马上逆袭成功

On December 16, 2025, Ethereum showed a significant downward trend, clearly pressured at key price levels. Current analysis:
From yesterday to today, Ethereum has dropped over 6%, with the price hitting a low of $2932, fluctuating around $3100 during the day, and failing multiple times to stabilize above the 50-day exponential moving average at $3280. Moreover, market panic is strong, with over $600 million in cryptocurrency contracts liquidated within 24 hours, a high proportion of which were long liquidations, and the phenomenon of Ethereum investors cutting losses is widespread, further exacerbating price volatility.
In terms of support levels, $3000 is an important psychological support level, with the key support range being $3017 - $3000. If broken, it may drop to the $2940 - $2749 region; regarding resistance levels, recent key resistance is at $3175 - $3200, with further resistance at $3280. Meanwhile, short-term strategies indicate that one could lightly short in the $3095 - $3145 range, with a stop loss of 30 points, targeting below $3000 with proper stop loss management.
The daily RSI indicator is at 49, below the critical value of 50, showing early bearish signs, indicating that the current upward momentum of Ethereum is insufficient, with bearish forces temporarily occupying #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH .

On December 16, 2025, BTC exhibited a downward trend, with prices breaking key support levels. Current analysis:
During the day, BTC once dipped below the key level of $86,000, hitting a low of $85,578, which represents a decline of over 30% from the historical high in October, with some periods experiencing a drop of over 4%. The funding situation shows a 'surrender-style adjustment' with retail investors and short-term capital concentrating on stop losses, but institutional holdings remain stable, with some even increasing their positions, collectively holding about 5.94 million BTC, accounting for nearly 30% of the circulating supply.
The daily K-line EMA trend indicator is spreading downward, forming a bearish trend, with EMA15 creating a resistance level at the $90,000 mark, and the lower Bollinger band failing at $86,700; however, the four-hour K-line shows that the market has entered an extremely oversold territory, indicating a certain demand for rebound. At the same time, after a previous surge, a high-level oscillation box was formed, with frequent upper shadows, and the moving averages are flattening, indicating a short-term sideways continuation phase.
The market is experiencing intense long and short battles, with sentiment retreating from greed to caution, and outside capital is leaning towards a wait-and-see approach. In the past 24 hours, the entire cryptocurrency market has seen over $600 million in contracts liquidated, affecting 184,600 individuals, of which $505 million were long positions liquidated, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Binance - BTCUSDT, valued at $11,581,800 with a stop loss of #BTC走势分析 #加密市场观察 $BTC

On December 15, 2025, BTC experienced a significant pullback followed by a rebound. Current analysis:
BTC reached a minimum of $87967.8 during the day and then rebounded to around $89000, fluctuating with a drop of approximately 2.48% over the past 24 hours. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network exceeded $270 million, involving more than 110,000 investors. Among them, long positions accounted for $230 million in liquidations, making up 85.2%, with long traders suffering far greater losses than short traders.
Currently, BTC is in a large range of fluctuation between $85000 and $94500, with core support in the $88000 - $89000 area. If it falls below this level, it may further test $85569; the strong resistance zone above is between $92000 and $94200. Only a breakout with volume beyond this range can restore upward momentum. On the 4-hour chart, several moving averages converge to form resistance around $90500. A breakout here could signal a key bullish indication #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析 $BTC

Ethereum weekend liquidity low focus tonight on December 14, 2025:
Today's Ethereum price fluctuates below $3200, within the core range of $3000 - $3130. There are positive signals in the short-term technical outlook, with the daily chart RSI in the bullish zone at 54, and the MACD has also issued a bullish crossover signal, attempting to challenge the key resistance level of the 50-day exponential moving average at $3310. If broken, the next target could be towards $3592. The current rebound strength of bulls is weak, and there is a high probability of continued decline after fluctuations. Short positions can be laid out in the range of $3160 - $3180 and levels like $3160, $3200, etc. If it breaks below $3000, there is a high probability it will test around $2900.
After the activation of the Fusaka upgrade on December 4, not only did it expand the Blob capacity by 8 times, but the included EIP - 7825 proposal also paved the way for L1 zkEVM, laying the foundation for Ethereum interoperability and subsequent scaling. However, this upgrade caused issues with Prysm nodes, resulting in a loss of approximately 382 ETH rewards for validators. Although it has been fixed, it also exposed the shortcomings at the network testing level #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH

On December 14, 2025, BTC is in a critical fluctuation period with unclear market direction. There is a lack of liquidity on weekends, and the focus is on tonight's early hours. Today's analysis: During the Asian trading session today, BTC returned to the $90,000 mark, fluctuating in the range of $89,000 - $91,000. Due to poor market liquidity over the weekend, volatility is relatively calm, but there are concerns that there may be market fluctuations on Sunday. The upper side faces strong resistance between $94,150 - $94,236, while $90,000 serves as a key psychological support level. If it breaks below this, it may drop to the $85,900 - $86,300 area, and there is also strong support at the $88,000 level. The daily MACD shows bullish signals, but the RSI has not broken through the 50 midline, indicating insufficient upward momentum. The 4-hour chart has formed a 'double top' pattern and is still at the end of a triangular consolidation, under pressure from multiple moving averages, with short positions dominating in the short term. Meanwhile, the key point is around the $90,700 mark on the 4-hour Bollinger Bands midline. Currently, BTC is at a key technical pivot point for the year-end trend, and we need to wait for a breakout above the resistance area near $94,200 or a drop below the $90,000 support for a clear direction #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析 $BTC

On December 13, 2025, Ethereum showed a significant downward trend. Current situation: Ethereum's decline has expanded to 5.6%, currently priced at $3120, with an intraday low of $3040, approaching the critical level of $3000. Previously, its price was in an ascending triangle pattern but failed to break the high three times. After breaking down from the pattern in the evening, it initiated a decline. Following the current significant drop, it has entered a consolidation phase, fluctuating in the $3050 - $3110 range today. The daily chart shows a potential Evening Star bearish pattern. The large bearish candle on the 12th clearly indicates a bearish trend, with the EMA moving averages in a bearish arrangement. Although the hourly chart shows gradually rising lows, it is merely a weak rebound, and trading volume is shrinking, indicating strong wait-and-see sentiment. The RSI on the hourly chart is close to the oversold range, suggesting a slight possibility of rebound, but the strength is limited. The intraday resistance range is $3190 - $3221, and the support range is $2998 - $2945, with $3190 becoming a watershed for bulls and bears. In the future, it is essential to focus on the gain or loss at the $3000 level. Holding this level may trigger a rebound, and in the short term, consider going long in the $3000 - $3050 range, with a stop loss at $2950 and a target looking towards $3100 - $3250. Please take care with stop loss #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH .

On December 13, 2025, Bitcoin shows a fluctuating downward trend, with 90,000 becoming a key battleground. Current analysis:
The current price of Bitcoin is $90,320.21, with a 24-hour decline of 1.9%. The intraday volatility is severe, with a maximum price reaching $93,070 and a minimum touching $89,400, resulting in a maximum amplitude of over 4.8%. In the past 24 hours, there has been a liquidation of $170 million for Bitcoin single products across the network, with long position liquidations exceeding 75%, indicating prominent misjudgment of market conditions by retail investors using high leverage.
The daily chart shows a consolidation pattern, with MACD expanding upwards but DIF and DEA slowing down as they approach the zero line, indicating a clear short-term bearish trend; the four-hour chart is consolidating at the bottom, with MACD reducing volume and DIF and DEA forming a death cross. Resistance above focuses on the $94,000 - $94,200 range, while effective support is at the lower $89,300 level on the Bollinger Bands' lower track, with mid-line support at the $85,500 level. Additionally, the daily RSI is at 58, situated in a healthy bullish zone, and has not yet reached overbought levels.
Currently, the market lacks liquidity, so it is crucial to defend the $90,000 - $91,000 support zone. If maintained, it is highly probable to trigger a rebound, with resistance at $94,000. Long positions can consider the $89,000 - $89,500 range, defending at $88,500, with initial targets at $90,500 - $91,000. If broken, targets can extend to $91,500 - $92,050; for short positions in the $91,700 - $92,300 range, defend at $92,800, with initial targets at $90,800 - $91,200. If broken, targets can look to $89,500 - $90,300 while ensuring stop-loss at #btc走勢 #加密市场观察 $BTC

December 12, 2025 Ethereum is primarily in a volatile pattern. Current situation:
Ethereum previously encountered strong resistance at $3400 and fell back, oscillating narrowly around $3200 during the day, having dipped to $3140 before recovering. It is currently in a consolidation phase after retracing previous gains, and compared to Bitcoin, it shows slightly weaker performance.
Key support level to watch is $3150, which is a critical on-chain support with a large number of positions concentrated here; if it breaks down, it may test $3100 and $3000. Resistance levels are concentrated between $3280 - $3320, with further resistance in the $3350 - $3400 range.
In the 4-hour chart, the MACD has a dead cross with decreasing volume, and bearish momentum has somewhat weakened, but a golden cross has not formed yet, indicating limited short-term momentum recovery; the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at $3230 forms resistance, and EMA15 provides support at $3122; the STOCH RSI is in an overbought state, suggesting a certain demand for short-term pullback. Make sure to set your stop loss #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH

On December 12, 2025, Bitcoin exhibited significant volatility and has since been in a consolidation phase. Currently, analysis indicates that after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, Bitcoin briefly surged above $94,000, followed by a sharp decline, dropping below the $90,000 mark this morning and hovering around $89,800. It then rebounded, rising over 4% from the daily low. The current focus is on key price levels, with strong resistance forming in the $93,000 - $94,000 range, where multiple attempts to break through have met obstacles. The 4-hour chart shows weak short-term momentum, with the MACD indicating a death cross, yet overall it remains within an upward channel. Short-term support is concentrated in the $88,000 - $89,000 area, which is also a critical lifeline for bulls; if lost, it may further decline to $85,000. Looking at a broader range, support can extend to $91,000 or even $90,300. The intraday structure is likely to maintain a downward bias within the consolidation range, as bullish momentum has been fully exhausted. Additionally, the hourly chart shows a converging triangle pattern, with the magnitude of pullbacks gradually decreasing after multiple tests of resistance. Stop-loss set at #美联储降息 #比特币波动性 $BTC

On December 11, 2025, Ethereum was affected by the Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cut, surging before significantly retreating. Current situation:
Today, Ethereum's trend synchronized with Bitcoin, initially rising to around $3450 following the Federal Reserve's rate cut news, then quickly falling back, stabilizing around $3280 for the day. At one point, it struggled around the $3260 line, and the five-day bullish trend was halted. The capital situation is relatively favorable, with its spot ETF receiving funding favor. For example, the BlackRock's staked Ethereum ETF attracted $620 million in funds within the first ten days of its listing. However, the market is highly volatile, with over $300 million in liquidations across contracts in the past 24 hours, affecting more than 110,000 people, and Ethereum is also caught in a long and short squeeze.
Different levels of chart signals show discrepancies; the daily chart previously indicated a bullish trend with a moving average lineup, but the price encountered resistance at the daily MA60 moving average and there was a formation of a evening star pattern indicating potential pullback risks; the 2-hour chart is in a fluctuating upward trend, although MACD momentum is weakening. The current price has not broken through the key resistance of $3397, nor has it fallen below the key support of $3250, showing significant range-bound characteristics with a rising short-term adjustment demand.
The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points this time but released hawkish signals. The dot plot indicates plans to only cut rates by 25 basis points in 2026, weakening expectations for a rate cut in January next year, which is the core factor leading to Ethereum's surge and retreat. Currently, it is mainly a rebound short strategy, and make sure to set a stop-loss at #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析 $ETH

After the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on December 11, 2025, Bitcoin exhibited a sharp downward fluctuation. Current situation:

In the early morning, after the Federal Reserve announced the third interest rate cut of the year by 25 basis points, BTC briefly surged to $94,500, with the daily chart showing two consecutive long upper shadow candlesticks, indicating strong selling pressure around $94,000; on the 4-hour chart, the price is in a neutral state within a dual moving average system, the MACD green momentum bars are declining, and the fast and slow lines are about to form a high-position death cross. The 1-hour chart has already formed a death cross, and there is a high probability of further downward movement during the day. At the same time, $90,000 serves as a key support level under this pattern. Recent inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have significantly slowed, with approximately $60 million net outflow on December 8, reflecting cautious institutional attitudes; however, whales are actively accumulating at market lows, showing that large holders still have confidence in the market's future. Overall market sentiment is affected by short-term fluctuations, hovering near 'extreme fear.' The short-term core focus is on the effectiveness of the $91,500 support. If it fails to hold or dips to $88,800; if it can stabilize and rebound above $94,000, it may continue the upward trend with a stop loss of #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC

$ETH

Ethereum's strong performance as of December 10, 2025:
Last night, Ethereum fluctuated upwards from around 3100, once reaching a high of 3397, and this morning it retracted to around 3300 and stabilized. Its strength is partly due to the sector's linkage effect from Bitcoin ETFs, and partly thanks to its own active ecosystem and market recognition of its resistance to downturns after upgrades, with net capital inflow increasing over 24 hours.
The daily level shows four consecutive bullish candles, breaking through the previous fluctuation range, with moving averages contracting upwards to form a bullish trend. Momentum indicators like MACD have golden crosses upwards, and the K-line once broke through the upper Bollinger Band before retracting to contest support. Key resistance is concentrated in the 3400 - 3500 USD area, where there are many trapped orders, making it difficult to break through; strong support below is at 3200 - 3250 USD, with a short-term moving average cluster at 3150 - 3180 USD being an important defense level. If this area is maintained, the upward structure will be intact, with a key focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be announced at 3 AM tonight, which may reverse at any time #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析 $ETH
$BTC

On December 10, 2025, BTC exhibited a strong breakout followed by high-level oscillation, influenced by expectations of interest rate cuts. Current analysis:
In the early morning, BTC strongly broke through $94,000, reaching as high as $94,500, with an increase of over 4% in the past 24 hours. However, it subsequently retreated due to not breaking the resistance level of $95,000, and is currently stabilizing at the key level of $92,000, with intense competition between bulls and bears at high levels.
The resistance level above is closely near $95,000, which is both a psychological round number and a recent area of strong liquidity. A breakout could lead to a target of $97,000 - $100,000; below, $93,000 has shifted from previous resistance to initial support, with more critical support levels at $91,000 (the top of the previous platform) and the $88,000 - $90,000 range. In terms of technical indicators, the daily EMA trend indicator is contracting upwards, and the MACD is continuously increasing its volume. The 4-hour chart RSI has the potential to enter the overbought area, indicating a short-term need for a technical pullback. The key tonight is that the interest rate cut situation may reverse at any moment #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
$ETH

On December 9, 2025, Ethereum exhibited a volatile situation:
Since yesterday, Ethereum rose to 3180 before retreating, bottoming out at 3076 and rebounding to oscillate around 3150. The current price is fluctuating around 3100, showing a more pronounced resilience compared to Bitcoin. It dropped to $2900 from the evening of December 8 to the early hours of December 9, then gradually rebounded without further extending the decline.
The daily chart has seen consecutive bullish closes with progressively higher highs, the EMA trend indicator is contracting upwards, and the candlestick has stayed above the EMA15 trend line at 3050 for three consecutive days but bullish momentum is weakening; MACD has increased volume and accumulated positions, and the Bollinger Bands are contracting, with the upper band at 3215 and the lower band at 2735. The four-hour chart shows stronger performance, with the candlestick repeatedly testing the resistance level at 3170, MACD has consistently increased volume and formed a golden cross, while the upper Bollinger Band at 3154 has been breached multiple times, indicating bullish strength over bearish.
Resistance is concentrated in the range of 3180 - 3240, which is a resistance platform formed by yesterday's and earlier rebound highs, with a core resistance at 3240; in terms of support, the short-term support is at the 3050 level, with strong support at the psychological level of 3000. If this level is breached, the risk increases. Always set a stop-loss at #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH

Market dynamics and current situation on December 9, 2025:

Since yesterday, BTC has broken through $92,000, then faced a sell-off and quickly fell back, once dropping below the $90,000 mark. It hovered around $90,500 at noon. In the past 24 hours, over 96,000 traders have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount exceeding $280 million; there has been continuous capital outflow from Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S., and the trading volume on exchanges has turned negative. Many investors are taking a wait-and-see attitude, and market sentiment is weak.
On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are in a contracted state, with the upper band at $94,050 and the lower band being the key boundary of the range. The EMA30 trend line at $93,300 acts as resistance, while the 20-day moving average at $89,300 provides support. The 4-hour chart shows a significant sideways pattern, with the EMA trend indicator contracting. The upper band is at $91,640 and the lower band at $88,400 forms a volatility range. The MACD shows insufficient volume, and the short-term trend is unclear, requiring a breakout signal. If the Federal Reserve releases dovish signals, BTC is expected to challenge the resistance range of $93,000 - $95,000, and if broken, it could look towards $99,000 - $100,000; if a hawkish stance is indicated, prices may test the support band of $85,000 - $88,000, and falling below $80,000 could lead to further declines to $60,000. Most opinions suggest a short-term wait-and-see approach before entering the market after support or resistance levels are broken. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #BTC走势分析 $BTC 15

On December 8, 2025, Ethereum showed a rebound. Current situation:
Last night, Ethereum hit a low of $2903, then V-shaped rebounded to around $3150, an increase of over 8%. The 24-hour high reached $3132.62, with a market capitalization maintaining around $375 billion. However, the subsequent upward momentum is insufficient, and the price is consolidating in the range of $3050 - $3110. Overall, this is a technical recovery from last week's oversold market. From a technical perspective: the short-term resistance above is first seen in the $3150 - $3180 range, with further resistance at $3220 - $3250. If it can effectively break through, it is highly likely to open up upward space to $3400 and above; on the support side, $3000 is the key psychological level, and at $3050 there is a previous breakout point and a daily moving average level forming support, with further support in the $2900 - $2950 range. Additionally, while the price is rising, short-term indicators like MACD and RSI still show bearish signals, and the divergence between price and indicators indicates that the foundation for the rise needs to oscillate upwards. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH

On December 8, 2025, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, and the technical indicators show that it is currently in a critical range of speculative trading. The current situation:

After hitting a low of $87,800, Bitcoin rebounded sharply, reaching a high of $91,700, before falling back into volatility. This morning, it fluctuated around $91,000, showing an upward trend over the past 24 hours, but during the day, bulls and bears have been battling around the $90,000 mark, with the total liquidation amount across the network reaching $350 million, highlighting the intense short-term fluctuations.
The core influencing factor is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on December 10, with the market currently pricing in an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. If the rate cut is implemented, it could provide liquidity support for Bitcoin; however, there are internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding rate cuts, and uncertainties such as the balance sheet plan, combined with institutional fund recovery at the end of the year, have led to cautious market sentiment, resulting in the current volatile market.
On the daily chart, prices are attempting to build a consolidation box between $87,000 and $92,000, currently at a central position, with resistance concentrated at $91,500 to $92,000, and further resistance at $93,000 to $94,000; support is initially seen at $89,000 to $89,500, with strong support located at $87,500 to $88,000. If this range is broken, it may trigger a deep correction. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are flattening and narrowing, indicating a balance of short and long forces in the short term, and the MACD indicator is not synchronously strong, suggesting insufficient rebound momentum, likely maintaining a range consolidation.
For high short and low long positions, those looking to trade can short between $92,300 and $93,300 with a stop loss at $93,800. For long positions, you can test the entry point between $87,300 and $88,300 with a stop loss of 1,000 points but be mindful of the resistance above. Take profit when you see a good opportunity, and always set a stop loss #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC

On December 7, 2025, Ethereum is at a critical stage of the bull-bear game, with prices fluctuating around key ranges. Current situation:

Today, Ethereum is trading in the range of $3026 - $3050. Similar to Bitcoin, trading volume has halved in the last 24 hours, and the overall market activity is flat, as investors remain cautious due to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. The recently completed Fusaka network upgrade has improved network throughput, supporting the long-term ecosystem, but has not significantly pushed prices to break through in the short term.
Key support and resistance: On the support side, $3000 is an important psychological support level, and the 20-day moving average near $2988 provides strong technical support, with a 2-hour level forming support in the range of $3040 - $3050; on the resistance side, $3070 is a key short-term resistance, while $3200 above is an important threshold that opens up upward space, with stronger resistance concentrated in the range of $3350 - $3400.
Technical and funding signals: The technical outlook presents conflicting signals, with the MACD indicator showing signs of increasing bullish momentum, but the 2-hour trend is weak, and a bearish pattern resembling a 'evening star' has appeared on the daily chart, suggesting potential short-term pullback risks; additionally, the ETH/BTC exchange rate has broken the downtrend line, which may indicate a shift of funds from Bitcoin to Ethereum. In the derivatives market, the open interest in Ethereum futures has soared to $60 billion, with a long-short ratio exceeding 2.5, but option trading volume has decreased by 23%, with the market leaning more toward futures trading. There is no liquidity focus on Sunday, closely watching the night market. #ETH走势分析 #美联储降息预期升温 $ETH

On December 7, 2025, Bitcoin showed a volatile consolidation trend, with bulls and bears competing around key price levels, and the short-term direction remains unclear. Current situation:

1. Price performance: On that day, Bitcoin broke down below $89,000, with a nearly 1% decline during the day. Previously, it rebounded from the monthly low of around $86,000 and has been repeatedly contesting the $90,000 mark, currently in a volatile recovery phase after the decline. In a short time frame, the 2-hour candlestick chart showed consecutive upward movements, indicating a slight upward trend. The MACD indicator suggests short-term rebound momentum, but the bearish pressure on the daily level has not completely dissipated.
2. Key points: Resistance levels are concentrated between $93,000 and $95,000, which is the key threshold for initiating a higher-level rebound; support levels are between $88,000 and $90,000, with $89,000 being the short-term dividing line of strength. If it fails to hold above $88,000, it may drop to $86,000 or even lower positions. If the $90,000 mark cannot be effectively broken through, the market is likely to trend down further, with a focus on the night market #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 $BTC