Analyst: If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected this month, Bitcoin may correct to $70,000
BlockBeats news, on December 14, according to Cointelegraph, several macro analysts believe that if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected on December 19, Bitcoin may further correct to the level of $70,000. Analyst AndrewBTC stated that based on historical data, every rate hike by the Bank of Japan since 2024 has been accompanied by a drop in Bitcoin prices of over 20%. For example, in March 2024, it fell approximately 23%, in July 2024, it fell approximately 26%, and in January 2025, it fell approximately 31%. If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates next week, similar downside risks may arise again.
El Salvador increased its Bitcoin holdings by 8 coins in the past 7 days, with total holdings surpassing 7500 coins
According to PANews, El Salvador has increased its Bitcoin holdings by 8 coins in the past 7 days. Currently, its Bitcoin holdings have surpassed 7500 coins, reaching 7,500.37 coins.
$1000SATS On-site position concentration 0.14 and $ORDI on-site holding medium 7.51, which is easier to control the market? Which is easier to boost? {spot}(1000SATSUSDT) {spot}(ORDIUSDT)
#量化交易 Is this market the illusionary square quantitative analysis of Liang Wenfeng? His mother eats retail investors' money every day, feeling targeted!
There was an event yesterday, trading competition for airdrops
无殇师兄
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$AT One day, the trading volume changed from 600 million to over 900. What kind of garbage coin could cause this? I ask the project team, is this interesting? Shut down the liquidity machine; now this is the trading volume, hurry up and delist it, garbage.
Sister personally oversees, dual main lines of currency + alpha in one go!
Explosive! The new regulations in the cryptocurrency world have landed! The alpha track has changed completely, and the golden window period for retail investors to profit has arrived!
Two major insider news directly detonating the market pattern:
1. New regulations for contract listings lock in the dumping dogs! Want to list a contract? First, make the alpha line look good! While the project party is dumping and cutting韭菜 in the alpha stage, they are simultaneously opening contracts to short their own operations, becoming history from now on! What does this mean? The alpha stage is filled with golden buying points for those who blindly go long, hitting the rhythm directly leads to easy wins!
2. Alpha margin strikes hard, the doomsday of liquidity contracts arrives! In the past, the alpha threshold was low, and the listing fees were easy to negotiate, making October the cash-out carnival season for liquidity contracts—listing alpha leads to dumping, teaming up with market makers, and a month of crazy cashing out between 1 to 1.5 million USD! Now, with the new regulations in place: the margin is directly raised, and it must meet the condition that FDV is not less than XXX million USD six months later to be retrieved! The difficulty and cost of cashing out have doubled, and trash projects are completely barred from entering!
Those who understand, understand! Now, all those rushing into alpha are quality projects with real stakes; the recent surge in alpha coins is solid proof! Do you still want to miss this wave of dividends? Hurry up and position yourself; the profits are right now!
We are the same, I have 300,000 ACT and I'm all in on WLD
OxZZQ
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I remember when $ACT made my first profit on currency A6, but I ended up losing half of it on this squirrel $PNUT . I really became a helpless fool; after going on CB, it never rose back to its previous high, and I even recommended my friends to buy. It’s really damn frustrating.
That is still better than always QT, QT can't just stop and go directly to QE
luck萧
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Wake up, there will be no massive liquidity injection in 2026.
The latest dot plot from the Federal Reserve has made it clear: there will be two rate cuts in 2026 and one in 2027, with normalization of interest rates not expected until 2028. This means that the long-anticipated expectation of a "massive liquidity injection" has basically fallen through, and the logic that the Federal Reserve will open the floodgates to support the market can be put aside for now.
More alarmingly, many people have misinterpreted the Federal Reserve's action of purchasing $400 billion in government bonds. This is not QE, but RMP (repurchase operations) — the purpose is not to inject liquidity into the market, but to “fill the holes” for the liquidity pressure in the banking system at the end of the year.
In simple terms, QE is about pouring water into the pool, QT is about drawing water out, while RMP is just temporarily scooping back the water that was spilled, which must be returned after use.
So, don’t get excited just because you see “purchase.” This is merely technical stabilization and definitely not a signal of a new round of easing. The real liquidity barometer will depend on whether SLR is relaxed, whether banks can expand their balance sheets, whether fiscal subsidies are provided, and whether ON RRP rules will be adjusted.
Next, focus on two key data points: First, the non-farm payrolls to be released in December (especially since the November data may be weaker due to the government shutdown); Second, the CPI for January next year — if inflation does not decline as expected after the October rate cut, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its tightening stance.
In summary: the current market environment is not optimistic; expecting a massive liquidity injection in 2026? At least based on the current path, this seems more like a wishful fantasy.
Understanding the essence of the policy is key to seeing the market direction. If you also want to know which signals to focus on next, feel free to chat at @luck萧 — we can sort out the logic together and face the real market expectations head-on.
Did you not see the Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion?
分析师舒琴
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Empty empty empty, special cat! What will happen to Bitcoin next? A comprehensive analysis of the next 3 months' trends. 20 times potential! Which coin can have a 20 times + increase in the bear market? The coin I am most optimistic about is this one! Can ZEC still be shorted? What is the shorting point? The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plan has been revealed, will there be another rate cut in January?
Empty empty empty, special cat! What will happen to Bitcoin next? A comprehensive analysis of the next 3 months' trends. 20 times potential! Which coin can have a 20 times + increase in the bear market? The coin I am most optimistic about is this one! Can ZEC still be shorted? What is the shorting point? The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plan has been revealed, will there be another rate cut in January?