dip. Will this July be any different, and will the same trap be laid?

The answer is yes! For spot-market dip buying, consider entering in batches at 55,000–48,000, keep reserves for adding positions, and for the long-term holdings—wait until the second half of 2027 for the big surprises!$NFP

This year, for big asset classes, surviving is already lucky. Don’t believe me? I’ll list three.

1. Bitcoin: 120k → 60k, down 50%+

2. Gold: over 1200 → over 800, on the road to the execution grounds—down 50%

3. Silver: 32 → 14, down 50% already—then down again at the knees; bleeding losses ​$BASED

The bear market is at its end (for the value of high-quality “old-timers” stocks), at the very limit of the pendulum’s swing, and the selling frenzy’s momentum has been spent.

Everyone talks about “the old-timers” with fear [sad][sad]

But when things reach their extreme, they reverse; when things turn bad, they become favorable.

The more suppressed it is, the more sharply the rebound will come. A new bull market is being incubated. Throw yourself into the deadliest situation and then live; put yourself into the hopeless situation and then survive.

In the next one to three years, we will see a new round of extreme conditions, and high-quality “old-timers” will blast the bull market skyward.

But most people will go bankrupt just before dawn. Grab this once-in-a-decade investment opportunity. In one to three years, it could grow by several times in a geometric progression.

Why worry about whether there’s still a -10% fluctuation in the short term? $SYN

Reserve currency of the world for the past 500 years. Basically, it is replaced once every 80–100 years. ​$ACT

Hello? Why aren’t you talking anymore?
Why isn’t it 1500 anymore? Why isn’t it buffering anymore? $BTC
$XAU
#道指收创纪录新高 #阿塞拜疆起草虚拟资产监管法案要求央行牌照

Buying out a person’s lifetime—actually, one million is enough.
With 5,000 yuan a month, assuming you start working at 18 and work until 55,
that’s 2.22 million.

But if you put one million in cash into the financial market,
over 30 years, it can also grow to 2.22 million.

So, when you truly have one million,
its biggest value is that
it allows you to never have to worry about unemployment again.

At that point, money is no longer just money.
It’s a small workforce that works for you every day.
You don’t have to quit your job right away, and you don’t need to fantasize about lying flat.
But you gain an extra layer of confidence:
If you don’t like your boss, you don’t have to kneel.
If the opportunity is bad, you don’t have to take it.
If a business is losing money, you don’t have to force yourself to hold on.

This is the greatest meaning of the first bucket of gold for ordinary people—
redeeming a small part of yourself from the “must sell your time” bargain.
$BTC
$ETH
AAVE rises 13.16% to $94.32#原油价格触及四个月低位

Comparison of China-U.S. Financial Conditions:

The market value of U.S. financial listed companies is 3.3 times that of A-share financial listed companies;
The profit of U.S. financial listed companies is 3 times that of A-share financial listed companies.

Note: The efficiency of China’s financial industry in supporting technology is much lower than that of the U.S. ​$BTC
$ETH
AAVE rose 13.16% to $94.32#原油重回70美元

Bitcoin BTC

After a period of market movement ends, there will inevitably be consolidation sideways or a rebound. If you’re considering going long on a short-term basis now, based on the current situation the upside profit potential isn’t very large, and the risk-reward ratio isn’t great. I still think it would be better to wait and choose the right moment to short after the rebound. $BTC