远哥早知道

Regarding the latest thoughts on Bitcoin, it has been consolidating for a month and has recently broken downwards. The daily chart has broken below the middle band, and the structure has weakened. 87–88 is the lower support, and there may be a rebound, but it's just a correction within the downtrend.

The market is not finished yet; what we really need to wait for is the structural levels below. 69–74 is the key range, with 74 being the tariff bottom from April and 69 being the previous bull high, which serves as level support.

During the decline, do not chase rebounds; just wait for the sentiment to release. Around 70 is where the cycle-level opportunity lies, plan for long positions, targeting 130. Waiting for the right position is more important than frequent trading. $BTC #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Brothers, Binance has opened the chat room friend addition feature!
Whether it's chatting or discussing orders, you can find me directly.
Open the chat room, search in the upper right corner 🔍56256268, add me as a friend to communicate together! $BTC $ETH $BNB #山寨季将至？

Pancake intraday analysis
Overall, it hasn't broken out into a new structure, and the price is still fluctuating within the range that started on the 13th. The real volatility node is at 21:30 on the 16th, with Non-Farm Employment and unemployment rate being released together. Today feels more like a buildup of emotions for tomorrow, so no directional trading during the day; stick to the range.

Upward, we still see the drop point as resistance; if it reaches around 90500, consider shorting, with a stop loss at 92000 and looking down to 88500, which is a normal retracement space at the upper edge of the range.

For support below, look at the range from 88200 to 87800; if it holds, you can try going long, with a stop loss at 86700, first looking up to 89700, and then to 90500.
Today's core message is just one word: wait. The real direction will be clarified tomorrow night. $BTC #美联储降息 #巨鲸动向

The pancake goal has arrived as scheduled, will Ethereum be far away $ETH $BTC #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

Weekend liquidity is relatively weak, Saturday is mostly a sideways consumption, suitable for relaxation without hard resistance. The truly valuable reference is from Sunday evening to Monday early morning, which often gives early signals for next week's direction.

Recently, the market has been like a roller coaster, essentially a process of consolidating at the bottom. Before the consolidation is completed, emotions fluctuate; after it is finished, there is often a trend market. Opportunities do not wait for anyone, but the prerequisite is definitely risk control first.
The technical aspect is still bearish.
The Bitcoin daily chart has retreated from its high, and the weak oscillation has not changed. The hourly chart shows a weak rebound, with lows continuing to decline, the bearish structure is complete, sentiment indicators are sluggish, and in the short term it is still a bearish oscillation rhythm. There is no rush in operations, wait for positions, wait for confirmation.
Bitcoin trading strategy
Short in the 91699–90999 range, stop loss above 92699, target 88999–87888
Ethereum trading strategy
Short in the 3139–3179 range, stop loss above 3231, target 3041–2991
The strategy is very clear, do not chase over the weekend, wait for the right position to act, patience is an advantage. $BTC $ETH #美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场观察

Bitcoin's Strategy Today

Bitcoin rebounded after holding the line at 89000, the rhythm is still trending upwards, tonight the key focus is whether it can touch the range of 95000 to 96000 again. As long as it does not firmly stay above 95000, this area will still be a resistance, and any pullback will be a low buy rhythm.

Ethereum continues to be stronger than Bitcoin, the daily W-bottom structure is complete, there's a strong sense of the end of the washout phase, volatility will increase, but the direction is still leaning towards a rebound.
The core logic has two points: Bitcoin's relative value to gold is close to the 200-week moving average, long-term value is relatively low; young wallets continue to accumulate, new funds are filling positions.

Intraday Rhythm
Support at 88000 to 88500 for long on pullback
Resistance at 94000 to 94500 for short on rebound
Volatility is brewing, the strength of the next few K-lines will give direction $ETH . $BTC #ETH走势分析 #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹

The MACD has crossed down, the lower Bollinger band has also broken, and the volume has increased significantly, indicating that the bears are aggressively selling. The short-term outlook is definitely bearish. Targeting 88,500 and 89,200 is the dead line.

Open a short position around 90K, be decisive! Target: first 89,200, then 88,500. Set a stop loss at 92K, don't hold on.

For a long position, buy a little at the low of 89,200 (RSI breaking below 30 + volume surge).
Sell high at 91,500 $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹

Federal Reserve interest rate decision and economic expectations are here this Thursday

Big market movement is coming, brothers can come in to discuss the market #美联储重启降息步伐 #亚洲家族办公室加密资产配置 #比特币波动性 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #BTC

The pancake has pulled back from 94k and has made a weak rebound, currently stuck around 89k, consolidating above the lower Bollinger Band.
This position indicates that the bulls are not dead, but the bears are still unwilling to give in.
The volume has significantly shrunk, and the market is waiting for direction. The green bars of MACD are starting to shrink, but DIF is still above the zero line and moving downward, indicating that the rebound strength is not enough.

It now feels like a "second choice". If it can regain 90.5k, the market will quickly turn optimistic and lead the mainstream back on the offensive. However, if it breaks below 88.5k, the lower range of 87k–86k will be tested once again. This is the key interval.

A significant direction is likely to appear within 12 hours. $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美股2026预测 #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 #加密市场观察

Ethereum 3040–3080 is a stable structure during this sideways movement, rather than a struggle after a breakdown. The price is running close to the middle of the Bollinger Bands, and the bulls are still maintaining the rhythm. The MACD shows a shortening of the red bars at a low level, which forms a divergence with the price stabilization, indicating a positive phenomenon. Although the trading volume is not large, it is relatively more stable compared to BTC and SOL.

The current structure is classified as a "strong consolidation," waiting for Bitcoin to provide direction.
Once Bitcoin stabilizes above 90k, or any strong bullish candle drives sentiment, ETH will be among the first mainstream coins to follow the rise.

Focus on the breakout nodes at 3150–3200 above.
As long as it does not fall below 2970, this is a healthy consolidation. $ETH #ETH走势分析 #美联储降息 #美联储降息预期升温

XRP's trend is similar to SOL, but slightly softer.
After failing to break 2.21, it has been declining steadily, now clearly below the 4H Bollinger middle band, with K lines moving sideways, and strength is completely not on the bullish side.
After the MACD death cross, the green bars have been continuous, although they are starting to shorten, but no reversal structure is visible. The volume continues to shrink, and large funds have not entered the market.

Now it is a typical "weak oscillation bottom range", but not a "starting point". It needs the price to return above 2.05 and stabilize, and for the 4H to produce a volume-increasing bullish candle before we can talk about a trend reversal.
Otherwise, there is still a probability of a second retest in the 1.98-1.95 area.
Overall rhythm is weaker than the market average, and there is no need to preemptively lock points. $XRP #代币化热潮 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察

SOL has pulled back after reaching around 146, currently consolidating around the 132 level. The price is running just below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, exhibiting a typical 'weak rebound + waiting for direction'.

The lower Bollinger Band has clearly started to tilt upwards, but the price has not followed, which is a sign of fatigue.
The MACD has entered a weak red zone at a low level, with the bars shortening but not forming a clear reversal strength.
Overall trading volume has shrunk, indicating that this period of consolidation resembles a 'bearish pause' rather than 'bullish accumulation'.

This situation resembles a transition period after a downtrend, with no strong signals for takeoff observed. If BTC cannot stabilize below, SOL may continue to drop once more, potentially testing the 129–126 range before a more substantial rebound could occur.
The short-term outlook is weak, and anyone looking to go long must wait for 'low point confirmation + volume return'; rushing in now could easily lead to volatility. $SOL #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #SOL上涨潜力

BTC analysis, the big coin is bottoming out, patience in holding positions is key.
Currently around 89000, after a slight rebound following a dip on the daily chart, the price is above MA5 but under pressure from MA10. The volume peak reflects institutional selling, MACD golden cross is subtly appearing, and RSI is in the strong zone at 60. Adjustments after halvings are normal, and the Fear index is at a high.

Short positions should not be heavily leveraged; if it breaks 88000, it can be lightly shorted to 85000, with a stop loss at 91000, targeting a short-term gain of 3-5%.

For long positions, this is currently a window to increase holdings, with strong support at 85000; lightly increase positions to 95000, with a long-term target of 100K+.

Macroeconomic interest rates have an impact; it is recommended to build positions in batches, with total positions <30%. ETF inflows are key. $BTC #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #山寨季将至？

The current price of Dogecoin is 0.14, located near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that volatility may be building up after a contraction. The price has touched the lower band and slightly rebounded, which is a typical oversold signal, combined with an RSI of 39.05, suggesting short-term bearish momentum is weakening.

Support at the lower band is valid if it holds above 0.136, making it easier to push towards the middle band, with a target of 0.1488.
If the bandwidth continues to narrow, the probability of a false breakout increases; a break below the lower band would accelerate towards 0.12.
Operational advice is to enter with a light long position, set a stop loss below the lower band, and pay attention to the volume increase for confirmation. $DOGE

The large pancake near 92600 is horizontal, having connected three consecutive 4-hour bullish candles, but the trading volume has clearly shrunk, with a net inflow of -210 million, a typical bear-controlled rebound. The upper Bollinger band at 95200 is pressing down hard, and the MACD red bars are shortening, about to turn green; the current position is the most comfortable for a bull trap. Volatility remains high, and if the US stock market dips a bit tonight, a liquidity pull could directly push it below 90,000.

The strong resistance is first seen at 93500-94000; as long as this range does not stabilize with volume, it's a false breakout. The lower defense is at 88000-88500; if it breaks below, accept the loss and exit, don't resist hard.

Light shorting at 92600-93000, first look at 91500-91000 before exiting.
If it really drops to around 88500 tonight, directly short long without thinking, set the stop-loss at 87800. Above 93500-94000, I'll give another wave of short orders, targeting a return to 90000-90500.
The market is just about cutting leeks back and forth; don't cling to battles, move when the point arrives, rhythm is a hundred times more important than direction. #ETH巨鲸增持 #BTC走势分析 #BTC

The magician from Missouri inserted an RFID under the skin, turning it into a portable cold wallet, sounding like future technology becoming reality. However, he forgot the password, leaving the wallet inside his flesh, the money in the sky, and himself stuck in the middle, unable to move.

Now there are two options. Either spend several weeks forcefully trying to crack it, relying on software to gradually unlock it, which is a tedious and torturous process; or directly go into the operating room and surgically remove this "wallet" from under the skin, a real-life version of unboxing, except what you're unboxing is yourself.
The core issue is actually very simple: technology is not the problem; humans are the biggest vulnerability. No matter how you turn the wallet into cyberpunk, it cannot prevent the old habit of forgetting passwords.

This story will repeat itself in the future. As wearables, implantables, and on-chain identities get closer to the body, human forgetfulness will increasingly escalate issues. Binding digital assets to the body sounds impressive, but as soon as the password is lost, the body becomes the last lock instead.
Looking back at these cases in the future will be like flipping through old photos: when humans first stuffed a wallet into their skin, they found out that forgetting the password was even more troublesome than brain surgery. $BTC $ETH #币安区块链周 #ETH巨鲸增持 #加密市场观察

The big pancake Ethereum intraday analysis
A big bullish candle directly pushed out 7000 points, the panic selling pressure from the weekend was instantly swallowed, and the 4-hour rebound became a strong extension. The core support zone has been raised to the 91000 line, and buying pressure has held back the selling pressure from previous highs. Focus first on the upper track of 96000-97000; as long as the daily line can stabilize above 94000, the smell of a medium-term trend reversal will become stronger.

Ethereum is accelerating; if it stays around 3000, the selling pressure can be completely worn off. The rhythm is to follow the trend and go long, without touching the top.

Strategy recommendation: return to 90500-91000 to go long, continuing to push upwards following the main rising logic. $BTC $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #币安区块链周 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

The consolidation before the rise was already written in the script. Based on Washington time, this technical point falls on November 30th, and locally it just turned to December 1st. Currently, in the fundamentals, only the Federal Reserve has stopped QT, while other ignition factors are still on the way, so this position's pullback is completely reasonable. Bullish signals have already emerged. Once the interest rate decision is made, the market's pace will accelerate again. The real large-scale market movement will occur in the first half of 2026, and the trend will not be absent. Stay calm, hold your positions steady, the road is opening ahead. $BTC $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #美联储比特币储备

This news from Hainan is uncertain whether it's true or not, but if it is, it carries significant weight.

Some areas are directly connected to the global internet, which is equivalent to equipping the free trade port with a genuine "international channel." Data can go out, services can come in, and the barriers for cross-border business will be rapidly lowered.

This is not a small policy; it's an adjustment at the level of industrial structure. Foreign investment, technology, and cross-border services will all be re-energized.
In simple terms, Hainan is upgrading the "experimental zone" to an "international entry point." $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #香港稳定币新规

The recent fluctuations of Bitcoin resemble a rubber band stretched over a slingshot, with power accumulating, just waiting for that final release. 88500 is the bottom anchor point; if it holds, the structure will continue to extend upwards; if it doesn't hold, the market will move downwards in search of liquidity, opening up space for bears.

Ethereum's scenario looks more like a lake that cannot be stirred, with upward and downward forces canceling each other out, and a sense of direction has yet to brew. The weekend is inherently lacking in liquidity, and systemic funds won’t make significant moves during this period, resulting in sideways consolidation becoming the main storyline. Once volatility expands again, ETH will reveal its true intentions.

This compressed silence won’t last long; the rhythm of the next few K-lines will be the trigger point for this round's direction. #BTC #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持