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I don't know how much the interest rate hike will be the day after tomorrow #日本加息暴击BTC #日本加息

The Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 0.25% on December 19, which is the day after tomorrow.

During the past three rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, the price of Bitcoin has fallen each time.
March 2024 → -24%
July 2024 → -30%
January 2025 → -32%
December 2025 → _____
#ETH走势分析 #日本央行加息
Let's guess how much this wave can drop.

On December 16 (Tuesday), the United States will release the first non-farm payroll report after the government shutdown, which is said to include partial data for October and complete data for November. Subsequently, on December 18 (Thursday), the first CPI report for the past two months will be released, also including partial data for October and complete data for November. According to consensus estimates, economists expect that the previous month will create 35,000 jobs, indicating that the labor market will continue to slow down. At the same time, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to rise by more than 3%.
#美国农业 #美国非农就业人数

On December 18 (Thursday), the UK and the European Central Bank will announce their interest rate decisions. Following that, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision on Friday. Meanwhile, central banks in Thailand, Indonesia, Sweden, Norway, Mexico, Russia, and Hungary will also announce their latest interest rate decisions.

The most striking signal comes from Japan. The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to make a landmark interest rate hike this Friday, which stands in stark contrast to the global trend of rate cuts over the past year. #加密市场观察 #日本加息

#美联储重启降息步伐
Tonight will be very exciting. Let's see if #ETH will play between 3600-3700 for a week or crash.
For now, I won't consider the possibility of a reversal; confidence is more valuable than gold! Confidence can only be restored through time!

Pancake
From the 1-hour structure, as long as BTC stabilizes
in the 92300-92800 range, the bullish trend will not
be damaged; a pullback is an opportunity, not a risk.
The real risk lies in wanting to chase after you see an
increase, and panicking when you see a pullback.
Buying on the pullback at 92300-92800 is the main
strategy.
Target: 94200-95500
A second breakthrough at 94600 will continue to open up
upward space. Only a drop below 91500 will switch to a
pullback structure.
Ether
The ETH large-scale trend remains strong; after breaking
the 3300 mark in the afternoon, it entered a main upward
wave, reaching a high of 3397.
Currently, it's in a high-level sideways movement on the 1-hour
chart, which is part of a strong trend’s turnover, not a top
structure. The MACD momentum is still being released,
the 4-hour Bollinger Bands upper track is fully opened,
indicating that tonight's market still has room for a
second rise.
Considering the news (U.S. stock rebound + on-chain
sentiment warming + ETF expectations heating up), the
funding environment is biased towards bullishness,
the outlook remains predominantly bullish. In terms of
operations, it is recommended to mainly follow the trend
with low buys, 3300-3330 is a good pullback support
zone, with a target towards 3380 and strong resistance
at the 3450 area. Aggressive traders can short lightly
between 3380-3400, but only for pullbacks, and stop-loss
must be well managed.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
#美联储重启降息步伐

Was last night's rate cut priced in early?
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹

Domestically, it is relatively much safer. For example, big bloggers like Lan Zhanfei who go abroad cannot fully guarantee their own safety, having been transferred more than ten million. This makes my currency exchange operation feel a bit enjoyable #蓝战非
#非洲绑架

$ZEC I have noticed that many people have been paying attention to this coin recently.

This trend is somewhat similar to the history...
#ETH走势分析 #比特币波动性

The dead coin $LUNC is back, let's go for it!

#日本加息
Small Days

Last night, the entity truly broke through to Ether #以太坊暴涨

Pancake BTC
After BTC surged to 94185, it did not accelerate further and instead made a high position above 93000. At this point, two types of trends are most likely to occur. Either it will pull back to confirm support and then rise, or it will spike up and shake off those chasing the price. So now it's not about taking risks, but about discipline—focus on 92800-92500 below; as long as it does not break during the pullback, it's a good opportunity to gradually buy long. First, look at 93600-93900, then at the previous high pressure of 94185. If it consolidates above 94200 with increased volume, it will truly open up space, targeting 95000+. Conversely, if it weakens near the previous high, a short position can be taken to catch a pullback, but remember: short positions should only be taken during pullbacks.
Pancake ETH
ETH did not stabilize after reaching 3239 and has switched from accelerated rise to high-level pullback seeking support. Don't treat the pullback as a crash, and don't chase prices around 3180—what's most important now is to confirm whether the support is effective. The key level is 3185-3165. If it holds here, the pullback is likely to end, rebounding first to 3215-3225 before challenging 3235-3245. Once it falls below 3165 and cannot reclaim, don’t hold on stubbornly; the pullback target will likely go to 3135-3120 to find support. Gradually buy long during the pullback at 3165-3185, with a stop loss of 15-20 points to capture rebound gains; if it rises to around 3225 and clearly can't break through for a while, a short position can be taken for a quick entry and exit. #加密市场观察

According to the overnight order provided to everyone last night, it is basically at the highest point. Short positions near 3220-3230, defending above 3255 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Crazy Good News #ETH走势分析

Near ETH80-85
Take profit at 60-30
Ride a wave of the pullback market #ETH走势分析

#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 BTC This wave pulled back from 83786 to 93000+, trading on the upper Bollinger Bands for 4 hours, indicating a strong trend. However, it is currently stuck at the previous high pressure of 93550. Here, it's easy to see a spike followed by a washout and pullback. If the pullback does not break, go long; if it breaks and stabilizes, chase it. If the resistance is not strong, do not force it. For a pullback to 92600-92850, go long with a stop loss below 92200, first looking at 93550, and if it breaks, then look at 94500-95000. If it spikes to 93550-93850 and shows evident weakness, you can short with a small position, targeting 92800-92000. ETH is currently in a deep V pullback, with the price hovering around 3050. The core message is twofold: above, 3070-3100 is the previous high resistance area, stabilizing here will lead to relative secondary acceleration. Below, 3000-2995 is the bullish line; if it can't hold, it easily retreats to the 2965 area. Tonight's strategy is straightforward: if the pullback to 3000-3020 holds, prioritize going long, and if it spikes to 3090-3100, take some profits. If it faces clear resistance at 3070-3100, only short for a pullback, and do not stubbornly fight against the momentum. For those who want an easier time, join our internal group live stream to monitor the market together, entering and exiting in sync, with free copying of trades.

This is a trend prediction I gave everyone yesterday, but it didn't perfectly materialize. The rise yesterday was still very strong, and even now, the second pancake is still strengthening.

#ETH走势分析

12.1
A new week, a new month, starting with a large bearish candlestick at the hourly level, erasing a week's gains. The pullback at the weekly level is quite decisive, with Bitcoin down 3.5% and Ethereum down 5.5%. It is more appropriate to short on the rise today, and one can also test long positions at key levels. If there is support during the weekly pullback, one can enter. The weekly pullback is also a preliminary bottom for the monthly line; as long as the previous low is not broken, this might become the last washout. If the previous low is broken, it will have to re-test the bottom. The potential for long positions depends on the Fed's rate cut space; current liquidity is facing exhaustion, often small funds can create significant waves, with spikes everywhere, a wave after a consolidation, then another consolidation. The sustainability is very poor.

Bitcoin: Short on the rise during the day, with significant support levels for long (such as above the 4-hour level). The key focus today is whether the previous low from last month can be broken, which is of utmost importance. The bearish strength in the morning is particularly strong, especially with a drop of 3000 points in the 1-hour timeframe, which exceeded expectations. If a long wick can probe the bottom at the 15-minute level or above, one can try long.
Support: 85000, Resistance: 91500

Ethereum: Mainly shorting from the high, the sustained low-volume rise has turned Ethereum into a trap, easily misleading one to believe in strong bullishness. In the morning, it dropped 150 points in one hour, which is significant. The key point is whether Bitcoin can make a new low; there is no need to focus on Ethereum's new low. If Bitcoin makes a new low, Ethereum will follow with a drop. Just the timing might be delayed, making it even more deceptive. Buying the dip early can easily result in losses.
Support: 2793, Resistance: 2965, 2990
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察