puppies风来

🔥 Key News: U.S. Core CPI for November at 2.6% (expected 3.0%), hitting the lowest level since March 2021, with inflation cooling more than expected, and market rate cut bets slightly warming up.

1. Key Data and Background

- Core CPI (excluding food and energy): 2.6% (previous value 3.0%), significantly lower than expected.
- Overall CPI: 2.7% (expected 3.1%), also weakening.
- Data Limitation: Due to government shutdown, October data is missing, and there is no month-on-month for November, relying on two-month cumulative (core 0.159%) for auxiliary judgment.

2. Market Reaction

- January rate cut probability: Federal funds futures show an increase from 26.6% to 28.8%.
- Long-term expectations: Swap contracts raise rate cut expectations by 3 basis points before the end of 2026.
- Asset Impact: Positive for bonds, gold, and growth stocks; the dollar under short-term pressure, with cryptocurrency sentiment turning warmer.

3. Investment and Trading Tips

1. Data favors rate cut expectations, but January remains cautious (probability still below 30%), with March being a more critical window.
2. Pay attention to upcoming non-farm and PCE data to verify the sustainability of inflation decline, and be wary of single-month data fluctuations.
3. Crypto Market: Improved liquidity expectations favor risk assets; consider accumulating mainstream coins on dips, but control positions to guard against policy and sentiment reversals.
$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #CPI数据

🚨Tonight at 21:30! U.S. CPI data is coming, and the cryptocurrency market direction is about to change!

First, let's understand the core logic👇
CPI is the “barometer” of the Federal Reserve's policy, directly determining the liquidity tightness in the market. The crypto market will either benefit or suffer!

🔥Three scenarios

1. CPI < 3.0% (Inflation cooling)
→ Full expectations for interest rate cuts, U.S. dollar weakens 📉
→ Major cryptocurrencies + high-growth coins directly benefit, BTC/ETH may rebound
→ Action: Buy low if support holds on pullback, don’t chase highs!
2. CPI > 3.2% (Inflation exceeds expectations)
→ Concerns over interest rate hikes return, liquidity tightens ⚡
→ Risk assets face pressure, cryptocurrency prices may plunge
→ Action: Reduce leverage in advance, decisively cut positions if key support is broken
3. 3.0%-3.2% (In line with expectations)
→ Market mainly in fluctuation, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears intensifies
→ Action: Wait and see for direction, don’t open positions randomly!

💡Key reminders

- Focus on whether the year-on-year change deviates from the consensus of 3.1%
- Rental data has declined for 5 consecutive months, which may hide cooling signals
- Direction will be determined 30 minutes after the data, trading with the trend doubles the win rate!

Currently, BTC is at the critical line of 85,000, do you think it will rise or fall tonight? Share your views in the comments👇
$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #比特币波动性

Everyone understands the contracts of cryptocurrencies, but what is most feared is not the boiling frog in a one-sided trend, but the sudden needle attack without warning, and the back-and-forth double kill.

Wasn't that wave just now what made so many people lose sleep?

In the past 24 hours, the entire network has liquidated 400 million 💰
That wave just now directly wiped out 300 million!
Long positions lost 200 million, short positions 120 million.
Both sides suffered heavy losses, it's unbearable to watch!

🔥 The market is very chaotic now, it's best to wait and see, and then play with spot trading. If you must trade contracts, never go in heavy! Never go in heavy! Never go in heavy!

（On the Ethereum chain, old horse new dog coin: p?upp?ies, unlimited potential, invest a small amount for a ten thousand times hope.)
$XMR

How much have you lost in this wave?
Have you experienced the bloody history of being liquidated by a needle attack?
Have you been harvested in this wave? Let's chat in the comments below 👇
$币安人生 #加密市场观察 #BinanceABCs

🚀 Recently, in the privacy digital asset sector, $XMR has emerged with an independent market trend 💹
The current market value has surged to 8 billion USD, increasing over 100% in a year, just a step away from the historical high point of 2021, surpassing ZEC to become the market leader in the privacy track!

Why is XMR able to strengthen against the trend? Let me share two core logics with you👇

1. ✅ Scarcity of the track: The technical barriers for privacy assets are high. XMR's anonymity technology has been validated over many years, and its stability and recognition are among the top in similar products, with consistent market demand.

2. ✅ Competitive product linkage effect: Recently, ZEC's performance has been weak, and funds naturally gravitate towards the leading targets within the sector, with XMR absorbing this liquidity, becoming the first choice for funds.
$ZEC

You can look out for these two signals:

1. Can it stabilize at an 8 billion market value and break through the historical high pressure zone?

​2. Overall sentiment in the sector, especially whether ZEC's performance will drag down the sector.

Do you think XMR can break through the historical high this time? Let’s discuss your views in the comments～
#巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察

12.17 Heavy Signal! Fed Official Waller Directly Says: The Job Market is Too Weak 🤦‍♂️, There is Room for Rate Cuts!\n \n✅ Key Points Overview: \n \n- Weak Employment is Key: Clearly states that job growth is "not optimistic," which is the core basis for rate cuts.\n- Rate Cut Attitude: Supports continuing to lower to neutral levels, but "not urgent," it should be gradual.\n- Inflation is Not a Concern: Confident inflation expectations are stable, not afraid of price increases.\n- Independence is Strong: In the face of Trump, bluntly states that he will emphasize "self-determination" 🗣️\n \n📊 Market Impact Analysis: \n \n- Short-term Positive: Dovish comments raise risk appetite, funds are more willing to enter the crypto space.\n- Pay Attention to the Rhythm: "Not urgent for rate cuts" means good news will be released gradually, don’t expect a surge.\n- Historical Reference: Previous three consecutive cuts were each 25 basis points, crypto prices were first volatile then stabilized 📉→📈\n \n⚠️ Three Points to Watch: \n \n1. Will the next meeting proceed with "gradual" rate cuts?\n2. The level of Trump's intervention in policies.\n3. Can subsequent employment and inflation data support the logic of rate cuts?\n \nThe current macro environment is still accommodative and friendly, but the crypto space has always been about "buying expectations and selling facts" ⚠️, don’t chase blindly!\n Promising targets can be gradually laid out, maintain a good position size to be stable～\n \nDo you think this rate cut signal can help BTC stabilize at a key level? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇\n$ETH $GIGGLE \n\n#加密市场观察

🔥 Non-farm data exploded!
The newly released non-farm data is too contradictory 🤯
New jobs increased by 64,000 > expected 50,000, employment is quite strong
But the unemployment rate at 4.6% hit a four-year high, the economy appears weak

Direct impact:
✅ Short-term bearish for crypto! Interest rate cut expectations cool down
The US dollar and US Treasury yields will rise, mainstream coins under pressure
✅ There are opportunities in the medium term! With a high unemployment rate, liquidity may loosen afterwards
Now is a period of consolidation, don't rush in

👉 How to operate?

1. Reduce leverage! High leverage can easily lead to liquidation, prioritize reducing risk
2. Keep positions within 30%, don't go all in
3. Look for support in mainstream coins: BTC at 84500, ETH at 2870
4. Watch small coins first, they can drop harder than mainstream
5. If you want to hedge, switch to stablecoins, wait for signals to act

📌 Next, focus on two things
CPI data on 12.18 + speeches from Federal Reserve officials
These two are key to determining direction!

The current market sentiment is cautious, don't chase highs and sell lows
In a volatile market, staying alive is more important than making quick money 💪

Are you holding coins or stablecoins now?
Let's discuss your operations in the comments below 👇
$BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

⏰ Beijing time tonight 21:30, 📊 US non-farm payroll data released

📈 Core impact on the crypto market

1. New non-farm payrolls (most critical)

- Bearish (stronger than expected): ≥80,000 (exceeding expectations by 60%+) → Rate cut expectations cool down, USD strengthens → Crypto plunges in the short term, BTC/ETH may test key support, volatility increases.
​
- Neutral (in line with expectations): 30,000-70,000 → Market reaction is muted, continues existing trend, liquidity tightens but slippage is controllable.
​
- Bullish (weaker than expected): ≤20,000 (including negative growth) → Rate cut expectations heat up, USD weakens → Crypto surges quickly, institutional funds may flow into mainstream coins.

2. Special point in 2025: This is the “two-in-one” data for October-November after the US government shutdown, and there is a divergence in the market regarding the credibility of the data and policy transmission, which may amplify short-term fluctuations.

3. Key observation indicators: New job additions (expected around 50,000), unemployment rate (expected 4.4%), average hourly wage growth, these will determine the market's pricing of rate cut timing in early 2026.
$BTC $ETH $XRP #美联储降息 #加密市场观察

Last night, the crypto market faced another storm, and it's estimated that quite a few people got thoroughly soaked.

At this heart-testing moment, CZ stepped up again to encourage everyone. He directly posed a soul-searching question online:
If you envy others for their low buys of cryptocurrencies during winning cycles, think about what they did during such a market crash!

The current crypto market is experiencing volatility, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices dipping. What seems like a cold market actually hides opportunities for those willing to buy at lower prices.

Investing has never been about the frenzy of chasing highs, but rather having the courage to stay rational during the lows. This might be the core message CZ wants to convey—confidence to navigate through cycles often comes from making firm choices when others are panicking.

Old favorites and new darlings: P u p Pi eS low market cap potential coins, life lies hidden within the panic.
$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向

🔥Hassett recently made it clear that if he takes over the Federal Reserve, he will not listen to Trump. What opinions does he have to offer? Whether to listen or not is up to me.

He emphasized that he will still maintain the independence of the Federal Reserve, and all policies will be decided based on market data, while Trump's words are not important and can even be said to carry no weight.

Well, isn't that something? He hasn't even taken office yet and is already going against the grain. I wonder what the wise king thinks about this.

Of course, there is also a possibility that he is performing a double act with the wise king, specifically saying this to the Democratic Party crowd before taking office.

$BTC #加密市场观察

Tom Lee stated he will never sell Ethereum.
I don't know if he's just bragging!
Whether you believe it or not, I believe it.
#ETH走势分析 $ETH

🔥Teda invests 700 million to acquire Juventus! JUV tokens surge by 18%, key operational points to be stored quickly📈

- Core message: Teda has officially submitted a takeover offer, pricing at 725 million euros for 65.4% of Juventus shares, with a premium of 20.7%, and has promised an additional investment of 1 billion after the deal⚽️
- But key reminder: The major shareholder has clearly denied negotiations, and the offer will automatically expire if there is no response by December 22 at 18:00⚠️
- JUV market surges: 24h increase of 40%, transaction volume surpassing 60 million, turnover rate soaring to 85.39%📊
- Nature of the token: Juventus fan token, allowing participation in club decisions + enjoying exclusive benefits, total supply fixed at 20 million pieces🔒
- Practical tips:
1. Position control is necessary; such concept tokens are highly volatile, and no single asset should exceed 3% of the portfolio💸
2. Focus on two key points: December 22 deadline for the offer + Juventus event dynamics, directly affecting market sentiment📅
3. Pitfall reminder: Historical high point has dropped over 97%, easy to retrace without substantial implementation, set stop-loss to avoid greed🛑
- Summary: Market driven by hotspots in the short term, need to rationally view the uncertainties of the acquisition, avoid chasing high prices, focusing on swings is more prudent✅

#JUV涨幅飙升泰达收购 #体育概念币 $JUV

🔥 Trump speaks! Federal Reserve personnel + interest rate big signals, a must-watch for the crypto circle 📈

- Core conclusion is to play it cool: next year's interest rate should be ≤1%, still aiming for the lowest globally 💸
- Federal Reserve nominees narrowed down to 2: Waller and Hassett are top choices, other candidates are also recognized ✅
- Rate cut actions are already under pressure: Trump talked with Waller for 45 minutes last week, directly asked about the stance on rate cuts, and the other party clearly agreed 📉
- Key demands cannot be hidden: requires the next Federal Reserve chairman to communicate with him before setting interest rates, maximizing influence 👊
- Core reason for rate cuts: $30 trillion in debt is unbearable, lowering rates can reduce financing costs and alleviate pressure 💰

💡 Crypto circle practical reminders:

1. Expectation of interest rate decline, probability of liquidity easing greatly increases, the crypto market is expected to benefit 📊
2. Focus on the progress of Federal Reserve personnel appointments, policies will be implemented faster once nominees are confirmed ⏰
3. Short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, prioritize attention on undervalued quality targets ($FET $HYPE , etc.), control positions and avoid blindly chasing highs ⚠️
$BTC #加密市场观察

Brother Maji has newly established a 10x leveraged long position in HYPE tokens, and has also increased his long position in ETH by $26 million with 25x leverage. $HYPE

He has already lost $21 million, and the media reports his losses every day. We see him continuously adding to his losses, seemingly never able to run out. It feels like the joy beans, gone one day and given away for free the next. $ETH
In light of Brother Maji's touching stories recently, I always feel like if I go against him, I might make some money. What does everyone think?

Let's still let him hold onto some of the new favorite dogs of Lao Ma: p U p P I e S. Even if there are no more joy beans given away later, there is still hope for a thousandfold or ten-thousandfold turnaround.
#麻吉大哥

Last year, Trump's eldest son had a net worth of 50 million, and in just a year, it has soared to 300 million.
6 times, 6 times. Only 6 times!
His dad is President Trump, and no one understands cryptocurrency better than him.
Moreover, $TRUMP , $WLFI is from his family; how many investors have they cut?
In just a year, it only increased 6 times; no one understands cryptocurrency better than his dad.
If it were me, I would have to increase it 10 times.

Musk's new favorite: p U p P I e S, no one understands old Musk better than I do; his dog must be... .
#加密市场观察

After the Fed's hawkish interest rate cut, the market plummets: Core analysis

The Fed's FOMC hawkish interest rate cut has landed, and the market has significantly corrected, with Bitcoin giving back all its gains within 12 hours before the meeting. This sharp decline is not due to a fundamental shift towards bearishness; the core reason is that the expectations before the meeting were too high, combined with multiple factors resonating together. $BTC

1. Core triggers of the sharp decline

1. Concentrated profit-taking: The expectation of an interest rate cut was fully priced in ahead of time, with previous market expectations of a cut reaching 95%. Last week, large traders built positions early, betting on liquidity easing, which drove the market up; after the Fed officially announced the rate cut and the monthly purchase of $40 billion in short-term government bonds, whales concentrated on cashing in profits, triggering the first round of selling.

2. Rising uncertainty over interest rate cuts: Powell's press conference sent tightening signals, mentioning a weak labor market and high inflation, while the dot plot shows only a high probability of one rate cut in 2026. The expectation of easing was dashed, and the formal start of the sharp decline occurred after the close of the US stock market. $ZEC

3. Earnings reports transmit bearish sentiment: Oracle's Q2 earnings report fell short of expectations, with adjusted revenue missing the target and capital expenditures increased, leading to a post-market stock price crash of over 11%, dragging down US stock futures; the market is worried that the AI bubble has peaked, and panic sentiment quickly transmitted from the stock market to the cryptocurrency market.

2. The essence of the sharp decline and long-term trends

1. Core logic of the sharp decline

- The expectation of an interest rate cut has been fully reflected in the price, and liquidity trading has been positioned ahead of time;
- Powell did not release strong easing signals, and concerns in the AI field have spread, triggering a wave of profit-taking.

2. Long-term trend remains unchanged

- The Fed has cut rates three times in a row, and in the next 30 days, it will start purchasing $40 billion in short-term government bonds monthly, a scale that may be maintained for several months;

- Rate hikes are not a baseline scenario, with the economy expected to grow steadily in 2026, and the actual weakness in the labor market leaves room for subsequent easing;

- The liquidity environment in 2026 is expected to be significantly better than in 2025, and this expectation has not yet fully reflected in current prices; the current decline is a case of expectations outpacing reality. $MDT #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察

Last night, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, which was in line with predictions. However, the understanding king stepped up: not enough, completely insufficient, no one understands interest rate cuts better than I do.

Trump has deep resentment towards Federal Reserve Chairman Powell; he once again criticized Powell in public, stating that a 25 basis point cut is not enough to make America great again, you old Powell are the sinner, the cut should at least be doubled.

Trump said that the stock market should continue to rise, cryptocurrencies should rise, and I want to make America great again.

Strong community + new consensus + great emotions + V God supports + old horse new dog: p U p P I e S, let cryptocurrencies be great again, no one understands it better than the understanding king.
$BTC #美联储降息

‼️Reminder: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time, followed by Powell's press conference at 2:30 PM. Market volatility is expected.

Key Points to Watch

- Time: Interest rate decision will be announced on December 10 at 2:00 PM Eastern Time (03:00 Beijing Time on the 11th), and Powell's press conference at 2:30 PM (03:30 Beijing Time).

- Main market expectation: A 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50%-3.75%, with a probability of 93%, likely presenting a hawkish rate cut (raising the threshold for future rate cuts simultaneously).
- Key focus: Dot plot adjustments, number of dissenting votes (expected 2-4 votes against), balance sheet operations (or proposing a monthly short bond purchase plan of 45 billion), Powell's statement on the interest rate path for 2026.

Predictions on the Impact of Cryptocurrency Market

1. In line with rate cut expectations: Weaker dollar + liquidity easing, reducing the cost of holding crypto assets, boosting mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, which may push prices up and enhance activity in DeFi and staking; combined with policies facilitating institutional participation, further amplifying upward momentum.

2. Hawkish rate cut/maintaining rates: Suppressing market risk appetite, dollar rebound, mainstream cryptocurrencies likely to retrace, sensitive altcoins like SOL and XRP may experience more volatile fluctuations, potentially triggering large liquidations.

3. Clear divergence in the decision: A high number of dissenting votes leads to policy confusion, with funds likely favoring large-cap cryptocurrencies like BTC, while small coins see valuation divergence due to intensified capital withdrawals, amplifying fluctuations in market trading volume.

(Ensure risk control, closely follow policy trends to avoid pitfalls) #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH

Foreigners say $DOGE will rise to 7.2 dollars, what does this concept mean? Market value 1 trillion. And how much is the market value of Ethereum, which is currently ranked second? Only 400 billion. A cryptocurrency that lacks core technology, doesn't engage in serious business, and only posts dozens of tweets every day on X, why does Dogecoin think it can surpass Ethereum and take the second position?

Relying on love? No! Relying on Musk.

I heard that Dogecoin can now be used to buy things in the Tesla store, and maybe soon it can really be used to buy a Tesla. This is making them so happy that they feel like they are going to the moon.

But looking at the price, it hasn't really moved; any increase is still following the big brother. Now, relying solely on Musk shouting a few slogans and giving some small benefits is no longer enough; if it really wants to rise, it still needs significant positive news.

Of course, with Musk leading the way, anything can happen, even if Dogecoin does nothing and just sways by posting a few irrelevant tweets.

If you believe in it, then love it! If you don't believe in it, then don't pay attention to it.

Strong community + new co-creation + big emotions + Vitalik's support + Musk's new dog: p U p P I e S, telling a new story. Are we going for it?
$ETH $AXL #加密市场反弹

📌 (Beijing Time) December 11th, 3:30 AM, the Federal Reserve's press conference, Powell's 3 core speeches will directly affect market direction. 👇

❶ Is the interest rate cut threshold raised?
Currently, the market speculates on "hawkish easing," and Powell is likely to propose higher conditions for interest rate cuts.
After all, there are significant internal disagreements, fearing that excessive easing will cause prices to rebound.
Pay close attention to whether he mentions the "opposing views of the interest rate cut committee"; this is a key signal 🔑
$AXL

❷ What does the interest rate cut rhythm look like in 2026?
Previously hinted at cutting only 25 basis points per year, and may pause in the first half of the year.
If the dot plot shows 1-2 interest rate cuts next year (less than the previous expectation of 3), the market will likely react, and we need to be alert to the signal of a slowing pace 📉

❸ Inflation + Employment Qualitative + Structural Adjustment Response

- Inflation: Likely still say "below the peak but above the 2% target, stickiness remains," tariff impact is not urgent.
- Employment: Mention "both supply and demand are slowing, it's balance not demand contraction," no need to panic about recession.
- Structural Adjustment: Likely to emphasize "data-driven decision-making, maintaining independence," stabilizing market confidence, will not delve deeply into impacts 💡
$ZEN

💡 Operation Reminder:
Morning volatility will amplify, don't blindly chase orders, wait for signals to clarify before taking action.
Focus on the first two points of statement, which will directly determine short-term capital direction, remember to set up risk protection ⚖️

$ETH #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储FOMC会议

🔥🔥🔥Breaking: On December 9, Trump stated in public that he would use whether to immediately push for interest rate cuts as a "touchstone" to evaluate the next Federal Reserve Chair, which is seen as one of the necessary conditions for appointing this position.

In short, one sentence: to be the Federal Reserve Chair, one must cut interest rates.

The probability of Kevin Hassett taking over is almost 99%, as he has publicly stated that if he is appointed, he will cut interest rates immediately.

A president who has the nomination for Federal Reserve Chair must cut interest rates, and a candidate who wants to be the Federal Reserve Chair must cut interest rates. It just clicks!

Regardless of how you look at it, as long as the new Federal Reserve Chair is in place, interest rate cuts are already a given.

Favorable for cryptocurrencies. Strong for P u P pies!
$BTC #加密市场观察