Olek_BTC
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Olek_BTC
Web3 ambassador, trader, and KOL investor! 🤝
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The market received mixed macro data from the US and #Bitcoin immediately tries to catch its breath — a rebound toward the 62k area.
Not because macro suddenly became perfect. Rather because a weaker labor market increases expectations for a more dovish FED, and #crypto really likes any story about future liquidity.
The problem is — this still isn’t full risk-on.
Unemployment doesn’t look disastrous, wages are still stable, and #FED is probably not getting a clear signal yet that says “you can cut without risk.”
That’s why this #BTC move is positive, but you need to watch whether the market holds the levels after the first reaction.
The first candle after the data is emotion. The market’s real answer comes later. #Kryptowaluty #USA
Not because macro suddenly became perfect. Rather because a weaker labor market increases expectations for a more dovish FED, and #crypto really likes any story about future liquidity.
The problem is — this still isn’t full risk-on.
Unemployment doesn’t look disastrous, wages are still stable, and #FED is probably not getting a clear signal yet that says “you can cut without risk.”
That’s why this #BTC move is positive, but you need to watch whether the market holds the levels after the first reaction.
The first candle after the data is emotion. The market’s real answer comes later. #Kryptowaluty #USA
And yet #Trump this is a beautiful example of the evolution of viewpoints. 😅
In 2019, he said he wasn’t a fan of Bitcoin and #krypto , because it’s “not money,” it’s very volatile, “based on thin air,” and could be used for illegal activities.
In 2021, he called #Bitcoin something that “looks like a scam,” because it competes with the dollar.
Then 2024 came and Donald suddenly fell in love with crypto. And now we know why.
According to his 2025 financial disclosure, Trump was supposed to make more than $1.4 billion from crypto projects.
Including, among other things, $635 million from a memecoin $TRUMP , about $800 million from World Liberty Financial, tokens, stablecoins, selling stakes, staking #ETH, and other “small” pleasures.
The Trump family was collectively meant to bring in more than $2.3 billion from crypto since returning to the White House.
So real estate, hotels, golf courses and the classic business are nice, but the biggest money printer turned out to be crypto.
And now it’s clear why Trump became the “crypto president.” Not because he suddenly read the Bitcoin whitepaper. It’s just that the market that once called it a scam started printing him more than the entire old business. 😅 #Kryptowaluty #USA #TradFi
In 2019, he said he wasn’t a fan of Bitcoin and #krypto , because it’s “not money,” it’s very volatile, “based on thin air,” and could be used for illegal activities.
In 2021, he called #Bitcoin something that “looks like a scam,” because it competes with the dollar.
Then 2024 came and Donald suddenly fell in love with crypto. And now we know why.
According to his 2025 financial disclosure, Trump was supposed to make more than $1.4 billion from crypto projects.
Including, among other things, $635 million from a memecoin $TRUMP , about $800 million from World Liberty Financial, tokens, stablecoins, selling stakes, staking #ETH, and other “small” pleasures.
The Trump family was collectively meant to bring in more than $2.3 billion from crypto since returning to the White House.
So real estate, hotels, golf courses and the classic business are nice, but the biggest money printer turned out to be crypto.
And now it’s clear why Trump became the “crypto president.” Not because he suddenly read the Bitcoin whitepaper. It’s just that the market that once called it a scam started printing him more than the entire old business. 😅 #Kryptowaluty #USA #TradFi
💤 #Bitcoin ciekawostka. Since 2013, after a negative June, a positive July has come very often. For now, the market is still supporting this seasonality, but as we all know—history offers no guarantee of a repeat.
That’s why I’m not treating this move as the start of a big wave of euphoria, but rather as a healthy rebound after heavily overheated bearish sentiment and fear in the market.
Today’s labor market data also helped the bulls. In the previous report, the economy was creating 172k jobs, and now, with expectations of 114k, we got only 57k. Companies are clearly slowing their hiring pace—so the economy is starting to cool down.
The market repriced this right away. Expectations for a more hawkish #FED have been pushed further into the future, which supports risky assets in the short term.
But we need to stay sober. Pressure on the economy doesn’t disappear—it’s just building more slowly. That’s why I see this move as a locally bullish reset of sentiment—not as a certainty that the correction is already over. 👥 #Kryptowaluty $BTC
That’s why I’m not treating this move as the start of a big wave of euphoria, but rather as a healthy rebound after heavily overheated bearish sentiment and fear in the market.
Today’s labor market data also helped the bulls. In the previous report, the economy was creating 172k jobs, and now, with expectations of 114k, we got only 57k. Companies are clearly slowing their hiring pace—so the economy is starting to cool down.
The market repriced this right away. Expectations for a more hawkish #FED have been pushed further into the future, which supports risky assets in the short term.
But we need to stay sober. Pressure on the economy doesn’t disappear—it’s just building more slowly. That’s why I see this move as a locally bullish reset of sentiment—not as a certainty that the correction is already over. 👥 #Kryptowaluty $BTC
💤 #Bitcoin od the week goes on a thin line and they had a round level of 60k.
On one side—nothing seems to be happening. Sideways movement, no impulse, the market looks boring.
On the other—the tension is rising, because 60k is the last level that still holds the price reasonably well before it drops to the next daily support zone at 50k. And there, the bears are probably already rubbing their hands.
Before any further continuation of the sell-off, there may still be a local bounce upward—mainly toward 63k, where the closest short stops may be sitting...
However, the main selling zone is around 68k. That’s where supply can defend the trend.
As long as #BTC is below this zone, technically it’s still hard to talk about a reversal. #Kryptowaluty $BTC
On one side—nothing seems to be happening. Sideways movement, no impulse, the market looks boring.
On the other—the tension is rising, because 60k is the last level that still holds the price reasonably well before it drops to the next daily support zone at 50k. And there, the bears are probably already rubbing their hands.
Before any further continuation of the sell-off, there may still be a local bounce upward—mainly toward 63k, where the closest short stops may be sitting...
However, the main selling zone is around 68k. That’s where supply can defend the trend.
As long as #BTC is below this zone, technically it’s still hard to talk about a reversal. #Kryptowaluty $BTC
❗️ Interesting signal! 50% of new holders #Bitcoin are already sitting at a loss.
Based on this indicator, we’re reaching levels similar to those the market saw in 2018 and 2022.
That is, exactly at the moments when most fresh capital was already tired, discouraged, and starting to doubt whether #BTC would ever return to growth.
Of course, this doesn’t mean the bottom has to be today. But it shows that the market is no longer in a phase of euphoria. We are much closer to the stage of pain, capitulation, and handing back positions by those who bought too late. #Kryptowaluty $BTC
Based on this indicator, we’re reaching levels similar to those the market saw in 2018 and 2022.
That is, exactly at the moments when most fresh capital was already tired, discouraged, and starting to doubt whether #BTC would ever return to growth.
Of course, this doesn’t mean the bottom has to be today. But it shows that the market is no longer in a phase of euphoria. We are much closer to the stage of pain, capitulation, and handing back positions by those who bought too late. #Kryptowaluty $BTC
#ZachXBT mocno uderzył w KYC in crypto. And it's hard not to agree with him!
In fact, #KYC is one of the least useful types of data for tracking cases #krypto , and in reality it helps… criminals most, when data is leaked.
That is, the user hands over documents, a selfie, an address, a phone number and their entire identity so that “it’s safer.” Then the platform leaks data, it ends up in the wrong hands, and responsibility magically gets blurred...
Even more interesting is the topic of age verification on the internet. Because under the slogan of “protecting children,” it’s very easy to push through a system where every internet user has to prove who they are before they can do anything online. #Kryptowaluty
In fact, #KYC is one of the least useful types of data for tracking cases #krypto , and in reality it helps… criminals most, when data is leaked.
That is, the user hands over documents, a selfie, an address, a phone number and their entire identity so that “it’s safer.” Then the platform leaks data, it ends up in the wrong hands, and responsibility magically gets blurred...
Even more interesting is the topic of age verification on the internet. Because under the slogan of “protecting children,” it’s very easy to push through a system where every internet user has to prove who they are before they can do anything online. #Kryptowaluty
🇯🇵 #Japonia joins the trend that's becoming increasingly visible in #USA - crypto as a tool for diversifying currency risk.
According to Nikkei, a Japanese pension fund representing about 1,200 small and medium enterprises plans to allocate approximately 1% of its assets to #kryptowaluty by the end of the fiscal year 2026.
Not directly "going all in," but through passive funds that bundle several crypto assets, managed by large hedge funds.
The goal - diversification against currency risk and the potential decline of the dollar as the main reserve currency.
So, more and more institutions are starting to view #BTC and crypto not just as speculation, but as part of a larger puzzle - currencies, gold, alternative assets, and a hedge against changes in the global financial system.
This isn't mass retirement adoption yet. But it's another signal that #krypto is slowly finding its way into the portfolios of institutions that wouldn't even want to discuss this a few years ago. $BTC
According to Nikkei, a Japanese pension fund representing about 1,200 small and medium enterprises plans to allocate approximately 1% of its assets to #kryptowaluty by the end of the fiscal year 2026.
Not directly "going all in," but through passive funds that bundle several crypto assets, managed by large hedge funds.
The goal - diversification against currency risk and the potential decline of the dollar as the main reserve currency.
So, more and more institutions are starting to view #BTC and crypto not just as speculation, but as part of a larger puzzle - currencies, gold, alternative assets, and a hedge against changes in the global financial system.
This isn't mass retirement adoption yet. But it's another signal that #krypto is slowly finding its way into the portfolios of institutions that wouldn't even want to discuss this a few years ago. $BTC
Locally #WLD looks bullish and strong, but it's already at a key resistance level.
The most logical scenarios now are two variations...
- A breakout and hold above 0.66 → continuation towards 0.75 / 0.85 / 0.95.
- A rejection from the current zone → correction to 0.55–0.50, where you can look for buying reactions.
I wouldn't chase the candle here. It's better to wait for either a clean breakout with a retest or a correction to support. #WorldCoin looks like one of the stronger alts, but after such a move, the market often first shakes out late buyers before it goes further. #Kryptowaluty $WLD
The most logical scenarios now are two variations...
- A breakout and hold above 0.66 → continuation towards 0.75 / 0.85 / 0.95.
- A rejection from the current zone → correction to 0.55–0.50, where you can look for buying reactions.
I wouldn't chase the candle here. It's better to wait for either a clean breakout with a retest or a correction to support. #WorldCoin looks like one of the stronger alts, but after such a move, the market often first shakes out late buyers before it goes further. #Kryptowaluty $WLD
⚡️ #Bitcoin zszedł do strefy zainteresowania kupujących na 4H.
Now, if the market is going to continue this bounce, we need to see some solid defense from the bulls. Right now, the situation looks pretty sketchy - the bears are clearly in charge.
A confirmation of the buyers' strength would be a quick buy-back of the dip and a candlestick with a long lower wick.
😎 As long as the price stays above 60k, we can assume this might still be a "shakeout" for those who took the news too literally.
They opened shorts on the news of war - the market went up. After the peace news, they rushed into longs - the market is now down. Classic.
The market first punishes those who react too late, and only then shows the right direction. #Kryptowaluty $BTC
Now, if the market is going to continue this bounce, we need to see some solid defense from the bulls. Right now, the situation looks pretty sketchy - the bears are clearly in charge.
A confirmation of the buyers' strength would be a quick buy-back of the dip and a candlestick with a long lower wick.
😎 As long as the price stays above 60k, we can assume this might still be a "shakeout" for those who took the news too literally.
They opened shorts on the news of war - the market went up. After the peace news, they rushed into longs - the market is now down. Classic.
The market first punishes those who react too late, and only then shows the right direction. #Kryptowaluty $BTC
🤔 The Bull-Bear market cycle indicator from #CryptoQuant still shows a bearish sentiment dominance in the market #krypto .
So, despite the bounces and attempts to build a local trend, market participants are still more afraid of dips than they believe in rallies.
The same sentiment can be seen in the stock market. According to surveys, even with a strong market and high index levels, more investors are leaning bearish than bullish.
And that's what's interesting... Markets often don't end their rallies when the majority is scared. They usually wrap it up when the majority starts to believe that dips are impossible. #Kryptowaluty #Bitcoin $BTC
So, despite the bounces and attempts to build a local trend, market participants are still more afraid of dips than they believe in rallies.
The same sentiment can be seen in the stock market. According to surveys, even with a strong market and high index levels, more investors are leaning bearish than bullish.
And that's what's interesting... Markets often don't end their rallies when the majority is scared. They usually wrap it up when the majority starts to believe that dips are impossible. #Kryptowaluty #Bitcoin $BTC
#Russell2000 made #ATH - and this is an important signal for the market. Smaller exchange firms are a barometer of risk appetite. If capital starts flowing out beyond #BigTech and buying smaller, more volatile stocks, it means the market is slowly shifting into risk-on mode.
For altcoins, this is potentially a good signal, as alts are an even more aggressive version of the same trade: liquidity, speculation, and momentum. But the mere ATH of the Russell 2000 doesn't yet indicate #altseason .
It's more like the first alert that capital may start rotating further - from high-risk stocks to #krypto .
For altcoins, this is potentially a good signal, as alts are an even more aggressive version of the same trade: liquidity, speculation, and momentum. But the mere ATH of the Russell 2000 doesn't yet indicate #altseason .
It's more like the first alert that capital may start rotating further - from high-risk stocks to #krypto .
After #CL / #WTI , which is American crude oil, we're witnessing a classic short squeeze.
Those who shorted around the 97–99 range got absolutely wrecked - liquidations, stop-losses, a complete liquidity cleanout. Looking at the candlestick chart, this move was quite logical and largely expected.
The market first scooped up liquidity from the bottom, and then perfectly aligned with the narrative when news from Trump about a possible extension of the blockade on Iran came out regarding #USA in the Strait of #Ormuz .
I'm almost certain that the narrative could flip again today. Trump can change his tone faster than retail can adjust their stop-loss 😅
Those who shorted around the 97–99 range got absolutely wrecked - liquidations, stop-losses, a complete liquidity cleanout. Looking at the candlestick chart, this move was quite logical and largely expected.
The market first scooped up liquidity from the bottom, and then perfectly aligned with the narrative when news from Trump about a possible extension of the blockade on Iran came out regarding #USA in the Strait of #Ormuz .
I'm almost certain that the narrative could flip again today. Trump can change his tone faster than retail can adjust their stop-loss 😅
✨ For me, the indicator is #Ethereum
• Below, in the zone of 1912–1840, there is quite a bit of long liquidity - if we drop there, it "might be" a reasonable long setup.
• The stop-losses for shorts are above 2200 - the price looks like it wants to "collect" them. If the current movement is manipulation, often a pullback comes right after such levels are taken out.
🔝 Only when, after breaking >2200, #ETH starts to genuinely hold and build a base, will it be a signal that demand has control and the increase may continue. #Kryptowaluty #Bitcoin #Altcoiny $ETH
• Below, in the zone of 1912–1840, there is quite a bit of long liquidity - if we drop there, it "might be" a reasonable long setup.
• The stop-losses for shorts are above 2200 - the price looks like it wants to "collect" them. If the current movement is manipulation, often a pullback comes right after such levels are taken out.
🔝 Only when, after breaking >2200, #ETH starts to genuinely hold and build a base, will it be a signal that demand has control and the increase may continue. #Kryptowaluty #Bitcoin #Altcoiny $ETH
Breakout or fakes? 🤔
Santiment warns that the morning move #BTC above 70k triggered a sharp spike in greed among traders - this often increases the risk of a local pullback. On the other hand, the nearest reasonable liquidity lies above 72k, so rushing into shorts "forcefully" is not advisable.
Additionally, there is a small GAP around $67,500 + a week full of macro news... in such an environment, the market can reverse its narrative several times a day. #FOMO and "guessing" the direction is a bad idea. It's better to wait for the zones. #Kryptowaluty #Bitcoin #Altcoiny #USA $BTC
Santiment warns that the morning move #BTC above 70k triggered a sharp spike in greed among traders - this often increases the risk of a local pullback. On the other hand, the nearest reasonable liquidity lies above 72k, so rushing into shorts "forcefully" is not advisable.
Additionally, there is a small GAP around $67,500 + a week full of macro news... in such an environment, the market can reverse its narrative several times a day. #FOMO and "guessing" the direction is a bad idea. It's better to wait for the zones. #Kryptowaluty #Bitcoin #Altcoiny #USA $BTC
💤 Today I wanted to write that if #BTC breaks 80K, it will even be 72-67k. So... Is the correction already over?
During the last declines, there were record liquidations of retailers – retail capital is largely cleared out, now the "hunting" moves to larger players, often on weekends and during low liquidity.
#Bitcoin bounced from the zone of ~76k – this is the average purchase price of a large part of the coins by #Strategy. In this area, a strong wall of buyers appeared, which caused the bounce.
⏺ However, the bottom from March 2025 (~74,500), after the drop from 120k, has still not been tested – there are stop-losses of most longs from the past year.
🔳 #Solana dropped below $100, but stopped at support ~95$, from where it previously moved from 250.
🤔 There is already quite a bit of liquidation and fear, but the market rarely leaves such large liquidity untouched. From current levels or after a bounce – these zones may still be "collected". #Kryptowaluty #XRP
$BTC $SOL $LDO
During the last declines, there were record liquidations of retailers – retail capital is largely cleared out, now the "hunting" moves to larger players, often on weekends and during low liquidity.
#Bitcoin bounced from the zone of ~76k – this is the average purchase price of a large part of the coins by #Strategy. In this area, a strong wall of buyers appeared, which caused the bounce.
⏺ However, the bottom from March 2025 (~74,500), after the drop from 120k, has still not been tested – there are stop-losses of most longs from the past year.
🔳 #Solana dropped below $100, but stopped at support ~95$, from where it previously moved from 250.
🤔 There is already quite a bit of liquidation and fear, but the market rarely leaves such large liquidity untouched. From current levels or after a bounce – these zones may still be "collected". #Kryptowaluty #XRP
$BTC $SOL $LDO
🎯 Global liquidity hits historic records! 😎
The largest economies are operating synchronously:
#Chiny still pumping liquidity, #FED is expanding the balance sheet again, #Japonia has approved a broad stimulus package, and #India are adding their own support. The effect? There is more money in the financial system today than ever before.
When this liquidity will actually reach the #crypto market - remains an open question.
🎲 What does global liquidity say?
According to this indicator, a "fair" valuation of Bitcoin should today oscillate around ~180K USD, while the market price is still around ~88K.
💤 The discrepancy is significant. Currently, the key question is not "if," but "when." Therefore, in this context - Merry Christmas! 🎄 #Kryptowaluty $XRP $SOL $BTC
The largest economies are operating synchronously:
#Chiny still pumping liquidity, #FED is expanding the balance sheet again, #Japonia has approved a broad stimulus package, and #India are adding their own support. The effect? There is more money in the financial system today than ever before.
When this liquidity will actually reach the #crypto market - remains an open question.
🎲 What does global liquidity say?
According to this indicator, a "fair" valuation of Bitcoin should today oscillate around ~180K USD, while the market price is still around ~88K.
💤 The discrepancy is significant. Currently, the key question is not "if," but "when." Therefore, in this context - Merry Christmas! 🎄 #Kryptowaluty $XRP $SOL $BTC
The age of rooting. Foundations are not built in noise.
Not every list is random.
Not every address is symbolic.
When the world seeks weight, the brick ceases to be a metaphor.
The brick goes where weight matters..
#NYQ126
Not every list is random.
Not every address is symbolic.
When the world seeks weight, the brick ceases to be a metaphor.
The brick goes where weight matters..
#NYQ126
🚨 Today there is a meeting #FED regarding interest rate cuts. I think no one needs to be reminded how much the market has been waiting for this… and how hard it is to imagine what will happen next. But things are going to get interesting 😁
😅 And here begins the paradox.. Welcome to 2025, where logic only works in theory
➣ If there is no rate cut - investors sell
➣ If there is a rate cut - the market also sells, because everything has long been factored into the price!
😈 And in the background, a big operation is underway “let's catch the hamster on #FOMO”...
💸 an insider has appeared about the start #QE from January 2026,
📈 #CZ announces an extremely strong cycle in #crypto in 2026, so a whole herd is now rushing into #long, to “not be left behind”.
💥 History teaches one thing: when everyone is sure of the outcome → the market likes to play the opposite. #Kryptowaluty #FOMC $BTC $ETH $XRP
😅 And here begins the paradox.. Welcome to 2025, where logic only works in theory
➣ If there is no rate cut - investors sell
➣ If there is a rate cut - the market also sells, because everything has long been factored into the price!
😈 And in the background, a big operation is underway “let's catch the hamster on #FOMO”...
💸 an insider has appeared about the start #QE from January 2026,
📈 #CZ announces an extremely strong cycle in #crypto in 2026, so a whole herd is now rushing into #long, to “not be left behind”.
💥 History teaches one thing: when everyone is sure of the outcome → the market likes to play the opposite. #Kryptowaluty #FOMC $BTC $ETH $XRP
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