Crypto小云日记

So silly, the official account was hacked #bnb
But it seems he doesn't understand how to play
Just send a ca
Can't even understand the hack, find a dead account, buy a 20b
Send a ca, I'll come and take a lick

Before 10·11 #内幕哥 , it was still profitable, but now it has flipped 😂

Current holdings:
#ETH Long position: $547 million, average price $3,173
#BTC Long position: $90 million, average price $91,506
#sol Long position: $33 million, average price $137.5

It is obvious that he has a deep love for ETH 💖, with large positions always on ETH, but this time, I wonder if he will be 'targeted' by everyone...
#巨鲸动向

The law of diminishing marginal returns tells us: every time #BTC halved, the supply-demand imbalance stimulus could lead to smaller future price increases compared to the past. 📉
In other words, the traditional halving cycle formula is gradually becoming ineffective, and the market rhythm is increasingly influenced by the macroeconomic and financial environment.
At the same time, the asset characteristics of BTC are slowly approaching #黄金 . 💛

When I was a child, my parents used to say, 'Gold should be hoarded,' and in the future, my back may also hear me say:

'Bitcoin should be hoarded…'

According to Coinglass data, as of December 13, #BTC is on the edge of a high-intensity liquidation zone.
#美联储降息
📉 Downward risk:
If BTC falls below $88,000, the cumulative liquidation intensity of long positions on mainstream centralized exchanges will reach $1.071 billion, which could trigger a chain reaction.

📈 Upward breakthrough:
If the price rebounds and stands above $92,000, the liquidation intensity of short positions should not be underestimated, with a scale of about $1.057 billion, and shorts may be forced to cover.

In summary: $88,000 downward is a minefield, $92,000 upward is the fuse, the choice of direction may determine sharp short-term volatility.
#加密市场观察

Farside Investors data shows that as of December 13, the United States #比特币现货 ETF saw a total net inflow of approximately 286.6 million USD this week, with overall liquidity remaining positive.

From the perspective of individual products:
#贝莱德IBIT continues to lead, with a net inflow of approximately 214.1 million USD
Fidelity FBTC: + 84.5 million USD
Bitwise BITB: + 24.6 million USD
ARK ARKB: - 11.1 million USD
Invesco BTCO: + 6.5 million USD
Franklin EZBC: + 8.1 million USD
VanEck HODL: - 25.2 million USD
WisdomTree BTCW: + 1.0 million USD
Grayscale GBTC: - 38.7 million USD
Grayscale BTC: + 22.8 million USD

Overall, funds are clearly concentrated towards the leading #etf , market sentiment remains cautious but has not turned bearish.
#加密市场观察

The judgment has been made, is LUNC stunned? Understand why it can still drop 45% at a glance.

#DoKwon was sentenced to 15 years in prison, harsher than the market expected, and emotions reversed instantly. Once the news broke, #LUNC retraced over 45% from its high this week, with a large amount of funds withdrawing, causing a market value evaporation💥.

📉 The technical aspect is also not looking good: the price has broken below the critical support level of 0.000047 (double top neckline), and the short-term trend is clearly bearish. The next line of defense is at 0.00002488, if it fails to hold, another drop of 45% is not alarmist.

But don’t rush to pass the death sentence👇
🧠 LUNC still has an active community for ongoing governance
🔥 Binance destroys tokens every month to provide underlying support

In summary: Emotional killing + technical breakdown is the core of the crash, whether it can stabilize going forward depends on community and capital attitudes.👀📊
#加密市场观察

Solana “Firedancer” launches, SOL surges 5%!

This week, #solana took a big step——the validator client developed by Jump Crypto #Firedancer officially went live on the mainnet! As soon as the news broke, the price of #sol briefly soared to $140, with a daily increase of about 5%📈.

Firedancer underwent 100 days of stable testing, successfully generating 50,000 blocks, capable of processing over 1 million transactions per second in an experimental environment⚡. Although this is just experimental performance, it marks Solana stepping out of the long Beta phase.

Early adoption rates are low (less than 1% staked), but 20% of validators have already migrated over in December. Running multiple clients can enhance network security and reduce the risk of single points of failure🔐.

The market response has been enthusiastic: $11 million flowed into the Solana ETF that day, while #BTC and Ethereum funds flowed out, showing that investors are bullish on SOL in the short term💰.

Whether Firedancer can maintain stable performance is worth watching in the coming weeks👀.
#加密市场观察

Tether is rising! USDT small transactions soar to 156 billion USD

#Tether [USDT] is growing! CEO Paolo Ardoino shares that #USDT has settled 156 billion USD in transactions under 1000 USD📈, with a seven-day average exceeding 500 million USD—small payments are booming, especially in areas where traditional bank services are expensive or inconvenient.

Not just payments, Tether is also eyeing the capital markets💼. The company may sell stocks, with a valuation of up to 500 billion USD, and even plans to tokenize stocks on the blockchain to enhance liquidity.
#美联储降息
Beyond stablecoins, Tether's reach extends to football🏟️ (Juventus acquisition case), artificial intelligence🤖, and commodities (116 tons of gold bars). USDT has transformed from a stablecoin into a global payment backbone, aiming directly at traditional financial giants🔥.
#加密市场观察

MYX surges! Next target $3.45!

#MYX exploded today, with an increase of over 13%, and the trading volume surged by 20% in 24 hours, reaching a transaction amount of $38.66 million 💥. The increase in trading volume indicates that confidence has returned, and short-term traders are flocking in 📈.

Open interest (OI) rose by 8.5% to $45.63 million, with top traders holding 64% long positions, and the long-to-short ratio reaching 1.79—everyone seems to be betting on continued upward momentum rather than rushing to cash out 🔥.

The technicals also support the uptrend: the price is firmly above $3.03, breaking through the downward trend line, and remaining above the 50-day moving average. The heat map shows that around $3.20 and $3.45 is a liquidity concentration zone, and a short squeeze may accelerate the rise 💎.

As long as the buying pressure continues and leverage is not rapidly withdrawn, MYX has a complete chance to test $3.45 ⏫.
#加密市场观察

Trump locks in the next chairman of the Federal Reserve? Hassett vs. Waller drama unfolds💥

The knowledgeable king has recently focused on two candidates: #哈塞特 & Waller. Hassett previously made a high-profile show and had too close a relationship with the knowledgeable king, leading to doubts both inside and outside the party📉, so now he is starting to be low-key, emphasizing independence, and also giving a thumbs up to Waller and Waller, which on the surface appears very stable.
#美联储降息
What about Waller? His strength is not weak: neutral interest rate faction💼, values data, respects inflation, has a deep Wall Street background, and understands the internal workings of the Republican Party. But the problem is, his relationship with Trump is more like a business transaction, not easy to completely obey.
#美联储FOMC会议
So why is Trump locking in both at the same time?
1️⃣ Weakening Hassett's external contradictions to prepare for the process
2️⃣ Waller stabilizes the balance within the party, acting as a supporting role
3️⃣ The real chairman is still Hassett; nominal obedience is the most important✅

Market probability fluctuations do not mean a change in direction📊; all signs indicate that Hassett is still the strongest candidate for the chairman of the Federal Reserve.
#加密市场观察

Cardano whales quietly hoarding, while retail investors are cutting losses? ADA may be set for a comeback!

Although over the past two months #ADA has been declining📉, on-chain data shows that large holders have been quietly increasing their positions.
🔹 100,000–1 million ADA wallets: increased holdings by 26,770 ADA since November 1
🔹 Small wallets (<100 ADA): sold 44,751 ADA during the same period
#加密市场观察
Santiment data indicates that this combination of "whales accumulating + retail selling" has historically been a strong signal at the end of the ADA bear market💡.

The price remains weak, hovering around $0.40, but the RSI is close to 40, and selling pressure is easing. Behind the whales' positioning is confidence in ADA's long-term potential—staking rewards, network upgrades, or a valuation reset after a drop are all possibilities.

If #BTC stabilizes📈, whale accumulation may signal a trend reversal. Short-term fluctuations? Yes, but the smart money positioning behind the scenes has already taken the lead.
#比特币波动性

Funds flooding in, but XRP is stuck at $2! The secrets behind the consolidation

In the past 19 days, #xrp net inflow reached $16.4 million, with a plethora of ETFs, bank collaborations, and infrastructure expansions… logically, it should be taking off, right?
#加密市场反弹
Yet the price remains steady around $2, volatility tightening, RSI hovering at 42, and MACD hasn't kicked in yet—it's clear the market is 'absorbing inflows' and hasn't fully acted.

🔹 Historical experience tells us: XRP often sees 'capital leading, price following'. Infrastructure and practicality are quietly accumulating, and the real reaction may have to wait until positions are fully established.

Short-term compression ≠ weakness; patience is key⌛. Capital and fundamentals are brewing, and once a breakthrough occurs, it could be the start of the next acceleration.
#加密市场观察

SUI quietly being "scooped up"? After $17 million in accumulation, $2.20 becomes the key level🚀

In the past week, over $17.17 million #sui flowed out of exchanges, clearly indicating that funds are accumulating at lower levels. Coupled with being included in the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW), market sentiment has clearly improved.

📊 The key range is very clear:
Support is concentrated at $1.51, while resistance is at $1.69. Currently, long leverage is about $17.6 million, while short positions are noticeably lower, with longs in a favorable position. Additionally, with continuous outflows in the spot market, the structure remains strong.

📈 From a technical perspective, as long as the daily price stays above $1.75, momentum is expected to continue to release, targeting $2.20 (+26%).

Although the volume is cautious, the structure, capital, and sentiment are aligned, and SUI is preparing for the next market move
#加密市场观察

Is DOGE about to make a big move? The structure is quietly changing 🐶

#DOGE 's trend continues to tighten, with the price compressed within a symmetrical triangle, while aligning with the high time frame Wyckoff structure. Higher lows + structural convergence indicate that selling pressure is weakening, and the market is gathering strength.

📊 Multi-time frame strategy is very clear:
The range thinking remains unchanged——buy at a discount, sell at a premium. Currently, DOGE is in the MTF extreme discount zone, and the 8H pivot point has appeared, with a focus on the SOS signal of the 3rd K.

⚡ How to play in low cycles?
Wait for BOS or LPS at the 3-minute level, break in to enter, set stop loss below the structure, with clean and straightforward logic.

📈 Although the daily line is still declining, the structure is clearly more stable. The symmetrical triangle + higher lows may indicate: the decline is nearing its end, and a directional market is on the way 👀
#加密市场观察

XRP Technical Analysis: Descending Triangle Warning

#xrp Recently dropped about 14%, with prices hovering around $2, the daily chart shows a narrowing descending triangle—a classic continuation pattern of decline. Both trading volume and derivatives trading volume have decreased, ETF inflows have reduced, financing rates turned negative, and bullish sentiment is low, indicating clear short-term pressure.

Technical indicators are weak: RSI 42, MACD still below zero, most moving averages are trending downwards. If the $2 support is broken, the downward trend may continue; conversely, if it breaks the upper trend line, a rebound may be possible, but the probability is low.

However, the launch of wXRP and DeFi activities still bring potential benefits, and there are long-term opportunities to focus on decentralized finance layouts👀.
#加密市场观察

Scaramucci: Solana aims to disrupt ETH

SkyBridge's Scaramucci stated at the Abu Dhabi Solana Breakpoint: #solana is the fastest growing, highly active, and low transaction fee, and its market value may surpass Ethereum in the future—but #ETH will not disappear and still has market share. He also introduced his new book "Solana Rising," claiming it is written for skeptics and believers.

He admitted to holding a large amount of SOL, with SkyBridge accounting for about 60%, and his personal investment portfolio at 6–7%, but he is not "only investing in one coin," as he is also optimistic about Avalanche and Ethereum.

As for the price? Scaramucci boldly predicts: SOL will reach 300–400 dollars by the end of next year, and in the next five years it could even hit 1000 dollars💥, provided that the regulatory environment aligns accordingly.

The River Emperor has debunked rumors, it seems the American #AI industry has encountered a power bottleneck confirmed😂
#加密市场观察

Is FSOC going to change? This wave of reform may have "unleashed" American finance!🚀

The U.S. Financial Stability Oversight Council (#FSOC ) does not directly regulate the market, but its status is equivalent to a "financial safety small parliament," long carrying the banner of preventing systemic risk.
Now, Bessent has suddenly pushed for significant reforms—adjusting its mission from "preventing financial crises" to "preventing overregulation." What does this mean?
#加密市场观察
In simple terms: the core regulatory body is deregulating.
Credit expansion is freer, capital markets are more flexible, and American finance's "one-legged" stance may continue to strengthen 💪💵

What's more critical for us is—
This may open a faster and more lenient channel for the diversification of Crypto and the integration of TradFi × Crypto.
If traditional finance lowers the threshold, on-chain assets, tokenization, and compliant pathways may all welcome a new window.✨
#美联储降息
Although many mock America's one-legged walking (over-reliance on financial economics), it seems that America is trying to make this "leg" even stronger!
#美联储FOMC会议