The macro analyst allowed for a drop in bitcoin to $40,000
#BTC #BTCVSGOLD $BTC In 2026, the price of the first cryptocurrency may drop to $40,000. This forecast was shared by macro analyst Lukas Gromen in the Risk Reversal podcast. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8JpdcULDolE Earlier, he considered bitcoin a key asset for protection against the devaluation of fiat currencies. Now, the expert believes that gold and certain sectors of the stock market have become more effective tools.
#tonecoin $TON 🟢 Plan A: LONG (Buy) — Bounce from support This plan is based on the assumption that the asset is oversold, and the price will bounce off the nearest strong support level. The price shows a bounce (forms a green candle/pin bar) near support. Entry 1.540 - 1.545 Entry above support 1.534. Stop-loss (SL) 1.529 Located slightly below the minimum 1.534 for protection. Take-profit 1 (TP1) 1.565 Target for the primary correction (nearest resistance level). Take-profit 2 (TP2) 1.575
#NOT🔥🔥🔥 #NOT #Notcoin👀🔥 📈 Main plan — LONG (cautious) 🔹 Entry 0.00055 – 0.00056 or breakthrough and consolidation above 0.00060 🔻 Stop 0.000505 🎯 Take profits TP1: 0.00060 TP2: 0.00065 TP3: 0.00072 👉 after TP1 — stop at breakeven
#SOMI $SOMI 📍 Optimal plan (long) 🔹 Entry Zone: 0.292 – 0.298 It's better to wait for a slight pullback from the current price 🔻 Stop-loss 0.276 Below local support → impulse break 🎯 Take-profits TP1: 0.315 TP2: 0.345 TP3: 0.385 (after TP1 — stop at break-even)
#Notcoin👀🔥 #STG 🔍 What is currently shooting more often at short distances 1️⃣ NOT (Notcoin) Often reacts to news and volume Works well in futures If it breaks local resistance + volume → possible quick +5–10% 2️⃣ STG (Stargate Finance) Volatile, likes sharp movements Suitable for scalping / intraday Important: for BTC not to drop 3️⃣ AI / Gaming small altcoins (like GIGGLE, SOMI) Can give a sharp pump, but the risk is high Enter only with a small volume and with a stop ⚠️ Main rule for tomorrow If BTC is flat or rising → altcoins may shoot If BTC is dropping → better not to enter $NOT $STG
Well, was I right? 🔵 Main scenario — LONG from support Entry: 0.108 – 0.112 Stop: 0.103 Take profits: 🎯 TP1: 0.123 🎯 TP2: 0.135 🎯 TP3 (aggressively): 0.15 👉 Logic: we hold key support, RSI neutral, rebound after the dump Leverage: no more than x3–x5 🔴 Alternative — SHORT from resistance Entry: 0.132 – 0.138 Stop: 0.145 Take: 🎯 0.115 🎯 0.105 👉 If the price cannot hold above 0.135
#tnsr $TNSR 🔵 Main scenario — LONG from support Entry: 0.108 – 0.112 Stop: 0.103 Take profits: 🎯 TP1: 0.123 🎯 TP2: 0.135 🎯 TP3 (aggressively): 0.15 👉 Logic: we hold key support, RSI is neutral, there is a rebound after the dump Leverage: no more than x3–x5 🔴 Alternative — SHORT from resistance Entry: 0.132 – 0.138 Stop: 0.145 Take: 🎯 0.115 🎯 0.105 👉 If the price cannot stay above 0.135
#usual $USUAL 📌 Briefly 🔺 Currently, the price has a chance to rise slightly to 0.031–0.032, after which a correction is possible. Strong growth is only possible after breaking through 0.032.
#SOMI $SOMI 🔮 Short forecast The likely scenario is: Trying to hit 0.30–0.305 Correction back to the area of 0.265–0.275 If they hold there — movement up again to 0.33–0.35 🎯 Key levels Resistance: 0.30 / 0.305 → strong Next target upwards: 0.33–0.35 Support: 0.265–0.275 Critical level: 0.249 ✔️ Conclusion The price is now closer to the downward reversal zone (correction) than to the continuation of the impulse. But if it breaks 0.305 on volume — it will go further up.
#G $G 📉 Where can the price go next Main scenario — correction downwards 0.00620 – 0.00610 First support zone. They may test quickly. 0.00580 – 0.00565 Strong level — this is where the bounce is most often caught after a pump. 0.00550 – 0.00535 Deep zone, but very possible if the pump completely deflates. 📈 If it pushes up (less likely) It may be the last impulse: 0.00695 – 0.00710 maximum — 0.00730 But this looks more like a “push” before a drop, not the start of a trend. 🎯 Where to buy if you plan to enter Best zones: 0.00610 – 0.00620 ✔️ or 0.00565 – 0.00580 (safer) ✔️ ❗Stop-loss Place under the structure: 👉 0.00528 – 0.00535
#LUNA✅ $LUNA ✅ Levels for buying (only on correction) Do not buy at the peak — this is the riskiest moment. 1) First safe entry zone: 🔹 0.216 – 0.205 Here are the best chances to get a bounce. 2) Strong zone for a profitable entry: 🔹 0.176 – 0.168 If the pump breaks — this zone is almost always tested. 3) Deep zone (for very patient): 🔹 0.150 Here the risk is higher, but this is the “bottom of the impulse.” 🎯 Targets (take-profits) Then where it may go up after correction: TP1: 0.245 TP2: 0.258–0.265 TP3: 0.274 ❗ Stop-loss (for safety) Set below the structure: 👉 0.158–0.162 📌 In short: my forecast The price is currently overbought, the growth is almost vertical. The main scenario — correction down → then a new bounce. The best moment to enter — 0.205–0.216.
But I can explain generally which coins look stronger or weaker in terms of trend, so you just understand the situation in the market. This is without calls to action. Here is an educational breakdown of who looks the strongest right now: 📊 1. LUNA — the strongest impulse (+46%) A very sharp jump. This often ends with a correction.
#LUNA✅ $LUNA 📊 Situation Analysis ✅ 1. Strong upward momentum The price has risen from ~0.098 to ~0.1545 (+46%). This is a very sharp momentum, which usually: either transitions into a correction, or gives one more short push upwards — and only then a correction. ✅ 2. RSI (14) ~68 — almost overbought 70+ = overbought zone, where there is often a pullback. That means the market is already hot. ✅ 3. MACD is positive but is starting to level off This indicates that the growth momentum is slowing down. 📈 Possible forecast (for the next hours / day) 📌 Option 1 — upward push (probability ~40%) If volumes hold, LUNA may try to soar to: 0.158–0.162 — the nearest resistance zone maximum in a very strong move: 0.170 This is a “push”, not a long trend. 📌 Option 2 — correction (probability ~60%) After such a jump, it is quite normal to see a pullback: Nearest support levels: 0.144–0.146 — first support 0.132–0.136 — stronger support deeper correction possible to 0.120–0.125 🧭 Conclusion LUNA currently looks overbought, so the main scenario is a correction after the spike. But before a correction, there can be a short push to 0.158–0.162.
⚠️ Why it is still too early to say for sure that the altseason has begun.
Simply a decrease in dominance — does not guarantee the start of altseason. It may only mean that BTC is decreasing faster than the altcoins. � Yahoo Finance +2 The market remains volatile: even if altcoins rise, they can quickly correct. � incrypted.com +1 Often, the altseason only begins after Bitcoin stabilizes at a certain level and many investors have already locked in profits. Only now do we see a possible precondition — but not the actual start.
According to the latest data, the dominance of BTC (Bitcoin Dominance indicator, abbreviated BTC.D) is approximately 58%. CoinGecko +2 This is lower than many months ago, when the dominance was increasing — in 2025 the overall institutional demand for BTC raised its share. Phemex +2 A value of ~58% is usually perceived as the threshold after which the chance increases that capital will begin to flow into altcoins.
Short and honest: no one knows the exact date of the alt season, not even top analysts. But you can look at typical signs to understand when it is close. 🔥 What usually happens before the alt season Bitcoin makes a strong rise and enters a stabilization phase That is, BTC rises → then it stops a bit or moves sideways.
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