老唐说币-

How many people fall victim to market fluctuations? They get euphoric and increase positions with small rises, panic and stop losses with small dips. Clearly, the trend hasn't changed, yet they are disrupted by short-term volatility, ultimately missing out on real profit opportunities! In the early hours, Bitcoin first dipped and then rose, stabilizing after reaching the key support level of 85314, with a morning high of 86863; Ethereum synchronized, strongly rebounding from a low of 2789, peaking at 2846. The Bitcoin long position publicly suggested in the morning was precisely set at 85832, and decisively exited at 86819 during lunchtime, successfully locking in nearly 1000 points of space. Friends who followed have already made a fortune!

From a technical standpoint, the current market is overall consolidating in the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the moving average system showing a bullish arrangement. The 5-day moving average continues to cross above the 10-day moving average forming a golden cross support. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are maintaining a sticky operation above the zero axis. Although the red histogram momentum has contracted, there are no signs of a downward turn, indicating that the short-term volatility is a strong consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Looking at recent trends, both Bitcoin and Ethereum perfectly fit this strengthening pattern; each pullback is a process of bullish accumulation. Even if there are short-term pullbacks, they can quickly recover lost ground and continue to rise, solidifying the bullish trend foundation. Therefore, the operational strategy in the afternoon does not need hesitation; following the pullback remains the core strategy.

Bitcoin: Buy near 86000 on pullback, stop loss at 85500, target at 88000.
Ethereum: Buy near 2800 on pullback, stop loss at 2760, target directly at 2930. $BTC

Recently, due to some personal matters, I was unable to update the market insights on time, which left many of my loyal followers waiting for several waves. Now that my personal issues have been resolved, I am officially back, and the update rhythm is fully restored to normal! The volatile market can be mentally exhausting, and trends can change in an instant. In the coming days, I will accompany everyone in the market to "take advantage of the situation"! The market in December has entered a critical window period. Missing out on small profits is not significant; the focus now is on seizing larger segments! Following my rhythm, hitting the right points, and maintaining a stable mindset, we aim for everyone to walk away with substantial gains in the year-end battle in December, marking a perfect conclusion to this year's trading!

The four-hour cycle experienced a strong surge before quickly giving back all gains and retreating to the starting position, forming a typical double wash trend. Currently, market dominance is temporarily skewed towards bears, but there are no effective breaks below critical support levels, and the short-term market will maintain a pressured and volatile operating pattern. The MACD indicator continues to be in a weak zone, with the fast and slow lines entering a consolidation phase, indicating that the market's directional decision point is approaching. On the hourly cycle, weak signals have fully emerged, with the K-line pattern showing clear bearish characteristics, and the Bollinger Bands opening downwards, with bearish momentum continuously releasing, resulting in a sustained downward trend. It is important to note that the key support below has not yet been lost, and further pullback still has room for extension. In terms of operations, it is recommended to align with market trends and set strict stop-loss measures to guard against the risks of sudden reversals in the market.

Big Cake: It is recommended to set up long positions around 85500, targeting 87000.
Second Cake: It is recommended to set up long positions around 2800, targeting 2900$BTC .

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Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum market at dawn

The volatile market is the most challenging for the mindset, but the more it swings up and down, the more we need to stay steady! Don't be misled by the small tricks of the main players; remember the strategy and anchor points. Only by enduring the volatility can we seize the subsequent strong trends! After Bitcoin's sharp drop yesterday, it didn't continue to fall nor rebound, but has been fluctuating around the 90000 mark. The current market is a typical case of exchanging time for space; we must be patient and wait for the direction to become clear. As long as the key resistance level above is not broken, we will continue to focus on a low-buy strategy during the day.

Currently, the volatility pattern is intact, and the play of selling high and buying low remains reliable. From the 1-hour K-line perspective, when the price plummeted to the key support level last night, buying funds poured in, firmly catching the sell-off and preventing the decline from expanding. The market then entered a consolidation phase. Now, the chart is filled with small red and green candles alternating, with fluctuations becoming smaller and trading volume decreasing. Both bulls and bears are temporarily at a stalemate, and the market has entered a short-term adjustment period. Everyone, don't panic; volatility is just a warm-up before a major trend starts. As long as the core support level holds, and the trading volume gradually builds up, it will provide strength for the next wave of upward movement. The more it is like this, the more we need to stay calm, adhere to the core logic, withstand the fluctuations, and stand firm in the market.

Bitcoin: Buy in the 90000-89500 range, with a target first looking near 92000.
Ethereum: Buy in the 3070-3100 range, with a target first looking near 3200. $ETH

The volatile market is the most frustrating! Watching the candlestick charts swing back and forth, buying leads to drops, selling leads to rises, many people lose their composure, either chasing the trend at the high points or panicking and cutting losses at the low points, getting slapped in the face repeatedly, and their mindset directly exploded! At this stage, absolutely do not engage in the foolish act of blindly chasing highs and selling lows! Rather than repeatedly stepping into pits and losing principal in the volatility, it is better to follow the main trend and patiently wait for a trend breakthrough after the market clarifies, to safely obtain the most reliable returns!

The four-hour chart clearly indicates the signals! The market rebounded strongly after falling to the lower Bollinger Band, pulling out three bullish candles to rise all the way, and directly breaking through the resistance of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, with the moving averages turning upwards to form a golden cross support, solidly establishing the bullish market! More importantly, multiple long lower shadows appeared at the bottom, the green bars of the MACD indicator are getting shorter, and as soon as the red bars emerge, the volume starts to increase, indicating that the support below is particularly solid, the bearish selling pressure is weakening, and the momentum of the bullish rise is increasing, making the subsequent upward trend very clear; just follow the trend and go long!

Open a long position near 90000 for Bitcoin, target directly at 92000!
Open a long position near 3080 for Ethereum, target locked at 3200! $ETH

The turbulent market is the most challenging for mentality! Watching the K-line oscillate back and forth, buying leads to drops, and selling leads to rises. Many people can't hold their patience, either chasing at the high points or cutting losses at the low points. After being repeatedly slapped in the face, their mentality collapses! At the current stage, the most taboo is this kind of blind chasing and killing operations! Instead of repeatedly making mistakes in fluctuations and wasting capital, it is better to follow the main trend and layout accordingly, focusing on core targets to seize wave opportunities! Remember, steadily control the position rhythm, and patiently wait for the trend breakthrough after the market clarifies, to accurately capture the most certain returns!

From a technical perspective, the four-hour cycle chart provides clear guidance! After the market strongly touches the lower Bollinger Band and rebounds, it not only shows a three consecutive bullish candles but also breaks through the MA5 and MA10 moving average resistance. The moving averages turning upwards form a golden cross support, solidifying the bullish pattern! More importantly, multiple long lower shadows appear at the bottom, and the MACD indicator's green bars continue to narrow while red bars start to increase. This indicates that the support below is strong and solid, the bearish selling pressure is gradually weakening, and the bullish rebound momentum continues to deepen, making the upward trend increasingly evident. The subsequent trend rhythm continues, and one can simply follow the trend to layout for long positions.

For Bitcoin, decisively open long positions around 90000, targeting 92000!
For Ethereum, directly enter around 3050, with the target locked at 3150$BTC

In a volatile market, not holding positions stems from a lack of confidence! Without a clear strategy to support you, rises cause anxiety and falls cause anxiety! Follow Lao Tang, set the direction with a strategy, lock in profits with key levels, and even in chaotic fluctuations, you can still handle it steadily! The morning market first surged and then faced pressure, immediately entering a fierce tug-of-war of bulls and bears! Bitcoin repeatedly tested the 92300 level, while Ethereum fluctuated around the 3250 line. The overall trend remains a volatile upward movement, with bulls steadily grasping the rhythm! We accurately positioned a Bitcoin long in the morning, decisively entering at 91571, and then the market rose all the way, exiting with a precise profit-taking at 92594, cleanly securing a 1000-point space! For those keeping up with the rhythm, wasn't this wave of profits delightful?

On the four-hour level, the price oscillates around the upper Bollinger Band, and the pressure from the morning's decline has gradually exhausted its momentum, currently fully entering a repair and consolidation phase! The middle track of the Bollinger Band forms a strong support level, quickly rebounding after being touched, and the long lower shadow at the bottom further highlights the strong buying strength of the bulls, with the rebound and repair trend continuing to strengthen! The one-hour level also shows bright performance, with the price running below the upper Bollinger Band, displaying a strong pattern of three consecutive small bullish candles! Although short-term market momentum has slightly slowed, the overall focus is steadily rising, which undoubtedly lays a solid foundation for the continuation of future rebounds! The trend is king, and we act in accordance with the trend! The subsequent layout ideas are clear, directly following the trend to pursue longs!

Bitcoin: Buy directly near 92000, targeting 94000!
Ethereum: Buy decisively near 3200, targeting the surge towards 3350$ETH

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In the evening, we relied on the support of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands for a bullish outlook, but unfortunately encountered a stop loss. This wave of movement fully confirms that in a volatile market, the breakthrough of support levels is often accompanied by traps that entice buying.

However, there is no need to panic! A stop loss is not a failure, but a warning signal from the market. The current market is still in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and blindly bottom-fishing can easily lead to pitfalls. What we need to do next is patiently wait for the trend to become clear: either wait for the price to pull back to the lower band and show a clear stabilization signal, or wait for a breakout of the middle band resistance with increased volume. At that time, we will enter the market to position ourselves, significantly increasing our win rate! $BTC

The current Bitcoin price is tightly fluctuating just below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which is a crucial watershed for the confrontation between bulls and bears. After a continuous decline, the price has entered a low consolidation range, and the bearish momentum has already weakened. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands has built an unbreakable support barrier. There is only one real signal to go long: the price stabilizes at the middle band, accompanied by a strong bullish closing with increased volume! This is the golden signal of bearish exhaustion and trend reversal, and it is the best time for us to enter the market.

The operational strategy is clearly given: you can decisively go long on Bitcoin around 90000, with a target directly looking at 92000. Seize the turning point of the trend, it is now! $BTC

The market only rewards the rational and steadfast, not the lucky gamblers. Do not lose your composure due to short-term fluctuations; do not doubt yourself because of temporary losses. Every fluctuation is a practice of trading, and every review is an advancement of capability. No matter how long the night is, dawn will come; no matter how twisted the market is, it will eventually return to an upward trend. Your current calmness and patience will eventually yield unexpected surprises at a critical turning point! Bitcoin dipped to the 89300 level, while Ethereum continuously retreated from the high point near 3400 in the morning, stabilizing after falling to the 3165 level, and then starting to rebound.

On the four-hour chart, the market previously fell from the upper Bollinger Band, continuously closing with bearish candles near the lower band. Although it seems to show signs of stabilization, the overall rebound strength is weak and has not returned above the middle band, indicating that the market is still firmly controlled by bears. Although a long lower shadow has appeared at the bottom, reflecting some support at low levels, the subsequent rebound clearly shows a declining strength, and its sustainability is severely lacking, failing to effectively drive prices away from the low area. The current trend essentially still belongs to the realm of technical repair. Switching to the hourly chart, the market has repeatedly closed with lower shadows near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that short-term support remains valid. However, during the rebound process, it has been firmly suppressed by the middle band, failing to form an effective volume breakout. Although there have been buy orders after multiple dips in price, they have not been able to convert into sustained upward momentum, directly reflecting the severe lack of following buy orders in the market, and bullish sentiment remains sluggish.

Bitcoin: Short directly near 91000, targeting 88000
Ethereum: Short decisively near 3250, targeting 3100$BTC

In the volatile battlefield of Bitcoin, no one can hit the mark every time. Even the most experienced traders cannot escape the sudden onslaught of black swan events and drastic market changes. You think you've bought at the bottom, and in the blink of an eye, there's a waterfall-like drop; you believe holding on is the way to go, only to wake up to find your account halved. This heart-wrenching pain, once experienced, makes you never want to go through it again!

Stop-loss is your life-saving float in the midst of raging winds and giant waves! It is not giving up, not weakness, but the smartest way to "play it safe." It helps you lock in a single loss within a range you can bear, like installing a safety gate on your position, preventing small losses from turning into large losses, and ensuring that a single mistake doesn't wipe out the hard-earned capital you've accumulated.

It's important to know that surviving in the cryptocurrency world is the true way to succeed! By decisively setting a stop-loss today, you protect the spark for a comeback; when the market warms up tomorrow, you'll have the confidence to return and seize the next opportunity to double your investment. Those clinging to the obsession of "holding on to recover losses" often find themselves dragged into an abyss with no bottom, with no chance for a comeback! $BTC

Every callback is an opportunity to get on board, and every persistence is a fulfillment of understanding. The path of the cryptocurrency market requires resilience to stand out; if you can't endure, you exit. Yesterday's market showed a strong rebound after hitting a low point, with Bitcoin dropping to 91563 before rebounding, peaking in the early hours and finally settling at 94476; Ethereum followed suit, stabilizing after dipping to around 3296, reaching a high of 3447, aligning well with Bitcoin's overall rhythm.

From a four-hour analysis, after the price surged and then retreated, it recorded several small bearish candles with long upper and lower shadows. The upper shadow highlights that the selling pressure above has not been completely released, while the lower shadow confirms strong buying support below. The current price continues to stabilize above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the strong consolidation structure intact. The bullish trend remains solid, and the market has transitioned from a rapid surge phase to a sideways consolidation period, accumulating sufficient momentum for future trend extension. Observing on an hourly basis, the candlestick pattern shows alternating small bearish and bullish candles, with lower points forming a step-up pattern. The long lower shadows formed during multiple dips have all been quickly covered by bulls, indicating strong willingness to buy at lower levels. Although a previous long upper shadow caused a brief disturbance in market sentiment, it was by no means a substantive reversal signal. The price remains stable above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the morning trading strategy is clearly focused on going long at lower levels.

Bitcoin: Position long around 92000, targeting near 94000
Ethereum: Position long around 3300, targeting near 3450 $BTC

Hourly level view: The MACD bullish and bearish energy is entangled near the zero axis, with red and green bars alternating and reducing in volume, indicating that the short-term bullish-bearish game is stuck, and the direction selection window has not yet opened; however, the RSI indicator has steadily risen from a low range, leaving the oversold area, and this sign clearly suggests that market panic emotions are gradually being repaired, and selling pressure has significantly weakened.

Looking at the four-hour level, the MACD golden cross pattern remains intact, although there have been slight pullbacks during this time, it has not broken below the key support level, and the foundation of the upward trend has not been damaged. The current market is overall in a stage of consolidation, representing a healthy turnover during the upward process, preparing for future upward momentum.

Subsequent operation suggestions: Gradually place long orders around the 91500–92000 range, with stop-loss set below 91000, and the first target is set at 93500.

Powell's speech this time follows a hawkish then dovish approach, first mentioning that inflationary pressures have not been fully eliminated, and the interest rate hike path has not been completely blocked, which made the market tremble for a moment; then, he shifted his tone and released a warm signal of policy change, implying that the pace of interest rate cuts will not be absent, a definite positive signal!

For us in the crypto world, this speech does not mean you should rush in immediately, but it provides a clear operational direction—patiently wait for a pullback opportunity to enter long in the short term. The market is still digesting the news, and once this wave of sentiment fully ferments, funds will flock in, and the chips in our hands will be able to follow the larger troop, stepping in rhythm to welcome the sprint towards the bull market initiation! $BTC

1. Don't gamble for quick riches; first protect your principal.
In the cryptocurrency world, money is made from emotional fluctuations, not from easy wins. Price movements are completely unpredictable. Newbies should avoid going all in; don't max out your positions, leave room for maneuvering, and surviving is more important than anything else.

2. Only play with what you understand; stay away from wild paths.
Don't trust "insider information coins" or "get-rich-quick coins"; avoid projects with unclear logic. Mainstream coins may rise slowly but steadily, while obscure altcoins can drop to zero in an instant. Stability is always more reliable than excitement.

3. Minimize reckless operations; controlling your actions is key.
Most losses aren't the market's fault; they're caused by chasing trends and excessive leverage. Follow the trends, buy in batches, and maintain your emotions, which is more effective than any technical analysis.

In the cryptocurrency world, it's not about who can rush the fastest, but who can stay steady. $BTC

Although short-term ETH has stabilized at 3300, there is a large amount of trapped positions in the 3400-3500 range, and its correlation with BTC is very strong, making it difficult to escape the rhythm of "following the rise but not the strength." It is correct to firmly hold onto the core idea, especially as the market becomes more volatile before the current Federal Reserve decision, with BTC's 91000 support level and ETH's 3200 support level being key defense lines; maintaining these levels is essential for a complete upward structure. $BTC