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On Wednesday, the U.S. stock indices saw the Nasdaq index drop by 1.2% during the day, the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.8%, and gold rose by 0.7% to $4,333 per ounce.
In November, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, higher than the expected 50,000;
The U.S. unemployment rate in November was 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%, marking the highest level since September 2021.
At the beginning of January, the new Federal Reserve head will be announced, which could be seen as a positive factor by the end of December. Currently, candidates such as Hassett, Waller, and Walsh all support significant interest rate cuts, which would please Trump.
Old friends bear their own losses. Gold has experienced an approximately 100% increase, strongly attracting capital from the cryptocurrency market. Previously, institutions pursuing volatility favored the crypto market, but this year gold has taken the place of the crypto market. Currently, institutions expect gold to rise by about 20% next year, which may reduce its capital attraction, hoping the crypto market can recover some of its losses. At the same time, be aware of risks.
Japan's interest rate hike is a negative factor, as it caused significant drops when raised in July last year, while the impact of the hike in January this year was minor. This Friday, the market is already betting close to 100% on the expected rate hike. Binance Exchange: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/join?ref=R217YGVK
With Japan's interest rate hike, the higher the market's betting expectations, the more it indicates the extent of pre-digestion. Currently, the market expects a 98% probability of a rate hike, indicating that most of the impact has already been digested. There is still a need to guard against negative impacts, such as the Bank of Japan providing expectations for other rate hikes beyond this one (currently, the market expects the Bank of Japan to hike once next summer).
Attention should be paid to Thursday night's CPI, as it may affect the market. A decrease in CPI is a positive signal, while an increase in CPI is a negative signal. 共建币安广场聊天 Thank you for your support all the way, wishing old friends financial freedom in the new cycle, keep it up 👍
As of December 17, 2025, the cryptocurrency ETF market shows a clear differentiation pattern. The Bitcoin spot ETF recorded a net outflow for the second consecutive day, with a single-day outflow of approximately $277 million on December 16, of which BlackRock's IBIT contributed $210.7 million to the outflow, leading to a significant retreat from the peak in total assets under management. The Ethereum spot ETF is also under pressure, with a cumulative outflow exceeding $224 million over four consecutive days, reflecting institutional investors' profit-taking or fund rotation amid rising risk aversion at the end of the year. Meanwhile, altcoin ETFs have performed well. The XRP spot ETF has seen inflows of nearly $1 billion since its launch in November, with positive inflows for 30 consecutive trading days, and its asset scale has surpassed $1.1 billion, benefiting from regulatory clarity and the prospects of cross-border payment applications. The Solana ETF has attracted about $3.64 million, indicating targeted institutional interest. Overall, the outflows from BTC and ETH ETFs drag down market sentiment, with Bitcoin prices hovering around $86,800, while the steady inflows of altcoin ETFs like XRP and SOL highlight the shift of funds towards compliant and high-certainty assets. The market is focused on the upcoming U.S. CPI data and Federal Reserve policy signals, which are expected to influence ETF fund flows and the pace of cryptocurrency ETF expansion in 2026. $BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) $DOGE {spot}(DOGEUSDT) $WLFI {future}(WLFIUSDT)
$USTC USTC Price: Around $0.0072 USD (very low compared to its old $1 peg). This reflects the collapsed value after de-pegging from $1 years ago. Price Movements: Small fluctuations day-to-day; no major sustained rally at the moment. Trading Activity: Still listed on Binance and some other exchanges, but trading volumes and interest are much lower than major cryptos. #MerryBinance #MerryChristmas
While the US and Europe keep rates high, Japan may choose a different path. Loose policy, growth support and liquidity over tightening. If Japan stays accommodative, it becomes a liquidity island in a tightening world and markets always notice divergences.
Capital doesn’t just chase yields. It chases narratives.
That’s where crypto enters the picture: borderless, fast-moving, community-driven.
P U P P l E S is gaining attention not through complexity, but through simplicity and culture.
In uncertain macro cycles, fun + community can become a signal.