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The Market Updates

Crypto Trader Since 2007.
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BREAKING: $STRC hits a new all time low of $71.25. It is now down -28% from its $100 peg.
BREAKING: $STRC hits a new all time low of $71.25.

It is now down -28% from its $100 peg.
THIS IS ABSOLUTELY CRAZY. Last year, Bybit suffered a $1.5 billion hack carried out by North Korea's Lazarus group. Investigators traced those funds, and they ended up at wallet addresses linked to Iran's central bank. But that's not all. Since 2019, Iran-linked wallets have moved over $3.84 BILLION, much of it tied directly to the IRGC. This is why the US sanctioned Iran's crypto exchange Nobitex, which was laundering more than half of Iran's crypto income.
THIS IS ABSOLUTELY CRAZY.

Last year, Bybit suffered a $1.5 billion hack carried out by North Korea's Lazarus group.

Investigators traced those funds, and they ended up at wallet addresses linked to Iran's central bank.

But that's not all.

Since 2019, Iran-linked wallets have moved over $3.84 BILLION, much of it tied directly to the IRGC.

This is why the US sanctioned Iran's crypto exchange Nobitex, which was laundering more than half of Iran's crypto income.
MSTR down -24% in this week and broke a support level it held for 830 days. The $100 level that held through every correction since the Bitcoin ETF launched in January 2024 just broke MSTR is trading at $85 after hours and now down -84% from its peak. Let’s compare Bitcoin chart alongside it. Bitcoin is down -54% from its $126k peak. Currently trading below 5% of the weekly MA 200. The same moving average that has marked the bottom of every major Bitcoin bear market in history. Here is the scenario nobody wants to say out loud. MSTR and Bitcoin have moved together since the ETF launched on January 11 2024. MSTR jumped 1,129% and Bitcoin jumped 225% to ATH. If MSTR retests $40 the Bitcoin chart suggests a parallel retest of the post ETF launch support near $42,000. The same level Bitcoin was trading when the ETF changed everything in January 2024. $100 on MSTR and $62,500 on Bitcoin are now the most important levels in the entire crypto. If they do not reclaim these levels fast the next stop is a long way down.
MSTR down -24% in this week and broke a support level it held for 830 days.

The $100 level that held through every correction since the Bitcoin ETF launched in January 2024 just broke

MSTR is trading at $85 after hours and now down -84% from its peak.

Let’s compare Bitcoin chart alongside it.

Bitcoin is down -54% from its $126k peak. Currently trading below 5% of the weekly MA 200. The same moving average that has marked the bottom of every major Bitcoin bear market in history.

Here is the scenario nobody wants to say out loud.

MSTR and Bitcoin have moved together since the ETF launched on January 11 2024. MSTR jumped 1,129% and Bitcoin jumped 225% to ATH.

If MSTR retests $40 the Bitcoin chart suggests a parallel retest of the post ETF launch support near $42,000. The same level Bitcoin was trading when the ETF changed everything in January 2024.

$100 on MSTR and $62,500 on Bitcoin are now the most important levels in the entire crypto.

If they do not reclaim these levels fast the next stop is a long way down.
BTC+3.00%
MSTRonAlpha
MSTRUS+1.42%
🚨 BREAKING 🚨 🇺🇸 US Treasury just bought back $2,000,000,000 of its own debt.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨

🇺🇸 US Treasury just bought back $2,000,000,000 of its own debt.
This is manipulation mixed with 4-year cycle. Since the October 10th crash, the biggest liquidation event in crypto history which wiped out $19 billion in 24 hours, Bitcoin has not been the same. After that, Bitcoin crashed -54% from $126K to $58K with no real bounce like we saw in 2018 and 2022 bear markets. We saw a nonstop dump in Bitcoin and this cycle ended with no altseason at all. The weird thing is, since the Oct 10th NASDAQ is up 28%, reaching a new ATH of 30,764, with many stocks hitting new all-time highs. Historically Bitcoin correlates with the US stock market, but this time almost every pump gets sold off. Bitcoin followed and recovered with stocks even during the 2025 tariff crash, but recently it has massively diverged since the October 2025 crash, and we continue to see hundreds of millions in liquidations every other day. I think the 4-year cycle is still intact and the crash to the bottom feels aggressive due to leverage manipulation and algo trading by big firms like Jane, which makes money from arbitrage volatility rather than price going up. Do you think there is manipulation involved or market is following 4 year cycle ?
This is manipulation mixed with 4-year cycle.

Since the October 10th crash, the biggest liquidation event in crypto history which wiped out $19 billion in 24 hours, Bitcoin has not been the same.

After that, Bitcoin crashed -54% from $126K to $58K with no real bounce like we saw in 2018 and 2022 bear markets.

We saw a nonstop dump in Bitcoin and this cycle ended with no altseason at all.

The weird thing is, since the Oct 10th NASDAQ is up 28%, reaching a new ATH of 30,764, with many stocks hitting new all-time highs.

Historically Bitcoin correlates with the US stock market, but this time almost every pump gets sold off.

Bitcoin followed and recovered with stocks even during the 2025 tariff crash, but recently it has massively diverged since the October 2025 crash, and we continue to see hundreds of millions in liquidations every other day.

I think the 4-year cycle is still intact and the crash to the bottom feels aggressive due to leverage manipulation and algo trading by big firms like Jane, which makes money from arbitrage volatility rather than price going up.

Do you think there is manipulation involved or market is following 4 year cycle ?
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Bearish
Verified
🇮🇷 After Trump posted that the Strait of Hormuz is "completely open" the IRGC shot a Singapore-flagged cargo ship on it. The Ever Lovely. The bridge damaged, but no casualties. Iran just put a hole in a commercial vessel days into a deal that was supposed to guarantee safe passage, while Trump is publicly declaring everything was fine, and US officials are now describing it as an "early test of the deal's durability." That's one way to put it. Source: WSJ / Writer: Oliver
🇮🇷 After Trump posted that the Strait of Hormuz is "completely open" the IRGC shot a Singapore-flagged cargo ship on it.

The Ever Lovely. The bridge damaged, but no casualties.

Iran just put a hole in a commercial vessel days into a deal that was supposed to guarantee safe passage, while Trump is publicly declaring everything was fine, and US officials are now describing it as an "early test of the deal's durability."

That's one way to put it.

Source: WSJ / Writer: Oliver
🇴🇲 A cargo ship took a hit off Oman. An unknown projectile slammed into its starboard side, the right flank, roughly 7.5 nautical miles southeast of Oman's Dahit. The blow landed on the bridge, the part of the ship the crew steers from, which is about as bad a spot to take a hit as there is.| Nobody on board was hurt, and there's no sign of a spill or any environmental damage. The alert came from UKMTO, the UK's maritime watchdog that logs incidents like this. What nobody's saying yet is what fired it. Source: AJENews / Writer: Daniyal
🇴🇲 A cargo ship took a hit off Oman.

An unknown projectile slammed into its starboard side, the right flank, roughly 7.5 nautical miles southeast of Oman's Dahit.

The blow landed on the bridge, the part of the ship the crew steers from, which is about as bad a spot to take a hit as there is.|

Nobody on board was hurt, and there's no sign of a spill or any environmental damage.

The alert came from UKMTO, the UK's maritime watchdog that logs incidents like this.

What nobody's saying yet is what fired it.

Source: AJENews / Writer: Daniyal
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇮🇷🇺🇦🛢️ Trump’s Iran peace deal is costing Putin $110M a day. The US-Iran agreement has sent oil prices crashing back to pre-conflict levels. Brent crude is now at $72.52 a barrel (down >16% since mid-June) as tankers resume sailing through the Strait of Hormuz. Peace talks in Switzerland are easing supply fears and hammering Russia’s oil revenues. Add to that the relentless barrage of attacks by Ukraine on critical energy infrastructure, and Russia is in a tough economic spot. Source: The Telegraph / Writer: Jamie
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇮🇷🇺🇦🛢️ Trump’s Iran peace deal is costing Putin $110M a day.

The US-Iran agreement has sent oil prices crashing back to pre-conflict levels. Brent crude is now at $72.52 a barrel (down >16% since mid-June) as tankers resume sailing through the Strait of Hormuz.

Peace talks in Switzerland are easing supply fears and hammering Russia’s oil revenues. Add to that the relentless barrage of attacks by Ukraine on critical energy infrastructure, and Russia is in a tough economic spot.

Source: The Telegraph / Writer: Jamie
BZUS+1.62%
🇺🇸 OUCH! PCE inflation just smashed past 4.1% in May. First time over 4% in 3 years. Prices are climbing faster, energy is spiking, and the pain at the pump is real. This will hit your wallet hard. Fed expected to crush inflation... but how’s that working out? Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis / Writer: Claudio {spot}(BTCUSDT)
🇺🇸 OUCH! PCE inflation just smashed past 4.1% in May.

First time over 4% in 3 years.

Prices are climbing faster, energy is spiking, and the pain at the pump is real.

This will hit your wallet hard.

Fed expected to crush inflation... but how’s that working out?

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis / Writer: Claudio
Saylor what have you done
Saylor what have you done
MSTRonAlpha
MSTRUS+1.42%
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's lead negotiator, Ghalibaf, just clapped back at Trump's claim about unfrozen funds: "America falsely claims our unfrozen assets will buy their agriculture. Interesting. The only crop we're harvesting is what you planted: decades of mistrust. It's organic, abundant, and homegrown. But apparently the US only exports GMO soybeans, broken promises and trash talks." Trump and Vance say the funds will be held in U.S.-controlled escrow, spent exclusively on American corn, wheat, and soybeans. Iran says there's no such requirement in the actual agreement. Source: mb_ghalibaf
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's lead negotiator, Ghalibaf, just clapped back at Trump's claim about unfrozen funds:

"America falsely claims our unfrozen assets will buy their agriculture. Interesting.

The only crop we're harvesting is what you planted: decades of mistrust.

It's organic, abundant, and homegrown.

But apparently the US only exports GMO soybeans, broken promises and trash talks."

Trump and Vance say the funds will be held in U.S.-controlled escrow, spent exclusively on American corn, wheat, and soybeans.

Iran says there's no such requirement in the actual agreement.

Source: mb_ghalibaf
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 US Q1 GDP final estimate came in at 2.1% Expectations: 1.6% The US economy's growth is accelerating.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 US Q1 GDP final estimate came in at 2.1%

Expectations: 1.6%

The US economy's growth is accelerating.
People who survived the 2014 bear market made MILLIONS in 2016-17. People who survived the 2018 bear market made MILLIONS in 2020-21. People who survived the 2022 bear market made MILLIONS in 2024-25. People who survive the 2026 bear market will make MILLIONS in 2028-29. It's that simple.
People who survived the 2014 bear market made MILLIONS in 2016-17.

People who survived the 2018 bear market made MILLIONS in 2020-21.

People who survived the 2022 bear market made MILLIONS in 2024-25.

People who survive the 2026 bear market will make MILLIONS in 2028-29.

It's that simple.
🇺🇸🇮🇱 A new book lays out just how BRUTALLY Trump strong armed Netanyahu into the Iran deal... Per "Regime Change" by NYT reporters Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan, Trump told the Israeli leader he was sick of his antics, reminded him he had done everything to protect him, and insisted he could not back out: "I’ve done everything to protect you. You better fucking go along with this. It’s been going on for too fucking long. Everybody’s sick of you, Bibi. All the Jews are sick of you. Even the two Jews on this call are sick of you. You can’t back out of this. I’m the best friend Israel ever had. Everybody hates you, and I’ve stood by you. I’m telling you, this is a great deal for Israel." The "you'll be on your own" warnings were the polite, public version. This is reportedly what it sounded like behind the door. Trump didn't persuade Netanyahu into the deal, he steamrolled him, invoking everything he'd spent protecting him as the debt that was now coming due. It settles the question that ran the whole war. For 118 days the mystery was whether Trump controlled Netanyahu or the reverse. A president screaming "you can't back out of this" down the phone is not a man being led. Source: John_Hudson Source Book: REGIME CHANGE BY maggieNYT jonathanvswan Writer: Daniel
🇺🇸🇮🇱 A new book lays out just how BRUTALLY Trump strong armed Netanyahu into the Iran deal...

Per "Regime Change" by NYT reporters Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan, Trump told the Israeli leader he was sick of his antics, reminded him he had done everything to protect him, and insisted he could not back out:

"I’ve done everything to protect you. You better fucking go along with this.

It’s been going on for too fucking long.

Everybody’s sick of you, Bibi. All the Jews are sick of you. Even the two Jews on this call are sick of you. You can’t

back out of this. I’m the best friend Israel ever had. Everybody hates you, and I’ve stood by you.

I’m telling you, this is a great deal for Israel."

The "you'll be on your own" warnings were the polite, public version.

This is reportedly what it sounded like behind the door.

Trump didn't persuade Netanyahu into the deal, he steamrolled him, invoking everything he'd spent protecting him as the debt that was now coming due.

It settles the question that ran the whole war. For 118 days the mystery was whether Trump controlled Netanyahu or the reverse.

A president screaming "you can't back out of this" down the phone is not a man being led.

Source: John_Hudson
Source Book: REGIME CHANGE BY maggieNYT jonathanvswan
Writer: Daniel
This is the why everyone is depressed. $2.2 Trillion has been wiped out from the total crypto market cap in the last 8 months. October 2025 - $4.27 Trillion June 2026 - $2 Trillion Bitcoin: -53% ETH: -67% Large caps: -85% Mid and low caps: -95% This all started on October 10th.
This is the why everyone is depressed.

$2.2 Trillion has been wiped out from the total crypto market cap in the last 8 months.

October 2025 - $4.27 Trillion
June 2026 - $2 Trillion

Bitcoin: -53%
ETH: -67%
Large caps: -85%
Mid and low caps: -95%

This all started on October 10th.
Bitcoin is testing the cycle bottom zone near $59,100 within just 20 days. A strong bounce from here would open the door to $63,000 and $67,000 targets. A downside breakout, however, would put heavy pressure on the chart toward $50,000. $BTC is already down 5% from the Weekly MA 200. Interesting to see if it can reclaim that level before the weekly candle closes.
Bitcoin is testing the cycle bottom zone near $59,100 within just 20 days.

A strong bounce from here would open the door to $63,000 and $67,000 targets.

A downside breakout, however, would put heavy pressure on the chart toward $50,000.

$BTC is already down 5% from the Weekly MA 200. Interesting to see if it can reclaim that level before the weekly candle closes.
🩸BEARISH REVERSAL: $880,000,000,000 wiped out from the US stock market in last 2 hours.
🩸BEARISH REVERSAL:

$880,000,000,000 wiped out from the US stock market in last 2 hours.
I agree with the Bitcoin 4-year cycle bottom in October 2026, but we can’t ignore that crypto is being heavily manipulated with leverage. The US stock market risk asset index Russell 2000 just hit a new all-time high of 3,019 for the first time ever. Meanwhile $BTC is down -53% from its peak and hit a new cycle low of $59,018 today.
I agree with the Bitcoin 4-year cycle bottom in October 2026, but we can’t ignore that crypto is being heavily manipulated with leverage.

The US stock market risk asset index Russell 2000 just hit a new all-time high of 3,019 for the first time ever.

Meanwhile $BTC is down -53% from its peak and hit a new cycle low of $59,018 today.
BTC+3.00%
IWMETF-0.37%
🇾🇪 Houthis reportedly built a slick crypto network to fund their weapons and dodge sanctions, heavy on USDT via the TRON blockchain. Cash likely comes from Iran transfers, mining ops, extortion, and Red Sea ship fees. They allegedly rotate wallets through sketchy exchanges, cash out, and pour it straight into drones and terror ops. Sanctions-busting on steroids. Source: MiddleEast_24 / Writer: Lucas
🇾🇪 Houthis reportedly built a slick crypto network to fund their weapons and dodge sanctions, heavy on USDT via the TRON blockchain.

Cash likely comes from Iran transfers, mining ops, extortion, and Red Sea ship fees.

They allegedly rotate wallets through sketchy exchanges, cash out, and pour it straight into drones and terror ops.

Sanctions-busting on steroids.

Source: MiddleEast_24 / Writer: Lucas
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