刘天

Empty empty empty, special cat! What will happen to Bitcoin next? A comprehensive analysis of the next 3 months' trends.
20 times potential! Which coin can have a 20 times + increase in the bear market? The coin I am most optimistic about is this one!
Can ZEC still be shorted? What is the shorting point? The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plan has been revealed, will there be another rate cut in January?

Here is a dual currency investment tutorial for everyone. The interest from 100,000 U is equivalent to the interest from 1,000,000 U. Currently, the daily interest for a regular investment of 100,000 U is only about 3 U, but with dual currency investment, you can achieve a daily interest of 36 U.

If you buy dual currency investment for 10 days at 76500, you can freely choose your target Bitcoin price and investment duration, and it will automatically correspond to the interest.

If Bitcoin reaches 76500 within 10 days, it will automatically buy Bitcoin at 76500; if it doesn't, you'll receive an annualized interest of 14.5%.

The premise is that you do not refuse to buy Bitcoin, and you can choose the price yourself.

You can refer to the following image for specific operational steps:

Continuing the downtrend strategy from October, here is my updated personal strategy (updated on 11.4):

1. Currently, the price of SOL: 159.8: slightly adjust the strategy to invest daily within 160 (cost price), tentatively 5 coins per day. Invest 10 coins daily if below 120. Do not invest temporarily if above the cost price (160).

2. Currently, the price of LINK: 14.8: adjusted the strategy: invest 50 coins daily if within 16, and 25 coins daily if above 16.

3. BTC continues the thought from October; if there is an opportunity to break 100,000, then start a fixed amount (not fixed quantity) investment.

4. For Ethereum, it seems early, considering below 3200. No plans for now.

The above is based on my current cost price, considering BTC at 86,000, ETH at 2,400, and SOL at 160 as the cost basis.

——————

Based on October, I optimized the version of the investment strategy.

Weekly Market Analysis (10.12)
Summary:
1. The tombstone line and guillotine in the US stock market
2. Since September, the risks of the US stock market have been emphasized multiple times, as well as the possibility of peaking in October
3. Next week, the US government shutdown is expected to end, while a large number of ETFs are pending approval
4. Once again emphasized, at the end of a bull market, it is essential to control the amount of funds and leverage.
5. The impact of this decline on me.
6. Bear start? Continue to spread the horn to break new highs?
7. The magical indicators of global M2 liquidity and MA999

Operations:
1. Holding long position for $BTC ; if next week can stabilize above 116000 (preferably pushing above 120000), then the long position will be held until around October 22. If the rebound next week is weak, I will close the long position on Saturday. After closing the long position, the spot will exit synchronously.
2. Holding long position for $ETH , with a stop loss at 3400, the rest will follow the Bitcoin operations.
3. The long position for $SOL has been fully closed, and the spot operations basically follow Bitcoin. However, if Bitcoin performs well, the SOL spot will also be fully closed on Saturday, rather than waiting until the week after next.

Currently, the time for my “mid to late October” profit-taking is approaching, and I plan to maintain my plan unchanged. However, to be frank, the current bullish outlook carries a bit of speculation.
Considering the technical aspects: the extreme deleveraging behavior has just ended, combined with the daily bottom divergence;
Fundamentals: The US shutdown is expected to end next week, and a large number of ETFs will be launched in the next two weeks;
Mystical indicators: the aforementioned daily MA999, along with M2 and the Bitcoin price being highly negatively correlated at a small level.
Moreover, the greed index is currently only 32, and market sentiment is panic; under such circumstances, even if there is no significant rebound next week, the probability of continuing to decline is also very low. Since it has already been decided to exit around October 22, it really doesn't matter if it is one or two weeks.

In fact, this wave of decline has many unexpected factors; normally, it shouldn't drop that much. The fact that two coins, ATOM and IOTX, can drop to zero is extremely absurd. Some say it's because of "Tariff War 2.0"; this claim does not hold water because Trump mentioned the tariff war at 11 PM, and the US stock market and cryptocurrency indeed fell, but the crypto market showed considerable resilience, still at 117000 until 3 AM, with the major crash happening at 5 AM. Therefore, it is clear that the dominant reason is the decoupling of USDE; since the decoupling has been repaired in a short time, there is no reason for further declines next week.