The current drop of $BTC and cryptocurrencies in general is part of a market phase known as a bear market, this is not new, it is well known. From:
> Dec 2013 - Feb 2015: bitcoin went from $1,156.15 to $171.50
> Feb 2015 - Dec 2017: $171.50 to $20,089
> Dec 2017 - Dec 2018: $20,089 to $3,191.30
> Dec 2018 - Nov 2021: $3,191.30 to $68,789.63
> Nov 2021 - Nov 2022: $68,789.63 to $15,599.04
> Nov 2022 - Oct 2025: $15,599.04 - $126,198.07
Notice that each phase of decline lasts on average about 1 year and that the trough (or lowest price) of each of them is higher than its predecessor. In this logic, we can assert that the trough of this ongoing decline will be above $15,599.04 and will be reached around October 2026.
Buy the dips
The fact that the trough (or lowest price) of each bear market is higher than that of the previous bear market proves that despite the phases of declines, the long-term trend of bitcoin is undoubtedly bullish. With this trend, buying bitcoin is synonymous with profit if you are willing to hold long enough to realize it, hence HODL (hold without selling in panic).
The trough of a bear market is the buying point with the highest return on investment. But given that market analyses cannot predict with certainty the trough (or low price) that the market will reach during the bear market, it is recommended during a bear market to buy using the DCA method to capture an optimal average price.
Honestly, what were you doing before reading this article and what will you do now? Sell? HOLD? or Buy the dip?
Thank you #Binance and thank you to everyone who supported my journey.
I came to Square with nothing but passion and the desire to help others. This award shows that no matter where you start, your voice can shine if you share with purpose and honesty. I’m very grateful for this platform and for this community 🧡🧡🧡
$ZKJ I knew it was real when I stumbled upon the post yesterday:
It was really interesting, the logic held up, and I opened a position on it. This morning, I closed it.
The principle is simple: the crypto was supposed to be delisted this morning at 9 AM UTC... but yesterday, the price exploded by +100% or even +200% and more. That's huge for a crypto facing delisting.
Because let's be honest: if the volume was truly organic or if it had that kind of volume, I doubt it would have been delisted. So yeah, it's suspicious. Very suspicious. It clearly looks like a pump... followed by a dump.
And honestly, it felt like a trap.
Since this isn't the first time I've seen this kind of pattern, I recognized it... and I shorted it yesterday.
Thanks to Crypto Alchemy for the share.
But the real question is: how many saw it coming... and how many got trapped? 👀
Crypto_Alchemy
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$ZKJ {future}(ZKJUSDT) is getting delisted soon from Binance but somehow the volume is still crazy at 16B
That's a massive red flag because delisting always ends the same way
It already pumped from 0.012 to 0.048 which is a 300 percent move
MACD is still positive at 0.00024 but losing steam fast
EMA 100 at 0.018 and EMA 200 at 0.015 are way below so gravity will pull it down
I am on the short side because this will dump anytime now
If you want to enter then short above 0.04 with first target 0.025 then 0.018
If you're worried about the current dip in the price of $BTC , read this👇🏾
According to my analyses, crypto cycles - bull run or bear market - are trends that unfold over time. Historically, a bear market lasts about a year, while a bull run can stretch up to three years. And remember: crypto is still a nascent ecosystem.
Today, the current market structure shows something interesting: a potential reversal phase. And just a reminder, the structure of a bear market or a bull run corresponds in charting to a monthly trend. The bear market trend seems to be forming a well-known structure in technical analysis - a double bottom - which suggests a strong probability of a bullish resurgence.
To confirm this pattern, there’s a key move: the pullback. And that's exactly what’s forming right now. For the moment, nothing contradicts this scenario.
The critical point to watch: the weekly close. If the price were to drop significantly towards very low zones (around 65,000), then the pattern could be called into question. But if Bitcoin holds and closes around the high zones (around 73,000 $), then the chances of confirmation become very strong.
And generally, once the pullback is validated… the following week can trigger a strong bullish impulse. A real expansion movement, capable of sending the price to new highs.
So yes, the pattern is in the process of being confirmed. And in my opinion, there’s a high likelihood that it will validate.
But beyond that: a Bitcoin around 60,000 is much closer to its potential bottom than to its previous ATH.
So the real question isn’t “can it still go lower”… but rather: do you want to hesitate while the market gears up to take off?
Bitcoin: the bear market trend has just formed a double bottom chart pattern, which is a very interesting signal for a price reversal to the upside.
For now, the characteristics are being respected: the price has closed as per chart pattern theory and is currently making a classic pullback on this type of structure.
What we need to watch now is the validation of the pattern. For the logic to hold, the pullback needs to maintain its strength. Ideally, the weekly candlestick should confirm the structure by respecting this key zone. If Bitcoin closes this week above $73,000 and then continues to rally, then there are very high chances we'll see a rebound towards new highs very soon.
Already, if the price holds solidly above major zones like $90,000, for me, the bull run becomes confirmed.
Now, everything hinges on the market's reaction in the coming days.
Because if this structure holds... it won't be a question of 'if it goes up', but are you already positioned?
It doesn’t matter if you believe the bull run has started or not. At least, you can agree that the market has been in a bear phase !?👍🏾
So here’s just a piece of advice, take it or leave it.
This cycle, I wouldn’t advise people to just chase narratives. Crypto has always moved with narratives in the past, yes! but the market has matured. There’s more smart money now, more whales, more rational capital flowing in.
So don’t follow narratives anyhow. Take informed decisions.
Focus on fundamentals. Hold Bitcoin ($BTC ). Hold solid altcoins.
You don’t need to catch every trend, you just need to avoid the wrong ones.
In this market, solid fundamentals will outperform hype.
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And remember, DeFi imply risk. So always do your own research !!! Btw, this one deserves checking.
No matter how the current USA-Iran situation plays out, you don’t need to worry too much about Bitcoin. There’s a high chance it blows up from here.
In my opinion, now is not really the time to DCA. If you want to enter right now or you have funds ready for the next bull market, just buy $BTC at the current price now. Just buy Bitcoin and call it.
I have a strong conviction that the price has already hit its bottom for this bear market and is now starting to go up. For me, this looks like the beginning of a new bull market.
Even if you don’t fully agree, you can at least see that the price is much closer to the bottom than to its previous ATH. So don’t overthink it.
DCA had its moment, when prices were dropping. But if the move up has already started, spreading entries over time might not be the most efficient anymore.
Sometimes the real risk isn’t buying too early… it’s waiting too long.
$HYPER , a token that had been in a prolonged bearish phase for over eight months, just skyrocketed +93% in the last 24 hours.
Another pump and dump manipulation? I’m not sure… but it definitely calls for caution if you’re looking to trade it.
Audits say the contract seems pretty safe for now, but watch out… because it can always be updated by the deployer. This means that today, everything might look clean… but at any moment, they can change the rules and introduce malicious mechanisms.
So yes, "safe" doesn’t mean "risk-free." Keep that in mind.
In moves like this, the most dangerous part isn’t always what you see… but what you don’t see yet.
The market can offer you an opportunity or set a trap. It’s up to you to know which one you're stepping into.
That was the topic of my livestream yersterday on Binance Square.
I’ve shared a strategy consisting of two layers, the first, $BTC and major cryptocurrencies for the long theme, the second for short-term funds, a mix storage spread over a number of Fiats, such as the $USDC Canadian US dollars and the Swiss franc.
This is purely for value storage and not crypto investment strategy.
if you miss it, the recording is available on my page, feel free to
Some months from now, Bitcoin will hit new highs, $ETH will hit new highs, $BNB will hit new highs - the whole crypto ecosystem will blow up. We’re now entering what looks like a super cycle phase.
Before that happens, position yourself. Don’t get overexposed to very risky assets. Set your foundation. Build the base of your portfolio first. Hold strong assets starting with $BTC . Hold solid fundamental projects with a good token mix, and hold them.
Then, you can use a portion of your portfolio to get exposure to higher-risk tokens. But make sure your core is strong first.
Crypto is still early. It’s on the path to onboarding a billion users.
So the real question is: how are you preparing yourself?