ALISHBA SOZAR
X: ALISHBASOZAR 🎉 UID : 966954878
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🚨 BREAKING:
🇯🇵 JAPAN WILL INCREASE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BPS
ODDS HAVE ALREADY JUMPED TO 98%
PRAY FOR CRYPTO
🇯🇵 JAPAN WILL INCREASE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BPS
ODDS HAVE ALREADY JUMPED TO 98%
PRAY FOR CRYPTO
🚨 BREAKING
WINTERMUTE AND EXCHANGES WENT ALL-IN BEFORE TRUMP’S ANNOUNCEMENT!
BINANCE BOUGHT 9,758 BTC
COINBASE BOUGHT 4,195 BTC
BYBIT BOUGHT 3,431 BTC
WINTERMUTE BOUGHT 3,000 BTC
WHALE BOUGHT 2,880 BTC
OKX BOUGHT 2,377 BTC
THIS IS NOT RETAIL. SOMETHING BIG IS COMING 👀
WINTERMUTE AND EXCHANGES WENT ALL-IN BEFORE TRUMP’S ANNOUNCEMENT!
BINANCE BOUGHT 9,758 BTC
COINBASE BOUGHT 4,195 BTC
BYBIT BOUGHT 3,431 BTC
WINTERMUTE BOUGHT 3,000 BTC
WHALE BOUGHT 2,880 BTC
OKX BOUGHT 2,377 BTC
THIS IS NOT RETAIL. SOMETHING BIG IS COMING 👀
Bought more of the dip
To all the crypto fans out there: you are aware, that the rest of the market is at all-time highs, right?
What will happen to your useless speculative coins that aren't used for anything other than gambling on price, once the real market sells off during a recession?
What will happen to your useless speculative coins that aren't used for anything other than gambling on price, once the real market sells off during a recession?
Airdrops are not “free money”
- They cost time
- They cost focus
- They cost opportunity
- They cost sanity
- They reward insiders
- They reward bots
Check your hourly rate
- They cost time
- They cost focus
- They cost opportunity
- They cost sanity
- They reward insiders
- They reward bots
Check your hourly rate
Just seen someone doing technical analysis on the 1 minute timeframe of a 100k mcap memecoin
I have no words.
I have no words.
In 2025, we got:
➨ Pro-crypto president
➨ GENIUS Act approval
➨ Altcoin spot ETFs
➨ Biggest banks giving crypto access
➨ End of QT
➨ Fed buying T-bills
➨ 3 rate cuts
And still, the crypto market performed even worse than the 2022 bear market.
➨ Pro-crypto president
➨ GENIUS Act approval
➨ Altcoin spot ETFs
➨ Biggest banks giving crypto access
➨ End of QT
➨ Fed buying T-bills
➨ 3 rate cuts
And still, the crypto market performed even worse than the 2022 bear market.
Trenches are so cooked that today a friend of mine said 60k marketcap is too high for him to enter. he wants entry around 10k to 20k 😂
Bitfinex BTC longs have reached their highest level since Q1 2024.
Whales are positioning for an explosive $BTC move.
Last time it went this high , whales started to close their longs and btc went parabolic.
Whales are positioning for an explosive $BTC move.
Last time it went this high , whales started to close their longs and btc went parabolic.
Lastly, let's all get something straight, your chart lines, your moving averages, your RSI, your MACD, your other technical indicators, your waves 5-100, your Wyckoff and the rest of all the TA in the world cannot stop this $BTC liquidity train from new highs in 2026. Too much capital is coming and there's nothing lines on a chart can do about it 🎯
Bear markets make you humble.
They strip the ego.
They punish laziness.
They expose every bad habit you disguised as “conviction.”
In a bear, you learn:
risk management isn’t optional
cash is a position
patience is a weapon
being early can feel the same as being wrong
But here’s the part most people miss…
Bull markets don’t reward you for “surviving the bear.”
Bull markets test if you actually learned anything.
Because in a bull:
You’ll feel like a genius again.
You’ll get sloppy again.
You’ll size up because “it can’t go down.”
You’ll stop taking profit because “this is the big one.”
You’ll start chasing because everyone is printing.
The market doesn’t change.
Your discipline does.
If you can keep bear-market habits in a bull market…
you don’t just make money.
You keep it.
They strip the ego.
They punish laziness.
They expose every bad habit you disguised as “conviction.”
In a bear, you learn:
risk management isn’t optional
cash is a position
patience is a weapon
being early can feel the same as being wrong
But here’s the part most people miss…
Bull markets don’t reward you for “surviving the bear.”
Bull markets test if you actually learned anything.
Because in a bull:
You’ll feel like a genius again.
You’ll get sloppy again.
You’ll size up because “it can’t go down.”
You’ll stop taking profit because “this is the big one.”
You’ll start chasing because everyone is printing.
The market doesn’t change.
Your discipline does.
If you can keep bear-market habits in a bull market…
you don’t just make money.
You keep it.
🚨 JAPAN WILL CRASH BITCOIN IN 2 DAYS!!!
If you're holding BTC, you need to see this.
On December 19th (this Friday), the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is widely expected to raise interest rates.
Potentially to 0.75%, the highest in DECADES.
Here’s exactly what it means for your bags:
It’s not just some random news… it could shake up global markets and hit Bitcoin where it hurts.
Let me break it down step by step, because understanding this could save your portfolio from losing too much value.
First, what's the deal with the BOJ?
Japan has kept interest rates super low (even negative at times) for years to boost their economy.
Think endless cheap money through quantitative easing.
But lately, inflation's picking up, and the yen has been super weak against the dollar.
To fight that, the BOJ's signaling a hike.
Economists are betting on a 0.25% bump from the current 0.5%. This might sound small, but in a world addicted to low rates, it's a big shift.
Now, why does this matter for Bitcoin?
Crypto thrives on liquidity… easy, cheap money flowing into risky assets like stocks, real estate, and yes, BTC.
When central banks raise rates, it makes borrowing more expensive, dries up that liquidity, and investors pull back from high risk plays.
Bitcoin often gets sold off first in these scenarios because it's seen as speculative.
Remember 2022? The US Fed hiked rates aggressively, and BTC crashed from over $60K to under $20K in months.
It wasn't isolated, global tightening triggered it.
Japan is the world's third-largest economy, so their moves create ripples.
A stronger yen from this hike could unwind "carry trades" where people borrow cheap yen to invest in higher-yield stuff like US assets or crypto.
When those trades reverse, it leads to selling pressure across markets, including Bitcoin.
We've already seen BTC hanging around $100k, but it's been volatile.
If the BOJ goes through with this (and sources say it's likely), it might spark a risk-off mood globally.
Hedge funds could liquidate positions, retail traders get margin called, and prices crash.
Not saying it's guaranteed, but history shows central bank pivots = crypto turbulence.
Why should you care beyond your bags?
Bitcoin's now a massive $2T+ asset class, linked to ETFs, institutions, and even countries like El Salvador.
A sharp drop could slow adoption, hurt miners if prices fall below costs, and give regulators more reasons to step in.
On the flip side, if you're a long-term believer, this could be a buying opportunity during the dip.
Btw, i’m the only one who called the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the exact top at $126,000 in october, and i’ll do it again.
Those who still haven’t followed me will regret it.
On December 19th (this Friday), the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is widely expected to raise interest rates.
Potentially to 0.75%, the highest in DECADES.
Here’s exactly what it means for your bags:
It’s not just some random news… it could shake up global markets and hit Bitcoin where it hurts.
Let me break it down step by step, because understanding this could save your portfolio from losing too much value.
First, what's the deal with the BOJ?
Japan has kept interest rates super low (even negative at times) for years to boost their economy.
Think endless cheap money through quantitative easing.
But lately, inflation's picking up, and the yen has been super weak against the dollar.
To fight that, the BOJ's signaling a hike.
Economists are betting on a 0.25% bump from the current 0.5%. This might sound small, but in a world addicted to low rates, it's a big shift.
Now, why does this matter for Bitcoin?
Crypto thrives on liquidity… easy, cheap money flowing into risky assets like stocks, real estate, and yes, BTC.
When central banks raise rates, it makes borrowing more expensive, dries up that liquidity, and investors pull back from high risk plays.
Bitcoin often gets sold off first in these scenarios because it's seen as speculative.
Remember 2022? The US Fed hiked rates aggressively, and BTC crashed from over $60K to under $20K in months.
It wasn't isolated, global tightening triggered it.
Japan is the world's third-largest economy, so their moves create ripples.
A stronger yen from this hike could unwind "carry trades" where people borrow cheap yen to invest in higher-yield stuff like US assets or crypto.
When those trades reverse, it leads to selling pressure across markets, including Bitcoin.
We've already seen BTC hanging around $100k, but it's been volatile.
If the BOJ goes through with this (and sources say it's likely), it might spark a risk-off mood globally.
Hedge funds could liquidate positions, retail traders get margin called, and prices crash.
Not saying it's guaranteed, but history shows central bank pivots = crypto turbulence.
Why should you care beyond your bags?
Bitcoin's now a massive $2T+ asset class, linked to ETFs, institutions, and even countries like El Salvador.
A sharp drop could slow adoption, hurt miners if prices fall below costs, and give regulators more reasons to step in.
On the flip side, if you're a long-term believer, this could be a buying opportunity during the dip.
Btw, i’m the only one who called the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the exact top at $126,000 in october, and i’ll do it again.
Those who still haven’t followed me will regret it.
A lot of people have been asking for an update on this chart, so I’ll just leave this here for anyone who needs to see it.
This shows the average BTC trajectory following an oversold RSI reading, with RSI falling below 30 at t=0.
So far, it’s been pretty bang on.
Unless you believe the 4-year cycle is still in play, which we don’t, this chart should hold up contextually over time.
No, it won’t be perfect, but assuming the bull market isn’t already over, it’s a useful chart to keep in mind.
As we’ve outlined many times, based on our work on the business cycle, the current path of financial conditions, and our expectations for overall liquidity, the balance of probabilities is that this cycle extends well into 2026.
In that world, the 4-year cycle is dead.
Remember, the 4-year cycle was never about the halving, despite widespread belief that it is, but instead has always been driven by the public debt refinancing cycle, as outlined in our work at GMI, which post-COVID was pushed out by one year.
In our view, the 4-year cycle is now officially broken because the weighted average maturity of the debt term structure has increased.
And the bigger picture is that there is still a vast amount of interest expense that needs to be monetized, which has far exceeded GDP growth.
Another thing to keep in mind is that bases can take time to form and usually come with plenty of chop before the bigger up-move kicks in.
Finally, let me repeat what I said when I first posted this chart last month.
If you think the bull market is over and we are now facing twelve months of pain, this chart is not for you. Move along...
This shows the average BTC trajectory following an oversold RSI reading, with RSI falling below 30 at t=0.
So far, it’s been pretty bang on.
Unless you believe the 4-year cycle is still in play, which we don’t, this chart should hold up contextually over time.
No, it won’t be perfect, but assuming the bull market isn’t already over, it’s a useful chart to keep in mind.
As we’ve outlined many times, based on our work on the business cycle, the current path of financial conditions, and our expectations for overall liquidity, the balance of probabilities is that this cycle extends well into 2026.
In that world, the 4-year cycle is dead.
Remember, the 4-year cycle was never about the halving, despite widespread belief that it is, but instead has always been driven by the public debt refinancing cycle, as outlined in our work at GMI, which post-COVID was pushed out by one year.
In our view, the 4-year cycle is now officially broken because the weighted average maturity of the debt term structure has increased.
And the bigger picture is that there is still a vast amount of interest expense that needs to be monetized, which has far exceeded GDP growth.
Another thing to keep in mind is that bases can take time to form and usually come with plenty of chop before the bigger up-move kicks in.
Finally, let me repeat what I said when I first posted this chart last month.
If you think the bull market is over and we are now facing twelve months of pain, this chart is not for you. Move along...
sorry guys, with respect to all new traders but what the fuck is actually happening
i’m down 7 figs over the past months. i can’t size a single token. literally everything you buy with size gets raped. i tried sizing spx, troll, franklin, binance life but literally nothing works.
nothing works. the only thing that works for top pnl wallets is simply raping charts. this is not even trading anymore, just money swinging from one port to another.
yesterday i bought $5k of a token at 200k, shared it around, and the responses i got were: 1. is this alpha that you buy so much at 200k? 2. why do you buy so big? anything over 200k mc is not a play anymore lol?
seriously? there were times when people dreamt of entries below 10m on good narratives.
like where is the end of this shit?
i’m down 7 figs over the past months. i can’t size a single token. literally everything you buy with size gets raped. i tried sizing spx, troll, franklin, binance life but literally nothing works.
nothing works. the only thing that works for top pnl wallets is simply raping charts. this is not even trading anymore, just money swinging from one port to another.
yesterday i bought $5k of a token at 200k, shared it around, and the responses i got were: 1. is this alpha that you buy so much at 200k? 2. why do you buy so big? anything over 200k mc is not a play anymore lol?
seriously? there were times when people dreamt of entries below 10m on good narratives.
like where is the end of this shit?
$BTC OG's are selling at one of the highest rates not seen in the last 5 years.
This pattern is normally only seen when markets are nearing highs
This pattern is normally only seen when markets are nearing highs
And some people still called for altseason every day….
🚨 BITCOIN PAIN VS REALITY 🚨
Short term pain
• BoJ rate hike risk, last times meant 20 to 30% $BTC drawdowns
• First CME death cross printed
• Social interest down hard, volume collapsed
• Liquidations everywhere, weak hands getting rinsed
What actually matters
• JPMorgan accepts $BTC and $ETH as loan collateral
• Banks and institutions pulling in hundreds of millions
• Governments, sovereigns, and funds accumulating quietly
• Crypto rails being rebuilt inside TradFi
• Macro outlook says massive QE/liquidity in 2026
Short term is choppy = noise
Long term adoption is accelerating = signal
Short term pain
• BoJ rate hike risk, last times meant 20 to 30% $BTC drawdowns
• First CME death cross printed
• Social interest down hard, volume collapsed
• Liquidations everywhere, weak hands getting rinsed
What actually matters
• JPMorgan accepts $BTC and $ETH as loan collateral
• Banks and institutions pulling in hundreds of millions
• Governments, sovereigns, and funds accumulating quietly
• Crypto rails being rebuilt inside TradFi
• Macro outlook says massive QE/liquidity in 2026
Short term is choppy = noise
Long term adoption is accelerating = signal
Worst Q4 since 2018 bear market
2025 will be the year of alts.
Alts in 2025:
Alts in 2025:
$BTC | Expectation for the coming months
Long term holders are selling at record highs.
ETFs are bleeding and not seeing significant inflows.
Short term this is bad news, HOWEVER
Considering much selling + minimal buying and Bitcoin is still at 86k is hopefull for the long term.
I expect 60k to be a very good DCA opportunity.
🫡
Long term holders are selling at record highs.
ETFs are bleeding and not seeing significant inflows.
Short term this is bad news, HOWEVER
Considering much selling + minimal buying and Bitcoin is still at 86k is hopefull for the long term.
I expect 60k to be a very good DCA opportunity.
🫡
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