Many people are asking: when exactly will this bear market end? No one can give an accurate answer right now, but based on a few key indicators in the market, the bear market hasn’t finished yet. The Bitcoin premium index has been negative for 46 consecutive days, indicating that U.S. institutional buy-side demand has remained weak and there hasn’t been any clear return of funds. Spot ETFs have continued to see net outflows, and institutions overall remain cautious rather than aggressively buying the dip. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy sold BTC earlier and rolled out a BTC liquidation/monetization plan, which further dampened market sentiment. Even though the amount sold isn’t large, as an industry bellwether, the signal it sends has made many people start to worry that the bear market may continue. At present, large holdings of BTC and ETH have already entered the loss zone. Long-term holders are still holding on, but many have already given up—and what’s needed is another thorough shakeout. As for where the bottom is… Some people think around 50,000 is the limit. Fuck that! #闪迪希捷美光股价下跌
$H seems to be frozen! The project was just stolen by hackers for $36 million, and the founder has now publicly said they want to reduce blockchain and decentralization business and shift to enterprise AI. Isn’t this basically an admission that the original story can’t be told anymore, so the first thing they do is dump and exit? They used to talk about on-chain identity and decentralization, but now they’re switching to AI. Wherever a sector is hot, they move toward it? Find a new narrative instead of solving the original problems? If they keep doing this, the token’s value will only keep weakening. Might as well change the name too...
Byte employees turned a $20,000 principal into $2,000,000 in a week. The key was that they nailed 0DTE options in the US stock market—options that expire the same day. The biggest feature of this type of option is extremely high leverage. The closer it gets to expiration, the more exaggerated the price movement becomes: if the stock rises just a little, the option could potentially multiply several times. But if the direction is wrong, within just a few hours it could also drop to zero. Their approach is very clear: it’s not a daily gamble. They specifically wait for earnings report days for companies like Apple, Google, and UPS. Because after earnings are released, the stock price usually experiences big swings, and they use that volatility to chase high returns. There are a few core steps: Enter only when earnings are near, to avoid paying too much in option premium too early. Choose an appropriate strike price; don’t go for the cheapest or the most expensive contract. Some positions are also built by buying in batches. The key is: after the earnings are released, no matter how much they make, they basically close the position immediately, with very few positions held for more than 24 hours. Don’t be envious. This is just a one-off case, and the person’s knowledge and courage are top-tier. For us crypto people, just study the actions of the “big players” in the market. Sometimes in crypto there are also such big opportunities. Wait patiently—so long as your principal is still there, the next lucky one could be you. $LAB
$SCRT has been included in the monitoring label by BN. Let’s see whether the big players will try to save themselves. Not long ago, they were just hit by a hacker attack. The official has been very active on social media, but that same day they didn’t respond to the attacked incident. Could it be that they want to deliberately add a label to BN, then take advantage to dump the market, and afterward quietly accumulate? The possibility of fully abandoning the position is unlikely. Find a good entry point and go long, brothers!
$VELVET long orders need to be closed, the coin price has dropped by nearly 80%. It’d be too much to keep buying at this point! Around 0.4, it’ll be a chance to bet on a market rebound again. At 0.6, you could have a 40% upside. Still the idea of picking up trash. Let’s do it!
Got it! What’s been flying lately is old coins small market cap pretty useless layer-2 junk Chinese are pumping... So what’s next? $ARIA circulating supply of five million market value—low enough, right? $TAIKO
$M obviously is exactly the same as $H at the time It’s just that the bottoming and repair took longer than the latter That’s why we have this kind of data now The numbers doubled+; within 24 hours, the trading volume suddenly surged 200%+ Short liquidations got wiped out by a little under one million This shows that most retail traders are still staying on the sidelines, thinking that entering during the process is basically “taking the bag” So did the big players—so when we entered at 0.9 last night, it was “relatively safe” Did you all follow Old Li’s thinking this round? There’s no paid group—just sharing viewpoints. Let’s do it!
$VELVET makes a quick counter-hand return to profit! The bookmaker’s intentions are too obvious, so it’s easy to do on the right side—just blindly charge into K.
老李财经
·
--
Bearish
$VELVET Cutting style matters—look good, and be fast! This sell-off is just the market maker using multiple accounts to aggressively short. In normal futures trading, there shouldn't be any sign of large sell orders on-chain. Instead, we got caught off guard. Keep watching. Once you confirm that the market maker has completely abandoned positions in the short term, you need to decisively jump in on the short side. Get the losses back.
$EVAA Still bullish—continuing! But the price action is really too slow. The pullback is disgusting; this is suitable for low-magnification “baby” traders—be patient and hold. Current circulating market cap is 17M. Once volume increases, reaching 100M is easy to see! Keep waiting...
$VELVET Cutting style matters—look good, and be fast! This sell-off is just the market maker using multiple accounts to aggressively short. In normal futures trading, there shouldn't be any sign of large sell orders on-chain. Instead, we got caught off guard. Keep watching. Once you confirm that the market maker has completely abandoned positions in the short term, you need to decisively jump in on the short side. Get the losses back.
Nonfarm payrolls moved up early! Tomorrow the US stock market is closed, so we’ll be able to see the short-term trading trend already tonight If the data is weaker than expected, the market will quickly price in an earlier rate cut, which is good for the crypto market Otherwise it’s bad news... Now, about the broader market Recently, spot ETF flows are still net outflows. Institutions overall are more defensive—they’re more focused on cutting positions than adding At the same time, in the derivatives market, demand for put options has clearly risen—people are buying protection The market still isn’t fully confident about the short-term outlook The long side is increasing; once this structure breaks down further, it’s easy to trigger a fairly large cascade of liquidations My personal view: this time’s Nonfarm Payrolls, even if it comes out during the holiday period, will likely be presented in a relatively more favorable way, so today I’ll wait for a low point to go for a left-side setup—there’s a good chance it’ll work out For reference: below 59,000 for BTC and below 1,580 for ETH! #非农就业数据
You’ve got to choose coins with a low market cap like this to bide your time and set up the trap! $TAIKO They’ve been going up non-stop—within 24 hours, liquidation volume reached over sixteen million. It all comes down to this funding rate; otherwise, short positions wouldn’t be that easy to push down. I told you—don’t be afraid of dying; those who enter to eat the funding fee don’t need to be scared. Go for it boldly!