初晓链Lola
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初晓链Lola
关注加密市场和Web3。X: @LolaJiang2 // A self-media author, specializes in the cryptocurrency.
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A group friend shared his experience with me in a frustrated way,
trading contracts from losing 50,000 to losing 300,000.
He originally lost 50,000 and wanted to get back to break even, so he stopped trading,
but he was急, determined to recover quickly, so he increased his leverage.
He didn’t cut losses and kept holding positions, enduring it for two months.
In the end, the market suddenly reversed—he was liquidated all at once and lost 300,000.
From a middle-class life, he now owes debts and feels crushed.
Regret. Regret. Resentment. But also helpless.
From losing 50,000 to losing 300,000,
what drove him to lose more wasn’t the market—it was the mindset of wanting to get back to even.
Many people think losses are because the market is bad,
but what truly breaks people down is just the player’s mindset.
Lose a bit and think, “I can earn it back.”
Earn it back, then think, “I can earn even more.”
Finally, the positions become heavier, the leverage keeps rising,
and the risk keeps getting bigger,
until one liquidation wipes out everything before it—
one night, everything clears to zero.
Spot trading—afraid of missing out.
Contracts—afraid of ending up at zero.
If the mainstream spot market drops, there’s still a chance to wait for the next cycle.
But with contract orders, one needle-like spike and liquidation,
or one forced liquidation, means permanently exiting—the end.
A lot of money people made in a bull market wasn’t because they avoided losses in spot,
but because in a bear market, with contracts, they paid everything back to the market.
Some contract traders think they can control themselves.
“I’ll play just once, make a little, and then leave.
Once I’m back to even, I won’t trade anymore...”
But once you truly step into contract trading,
you realize the biggest enemy isn’t the market—it’s your own emotions.
Greed, fear, resentment, luck/superstition...
These emotions keep amplifying your positions,
until risk gets out of control.
Contract trading is more like a battle against human nature than a test of technical skill.
Without a professional risk-control team, without a mature trading system,
and without the ability to watch the market 24 hours a day,
the simplest, most effective, and least likely way to lose money is to:
stay away from high leverage, and stay away from contracts.
Put your energy into researching the industry, selecting quality assets, and buying spot in batches—e.g. $BTC .
Spot rises more slowly than contracts, but at least you still hold your chips.
Investment isn’t about who can earn the fastest—it’s about who can stay alive the longest.
Slow is fast!
The people who can truly get through bull and bear markets aren’t those with the highest leverage,
but those who keep holding spot and steadily accumulate.
Place risk ahead of return,
because once you’ve lost everything, it’s really gone.
#币圈 #合约爆仓 #BTCHOLDER
trading contracts from losing 50,000 to losing 300,000.
He originally lost 50,000 and wanted to get back to break even, so he stopped trading,
but he was急, determined to recover quickly, so he increased his leverage.
He didn’t cut losses and kept holding positions, enduring it for two months.
In the end, the market suddenly reversed—he was liquidated all at once and lost 300,000.
From a middle-class life, he now owes debts and feels crushed.
Regret. Regret. Resentment. But also helpless.
From losing 50,000 to losing 300,000,
what drove him to lose more wasn’t the market—it was the mindset of wanting to get back to even.
Many people think losses are because the market is bad,
but what truly breaks people down is just the player’s mindset.
Lose a bit and think, “I can earn it back.”
Earn it back, then think, “I can earn even more.”
Finally, the positions become heavier, the leverage keeps rising,
and the risk keeps getting bigger,
until one liquidation wipes out everything before it—
one night, everything clears to zero.
Spot trading—afraid of missing out.
Contracts—afraid of ending up at zero.
If the mainstream spot market drops, there’s still a chance to wait for the next cycle.
But with contract orders, one needle-like spike and liquidation,
or one forced liquidation, means permanently exiting—the end.
A lot of money people made in a bull market wasn’t because they avoided losses in spot,
but because in a bear market, with contracts, they paid everything back to the market.
Some contract traders think they can control themselves.
“I’ll play just once, make a little, and then leave.
Once I’m back to even, I won’t trade anymore...”
But once you truly step into contract trading,
you realize the biggest enemy isn’t the market—it’s your own emotions.
Greed, fear, resentment, luck/superstition...
These emotions keep amplifying your positions,
until risk gets out of control.
Contract trading is more like a battle against human nature than a test of technical skill.
Without a professional risk-control team, without a mature trading system,
and without the ability to watch the market 24 hours a day,
the simplest, most effective, and least likely way to lose money is to:
stay away from high leverage, and stay away from contracts.
Put your energy into researching the industry, selecting quality assets, and buying spot in batches—e.g. $BTC .
Spot rises more slowly than contracts, but at least you still hold your chips.
Investment isn’t about who can earn the fastest—it’s about who can stay alive the longest.
Slow is fast!
The people who can truly get through bull and bear markets aren’t those with the highest leverage,
but those who keep holding spot and steadily accumulate.
Place risk ahead of return,
because once you’ve lost everything, it’s really gone.
#币圈 #合约爆仓 #BTCHOLDER
Today wallet TGE event,
3190 $CAP earned 100u,
I guess that’s not too bad,
too bad there weren’t enough points—I’m jealous🙈
In June I did #ALPHA , single order earns around $200,
not much, and I didn’t put in much time or cost,
so it’s basically free-roll,
in a bear market you don’t lose and you even gain some liquidity,
small amounts add up ✌️
#TGE
3190 $CAP earned 100u,
I guess that’s not too bad,
too bad there weren’t enough points—I’m jealous🙈
In June I did #ALPHA , single order earns around $200,
not much, and I didn’t put in much time or cost,
so it’s basically free-roll,
in a bear market you don’t lose and you even gain some liquidity,
small amounts add up ✌️
#TGE
Today the Fear Index dropped to 12; the historical low was only 5.
$BTC fell to 58k.
A Fear Index of 12 is an extreme level of fear.
The historical low Fear Index is 5. In late August 2019,
when BTC broke below $10,000,
the market went through a prolonged bear market, and investors’ sentiment turned extremely pessimistic.
Every drop has different reasons, but the market sentiment is consistent:
when it rises, everyone believes BTC can still set new highs;
when it falls, people think BTC will be cut in half.
The market keeps cycling between greed and fear.
A low fear index doesn’t mean the bottom is in immediately, nor does it mean it’s the best time to buy the dip.
In history, there have been times when the Fear Index was already very low,
yet the price continued to drop another 20%, 30%, or even more.
Sentiment indicators can only tell you the market is pessimistic,
but they can’t tell you where the absolute low is.
If you see the index drop to 10 and deploy all your funds at once,
if the market keeps falling, you’re very likely to panic-sell and exit at an even lower level due to psychological pressure.
For players with limited capital,
rather than trying to predict the bottom,
it’s more important to refine your execution strategy.
Don’t guess the lowest point—no one can accurately predict the bottom.
Instead of waiting for the “final flush,”
accept the reality that nobody can buy at the exact bottom.
Winners aren’t defined by whether they bought at the lows,
but by whether they have the ability to hold through to the next upcycle.
When the market is panicking, build your position in batches.
Split the planned investment amount into multiple portions, and enter gradually.
When panic continues, increase your position step by step.
Even if there are further declines later, you’ll still have funds to respond.
A bear market isn’t for obsessing over the candlestick charts.
Use it to learn and improve your understanding.
Study the long-term value of core assets like BTC, $ETH , etc.
Focus on projects that truly have products, generate revenue, and have an ecosystem.
The money you make in a bull market is the realization of knowledge accumulated during the bear market.
When fear hits, it’s easiest to give up—and it’s also easiest to accumulate coins.
Market sentiment will always cycle.
Extreme fear doesn’t last forever, and extreme greed won’t stay forever either.
In a bear market, you earn by accumulating.
This is precisely the time to increase your holdings.
What truly determines future returns isn’t buying at the lowest point,
but how much BTC you can hold.
When the market is in extreme fear, look at your own emotions.
You may also worry that fear will crush your confidence.
Stay steady—carry a bit of uncertainty, trust the outcome of the cycle, and remember that opportunities can exist even in risk.
#币圈 #恐惧与贪婪指数
$BTC fell to 58k.
A Fear Index of 12 is an extreme level of fear.
The historical low Fear Index is 5. In late August 2019,
when BTC broke below $10,000,
the market went through a prolonged bear market, and investors’ sentiment turned extremely pessimistic.
Every drop has different reasons, but the market sentiment is consistent:
when it rises, everyone believes BTC can still set new highs;
when it falls, people think BTC will be cut in half.
The market keeps cycling between greed and fear.
A low fear index doesn’t mean the bottom is in immediately, nor does it mean it’s the best time to buy the dip.
In history, there have been times when the Fear Index was already very low,
yet the price continued to drop another 20%, 30%, or even more.
Sentiment indicators can only tell you the market is pessimistic,
but they can’t tell you where the absolute low is.
If you see the index drop to 10 and deploy all your funds at once,
if the market keeps falling, you’re very likely to panic-sell and exit at an even lower level due to psychological pressure.
For players with limited capital,
rather than trying to predict the bottom,
it’s more important to refine your execution strategy.
Don’t guess the lowest point—no one can accurately predict the bottom.
Instead of waiting for the “final flush,”
accept the reality that nobody can buy at the exact bottom.
Winners aren’t defined by whether they bought at the lows,
but by whether they have the ability to hold through to the next upcycle.
When the market is panicking, build your position in batches.
Split the planned investment amount into multiple portions, and enter gradually.
When panic continues, increase your position step by step.
Even if there are further declines later, you’ll still have funds to respond.
A bear market isn’t for obsessing over the candlestick charts.
Use it to learn and improve your understanding.
Study the long-term value of core assets like BTC, $ETH , etc.
Focus on projects that truly have products, generate revenue, and have an ecosystem.
The money you make in a bull market is the realization of knowledge accumulated during the bear market.
When fear hits, it’s easiest to give up—and it’s also easiest to accumulate coins.
Market sentiment will always cycle.
Extreme fear doesn’t last forever, and extreme greed won’t stay forever either.
In a bear market, you earn by accumulating.
This is precisely the time to increase your holdings.
What truly determines future returns isn’t buying at the lowest point,
but how much BTC you can hold.
When the market is in extreme fear, look at your own emotions.
You may also worry that fear will crush your confidence.
Stay steady—carry a bit of uncertainty, trust the outcome of the cycle, and remember that opportunities can exist even in risk.
#币圈 #恐惧与贪婪指数
Today the Fear & Greed Index is 12, which falls into the extreme fear category.
Looking back at the trend of the crypto Fear Index: the lowest was 5.
At the end of August 2019, the Fear Index was 5.
Back then, <$BTC > broke below $10,000.
The market went through a long bear market, and investor sentiment was extremely pessimistic.
In March 2020, the Fear Index was 8.
At the time, the global pandemic broke out, the 312 liquidity crisis occurred, and BTC fell to about $3,800 at its lowest.
In May 2022, the Fear Index was 8.
Back then, <#Terra /LUNA> collapsed, UST de-pegged, triggering a domino effect across the entire crypto market.
In the second half of 2022, the Fear Index fluctuated between 10 and 12.
Celsius, Three Arrows, FTX, and others collapsed one after another, and the crypto market continued to roil.
Today the index has dropped back to 12 again—are you ready? 🙈
#恐惧指数 #btc暴跌
Looking back at the trend of the crypto Fear Index: the lowest was 5.
At the end of August 2019, the Fear Index was 5.
Back then, <$BTC > broke below $10,000.
The market went through a long bear market, and investor sentiment was extremely pessimistic.
In March 2020, the Fear Index was 8.
At the time, the global pandemic broke out, the 312 liquidity crisis occurred, and BTC fell to about $3,800 at its lowest.
In May 2022, the Fear Index was 8.
Back then, <#Terra /LUNA> collapsed, UST de-pegged, triggering a domino effect across the entire crypto market.
In the second half of 2022, the Fear Index fluctuated between 10 and 12.
Celsius, Three Arrows, FTX, and others collapsed one after another, and the crypto market continued to roil.
Today the index has dropped back to 12 again—are you ready? 🙈
#恐惧指数 #btc暴跌
$BTC continues to fall below 59k,
falling for 2 days in a row—panic sentiment is gradually rising.
The current fear index is 12, which is an extreme fear state.
In the last 24 hours, globally there were 141,528 people liquidated,
the total liquidation amount was $994 million.
The largest single liquidation order value was $38.0525 million.
#恐慌贪婪指数
falling for 2 days in a row—panic sentiment is gradually rising.
The current fear index is 12, which is an extreme fear state.
In the last 24 hours, globally there were 141,528 people liquidated,
the total liquidation amount was $994 million.
The largest single liquidation order value was $38.0525 million.
#恐慌贪婪指数
$BTC has broken below 60,000;
ahr999 coin-piling index has already fallen below 0.3.
This is a suitable time for DCA and coin-piling.
In the coming months, the pace and magnitude of the downturn will likely accelerate,
wearing down most people’s patience and confidence.
When speaking about coins becomes taboo,
that is when the market is most desperate.
I don’t know what the situation will be like then...
#BTC走势分析 #ahr999 coin hoarding indicator
ahr999 coin-piling index has already fallen below 0.3.
This is a suitable time for DCA and coin-piling.
In the coming months, the pace and magnitude of the downturn will likely accelerate,
wearing down most people’s patience and confidence.
When speaking about coins becomes taboo,
that is when the market is most desperate.
I don’t know what the situation will be like then...
#BTC走势分析 #ahr999 coin hoarding indicator
Partly True
This will crash hard $BTC ,
Is MicroStrategy selling 2,000 BTC?
Oh no, this is going to trigger a chain reaction, isn’t it? 🙈
#微策略卖出btc
Is MicroStrategy selling 2,000 BTC?
Oh no, this is going to trigger a chain reaction, isn’t it? 🙈
#微策略卖出btc
$BTC fell below 59,000
In this past hour, BTC liquidations totaled over $60 million
#BTC fell below $59,000
In this past hour, BTC liquidations totaled over $60 million
#BTC fell below $59,000
Looking at the 8marketcap asset market cap leaderboard,
$BTC has a market cap of $1.219 trillion,
#tencent Tencent is valued at $495.78 billion;
CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd.) is at $270.1 billion,
Alibaba stands at $239.58 billion,
and the big four banks are all in the top 10 domestically.
In terms of market cap,
Bitcoin is indeed more than double Tencent's, and five times Alibaba's.
If you missed out on early investments in Tencent and Alibaba,
jumping into #BTC now could still be a viable play, right? 😀
$BTC has a market cap of $1.219 trillion,
#tencent Tencent is valued at $495.78 billion;
CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd.) is at $270.1 billion,
Alibaba stands at $239.58 billion,
and the big four banks are all in the top 10 domestically.
In terms of market cap,
Bitcoin is indeed more than double Tencent's, and five times Alibaba's.
If you missed out on early investments in Tencent and Alibaba,
jumping into #BTC now could still be a viable play, right? 😀
It's brutal, $BTC has dropped below $60k again🙈
In the past 24 hours,
170,000 traders got liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $989 million,
the largest single liquidation was worth $12.214 million,
your spot wallet just took a hit, is your position still holding up?😂
#比特币跌破彩虹图下限
In the past 24 hours,
170,000 traders got liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $989 million,
the largest single liquidation was worth $12.214 million,
your spot wallet just took a hit, is your position still holding up?😂
#比特币跌破彩虹图下限
A friend I haven't talked to in a while asked me,
$BTC has dropped quite a bit, is it a buy now?
I didn't respond immediately; I don't want to be the one who pulls him into the game.
If BTC pumps to $200K in the future,
he’ll feel like he made the right call;
if BTC crashes to $30K, he might blame me,
after all, the crypto market is super volatile,
price swings aren't determined by individual will, losing money is the norm.
Many newbies only see how much others are making,
but they don't realize how many times those folks have faced a 50% haircut.
They see BTC go from hundreds to tens of thousands,
see some folks achieve financial freedom from a meme coin or #撸空投 ,
but that’s just a handful of stories.
They overlook that BTC has also dropped by over 80%,
countless star projects have gone to zero,
many make profits in a bull market only to lose it all in a bear.
Opportunity and risk have always been two sides of the same coin.
New players often lack awareness;
they buy BTC but think the gains are too slow,
so they start chasing altcoins, FOMOing into hype, buying high, selling low, and end up losing their bags.
The crypto market trades 24/7,
with price swings far exceeding traditional finance.
Those who haven’t lived through bull and bear markets
find it hard to grasp that you can see a 20% move in a single day.
Many newbies mistake these swings for the end of the world,
selling on dips and chasing pumps, only to end up wiped out.
If you really want to get into the crypto market,
don't rush to make money; first, elevate your understanding,
because you can only earn within the limits of your knowledge.
Things you don’t understand are likely not going to bring you wealth.
Not making money at first is normal; you have to tough it out through the initial phase.
Don’t go in heavy right off the bat; start with a small amount,
there are plenty of opportunities in the market.
If you miss this hype, there will be another one.
But if you lose your principal, that’s game over.
Use spare cash to participate; even if you lose it all, it won't affect your livelihood.
Don’t fantasize about getting rich overnight;
for most people,
BTC remains one of the lowest-risk entry points into crypto.
Be a long-term thinker;
BTC won’t let down anyone #BTCHOLDER .
The market is full of noise;
today someone is calling for $100K, tomorrow someone says $30K.
The key is whether you believe in BTC’s future value.
Investing isn’t a quick win, it’s not a one-and-done deal,
and it comes with significant risk.
Investing is a long, ongoing process,
and you need to have patience and time to grow your wealth.
#币圈
$BTC has dropped quite a bit, is it a buy now?
I didn't respond immediately; I don't want to be the one who pulls him into the game.
If BTC pumps to $200K in the future,
he’ll feel like he made the right call;
if BTC crashes to $30K, he might blame me,
after all, the crypto market is super volatile,
price swings aren't determined by individual will, losing money is the norm.
Many newbies only see how much others are making,
but they don't realize how many times those folks have faced a 50% haircut.
They see BTC go from hundreds to tens of thousands,
see some folks achieve financial freedom from a meme coin or #撸空投 ,
but that’s just a handful of stories.
They overlook that BTC has also dropped by over 80%,
countless star projects have gone to zero,
many make profits in a bull market only to lose it all in a bear.
Opportunity and risk have always been two sides of the same coin.
New players often lack awareness;
they buy BTC but think the gains are too slow,
so they start chasing altcoins, FOMOing into hype, buying high, selling low, and end up losing their bags.
The crypto market trades 24/7,
with price swings far exceeding traditional finance.
Those who haven’t lived through bull and bear markets
find it hard to grasp that you can see a 20% move in a single day.
Many newbies mistake these swings for the end of the world,
selling on dips and chasing pumps, only to end up wiped out.
If you really want to get into the crypto market,
don't rush to make money; first, elevate your understanding,
because you can only earn within the limits of your knowledge.
Things you don’t understand are likely not going to bring you wealth.
Not making money at first is normal; you have to tough it out through the initial phase.
Don’t go in heavy right off the bat; start with a small amount,
there are plenty of opportunities in the market.
If you miss this hype, there will be another one.
But if you lose your principal, that’s game over.
Use spare cash to participate; even if you lose it all, it won't affect your livelihood.
Don’t fantasize about getting rich overnight;
for most people,
BTC remains one of the lowest-risk entry points into crypto.
Be a long-term thinker;
BTC won’t let down anyone #BTCHOLDER .
The market is full of noise;
today someone is calling for $100K, tomorrow someone says $30K.
The key is whether you believe in BTC’s future value.
Investing isn’t a quick win, it’s not a one-and-done deal,
and it comes with significant risk.
Investing is a long, ongoing process,
and you need to have patience and time to grow your wealth.
#币圈
8 PM, 200 alpha points, can claim 160 $NES
Another day of fair distribution for #ALPHA 😀
Only about 100k folks have been grinding alpha these past two days,
Today there are 63k shares, almost everyone should be able to claim, right?
Just not sure if it’s bullish or bearish after launch,
Should I short or hold off on selling, considering I’ve already missed a few pumps lately,
Is anyone grinding the interaction with #Nesa ,
How much airdrop did you snag on-chain?
Another day of fair distribution for #ALPHA 😀
Only about 100k folks have been grinding alpha these past two days,
Today there are 63k shares, almost everyone should be able to claim, right?
Just not sure if it’s bullish or bearish after launch,
Should I short or hold off on selling, considering I’ve already missed a few pumps lately,
Is anyone grinding the interaction with #Nesa ,
How much airdrop did you snag on-chain?
The price is only 0.08 for $ARB now,
down 96% from the high of 2.4,
from the on-chain data, #Arbitrium is still pretty solid,
with daily active users and defi TVL data in the top 10,
there's an ecosystem and users, but the token lacks momentum to pump,
back in the day, #ARB was one of the most powerful airdrop projects,
everyone got a piece, I casually interacted and snagged over 600 ARB,
and the more you put in, the more you get—some folks made six figures from a single project,
many are grateful for the ARB airdrop,
but those holding ARB now must be feeling stressed 😂
down 96% from the high of 2.4,
from the on-chain data, #Arbitrium is still pretty solid,
with daily active users and defi TVL data in the top 10,
there's an ecosystem and users, but the token lacks momentum to pump,
back in the day, #ARB was one of the most powerful airdrop projects,
everyone got a piece, I casually interacted and snagged over 600 ARB,
and the more you put in, the more you get—some folks made six figures from a single project,
many are grateful for the ARB airdrop,
but those holding ARB now must be feeling stressed 😂
Check $BTC
Against the market cap of domestic tech and consumer giants,
BTC is more than double Tencent's,
more than quadruple Alibaba's,
more than five times Moutai's,
12 times JD's,
16 times Xiaomi's,
This makes the market cap concept of Bitcoin much clearer.
After all, #BTC is just a digital asset 😎
#加密市场
Against the market cap of domestic tech and consumer giants,
BTC is more than double Tencent's,
more than quadruple Alibaba's,
more than five times Moutai's,
12 times JD's,
16 times Xiaomi's,
This makes the market cap concept of Bitcoin much clearer.
After all, #BTC is just a digital asset 😎
#加密市场
Can't help but fomo and jump into the hype,
200 cost basis, $SPCXB , no clue where it's gonna dip to,
Once again, I'm paying the price for fomoing in,
Gotta control my hands next time 🙈
Guess I'm just adding my bricks to the Mars mission.
Is this time #SpaceX running low on funds again,
Using money from stocks and crypto to keep launching rockets,
After a dip, it should bounce back, right?
200 cost basis, $SPCXB , no clue where it's gonna dip to,
Once again, I'm paying the price for fomoing in,
Gotta control my hands next time 🙈
Guess I'm just adding my bricks to the Mars mission.
Is this time #SpaceX running low on funds again,
Using money from stocks and crypto to keep launching rockets,
After a dip, it should bounce back, right?
Getting into the game late, I missed the glory of $ADA , ICP, and BCH.
All I saw was $FIL tanking from over 200 down to 0.8.
Even if it was once a top-tier project,
it can still be crushed by market forces, heading straight to zero.
#ADA was once ranked third by market cap, now it’s down to 16,
not many are paying attention anymore, old coins are out of the spotlight.
Choosing the right assets is crucial; pick the wrong one and both your time and capital can go to zero.
If you can’t sift through the myriad of projects to find the one with the most potential,
you might as well go with $BTC and just be a #BTCHOLDER .
At least you’ll likely outperform most crypto tokens without risking total loss.
All I saw was $FIL tanking from over 200 down to 0.8.
Even if it was once a top-tier project,
it can still be crushed by market forces, heading straight to zero.
#ADA was once ranked third by market cap, now it’s down to 16,
not many are paying attention anymore, old coins are out of the spotlight.
Choosing the right assets is crucial; pick the wrong one and both your time and capital can go to zero.
If you can’t sift through the myriad of projects to find the one with the most potential,
you might as well go with $BTC and just be a #BTCHOLDER .
At least you’ll likely outperform most crypto tokens without risking total loss.
This is from OG trader Nangong Yuan,
The price trend forecast script for the next 10 years $BTC ,
Not sure how accurate it is?
We can only do part of the work, the rest is up to time,
Buy into what you believe in, it's either a win or a loss,
In the crypto market, making a #BTCHOLDER
Is the toughest yet simplest thing to do.
The price trend forecast script for the next 10 years $BTC ,
Not sure how accurate it is?
We can only do part of the work, the rest is up to time,
Buy into what you believe in, it's either a win or a loss,
In the crypto market, making a #BTCHOLDER
Is the toughest yet simplest thing to do.
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