In the past three days, I have experienced the speed of the cryptocurrency market; my account went from 30,000 USDT to 500,000 USDT, and I am still in a daze.\n\nOn the 6th, I casually placed a long order at 3.309, not thinking much of it. As a result, the cryptocurrency took off directly, and when it surged to 8.789, I quickly took my profit, gaining 100,000 USDT. The next day, feeling restless, I entered the market again at 9.926, and when it rose to 19.9, I took profit once more, securing 150,000 USDT.\n\nThe most incredible part is that I sensed the momentum shifting and opened a short position at 20. That night, the market fluctuations made me uneasy, until a big bearish candle dropped to 8.66 in the early morning, instantly adding 250,000 USDT to my account.\n\nNow I've discovered a new target and feel that the next wave will be even stronger. The opportunity is right in front of me; whether to seize it is up to you. #加密市场回调
I am very satisfied with the results of these two orders today, as I only held them for two to three hours before taking profits. In the past few days, all have been fruitful efforts, bringing in profits for the fans as well as for myself, and fans often send messages of thanks because every order I make also includes them in the benefits.
However, since they have chosen to trust me, I will not let them down. Our orders are strong and well-regarded, and everyone can see that this is my most basic responsibility to them. #巨鲸动向
When the yen moves, the global market is watching. Recently, discussions about interest rate hikes in Japan have suddenly increased, with many saying this is a "harbinger of a storm." However, the economy is never simply black and white—it is more like a web, with one thread affecting the whole.
For Japan, raising interest rates may be aimed at addressing domestic inflation and stabilizing the exchange rate. But this will also directly impact those companies and governments with high debt, as the days of cheap money may slowly come to an end.
For the global market, an increase in yen interest rates may attract some capital back to Japan. But this does not mean that funds will necessarily withdraw from other markets on a large scale—the final outcome will depend on the pace of the Federal Reserve and how the global economy is recovering.
Especially for the cryptocurrency market, such macro fluctuations often bring dual effects: in the short term, there may be volatility due to changes in liquidity expectations, but in the medium to long term, when traditional markets become more volatile, more people may view digital currencies as a hedging option.
So don't be misled by those extreme statements of "a touch will shatter it." What truly deserves attention is the logic behind the trends: how do the policies of major economies interact? How does capital flow between various assets? What historical experiences can be referenced? #美国非农数据超预期
Mainstream coins play trends, altcoins play rhythms, both hands must be strong.
This morning BTC opened a short at 87835, ETH followed with a short at 2966, both with 200x leverage, but with light positions. Caught a wave of pullback, BTC dropped to 86200, ETH to 2919, quickly taking profits. The trend is right, leverage is an accelerator.
But when it comes to quick in and out, you still have to look at altcoins. Like PIPPIN, which after a new high yesterday, kept declining all the way, this morning it spiked to 0.252 and quickly retracted, clearly there was support. I took a long position near 0.36, and it rushed to 0.4 in a few minutes, I exited completely—this kind of market, it's all about speed and the judgment of support.
When trading altcoins, don't talk about faith, it's all about the waves. The rise is for unloading, the sideways is for collecting capital fees, and the decline is the norm. So don't be greedy, take the profit when it's good, I'll still take action next time there's a pullback. #巨鲸动向
Yesterday, I made a PIPPIN short position. Although there was a profit, I retreated due to the extremely high fees.
Currently, the market maker controls about 83% to 85% of the supply. The market cap is approximately $430 million, which means there are about $65 million of free-floating shares that can actually be used to purchase the spot.
Usually, about 5% to 8% of the supply will be destroyed, expire, or enter the market-making pool, so only about 5% to 7% of the actual circulation may count towards the price.
Especially when they raise about 0.8% of funds for the bulls every hour and squeeze the bears while keeping the price momentum upward.
Given that many people are trying to short, it becomes interesting to short if there is a huge liquidation or when the value of that 5-7% circulating shares approaches nine figures (approximately $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion market cap). The risk below this level is too high. The peak may come earlier, but this is purely a bet that only gamblers would make.
*Do not trade based on position size; always assume that the price could still increase more than 10 times*#Pippin
Yesterday, over 800 BTC flowed out, marking the largest selling pressure in a single day during this period. This signal is worth a closer look.
Especially this week, various data will be released, and the market itself is sensitive to emotions, while the wallets of whales have been quite inactive at this time—no one is buying, so the price is naturally weak.
What I am most concerned about right now is actually one thing: if the price really falls below 85000, when will the whales take action again?
Looking back, from December 9th until now, during this decline, retail investors have not yet reached the point of panic selling, and whales have not started buying in large quantities. This gives me the feeling that perhaps it hasn't fallen to the position they consider "buyable."
So if the price really reaches the range of 80000–82000 next, market sentiment will definitely enter a panic phase. At that time, whether whales will take action is my key focus.
If they really buy in continuously at this level, say three to four thousand BTC, the possibility of a quick rebound and reclaiming 85000 will significantly increase. The market has always been driven by capital, especially the movements of large investors. #btc走勢
Just had a fan ask me: "With little capital, how can I turn things around without high leverage?" To be honest, I've heard this too many times.
But the truth is: heavy positions + high leverage don’t turn things around; they turn cars over. Leverage amplifies not profits, but volatility. And what the market lacks least is fluctuations. You might have the right direction, but die in a normal pullback—it's not that your judgment is wrong; it's that your position is too fragile to survive until the real market opportunity arrives.
What kind of people are most likely to become the 'fuel' of the market? Full positions, high multiples, frequent trading, stubbornly holding onto losses. This is not trading; this is working for the exchange.
Those who really can survive often do just two things right: Light positions—never let any single trade hurt you badly. Low leverage—leave yourself enough margin for error.
They don’t not want to earn; they know: opportunities are always there, but if the capital is gone, then really, nothing is left.
If you are still thinking about 'turning things around in one go,' it’s better to first clarify: are you investing, or are you accelerating your exit? Stabilize your rhythm; living a bit longer is more important than anything else. #巨鲸动向
These past few days have been a bit heated. One short on PIPPIN, made nearly 30,000 U; an earlier long on BEAT, held for almost a month, multiplied more than five times, taking away nearly 50,000 U.
Trading isn't that mysterious. PIPPIN surged to 0.5 last night, clearly running out of steam, and the upward momentum was obviously not keeping up, so I just went short.
The BEAT trade was even simpler, stabilizing around 1.02 in late November, forming a large round bottom over more than a month on the daily chart. As long as this structure doesn't break the bottom, the upward space naturally opens up.
I'm increasingly convinced that trading isn't about who is smarter, but about who is more patient and can wait. Waiting for a chart pattern that you can understand, waiting for a position with a favorable risk-reward ratio. After entering, the rest is left to the market.
When the rhythm is right, the account will speak for itself. The next directional wave is already taking shape, just waiting to see if the market will cooperate.
Wow!! In these three days, the account seems to have been suddenly fast-forwarded, taking off directly. On the evening of the 16th, watching PIPPIN surge to around 0.5, I clearly felt that the momentum couldn't keep up, so I casually placed a short position. At that time, I didn’t think too much; it was purely an expectation of a technical pullback.
As a result, after more than an hour, the price dropped to 0.305, and I pocketed directly 28,000 U. Sometimes the feedback from the market comes so quickly that one doesn’t have time to think deeply.
But what really made me feel the rhythm was the coin BEAT. On the 21st of last month, I positioned a long near 1.02, held it for almost a month, and sold everything at 2.19, making nearly 50,000 U in profit on a single trade.
Interestingly, after closing the long position, I felt it was severely overbought in the short term, so I reversed and opened a short at 2.44, and after more than an hour, I took profit at 1.9. With the same asset, I made profits in both directions; it’s not luck, it’s the structural signals from different time frames.
As you trade further, you will find that what’s more important than “seeing it right” is “doing it right.” Recognizing the right direction is just the first step; where to enter, when to exit, and how to handle mistakes are where the real differences are made. When the rhythm is right, the account will speak for itself.
The market always has the next game, but your principal may not. Steady and steady, understanding a segment and taking a portion is more important than anything else. #美国ADP数据超预期
This fan has suffered quite a bit, all of September was a loss with not a single profit, they've been out of the circle for two months, now with only 2000u left they come to me, asking me to help them break even, I'll do my best.
Last night, the non-farm payroll data came out, and the market staged an old play of "good news turning into volatility" again. The Bitcoin surged for a moment but couldn't hold its ground and swayed back. What does this indicate? It suggests that relying solely on macro news has become quite challenging to push prices up in one go, and the market itself also seems a bit "afraid of heights".
Looking at the chart, it’s clear that there is significant divergence between the bulls and bears at this position. On one side, there are expectations of interest rate cuts and capital support, while on the other side, profit-taking and psychological pressure at high levels are weighing down.
The result is repeated ups and downs, forming a high-level volatility range. During such times, the worst thing to do is to chase after rising prices or panic sell—if you chase, it starts to pull back; if you cut losses, it bounces back again.
My view is quite simple: since we have chosen volatility, let’s approach it with a volatility mindset. Don’t always think that it will break through the sky or crash immediately; instead, focus on the boundaries of the range. For instance, Bitcoin has clear pressure around 94500-95000, having failed to break through several times.
The support area of 86500-87000 has also been tested and is temporarily solid. So the strategy is clear: when close to the pressure zone and the upward momentum weakens, consider lightly shorting; when it pulls back to the support area and fails to drop further, look for opportunities to enter long positions. Remember, this is range trading; if you make 5-8 points, you should think about getting out, and don’t let greed turn it into a trend trade.
Looking at Ethereum and SOL, they generally follow Bitcoin's rhythm but with greater volatility. The idea of selling high and buying low applies here as well, especially when there is a correlated rebound near previous highs or a sharp drop to key moving average support, which are good short-term trading spots.
Lastly, a reminder: in a volatile market, position management is more important than directional outlook. Never place large bets in the middle of a volatility range hoping for a breakout; it’s easy to get slapped back and forth. Set stop losses, control your positions, and patiently wait for the right spots.
During market volatility, it’s actually a good time to hone your skills and mindset. If you often feel that you’re not grasping the rhythm well or want to understand more specific point analyses, feel free to follow me. Let’s stabilize the rhythm together and wait for the wind to come.
What does losing 500,000 feel like? I understand. It's not just a number; it's a cigarette ashtray piled up all night, it's your hands shaking so much you can't click the close position button, it's that numbness of staring at the screen waiting for dawn. Many people collapse when they lose this amount, but I've seen truly ruthless individuals—they dare to use their last 5,000 U to gamble their lives one more time against the market.
It's not gambling; it's executing a set of counter-intuitive methods. I have followed this myself and have seen three people turn 5,000 U into 500,000 U.
First trick: only take 'spikes,' not whole fish. Don't talk to me about value investing; if your principal is gone, nothing has value. Our method to recover losses is quite simple: wait for the big coin to suddenly spike and crash or rise sharply, don't chase it, wait for it to calm down and return to the EMA20 moving average. At this point, use 5x leverage, take a bite of a 3%-5% rebound, and run with the profit immediately. Only do two trades a day; don’t touch a third.
Does it sound boring? But I’ve seen 5,000 U grow to 10,000 U in a week using this method. This is not analysis; it's discipline.
Second trick: master the 'new coin death 10 minutes'. In the ten minutes before a new coin goes live, the depth is as thin as paper. Place buy orders 1.5% below the opening price and sell orders 3% above it. No need to watch the market or keep an eye; if you hit it, it's instant profit. This is not gambling; it's taking advantage of the inevitable chaos at the birth of the market. Many people are afraid, but do you know how high the transaction density is in those ten minutes? The opportunity is right there.
Third trick: the most counter-intuitive cut—lock in profits. When the account reaches 20,000 U, every night before 8 PM, forcibly withdraw 50% to a cold wallet, cutting off the back road. It's that simple.
But 90% of people die at this step. They always think, 'one more trade and I can double it,' but one night of volatility and they wake up to find their account back to square one. The true comeback artists are not those who can keep making money, but those who can proactively stop when they are winning. Your biggest enemy has never been the market; it’s that greedy beast inside your own mind.
I crawled out of the pit of losing 500,000 not by luck, but by these counter-intuitive actions. If you're also in a pit right now, don’t panic, follow me. I will help you see the rules clearly and climb out together. #巨鲸动向
Based on the current market characteristics, the market has entered a consolidation phase within a hundred points, with long and short forces temporarily balanced.
From a technical perspective, the hourly price level is fluctuating narrowly around the central range, with short-term moving averages entangled with each other, forming a dense consolidation band, and no clear directional guidance has emerged. The MACD indicator is flat near the zero axis, with red and green bars alternating and narrowing, indicating that both long and short momentum are waning, with no trend-breaking power currently.
The RSI indicator remains in a neutral range, not reaching overbought or oversold thresholds, in line with the characteristics of a consolidating market. Trading volume shows a significant shrinking trend, notably declining compared to the previous volatile phase, reflecting a decrease in market trading activity. Both long and short parties have not yet formed an effective consensus and are in a power accumulation phase #ETH走势分析 .
Starting with a small amount of capital, I have tried many methods and eventually found that these few are the simplest and most effective.
First, when choosing coins, don’t rely on feelings; look at the popularity. Follow where the funds are flowing. Don’t dig into those stagnant, obscure coins; if you’re going to play, play with those that have movement. My personal habit is to take a quick glance at the gainers list in the morning, but I generally don’t look at those that have already surged by 7% or 8%—those are for others to take over. I look for coins that have just started and have increased by less than 5%, which indicates that the main players have just started moving, and there is still room for growth.
For short-term trading, don’t get emotionally attached. To grow a small amount of capital, you need to turn it over quickly. Before entering a trade, think about when to exit; don’t hold on just because you feel “it can still rise.” Be willing to take profits and be decisive in cutting losses. Short-term trading is like guerrilla warfare; whether you win or lose, you must withdraw quickly and wait for the next opportunity.
Trust the trend, don’t fear the price. Many people hesitate to buy when the coin price hits a new high and rush to buy when it has dropped significantly. That’s wrong. Once a trend is established, what seems expensive can become even more expensive, and what seems cheap can become even cheaper. Your job is not to guess the top or the bottom but to wait for the trend to be confirmed and then follow it for a while.
Position size is crucial. I never let a single trade exceed 30% of my starting position. For example, if I believe this market trend is correct, I will first invest 20% and confirm that the trend continues before gradually adding more like building a pyramid. This way, even if I’m wrong the first time, it won’t hurt too much.
Identify a key moving average. I particularly pay attention to the 10-day moving average. Many strong coins will pull back after a surge; as long as they firmly hold above the 10-day line, there’s a high probability that the main players are just washing out weak hands, and it will likely surge again. This is often a good point for a second entry.
Finally, it is essential to review your trades. I have a spreadsheet on my computer that records every transaction: why I entered, why I exited, and what mistakes I made. Was I too greedy or too fearful? Did I hold too long or exit too early? Failed trades are often more valuable than winning ones.
Starting with a small capital is not easy, but if each step is taken steadily, things will get smoother. If you are also ready to start, or if you feel the rhythm is off, follow me. I will break down these methods and explain them slowly, and together we will find the market’s rhythm. #加密市场观察
- Muxi Co., Ltd. listed on the STAR Market: Muxi Co., Ltd. was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's STAR Market on December 17, with an issue price of 104.66 yuan/share. Based on this issue price, the market value at the time of listing is expected to be approximately 41.874 billion yuan. The number of shares issued is 40.1 million, raising a total of approximately 4.197 billion yuan, which will be used for high-performance GPU research and development and industrialization projects.
- Long March 12A carrier rocket conducts its maiden flight: The Long March 12A carrier rocket is expected to make its first launch at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center from 9:54 to 12:14 on December 17, while simultaneously attempting the vertical recovery of the first stage rocket. If successful, it will become the world's first liquid oxygen-methane rocket to achieve recovery on its maiden flight.
- Tiangpu Co., Ltd. warns of tender offer risks: Tiangpu Co., Ltd. announced that Zhonghao Xinying plans to initiate a partial tender offer to the company's shareholders at a price of 23.98 yuan per share, with the tender offer period from November 20, 2025, to December 19. As of the announcement, the closing price of Tiangpu's shares was 148.12 yuan/share, significantly higher than the tender offer price, and investors accepting the offer may face substantial economic losses.
There is a very stupid but very stable way to trade cryptocurrencies: do not chase the surges, do not bet on direction, and never go all in. Follow this method, you'll earn slowly but live longer.
Three absolute no-nos: Do not rush in when the price of a coin skyrockets. If you want to buy, do so when it drops and others are in panic. Do not use high leverage to gamble on short-term direction. That's gambling, not trading. Do not shoot all your bullets at once. Going all in means being passive; the market always has opportunities, you need to have some backup.
Remember six practical mantras: Consolidation at high levels often leads to further highs, while consolidation at low levels can easily lead to new lows. Wait until the direction is clear before acting. When the market is consolidating, controlling your hands means making money. Do not wear down your capital during periods of no volatility.
A sharp drop can easily lead to a strong rebound, while a slow decline may also be weak in recovery. Assess the strength based on the speed of the drop. Building a position is like constructing a pyramid: start with a small position to test the waters, and if right, add in batches.
After significant rises or drops, there will definitely be consolidation. The key after consolidation is the breakout: prevent drops during high consolidation and wait for rises during low consolidation. The method is not exciting, but it can help avoid major pitfalls. #加密市场观察