Setiap hari saya membagikan Analisa Teknikal secara Publik, silahkan komentar untuk outlook token yang ingin dibagikan👍🏼 Grup trading di t3l3grm : eltraderr99
GENIUS is currently stuck in a range of 0.44 - 0.64 on the 4H TF. The direction over the next 2-3 months depends on which breakout gets confirmed first.
Bullish Scenario: If 0.64 gets smashed + a strong 4H/daily close + volume comes in, a swing target of 0.8 - 0.9 opens up. Momentum could push us to a new ATH of 1.0. We need sentiment + CEX listings or project updates to keep the volume from drying up.
Bearish Scenario: If support at 0.44 breaks with a valid candle close, the next demand area is at 0.30 - 0.32. The risk of further dumping is high if the crypto market corrects.
Neutral: Most likely, we’ll remain sideways for 1-2 months. Accumulate first, volume is thin. Trading range of 0.44 to buy, 0.64 to sell is safer than forcing the trend.
Key: Wait for confirmation, don’t enter mid-range. Risk management is a must, volatility is high. Do you already have a position now?
Trend: From 1.55 down creating a descending channel. Low 1.265. Currently retesting the upper channel line at 1.34. Now: Price 1.3412 is stuck in the small green box area. This is a resistance area + retest of the upper trendline. Key: If it breaks + closes 4h above 1.34-1.35 → breakout of the channel, target up to 1.38-1.40. If rejection here → continue down to 1.29-1.26.
Conclusion: Decision area. Wait for breakout/4h close for confirmation. Current entry 50:50, risky for a false breakout.
$XLM LONG: The chart shows a pullback to the demand zone 0.24020 - 0.22900 + lower black trendline. - Entry: Wait for the price to correct to 0.24020 - 0.23978 SMA55. Confirm a bullish 1h candlestick bounce + rejection at the trendline. - SL: Below 0.22900 in the red zone. - TP: Above 0.32707 in the gray area. That's the target -0.3. High RR if you enter below.
Note: Right now at 0.25783, it's already far from the entry area 0.240. Don't FOMO. Wait for a pullback to SMA55 + trendline for a safer RR.
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$BTC Good entry position LONG: - Entry: Wait for confirmation of a bounce at 73.066 - 73.858. Bullish D1 candlestick + volume coming in. Direct entry around 73K-74K has poor RR because it's in the middle of the channel. - SL: Below 60K. If the channel breaks, BTC could drop to 50K. - TP: Above the channel 80K-85K. If we breakout → 90K → 100K.
SHORT: Not looking great. Daily trend is still bullish within the channel. Short only if D1 closes below 73.066 + failed retest.
Note: This is a decision area. Holding at 73K = continue to rise. Breaking 73K = correction to 60K. So wait for confirmation to avoid getting trapped.
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