莫华
被警察真实了，暂时不会更新比特币之类的了。重回老本行黄金有需要的可以来找我
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Why is it said that gold can replace currency and become popular?
We are standing at the fault line between new and old civilization cycles, and the unimaginable future price of gold represents a reset and recalibration of the monetary system.
Although gold is an anti-inflation tool, historically, real bull markets have occurred when the monetary system has failed, not during economic recessions. Therefore, the essence of gold is as a 'pressure gauge' for asset pricing and the monetary system.
So, it is not about how much the gold price will rise in the future that will be exaggerated, but rather the reset of the monetary system.
Previously, the rise in gold was the price of assets; in the future, the increase in gold prices will be a repricing of the monetary system itself.
Although gold is an anti-inflation tool, historically, real bull markets have occurred when the monetary system has failed, not during economic recessions. Therefore, the essence of gold is as a 'pressure gauge' for asset pricing and the monetary system.
So, it is not about how much the gold price will rise in the future that will be exaggerated, but rather the reset of the monetary system.
Previously, the rise in gold was the price of assets; in the future, the increase in gold prices will be a repricing of the monetary system itself.
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📌Data Alert｜Tonight Welcomes the "Data Explosion"
Beijing Time Tonight at 21:30, the market will face a concentrated release of significant data——
• U.S. Non-Farm Employment Population for October-November
• U.S. Retail Sales for October ("Data")
Then at 22:15:
• October Industrial Output, Manufacturing Output Monthly Rate
22:45:
• December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
In just one hour, multiple core economic indicators will be released,
Employment, consumption, and manufacturing will resonate together,
The impact on the U.S. dollar, gold, and risk assets cannot be underestimated.
📈 Tonight's volatility is likely to be amplified, false breakouts and sharp rises and falls are all possible.
👉 Controlling positions and patiently waiting for direction confirmation is more important than predictions.
Tonight, the market may be more "crazy" than you think. #黄金
Beijing Time Tonight at 21:30, the market will face a concentrated release of significant data——
• U.S. Non-Farm Employment Population for October-November
• U.S. Retail Sales for October ("Data")
Then at 22:15:
• October Industrial Output, Manufacturing Output Monthly Rate
22:45:
• December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
In just one hour, multiple core economic indicators will be released,
Employment, consumption, and manufacturing will resonate together,
The impact on the U.S. dollar, gold, and risk assets cannot be underestimated.
📈 Tonight's volatility is likely to be amplified, false breakouts and sharp rises and falls are all possible.
👉 Controlling positions and patiently waiting for direction confirmation is more important than predictions.
Tonight, the market may be more "crazy" than you think. #黄金
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Tonight's detailed breakdown of the news
Combining the expected values, previous values of the data, as well as the price linkage logic of foreign exchange (represented by EUR/USD, GBP/USD) and gold, we will conduct a more detailed impact breakdown from three dimensions: better than expected, worse than expected, and in line with expectations.
1. US Non-farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate for November (non-farm expected at 40,000, unemployment rate expected at 4.4%)
This set of data is the core indicator with the highest market attention, and the combined resonance effect is far greater than the deviation of a single data point:
1. Data exceeds expectations
- Scenario example: Non-farm payrolls increase by 60,000, unemployment rate at 4.2%
- USD: The US dollar index jumps 50-100 points in the short term, with buying pressure quickly surging in, pushing the index to refresh its intraday high.
1. US Non-farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate for November (non-farm expected at 40,000, unemployment rate expected at 4.4%)
This set of data is the core indicator with the highest market attention, and the combined resonance effect is far greater than the deviation of a single data point:
1. Data exceeds expectations
- Scenario example: Non-farm payrolls increase by 60,000, unemployment rate at 4.2%
- USD: The US dollar index jumps 50-100 points in the short term, with buying pressure quickly surging in, pushing the index to refresh its intraday high.
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Welcome to the new friends#Gold
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U.S. Market Preview: Bullish Pattern to be Strengthened
In the European session, gold rebounded twice at the 4335 level, and the current 1-hour chart shows that after breaking through the previous consolidation range, a bullish pattern is forming.
There is strong support near 4330; as long as this level is not broken, gold will continue to test 4350, with the bullish target price defined at 4380.
#黄金
In the European session, gold rebounded twice at the 4335 level, and the current 1-hour chart shows that after breaking through the previous consolidation range, a bullish pattern is forming.
There is strong support near 4330; as long as this level is not broken, gold will continue to test 4350, with the bullish target price defined at 4380.
#黄金
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The price comparison is always constrained by the Bollinger Band middle track 3124. Multiple attempts to break through have not been successful. Although the MACD green bars are narrowing, the DIF and DEA are still in a converging arrangement, and the converging momentum has not fundamentally dissipated. The rebound strength of the KDJ three lines is weak #ETH走势分析
Personal advice, for reference only (strictly set defense)
Around 3150 converge, see 3220 to supplement, target 3080, 2980
Personal advice, for reference only (strictly set defense)
Around 3150 converge, see 3220 to supplement, target 3080, 2980
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Spot Gold Investment: A Good Mentality is the 'Ballast' for Profit
Every time I see clients suffering losses, I feel genuine heartache. You enter the investment market with high hopes, working hard and staying up late to monitor the market, investing your time and energy, only to receive one loss after another. You desperately seek reliable analysts, trusting them unconditionally, yet repeatedly feeling disappointed—could the losses really be your fault? I believe the root cause may lie in not developing a good investment mentality!
1. Eliminate the Gambler's Fallacy
This is a common problem among all investors. When profitable, there is always a feeling that you can earn a bit more, and when facing losses, you hope the market will rebound immediately, hesitating to take profits or cut losses, ultimately watching small profits turn into losses and small losses turn into large losses. Remember: take profits when they are available, and securing them in a timely manner is the best weapon against the gambler's fallacy.
Every time I see clients suffering losses, I feel genuine heartache. You enter the investment market with high hopes, working hard and staying up late to monitor the market, investing your time and energy, only to receive one loss after another. You desperately seek reliable analysts, trusting them unconditionally, yet repeatedly feeling disappointed—could the losses really be your fault? I believe the root cause may lie in not developing a good investment mentality!
1. Eliminate the Gambler's Fallacy
This is a common problem among all investors. When profitable, there is always a feeling that you can earn a bit more, and when facing losses, you hope the market will rebound immediately, hesitating to take profits or cut losses, ultimately watching small profits turn into losses and small losses turn into large losses. Remember: take profits when they are available, and securing them in a timely manner is the best weapon against the gambler's fallacy.
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Is it too much to say it's robbery?
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The Calm Before the Storm
Critical Hit 4300! The Fed's decision 'nuclear level' gold strategy: seize the 100 Dian explosive profit market, and absolutely do not miss the epic one-sided trend!
[This year's most aggressive plan idea]
[Struggled to write this with 99% of brain cells exhausted]
Core Idea:
Give up the slow grinding range fluctuations, focus on the Fed's decision 'instant breakthrough' opportunity, with $4200 as the line of life and death, using 'breakthrough chasing + trend scaling' strategy, accurately targeting the 100-150 dian explosive space, either making a big profit and leaving, or defending to the point. No inefficient trading like boiling a frog in warm water!
1. Aggressive Logic: Why dare to go all in on one side now?
[This year's most aggressive plan idea]
[Struggled to write this with 99% of brain cells exhausted]
Core Idea:
Give up the slow grinding range fluctuations, focus on the Fed's decision 'instant breakthrough' opportunity, with $4200 as the line of life and death, using 'breakthrough chasing + trend scaling' strategy, accurately targeting the 100-150 dian explosive space, either making a big profit and leaving, or defending to the point. No inefficient trading like boiling a frog in warm water!
1. Aggressive Logic: Why dare to go all in on one side now?
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Correctly Facing Losses
In the cryptocurrency market, everyone loves the feeling of profit, but no one wants to face losses. The truth about trading is: losses are not anomalies, but the norm; profits are not what should happen, but a reward. The process of a trader moving from novice to maturity is one of constantly learning from losses, continuously improving the system, and continually recognizing risks.
However, most traders are not knocked down by losses, but by the 'way of handling losses'. The market will never stop fluctuating just because you don't want to lose; your unwillingness to cut losses won't make the market reverse. If you try to avoid losses, they will only grow bigger. How many liquidation events occur because of 'unwillingness to admit mistakes and hesitance to cut losses'.
However, most traders are not knocked down by losses, but by the 'way of handling losses'. The market will never stop fluctuating just because you don't want to lose; your unwillingness to cut losses won't make the market reverse. If you try to avoid losses, they will only grow bigger. How many liquidation events occur because of 'unwillingness to admit mistakes and hesitance to cut losses'.
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12.10 Trading Method
Mainly focus on buying on dips, beware of sharp rises followed by pullbacks
Tonight, pay special attention to the landing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning
Yesterday, silver in the U.S. market broke through to a new high, leading the market, while gold failed to stabilize below 4190 and ultimately closed in the green. The overall daily moving averages are converging. Currently, from the 4-hour perspective, gold is stabilizing above the middle track, with the moving averages turning and crossing into a golden cross, and MACD is converging. Today, the overall trend is slightly bullish but beware of sharp rises followed by pullbacks
On the upside, watch for the first resistance at 4230-45, and if broken, look for the second strong resistance at 4255-65
On the downside, pay attention to the first support at 4200-90 and the second support at 4177-65
Short near 4232, add at 4239, target 4217-4205
Long near 4202, add at 4195, target 4217-4227#黄金
Mainly focus on buying on dips, beware of sharp rises followed by pullbacks
Tonight, pay special attention to the landing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning
Yesterday, silver in the U.S. market broke through to a new high, leading the market, while gold failed to stabilize below 4190 and ultimately closed in the green. The overall daily moving averages are converging. Currently, from the 4-hour perspective, gold is stabilizing above the middle track, with the moving averages turning and crossing into a golden cross, and MACD is converging. Today, the overall trend is slightly bullish but beware of sharp rises followed by pullbacks
On the upside, watch for the first resistance at 4230-45, and if broken, look for the second strong resistance at 4255-65
On the downside, pay attention to the first support at 4200-90 and the second support at 4177-65
Short near 4232, add at 4239, target 4217-4205
Long near 4202, add at 4195, target 4217-4227#黄金
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The downward channel has been opened, do not blindly chase long positions or short. For long-term layout, clear positions and short, control the risk well, and then talk about profit.
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12.5 Daily Spot Gold
Second entry of the day, under pressure from the upper Bollinger Band resistance at the current price of 4225 for a short entry, target looking at below 4215/4210
First short position at 4206 exited at risk control at 4215 #黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐
Second entry of the day, under pressure from the upper Bollinger Band resistance at the current price of 4225 for a short entry, target looking at below 4215/4210
First short position at 4206 exited at risk control at 4215 #黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐
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🌍What if all the gold in the world were formed into a ball, how big would it be?
The answer shocks many people—its diameter would only be 32.6 meters, roughly the size of one White House.
📦 The global gold reserves are divided into two parts:
🟡 Above ground already mined: approximately 216,300 tons
At the current gold price of $4200/ounce, worth about $29.1 trillion
🟡 Below ground yet to be mined: approximately 133,100 tons
Potential value of about $17.7 trillion
Total ≈ $46.7 trillion in wealth
It sounds enormous, but together it's just a small ball of 32.6 meters.
With a global population of 8 billion, that’s less than 27 grams of gold per person—barely enough for a small ring.
💡 So why is gold anti-inflationary, and why has it become a global reserve asset?
It’s not because it’s mysterious, but because it’s scarce + non-reproducible + a global consensus. #黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐
The answer shocks many people—its diameter would only be 32.6 meters, roughly the size of one White House.
📦 The global gold reserves are divided into two parts:
🟡 Above ground already mined: approximately 216,300 tons
At the current gold price of $4200/ounce, worth about $29.1 trillion
🟡 Below ground yet to be mined: approximately 133,100 tons
Potential value of about $17.7 trillion
Total ≈ $46.7 trillion in wealth
It sounds enormous, but together it's just a small ball of 32.6 meters.
With a global population of 8 billion, that’s less than 27 grams of gold per person—barely enough for a small ring.
💡 So why is gold anti-inflationary, and why has it become a global reserve asset?
It’s not because it’s mysterious, but because it’s scarce + non-reproducible + a global consensus. #黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐
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Gold One Hour - Will 4242 be replaced or will 4170 unlock the next step
Gold is being squeezed into artificially designed liquidity, as Donald Trump signals authorization for the production of ultra-compact cars in the U.S., increasing the risk appetite volatility for the dollar narrative. The market may turn to commodities like gold ahead of institutional intent reveal. A rapid two-way sweep is expected before that.
On the 1-hour chart, the structure alternates between high-quality supply at 4242-4244 and discount demand at 4170-4168. The next directional step requires MSS + BOS + displacement convergence.
Technical framework - Smart money structure (1H)
Current phase = 1-hour extreme liquidity-rich compression
On the 1-hour chart, the structure alternates between high-quality supply at 4242-4244 and discount demand at 4170-4168. The next directional step requires MSS + BOS + displacement convergence.
Technical framework - Smart money structure (1H)
Current phase = 1-hour extreme liquidity-rich compression
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After escaping so many times, I still got caught. A few days later, I was called in for questioning again. I might not be able to do anything in the cryptocurrency space anymore. Moreover, the government's control is getting a bit strict now, so I will focus on gold instead. Thank you all for your continued support. Of course, this account might update with gold analysis in the future. If you're interested in gold, feel free to keep following. If there’s an opportunity, I will return again #BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析 #黄金
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12.1 Morning Thoughts
The daily chart shows that the recent price comparison continues to decline, forming a series of bearish candles, presenting a weak pattern. The RSI14 value on the 4-hour cycle is 32.07, close to the oversold area, indicating potential rebound demand, but it has not yet entered a strong trend market.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹
Trading Suggestions
Long positions between 2800-2830, target lines 2950-3050
The daily chart shows that the recent price comparison continues to decline, forming a series of bearish candles, presenting a weak pattern. The RSI14 value on the 4-hour cycle is 32.07, close to the oversold area, indicating potential rebound demand, but it has not yet entered a strong trend market.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹
Trading Suggestions
Long positions between 2800-2830, target lines 2950-3050
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12.1 Morning Thoughts
The rare drop of 3000 points in the morning is due to the news that Powell may resign. Such news can cause a temporary drop. Personally, I suggest waiting for a pullback to go long.
#BTC走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
Trading Strategy:
You can place long orders around 87000-86500, aiming directly for targets near 88500-90000.
The rare drop of 3000 points in the morning is due to the news that Powell may resign. Such news can cause a temporary drop. Personally, I suggest waiting for a pullback to go long.
#BTC走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
Trading Strategy:
You can place long orders around 87000-86500, aiming directly for targets near 88500-90000.
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