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After October, no one can stop my determination to short the market! On the 27th, I indicated to enter a long position near 115000, with the first target looking down to 110000! Perfectly achieved! I estimate there is already a 10000 point space, 100000 is in place! On the 31st, I indicated again that any position above 110000 can be taken, and within two days, we secured a 5000 point space. Remember, this is just the beginning of trading! 106000 has been broken, and our next target is 102000! $BTC $ETH $BNB
After dragging it out all day, I finally got up! Big pancake 1500 points, aunt 60 points space! The recent flight situation has indeed not been very interesting, short-term friends can just high sell and low buy, and manage the positions well! Qing Yao has been laying out gold recently! Historical highs are gradually being updated! I am indeed a bit busy! If you don't understand the direction of the big pancake, just ask directly, I will reply when I see it! $BTC $ETH $BNB
Currently, the overall trend indicates that a wave of correction is not sufficient to change the overall bullish trend and form a true reversal. However, it will present certain opportunities for a short squeeze. Although the short-term structure still leans toward a continuation of weakness, the current weak trend can be understood as a short squeeze. Overall, the structure remains primarily bullish. In the short term, the price of the currency has confirmed support around 87000. Since support has been confirmed, the subsequent move is a rebound. The overall market is indeed in a rebound, so after a pullback, it is the time to enter. After the pullback, just enter directly!
At noon, Bitcoin is trading around 87300-87800, going long directly, with a first target of 90000. Ethereum is trading around 2930-2950, with a first target of 3100.
Don't guess the top! Don't guess the top! Don't guess the top! It was mentioned yesterday after hitting 4400! A pullback means more, go with the flow! Tuesday opened with a gain of 80 points, space is in place! Once it hits 6w dollars! Small wave is in place!
Is this take profit point of 4420 in place? A 33-point space directly taking profit! Congratulations to Ayiao's fan friends! Never do after-the-fact commentary, real-time points are public!
Bullish long! Public tip to go long directly at 4387 and look bullish at 4420! The highest came close to 4410! Smooth entry with 23 points of space! Just simply 20,000, currently still holding the small wave!
The daily MACD shows a golden cross between DIF and DEA after a contraction, releasing a short-term weak bullish signal. However, this indicator has been operating in the negative range for a long time, and the overall downward momentum has not fully exhausted. In the 4-hour MACD indicator, DIF and DEA show divergence, and KDJ forms a death cross, but the price remains in high-level consolidation, reflecting a significant divergence between bulls and bears at the current price level, with the main players hesitating and observing around the 90000 mark.
Regarding the Bollinger Bands, the daily Bollinger Bands show resistance at 89500 USD and support at 84850 USD. The current price is fluctuating in the middle of the Bollinger Bands, with relatively stable volatility.
The value of this post speaks for itself! A few minutes ago, I advised everyone to go long! The early analysis was also very clear that it's not advisable to short in the short term! After the data, the market was very strong, with two big bullish candles leading us to take profits! All long positions were closed, waiting to re-enter after the US session! $BTC $ETH $BNB
Go long, go long, whether it's gold or Bitcoin, I have been shouting to go long all day! All cashed out! The idea was given in advance, summarized in two words at the end of the day, super cool! $BTC $BNB $ETH
Go long, go long, whether it's gold or Bitcoin, it's been a day of going long! All realized! The strategy was given in advance, summed up in two words by the end of the day, awesome! $BTC $BNB $ETH
Only a few minutes left until the CPL data is announced, and the unemployment benefits will also be updated simultaneously. We won't analyze the unemployment benefits too much! It's data released every week! In the evening, we should still focus on the CPL data! Personally, I expect a pullback to go long tonight, aiming for a target at the high point of 90,000 in the early morning! Auntie is looking at 3000!
Let's briefly preview. Due to missing data for October, there is no preceding data, and the current market expectation is 3.1%. Tonight's core focus is whether the CPI data will be in the 2s or 3s.
If the CPI falls to 2.9% or lower, it indicates that inflation is controllable, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's continued interest rate cuts in 2026.
If the CPI is 3.0% or rebounds above 3.1%, it may strengthen the narrative of sticky inflation, cooling interest rate cut expectations, and US Treasury yields may rise, putting pressure on interest rate-sensitive tech stocks.
Zao Pan's long strategy has been realized! A thousand points of space are available. Tonight, as the CPL data is announced, everyone should control their positions carefully. Short-term players should move less and observe more. I will inform everyone if there are good points after the data is released!
The Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting today and tomorrow, with results announced on the 19th! My personal judgment is that the probability of an interest rate hike is extremely high, which is also the core bearish factor suppressing risk assets recently! The market has already digested part of the expectations last night, and combined with the CPI data to be released tonight at 21:30, the market is likely to be particularly volatile and extremely noteworthy!
Let's break down the core impact logic of the two pieces of news:
1. Monetary Policy Meeting Logic
Previously, many institutions have long "borrowed low-cost yen, converted it into dollars to allocate to other high-yield assets". If Japan raises interest rates this time, on the one hand, the cost of borrowing will rise directly, and on the other hand, the yen is likely to strengthen, which will completely eliminate the profit space for this arbitrage trade—institutions will accelerate the sale of various assets to exchange for yen to repay loans, thus putting pressure on risk assets.
2. CPI Data Logic
CPI core reflects price changes: lower-than-expected inflation → higher probability of Fed rate cuts in January → decrease in dollar attractiveness → funds will flow to other high-yield assets; higher-than-expected inflation → Fed may pause rate cuts → funds will withdraw from various assets and increase holdings in dollars, indirectly affecting the trend of risk assets.
Today's short position is winning continuously! Once you determine the direction, just go for it! Early hints also suggest that both long and short positions have room! On Thursday, still pocketing $12,000! I wonder if all you fans have kept up! $BTC $ETH
The recent price trend of Solana (SOL) is not very ideal, failing to hold above 132, and then quickly dropping down, currently consolidating below 130. In the short term, if it breaks below 130, the price may continue to drop towards around 120.
From a technical perspective, SOL has broken below 130 and 128, and is also below the 100-hour moving average, indicating a bearish short-term outlook. On the SOL/USD hourly chart, a downtrend line is forming, with resistance around 131. If the price rebounds and wants to continue rising, it needs to break through this resistance level.
The good news is that if the bulls can hold the support around 122 or 120, SOL has a chance to initiate a short-term rebound. #美国非农数据超预期
After the Federal Reserve's expected rate cut of 25 basis points, and after the non-farm data for November was released, today the U.S. market once again welcomes the CPI data for November. The inflation data can be said to have an influence comparable to that of the non-farm data, and it will directly impact future monetary policy. Therefore, the market's attention will be relatively high, and before the data is released, it is likely to maintain a cautious attitude. Overall trading during the day may also be relatively cautious. In the previous trading day, gold's first rebound in the early session fluctuated near 4326 before retreating to stabilize around 4311, then pulled back to around 4342 before facing pressure and quickly dropping to around 4306 where it stabilized and rebounded again. In the evening, the first rebound near 4343 quickly retested around 4322 and then rose to a high of 4348 before quickly retreating to around 4320. The short we shared at the 4348 level was also perfectly timed at the highest point. Although the daily chart shows six consecutive gains indicating some strength, the volatility is stronger, so we continue to maintain a repetitive mindset in our operations, and there are opportunities for both long and short positions to seize!
Intraday trading strategy: Short at 4348, stop loss at 4358, target 4320-4300 Long at 4265, stop loss at 4255, target 4290-4320
I am A Yao, and I hope everyone can gain insights from my article! A small boat drifts in the sea; if you do not raise the sail, then you will drift forever in the ocean. Only the current price can truly provide protection.
The rise after the opening of the US stock market yesterday has all been reversed, and the bullish momentum is insufficient. The KDJ three-line death cross extends downward, and the MACD forms a death cross at a high position, showing weakness in the energy indicators. Recently, market liquidity has significantly contracted, lacking the funds to drive upward movement. Therefore, we temporarily view the intraday market as a consolidation trend, paying attention to whether tonight's speech can boost market sentiment and drive changes in the market.
Early trading suggestions Buy on the pullback to around 85500-85000, with a target looking at 88000-88500, and if it breaks through, continue to look at 90k. $BTC $BNB
88500 short positions have all exited! Secured 1000 points of space! Comfortably reached the end at 2wu! Although the process was thrilling, the result is good! Congratulations to the short friends for reaping the rewards!
What is going on! Suddenly pulled up 3000 points! Made 5000u but got greedy and now I'm passive! I have averaged down around 88500! Looks like it's going to be another sleepless night! Is there anyone who has played the same game with Qing Yao! $BTC $ETH $BNB