陌路英雄

Data Analysis:
From the current liquidation map, Bitcoin bulls have a slight advantage, while Ethereum is dominated by bears and is relatively dense.
The current price of Bitcoin is $116,600. If it rises to $118,600, approximately $1.33 billion in short positions is expected to be liquidated. If it falls to $114,600, approximately $960 million in long positions is expected to be liquidated.

The current price of Ethereum is $4,511. If it rises to $4,611, approximately $1.32 billion in short positions is expected to be liquidated. If it falls to $4,411, approximately $820 million in long positions is expected to be liquidated.

Greed & Fear Index:
Neutral (54)
Altcoin Season Index:
78

ETF Fund Flow (Yesterday)
BTC Spot ETF: Net inflow of $83.10 million
ETH Spot ETF: Net outflow of $41.40 million
SOL Spot ETF: Net inflow of $10 million

Market View:
Market Direction: Bullish, waiting for a trend change. Currently, looking at the daily chart of the market, it has reached the upper boundary of the range. Focus on whether the market can effectively break through $117,000; if it breaks through, a new market trend will emerge, otherwise, it will continue to fluctuate. Personally, I believe that as the interest rate decision approaches, market volatility will increase, so trading needs to be cautious. At the same time, Ethereum has been correcting for several days, so attention needs to be paid to whether it can build a bottom and consolidate. As for most other altcoins, they will need to wait for the market direction to be confirmed before continuing to rebound.

Daily Analysis:
BTC short-term focus on the lower side around $114,500, upper short-term focus around $118,500.
ETH short-term focus on the lower side around $4,400, upper short-term focus around $4,600.
SOL short-term focus on the lower side around $231, upper short-term focus around $241.

Contract Strategy:
BTC buy near $115,500 on the dip or buy on the low.
Take profit at $116,500, $117,500, $118,500, stop loss at $114,000.

ETH buy near $4,420 on the dip or buy on the low.
Take profit at $4,480, $4,530, $4,580, stop loss at $4,360.
Conversely, sell near $4,570 on the rise or sell on the high.
Take profit at $4,500, $4,450, $4,400, stop loss at $4,630.

SOL buy near $232 on the dip or buy on the low.
Take profit at $235, $238, $241, stop loss at $229.
Conversely, sell near $240 on the rise or sell on the high.
Take profit at $236, $233, $231, stop loss at $243.

Friendly Reminder: Do not be greedy, secure your profits, it’s better to take a small loss than to hold a losing position! If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

The market has followed the decline of the US stock market and has also pulled back. From the current market trend, it is still in a narrow range of fluctuations during the day, with overall volatility being small. Ethereum and most altcoins are also not optimistic. The market has once again entered a state of extreme panic. It is worth noting that the daily level of the market has been continuously declining over the past few days, and the rebound has been limited. If it falls again, it is likely to break through the weekly level trend.

With the liquidation of long positions last night, the overall market currently sees BTC, ETH, and SOL primarily in bearish conditions. The dynamics of institutional funds for the spot ETF are: BTC net outflow of $313 million, ETH net outflow of $727 billion, and SOL net inflow of $398 billion. This is enough to show that institutions have insufficient confidence in the short term, leading to capital outflow to avoid risks. However, SOL has consistently seen net inflows from institutions, indicating that they remain relatively optimistic and should be monitored more closely.

Currently, the overall market volatility range is between 83500-88000, the volatility range for ETH is between 2800-3050, and for SOL it is between 121-130. Overall, it is biased downwards, suitable for short-term and wave trading at highs. Additionally, pay attention to the release of the US non-farm payroll data tonight.

Today's contract strategy:
BTC: Short at 86500 or enter at highs, increase position at 88500, take profit in batches at 84000.

ETH: Short at 3000 or enter at highs, increase position at 3100, take profit in batches at 2850.

SOL: Short at 128 or enter at highs, increase position at 132, take profit in batches at 122.

Friendly reminder:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set according to personal actual liquidation price and personal risk tolerance.
2. Do not be greedy; secure your profits. It is better to have small losses than to resist a losing position. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Good morning everyone, a new week brings new beginnings~

From the current market trend, it is evident that the market is still in a downward fluctuation with no strength to rebound, remaining in a relatively weak and gloomy state. Meanwhile, the current liquidation map shows that BTC, ETH, SOL, etc., are primarily bearish and quite dense. Therefore, I personally believe that the overall market will continue its downward trend.

Looking at the weekly level, it can be seen that the overall market has mainly been in a sideways fluctuation over the past few weeks. Without absolutely sufficient news to influence the market trend, it is still difficult for the market to break out of the weekly sideways trend, especially as the end of the month approaches, which is likely to be even harder. Foreigners are basically entering the New Year mode, and the market will only become colder and more sluggish. This week, we will focus on the US CPI and the Bank of Japan's news.

At this moment, the market is slightly rebounding, but I personally believe the rebound strength is relatively weak, more suitable for short-term fluctuations. Today's market trend is slightly weak, with a short-term fluctuation range of 86000-90500. ETH is still in a box fluctuation based on the daily and 4H trends, which is relatively strong, with a short-term fluctuation range of 3000-3180. SOL's trend is relatively average, similar to the market, so the overall short-term fluctuation range is around 126-134.

Short-term contract trading strategy:
Short BTC at 90000 or enter on the rise, add at 92500, take profit in batches at 87500.
Conversely, go long at 87000 or enter on the dip, add at 85000, take profit in batches at 89500.

Short ETH at 3150 or enter on the rise, add at 3250, take profit in batches at 3000.
Conversely, go long at 3050 or enter on the dip, add at 2950, take profit in batches at 3150.

Go long SOL at 129 or enter on the dip, add at 126, take profit in batches at 133.
Conversely, short at 133 or enter on the rise, add at 136, take profit in batches at 129.

Friendly reminder:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set according to personal actual liquidation price and the capital loss that one can bear.
2. Do not be greedy, securing profits is safer; it’s better to incur a small loss than to hold a losing position. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Time flies, it's already Friday

Looking at the overall market trend, it still needs to be primarily driven by fluctuations. However, there are still back-and-forth spikes for liquidating both long and short positions. Personally, I believe that this will continue to be a repeated liquidation; we haven’t truly reached a turning point yet. The current liquidation map shows that BTC, ETH, SOL, etc., are all indicating bullish trends, but the intensity is average, suggesting that there is a risk of liquidation for both long and short positions. Right now, it’s more about waiting to observe a real market shift.

As for the spot ETF institutional capital shows:
BTC net outflow of $154 million,
ETH net outflow of $42.3 million,
SOL net inflow of $11 million.

This indicates that SOL is still favored by institutions and is actively being positioned, while BTC and ETH are viewed with caution by institutions in the short term, and they are also rebalancing their asset allocations.

From the current overall market trend, during the day it is still mostly in a state of small fluctuations. We still need to wait for the US stock market to open in the evening for volatility to increase, thus it is more suitable for short-term or swing trading. The short-term BTC range is fluctuating between 90000-94000; ETH range is fluctuating between 3150-3320; SOL range is fluctuating between 132-141.

Short-term contract trading strategy:
Short BTC at 93500 or enter at a high, add positions at 95000, take profit in batches at 91000.
Conversely, go long at 90000 or enter at a low, add positions at 88500, take profit in batches at 93000.

Short ETH at 3300 or enter at a high, add positions at 3400, take profit in batches at 3150.
Conversely, go long at 3180 or enter at a low, add positions at 3080, take profit in batches at 3300.

Go long SOL at 136 or enter at a low, add positions at 130, take profit in batches at 140.
Conversely, short at 140 or enter at a high, add positions at 144, take profit in batches at 135.

Friendly reminder:
1. The stop-loss suggestion should be set based on personal actual liquidation price and the amount of loss one can bear.
2. Don't be greedy, securing profits is safer. It's better to take a small loss than to hold against a losing position. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Let's get to the conclusion first: the market outlook is bearish.

The Fed's rate cut of 25 basis points aligns with market expectations, especially as Powell's speech still revolves around the inflation outlook with upward risks, while employment presents downward risks. The overall economic outlook remains within a reasonable and controllable range, and we need to continue waiting for further observations. The expression is rather conventional, and the market needs to further observe the subsequent inflation and employment data. Therefore, the next rate decision may likely maintain the current status.

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Personally, I believe the impact of this speech can only be described as mediocre, thus the market shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. Meanwhile, the current positive news is also about to end, leading to risks of negative impacts after positive news is realized.

From the liquidation map, it shows that BTC, ETH, and SOL are all predominantly bearish and densely packed, indicating that the market generally expects a decline. However, in ETF spot institutional funds, there has been a net inflow of: $36.8 million, $1.1 million, and $4.9 million. Although it is a net inflow, the overall trading volume is still relatively low, indicating that institutions remain cautious in the short term.

Currently, the market is still in a downtrend, with Ethereum and most altcoins again following the market correction, and the rebound strength is limited. Therefore, we need to pay attention to where the market will stop falling. The short-term range for BTC is between 88000-92000, for ETH is between 3120-3320, and for SOL is between 126-135.

Short-term contract trading strategies:
BTC short at 91500 or enter on the rise, increase positions at 93000, take profit in batches at 98500.

ETH short at 3300 or enter on the rise, increase positions at 3400, take profit in batches at 3150.

SOL long at 134 or enter on the rise, increase positions at 140, take profit in batches at 128.

Friendly reminder:
1. Stop-loss recommendations should be set according to personal actual liquidation price and the principal loss that one can bear.
2. Don't be greedy; securing profits is better. It’s better to take a small loss than to resist a position. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美联储降息 #BTC #ETH #solana

Let's first state the conclusion: the market is bullish.

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Last night, the market quickly surged from around 90,000 to around 95,000, with Ethereum and most altcoins following suit with a rapid rebound, igniting market enthusiasm while also liquidating some short positions. As for why the market was able to rebound quickly, I also looked at last night's U.S. stock market performance, which was mostly sideways, and I reviewed last night's news and have not yet found any news that could impact the market trend. Therefore, I believe it is more influenced by the upcoming interest rate decision and Powell's speech, or possibly unannounced news.

Tonight, the latter half of the night will be what we focus on the most, especially the content of Powell's speech. At that time, the market will also be quite volatile and may even impact the U.S. stock market. Be cautious of risks and it is recommended to wait until Powell finishes speaking before trading.

Currently, the ETF spot fund dynamics are as follows: BTC net inflow of $287 million, ETH net inflow of $142 million, SOL net inflow of $16.6 million. From the trading volume of institutional funds, it can be seen that the short-term outlook is relatively optimistic, as well as the short-term bullish sentiment.

In the current liquidation map, we can see that BTC, ETH, and SOL have a relatively higher concentration of long positions, indicating that the market is mainly bullish. However, it should be noted that we have entered a liquidation risk zone for long positions, as it is evident from the recent price movements that there have been repeated liquidations of both long and short positions. Be cautious of a rapid decline that could liquidate some long positions before a rebound.

With the interest rate decision and Powell's speech approaching, the overall market movement during the day is relatively stable, while volatility will increase in the evening. The strategy given is more about short-term trading strategies during the day.

BTC short-term volatility range 90,000-93,000
ETH is relatively stronger, short-term volatility range 3,200-3,400
SOL short-term volatility range 133-141

Short-term contract trading strategy:
Go long on BTC at 91,500 or buy on dips, increase position at 90,000, and take profits in batches at 93,500.

Go long on ETH at 3,280 or buy on dips, increase position at 3,200, and take profits in batches at 3,380.

Go long on SOL at 136 or buy on dips, increase position at 133, and take profits in batches at 141.

Friendly reminder:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set according to your actual liquidation price and the amount of loss you can bear.
2. Don't be greedy; it's better to take a small loss than to resist a position. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Let's start with the conclusion: the market is mainly consolidating.

The current clearing map shows that BTC and ETH are relatively balanced and dense in their long and short positions, indicating that the market is in a wait-and-see mode, lacking a clear direction in the short term. It is important to note that if the market experiences fluctuations, it may trigger large-scale liquidations, so attention should be paid to the market trends.

On the other hand, SOL is dominated by bears and is dense, which means that the short-term market sentiment is bearish. If there is a rapid decline again, the remaining bulls may be easily liquidated, potentially leading to a rapid rebound that risks liquidating the bears.

From the dynamics of ETF spot funds, BTC has a net outflow of $8,920,000 in a single day, while ETH still maintains a net inflow of $1,180,000, and SOL has a net inflow of $1,200,000. Overall, institutional trading volume is still not very high, indicating that institutions are cautious about the overall market sentiment in the short term, leaning more towards a wait-and-see approach.

Therefore, we can see that the current market is still mainly in a sideways consolidation at the daily level, and is more affected by the sideways movement of the US stock market last night, with overall fluctuations being quite average. Personally, I believe that the market will continue to oscillate around 90,000 in the short term, with more attention on the interest rate decision and Powell's speech on Thursday.

Thus, the short-term fluctuations are as follows:
BTC short-term range fluctuation is between 88,000-92,000
ETH short-term range fluctuation is between 3,000-3,200
SOL short-term range fluctuation is between 127-138

Short-term contract trading strategy:
BTC go long at 88,500 or enter at a dip, add position at 86,000, take partial profits at 91,500
Conversely, go short at 91,000 or enter at a peak, add position at 93,000, take partial profits at 88,500

ETH go long at 3,080 or enter at a dip, add position at 3,000, take partial profits at 3,150
Conversely, go short at 3,150 or enter at a peak, add position at 3,230, take partial profits at 3,070

SOL go long at 132 or enter at a dip, add position at 127, take partial profits at 136
Conversely, go short at 135 or enter at a peak, add position at 140, take partial profits at 130

Friendly reminder:
1. The stop-loss suggestion can be set according to personal actual liquidation price and the amount of loss one can bear.
2. Don't be greedy, take profits safely, it's better to take a small loss than to hold on. If the direction is correct, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Good morning everyone, a new week brings a new beginning~

First, let's take a look at the recent market trends. Overall, the market is still in a downward trend and has not effectively broken through, especially after last night when the market fell below 90K, liquidating a wave of longs, causing the market to shift from panic to extreme panic again. Therefore, this week we still need to focus on where the market will find support.

The most important news this week is the interest rate decision and Powell's speech that we mentioned last week, especially whether the speech will mention when to start ending the balance sheet reduction.

From the weekly chart, last week’s weekly candle formed a doji, which indicates that the market is in a wait-and-see mode for the news coming this Thursday. Personally, I believe that before the news is announced, the overall market will mainly be in a daily level consolidation, in other words, fluctuating around the 90K range. As for altcoins, there’s no need to say much, most altcoins follow the market trend.

Currently, the liquidation map shows BTC, ETH, and SOL are relatively balanced in terms of long and short positions and the intensity is average.

Last week (12.1-12.5) spot ETF fund dynamics interpretation:
BTC: net outflow of 0.881 million USD
ETF: net outflow of 0.656 million USD
SOL: net inflow of 0.192 million USD
This indicates that institutions remain cautious and wait-and-see for BTC and ETH, while institutions are continuously increasing their buying of SOL, although overall it is not bullish, it shows that institutions value SOL.

Now let’s talk about today’s market trends, the overall market is still mainly in daily level consolidation, with the overall fluctuation range at 88500-92500, ETH's fluctuation range at 2980-3180, and SOL's fluctuation range at 128-137. Therefore, it is more suitable to focus on short-term trading opportunities.

Short-term contract trading strategy:
BTC long at 90000 or buy on dips, increase position at 88500, take profit in batches at 93500.
Conversely, short at 92000 or sell on peaks, increase position at 93500, take profit in batches at 90000.

ETH long at 3060 or buy on dips, increase position at 2960, take profit in batches at 3160.
Conversely, short at 3150 or sell on peaks, increase position at 3250, take profit in batches at 3050.

SOL long at 131 or buy on dips, increase position at 126, take profit in batches at 136.
Conversely, short at 135 or sell on peaks, increase position at 140, take profit in batches at 130.

Friendly reminder:
1. Set stop-loss based on your actual liquidation price and how much loss you can tolerate.
2. Don’t be greedy; take profits securely, it’s better to take small losses than to hold onto a losing position.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Time flies, and it's Friday again. The week is about to come to an end.

We can see that the US stock market has been in a sideways consolidation for the past few days, with overall fluctuations being quite average. This has led to the daily chart of the index remaining in a state of fluctuation, unable to effectively break through the vicinity of 95000 and enter a downward trend. The current market is mainly in a wait-and-see mode, still not having emerged from the panic sentiment.

Currently, the ETF spot funds for BTC, ETH, and OL are as follows: net outflow of 81.6 million USD, net outflow of 69.9 million USD, net inflow of 4.2 million USD. The overall trading volume is not large and remains relatively cautious, while the liquidation map is dominated by short positions, so it’s important to pay attention to tonight’s US stock market trends and the risk of another spike.

If the US stock market fails to effectively change the trend tonight, I personally believe that the index will not continue its overall sideways consolidation on Saturday and will only see a change next week.

This situation is merely the market waiting for next week's interest rate decision, particularly the content of Powell's speech, whether there will be a halt to the balance sheet reduction. If there is a halt, it would be good news for the entire cryptocurrency sector and even the financial market.

Therefore, today's market trends are as follows:
BTC fluctuation range: 90000-94000,
ETH fluctuation range: 3050-3250,
SOL fluctuation range: 135-144,

Especially during the day, the overall fluctuations won’t be much. For short-term contract trading strategies:
BTC long at 91800 or enter on dips, increase position at 90000, take profits in batches at 93500.
Conversely, short at 93500 or enter on highs, increase position at 95000, take profits in batches at 91500.

ETH long at 3100 or enter on dips, increase position at 3000, take profits in batches at 3200.
Conversely, short at 3200 or enter on highs, increase position at 3300, take profits in batches at 3100.

SOL long at 137 or enter on dips, increase position at 133, take profits in batches at 142.
Conversely, short at 143 or enter on highs, increase position at 146, take profits in batches at 135.

Friendly reminder:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set according to personal actual liquidation price and the amount of loss one can bear.
2. Don't be greedy; it's safer to secure profits. It’s better to take a small loss than to hold on. If the direction is right, continue to hold.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

Let's start with the conclusion: the market is fluctuating upwards. Looking at the U.S. stock market's daily performance last night, it was mainly sideways, with overall fluctuations being quite mild. From the 1H and 4H trends, we can see that the market is also fluctuating sideways, so we need to continue monitoring the market for another change in trend, especially whether the market can effectively break and stabilize around 95000, as breaking the downward trend and entering a new market condition is the key point of interest for everyone. Therefore, there is still an opportunity for the market to rise again in the short term.

What I want to emphasize here is Ethereum. If you have been following Ethereum's upgrade news, it successfully upgraded around 5 AM this morning, and the market reacted accordingly, with Ethereum showing a bit of strength. From the 4H perspective, it has shown a small upward trend and is still rising. Meanwhile, many altcoins like SOL have also slightly rebounded, although not significantly.

Currently, Ethereum is at a critical position in a major downward trend. Whether it can effectively break through and stabilize is something we will monitor over the next couple of days. If it can break the downward trend, then Ethereum will likely enter a new market condition, and I personally believe it can easily achieve a new market trend.

Looking at the liquidation map, aside from the market being relatively balanced and dense, Ethereum and SOL are predominantly bullish and dense, indicating a relatively strong short-term bullish sentiment in the market. Additionally, in terms of ETF spot fund flows:
BTC net outflow of $57.1 million,
SOL net outflow of $32.9 million,
ETH net inflow of $87.2 million.
Although the overall trading volume from institutions is not particularly high and remains cautious, the net inflow of Ethereum due to the upgrade merits more attention on Ethereum's upcoming trends.

In the short term, the overall market will fluctuate in the range of 91500-95000, ETH will fluctuate in the range of 3100-3300, and SOL will fluctuate in the range of 140-148. Thus, contracts can continue to be entered on dips for short-term and swing trading.

Short-term contract trading strategies:
BTC long at 92500 or enter on dips, increase position at 91500, take profit in batches at 94500.

ETH long at 3160 or enter on dips, increase position at 3100, take profit in batches at 3300.

SOL long at 142 or enter on dips, increase position at 138, take profit in batches at 148.

Friendly reminder: Stop-loss suggestions should be set according to personal actual liquidation prices and individual risk tolerance for losses.

$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana