潘妮

Penny Morning Report | Emotions Under Pressure, Defense is Key

Today the market has started to weaken again, mainstream coins are all pulling back:
$BTC, $ETH are giving back previous rebounds, $BNB and $SOL are following with downward pressure, altcoins are experiencing significant declines, and the overall sentiment is bearish.

The current rhythm is not a systemic negative, but rather a continuation of loosening high-level positions + a decline in risk appetite. Funds are contracting, and the willingness to go long is not strong.

In terms of strategy, it is recommended to focus on defense in the short term, patiently waiting to see if key support can sustain with increased volume.
#美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察

Do not envy the passionate kisses on the street, only sigh for the companionship in old age.
Everyone should still believe in true love; my third uncle loved my second aunt for a lifetime!

Today's Afternoon Short-Term Contract Strategy

🔹 BTC (Bitcoin), Direction——Short-term Long

Entry Point: 86450
Leverage: 5-10X

Stop Loss:
Below 85800 (stop if it breaks down in 15min candle)
Maximum single loss controlled at: 2%–3% of account

Take Profit / Reduce Position
First Take Profit: 87200 (reduce 30%)
Second Take Profit: 87500–87800 (reduce another 40%)
Remaining Position: Move stop loss to cost, aim for extension

Position Management:
Total Position: 10%–20% of account funds
#ETH走势分析 #美联储降息 #巨鲸动向

Penny Daily Report | Volatility Repair, But Sentiment Remains Cautious

BTC has slightly rebounded above 87,000, more like a technical repair after a decline;
BNB and SOL have followed suit with a slight recovery, but the strength is limited, while ETH continues to be weak, and the risk appetite for funds remains low.

The current market characteristics are very clear:
📉 The big trend is not broken, small cycles are repeatedly washing positions
💰 Funds are not in a hurry to chase the increase, more inclined to buy low and wait
⚠️ Leverage is slowing down, and the market is waiting for new liquidity or macro catalysts

Now stabilizing positions and controlling leverage are more important than "guessing direction."
#美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金

Penny Square chat room is open, welcome to join the group and receive red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧

You can chat freely about the market! Follow Penny and comment: Penny is awesome, to receive $BNB
#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #ETH走势分析

Why is Bitcoin still falling after the interest rate cut?

Breaking it down, BTC is still falling, mainly for these reasons👇

1️⃣ Liquidity hasn't arrived, only expectations are there

The market had already 'priced in' the expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and dovish signals.

What really drives prices in a trend is new liquidity, not just verbal attitudes. If the money hasn't come in, it won't rise.

2️⃣ High-level chips are too heavy, a pullback is inevitable

A large number of long positions and spot buying piled up above 90,000,

What the market loves to do is: first wash out the weak hands, then talk about direction.

3️⃣ Leverage hasn't been cleared out completely

Below 88,000 and 86,000 is all liquidation zone.

As long as there is still a lot of leverage not fully cleared, prices can easily be 'pulled down'.

4️⃣ Risk assets are cooling overall

U.S. stocks are fluctuating at high levels, and funds are starting to defend,

BTC now looks more like a risk asset rather than a 'safe haven asset'.

In simple terms: it's not that there's too much bearishness, but rather that money doesn't want to enter the market. It's not that the fundamentals are problematic, it's a liquidity gap + high-level de-leveraging.

The fall is not the end; it's the market redistributing chips.
#ETH走势分析 #美联储降息 #巨鲸动向

Penny Morning Report | Market Continues to Face Pressure 📉

$BTC Drops Below 87,000, Major Coins Weak Across the Board:
$ETH -5.4%, Sentiment Clearly Bearish
$BNB Follows with a Correction, Defensive Attributes Weaken
$ASTER Withdraws Significantly, CZ's Calls Are Useless, Risk Appetite Quickly Deteriorating

Currently Still in a Deleveraging + Sentiment Cleanup Phase, Short-term Funds Are Cautious. No Discussion of Reversal Before Volume Picks Up; Surviving is More Important Than Timing the Bottom.
#美联储降息 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察

The "rage bait" is a typical example.

The Oxford University Press's word of the year for 2025 is "rage bait".

By definition, "rage bait" refers to deliberately designed online content that provokes viewers' anger or outrage through frustrating, provocative, or offensive means.

Core formula: Create factions → Amplify hatred → Harvest repeatedly

Characteristics:
· Always stand from a "high vantage point"
· Simplify complex issues into us vs. them
· The comments section is always filled with insults, but the traffic is very stable

👉 They do not need your agreement, just your anger.

Because the platform's algorithm rewards: time spent × comment density × intensity of opposition, not rationality.

In fact, this can also be considered a form of online fraud, even scarier than scamming money.
#美联储降息 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察

After several months of speculation by major institutions on stablecoins, the Alpha sector has recently become a safe haven for funds.

A key signal is that funds have not massively returned to USDT, but instead flowed into Alpha and other segments with stronger narratives. This indicates that the market is not "bearish," but rather "not wanting to bet on direction."

$FHE, $MILK, $SSS, and $BAS have all surged over 50% in the past few days, with FHE almost doubling.

The underlying logic is also stimulated by news—Mind Network announced the introduction of 'FHE' into the Solana AI agent ecosystem and partnered with Pippin, directly injecting 1% of Pippin's total supply into the FHE project wallet as long-term ecological and community incentives. This essentially sends a signal to the market: funds are no longer for short-term speculation, but are intended for ecological binding.

During the hesitation period of the market, funds prefer targets that have "clear logic, limited capacity, and can quickly generate positive feedback."

The projects that can still emerge are definitely those with IP, on-chain interaction, and cross-narrative capabilities.
#美联储降息 #ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向

Penny Morning Report｜Fluctuating Pullback, Cautious Sentiment

$BTC fell to $89,275 (-1.11%), facing short-term pressure as market cautious sentiment rises;
$ETH basically flat at $3,117 (-0.08%), structure remains stable;
$BNB and $SOL slightly pulled back, overall funds are defensively positioned;
Small coin $ASTER followed the trend downwards, with no significant support observed on the sentiment front.

It is now a period of oscillation and digestion for exponential assets, prioritizing risk control in the short term while waiting for directional choice.
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹

Want to buy this 'gorilla' lamp to illuminate your future.

I looked at the latest $BTC exchange liquidation map and feel that it's not that there is no market, but that we are waiting for a trend to be confirmed.

If it breaks down below 88,000:
There are about 1 billion US dollars in long positions waiting to be liquidated on the bullish side.
Once it breaks through, stop-losses and forced liquidations will hit together, and the decline will become very fast and fierce.

If it breaks up above 92,000:
There are also about 1 billion US dollars in short positions on the bearish side.
If it really goes up, it will trigger a short squeeze, and short covering will push the price up.

Here comes the key👇
This liquidation map does not tell you "how much will be liquidated," but rather tells you:
When the price reaches this point, market sentiment and liquidity will instantly get out of control.

So this stage is not suitable for betting on direction; it feels more like grinding, washing positions, and tricking both bulls and bears. The real big volatility will definitely be at the moment the liquidation area is triggered.
#美股2026预测 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察

Penny's Morning Report | Market Sentiment Diverges, Funds Cluster in Parts

The market is weak and fluctuating:
$BTC has fallen back to above 90,000 and is fluctuating, $ETH has a relatively larger decline, major cryptocurrencies are under pressure, and risk appetite has clearly cooled;
$BNB and $SOL have both pulled back, primarily following market sentiment without any structural breakdown.

However, there are also hotspots on the market:
👉 Fan Token $JUV surged against the trend due to news of a USDT acquisition, $LUNA had negative news yesterday but positive today, after the announcement it became the biggest negative, it should rise after the negative news, but expect a drop after that; not recommended to chase.

Key Signals:
Currently, it is not a fully bullish environment, but rather "mainstream is defensive and small coins rely on news and emotional rhythm > direction"

Penny's Viewpoint:
The market hasn't provided a trend, positions should be light; to make money in this market, one must catch the emotional points accurately.
#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

The contract starts next week, everyone who hasn't joined the group, please do so.

Penny Daily News｜Today's Market Overview

$BNB, $BTC, $ETH are all steadily rising, with $SOL significantly leading the way, sweeping away the fatigue of the past two days.

The market as a whole has emerged from a state of low volatility and stagnation, with capital re-entering the scene. The mainstream cryptocurrencies are leading the rise, improving risk appetite. However, the trend is still in the confirmation phase; it's better not to chase highs, but to watch the rhythm and wait for pullbacks as a superior strategy.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储降息

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates but the market fell instead. Today, Reuters predicted that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December, and may continue to raise it to 1% next year. Will the market go up or down then?

Penny gives a brief analysis:

Yen interest rate hike = Japanese funds returning
Many Japanese funds had gone overseas in search of returns due to low domestic interest rates. Now, with Japan raising rates, money might return to Japan, slightly tightening global liquidity.

This may lead to short-term volatility:
With slightly less liquidity, the upward momentum of $BTC and $ETH may be weaker, making it easier to fluctuate.

But the impact won't be too significant:
Even if Japan's benchmark interest rate rises to 1%, it will still be relatively low globally, and the rate hike has long been anticipated by the market, limiting its impact.

In the long term, it may actually be a positive factor.
The end of Japan's "ultra-low interest rate era" indicates an improving economy, which is not a bad thing for global risk appetite.
Moreover, many institutions in Japan are very friendly towards BTC, and the domestic compliant market is also expanding, meaning demand may continue to rise.
#美国非农数据超预期 #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析

Penny Daily｜The market enters a synchronized pullback, short-term risk appetite shrinks

$BTC $90,286（-2.42%）
Bitcoin continues to experience a weak pullback after high-level fluctuations, lacking incremental capital support, primarily due to a cooling of sentiment rather than a change in fundamentals.
$ETH $3,229（-2.48%）
Following BTC's synchronized adjustment, the main narrative (capital inflow, ecological expansion) remains unaffected, with short-term pressure more from overall liquidity slowdown.

$BNB $868（-2.71%）
Previously relatively strong, the current pullback is due to profit-taking pressure release. On-chain activity and ecological indicators remain robust.
$SOL $131（-4.43%）
High beta assets pull back deeper during declines in risk appetite, with the negative impact of marginal liquidity contraction being more pronounced.

Overall judgment:
· This round of decline is characterized by strong “synchronization”, belonging to the overall cooling of market risk appetite, rather than a structural trend reversal.
· Pay attention to the capital support strength in the key support area of BTC, which will directly affect the short-term recovery speed.
· The mid-term logic is still dominated by macro liquidity and the fundamentals of mainstream assets.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息

Created a Binance Square chat group, welcome everyone to join and discuss the market.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议

Laughing to death, it turns out that the top of the food chain in the crypto world is hackers, earning 100,000 U in 1 minute.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #迷因币ETF

Penny Morning Report｜Market sentiment warms up, focus shifts back to ETH liquidity

· $BTC $92,387（+2.61%）
Bitcoin's overnight rebound mainly comes from optimistic macro expectations, but trading volume remains weak, currently in a sentiment recovery phase rather than trend confirmation.
· $ETH $3,309（+6.73%）
Ethereum has clearly shown relative strength, mainly due to a repricing of cash flow expectations in the ETH ecosystem, as well as technical recovery after previous corrections. Currently, ETH/BTC is starting to strengthen again, worth paying attention to.
· $BNB $890（-0.09%）
Fluctuating weakly, but the fundamentals remain unchanged, currently more of a structural correction after prior strength, with market sentiment neutral.
· $SOL $137.8（+3.77%）
Still maintains high Beta characteristics; when funding preferences improve, the yield elasticity becomes more apparent. SOL remains a risk-on signal asset.

Personal Opinion：
The current rebound mainly stems from sentiment recovery, but the market's core focus still revolves around:
✔ ETH ecosystem
✔ High Beta main chains
✔ Layer2

The market has not entered a trending phase, but short-term funding risk preference has clearly improved, pay attention to tracking changes in trading volume.

Strategy Suggestion：
Remain focused on high liquidity leading assets, control position rhythm, avoid chasing trades, but maintain flexibility to follow on the right side.
#加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析