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#黄金 The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision is approaching, and the gold and silver market is experiencing fluctuations as the main theme.
On December 17, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, Masaru Nakata, stated that the central bank should base its actions on the neutral interest rate, avoiding premature interest rate hikes and excessive adjustments to monetary support. This statement sets a critical tone for the upcoming Bank of Japan interest rate decision and also indicates that the gold and silver market is likely to face fluctuating conditions.
Nakata's viewpoint is of significant reference, suggesting that the Bank of Japan is likely to continue its accommodative stance this time. Even if there is an interest rate hike, it will be moderate, and the yen is unlikely to gain support in the short term, which indirectly boosts the US dollar index. The dollar's strength exerts pressure on gold and silver, which are priced in dollars; however, the Bank of Japan's expectation of accommodative policy releases signals of global liquidity easing. Coupled with gold and silver's safe-haven attributes, this will provide support for prices. Under the dual effects of pressure and support, gold and silver are unlikely to establish a one-sided trend, and the fluctuation pattern is basically confirmed.
For investors, the core of this decision is to pay attention to the guidance on subsequent monetary policy in the policy statement: if there are hints of tightening, it may disrupt the balance of gold and silver fluctuations; if accommodative measures are reiterated, the supporting force will remain. On the trading side, caution is required before the decision is finalized to avoid chasing highs and selling lows, and to monitor key price level breakthroughs; after the decision, strategies should be adjusted based on the details of the statement to guard against short-term volatility caused by policy expectation discrepancies. Overall, the Bank of Japan's decision has become an important catalyst for the gold and silver market, with fluctuations remaining the current main theme, and future trends should await clear policy signals. #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
On December 17, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, Masaru Nakata, stated that the central bank should base its actions on the neutral interest rate, avoiding premature interest rate hikes and excessive adjustments to monetary support. This statement sets a critical tone for the upcoming Bank of Japan interest rate decision and also indicates that the gold and silver market is likely to face fluctuating conditions.
Nakata's viewpoint is of significant reference, suggesting that the Bank of Japan is likely to continue its accommodative stance this time. Even if there is an interest rate hike, it will be moderate, and the yen is unlikely to gain support in the short term, which indirectly boosts the US dollar index. The dollar's strength exerts pressure on gold and silver, which are priced in dollars; however, the Bank of Japan's expectation of accommodative policy releases signals of global liquidity easing. Coupled with gold and silver's safe-haven attributes, this will provide support for prices. Under the dual effects of pressure and support, gold and silver are unlikely to establish a one-sided trend, and the fluctuation pattern is basically confirmed.
For investors, the core of this decision is to pay attention to the guidance on subsequent monetary policy in the policy statement: if there are hints of tightening, it may disrupt the balance of gold and silver fluctuations; if accommodative measures are reiterated, the supporting force will remain. On the trading side, caution is required before the decision is finalized to avoid chasing highs and selling lows, and to monitor key price level breakthroughs; after the decision, strategies should be adjusted based on the details of the statement to guard against short-term volatility caused by policy expectation discrepancies. Overall, the Bank of Japan's decision has become an important catalyst for the gold and silver market, with fluctuations remaining the current main theme, and future trends should await clear policy signals. #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#原油 12.17 PM Crude Oil Strategy
The dual bearish factors of oversupply concerns and the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are the core suppression, with the rebound at the opening only stemming from short sellers taking profits and short-term boosts from interest rate cut expectations. The fundamentals of rising inventory and the waning geopolitical risk premium still lean toward bearish, without changing the overall downward logic;
The 2.59% daily decline confirms the strength of the bears. After breaking below the lower edge of the consolidation box on the technical chart, the possibility of a short-term accelerated decline remains, and the current price rebound at 55.882 is a correction within the trend, without breaking through key resistance, the downward trend remains unchanged;
The hourly chart indicators show weak funding support around 55.88, with the MACD forming a golden cross below the zero line while the red bars shrink, and the MA moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, exerting pressure on prices, confirming insufficient rebound momentum, with a return to the downward trend expected.
Trading suggestion: Light short positions near 56.0-56.2
Stop loss: 56.5
Target: 55.5, 55.0
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
The dual bearish factors of oversupply concerns and the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are the core suppression, with the rebound at the opening only stemming from short sellers taking profits and short-term boosts from interest rate cut expectations. The fundamentals of rising inventory and the waning geopolitical risk premium still lean toward bearish, without changing the overall downward logic;
The 2.59% daily decline confirms the strength of the bears. After breaking below the lower edge of the consolidation box on the technical chart, the possibility of a short-term accelerated decline remains, and the current price rebound at 55.882 is a correction within the trend, without breaking through key resistance, the downward trend remains unchanged;
The hourly chart indicators show weak funding support around 55.88, with the MACD forming a golden cross below the zero line while the red bars shrink, and the MA moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, exerting pressure on prices, confirming insufficient rebound momentum, with a return to the downward trend expected.
Trading suggestion: Light short positions near 56.0-56.2
Stop loss: 56.5
Target: 55.5, 55.0
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#白银 12.17 Midday Silver Strategy
For five consecutive years, there has been a supply and demand shortage, combined with expectations of Federal Reserve easing, along with a surge in demand from the photovoltaic and electronics industries, and the supportive effect of global central bank gold purchases, forming the core fundamental support for silver bulls. The short-term surge is a concentrated release of multiple bullish factors. The warning for the end of the bull market in 2026 is merely a judgment of the long-term cycle and does not affect the current trend;
The 1-hour chart shows an accelerating upward trend starting from the low of 61.04, with the current price at 66.06 stabilizing at the 66 level. After breaking through the historical high, there are no obvious signs of pressure. The bullish trend continues to extend extremely, with no technical characteristics indicating a reversal or peak;
The 1-hour chart indicators show that during the process of reaching new highs, funds continue to actively buy. The MACD has a significant increase in the red bars above the zero axis, and the MA moving averages are in a steep bullish arrangement, confirming that bullish momentum is still being released strongly, with no signs of cyclical exhaustion on the technical front.
Trading Suggestions: Lightly buy near 65.0-65.5
Defense: 64.5
Target: 66.3, 66.8
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
For five consecutive years, there has been a supply and demand shortage, combined with expectations of Federal Reserve easing, along with a surge in demand from the photovoltaic and electronics industries, and the supportive effect of global central bank gold purchases, forming the core fundamental support for silver bulls. The short-term surge is a concentrated release of multiple bullish factors. The warning for the end of the bull market in 2026 is merely a judgment of the long-term cycle and does not affect the current trend;
The 1-hour chart shows an accelerating upward trend starting from the low of 61.04, with the current price at 66.06 stabilizing at the 66 level. After breaking through the historical high, there are no obvious signs of pressure. The bullish trend continues to extend extremely, with no technical characteristics indicating a reversal or peak;
The 1-hour chart indicators show that during the process of reaching new highs, funds continue to actively buy. The MACD has a significant increase in the red bars above the zero axis, and the MA moving averages are in a steep bullish arrangement, confirming that bullish momentum is still being released strongly, with no signs of cyclical exhaustion on the technical front.
Trading Suggestions: Lightly buy near 65.0-65.5
Defense: 64.5
Target: 66.3, 66.8
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#黄金 12.17 Afternoon Gold Strategy
The market trends of Asia, Europe, and the US exhibit strong continuity; after testing the resistance at 4340 in the Asian session, it has begun to fall under pressure. The European session is likely to consolidate in the 4300-4340 range, while the US session is expected to witness a trend reversal rebound;
The 1-hour chart shows the current price at 4329.21, positioned in the middle of the 4290-4340 oscillation range. The early session's high faced resistance and did not break the range pattern, with the lower 4300 integer level and the 4290 low from yesterday forming double support, indicating a clear rhythm of retreating first before rebounding;
The 1-hour indicators show significant selling signals near 4340, with MACD shrinking red bars above the zero axis, reflecting the pressure situation after the Asian session's rise; meanwhile, there are signs of fund support in the 4300-4290 range, providing technical support for stability in the European session and a rebound in the US session.
Operational Suggestions: Light short positions near 4335-4340
Stop-loss: 4345
Target: 4310, 4315
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
The market trends of Asia, Europe, and the US exhibit strong continuity; after testing the resistance at 4340 in the Asian session, it has begun to fall under pressure. The European session is likely to consolidate in the 4300-4340 range, while the US session is expected to witness a trend reversal rebound;
The 1-hour chart shows the current price at 4329.21, positioned in the middle of the 4290-4340 oscillation range. The early session's high faced resistance and did not break the range pattern, with the lower 4300 integer level and the 4290 low from yesterday forming double support, indicating a clear rhythm of retreating first before rebounding;
The 1-hour indicators show significant selling signals near 4340, with MACD shrinking red bars above the zero axis, reflecting the pressure situation after the Asian session's rise; meanwhile, there are signs of fund support in the 4300-4290 range, providing technical support for stability in the European session and a rebound in the US session.
Operational Suggestions: Light short positions near 4335-4340
Stop-loss: 4345
Target: 4310, 4315
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#黄金 Non-farm payroll market verification of strength, following the right strategy means profit!
Yesterday the non-farm payroll market experienced violent fluctuations, many people were left confused by the market's ups and downs, but my students managed to hold steady!
Before the non-farm payroll release, I repeatedly emphasized the importance of controlling positions and not blindly chasing highs and lows. Follow the market logic, take profits when available, and don’t let short-term fluctuations sway your rhythm.
My students strictly adhered to these principles, accurately capturing the rhythm of the non-farm payroll market, and screenshots are the best proof. Making money in the market has never been about luck, but rather about precise market predictions and disciplined trading rules. Moving forward, we will continue to analyze market logic, follow the rhythm, and profits will naturally come our way!
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
Yesterday the non-farm payroll market experienced violent fluctuations, many people were left confused by the market's ups and downs, but my students managed to hold steady!
Before the non-farm payroll release, I repeatedly emphasized the importance of controlling positions and not blindly chasing highs and lows. Follow the market logic, take profits when available, and don’t let short-term fluctuations sway your rhythm.
My students strictly adhered to these principles, accurately capturing the rhythm of the non-farm payroll market, and screenshots are the best proof. Making money in the market has never been about luck, but rather about precise market predictions and disciplined trading rules. Moving forward, we will continue to analyze market logic, follow the rhythm, and profits will naturally come our way!
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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$ETH 12.17 Morning Thoughts from Auntie
After falling from a high of 3263 to a low of 2870, it rebounded to 2944, oscillating weakly between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. The support at the lower band is temporarily effective but has not formed a reversal, and the overall bearish trend remains unchanged;
The MA144 and MA169 moving averages form double resistance with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and both the moving averages and Bollinger Bands are turning downwards. The rebound candlestick's body is small, indicating a lack of upward momentum for bulls;
Near 2870, only short-term bottom-fishing funds triggered the rebound, while there is heavy selling pressure above 3000, with no large-scale bullish funds entering the market, which is still dominated by bears.
Trading suggestion: Short near 3000-3050, target: 2900, 2850
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期
After falling from a high of 3263 to a low of 2870, it rebounded to 2944, oscillating weakly between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. The support at the lower band is temporarily effective but has not formed a reversal, and the overall bearish trend remains unchanged;
The MA144 and MA169 moving averages form double resistance with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and both the moving averages and Bollinger Bands are turning downwards. The rebound candlestick's body is small, indicating a lack of upward momentum for bulls;
Near 2870, only short-term bottom-fishing funds triggered the rebound, while there is heavy selling pressure above 3000, with no large-scale bullish funds entering the market, which is still dominated by bears.
Trading suggestion: Short near 3000-3050, target: 2900, 2850
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期
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$BTC 12.17 Morning Big Pie Strategy
After falling from a high of 92685 to a low of 85073, it rebounded to 87317, weakly oscillating between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, without breaking through the middle band pressure. Although the lower band support is temporarily effective, its strength is continuously weakening;
Both the MA144 and MA169 moving averages form a dual resistance with the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, and both the moving averages and Bollinger Bands are turning downwards. During the oscillation process, the candlestick bodies are narrowing, indicating insufficient bullish rebound momentum;
The bottom-fishing capital near 85000 only triggered a short-term rebound, with heavy selling pressure above 88000 and no large-scale bullish capital entering the market, which is still dominated by bears.
Operation suggestion: Short near 87800-88300, target: 86800, 86300
#BTC走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期
After falling from a high of 92685 to a low of 85073, it rebounded to 87317, weakly oscillating between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, without breaking through the middle band pressure. Although the lower band support is temporarily effective, its strength is continuously weakening;
Both the MA144 and MA169 moving averages form a dual resistance with the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, and both the moving averages and Bollinger Bands are turning downwards. During the oscillation process, the candlestick bodies are narrowing, indicating insufficient bullish rebound momentum;
The bottom-fishing capital near 85000 only triggered a short-term rebound, with heavy selling pressure above 88000 and no large-scale bullish capital entering the market, which is still dominated by bears.
Operation suggestion: Short near 87800-88300, target: 86800, 86300
#BTC走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期
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#原油 12.17 Morning Crude Oil Strategy
The core contradiction of oversupply has not been alleviated, and after breaking through the joint support area, market bearish sentiment has further strengthened. Funds are only participating in short-term rebound repairs, with no willingness to bottom fish, providing a sentiment basis for a second decline;
The 4-hour bearish divergence pattern is complete, and the hourly level continues the bearish rhythm of 'decline - consolidation - further decline'. The rebound at the current price of 55.687 is a technical repair that does not change the overall downward trend, and a second decline is highly likely to occur towards the end of the trading session;
The 1-hour chart indicators show clear selling signals around 55.687, MACD quickly shrank after a golden cross below the zero axis, and the MA moving averages are in a bearish arrangement and pressing down on prices, confirming the technical logic of weak rebound and an imminent second decline.
Trading suggestion: Light short near 55.8-56.0
Stop loss: 56.5
Target: 55.0, 55.2
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
The core contradiction of oversupply has not been alleviated, and after breaking through the joint support area, market bearish sentiment has further strengthened. Funds are only participating in short-term rebound repairs, with no willingness to bottom fish, providing a sentiment basis for a second decline;
The 4-hour bearish divergence pattern is complete, and the hourly level continues the bearish rhythm of 'decline - consolidation - further decline'. The rebound at the current price of 55.687 is a technical repair that does not change the overall downward trend, and a second decline is highly likely to occur towards the end of the trading session;
The 1-hour chart indicators show clear selling signals around 55.687, MACD quickly shrank after a golden cross below the zero axis, and the MA moving averages are in a bearish arrangement and pressing down on prices, confirming the technical logic of weak rebound and an imminent second decline.
Trading suggestion: Light short near 55.8-56.0
Stop loss: 56.5
Target: 55.0, 55.2
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#白银 12.17 Morning Silver Strategy
The long-term support from industrial demand for silver and the favorable financial attributes of the Federal Reserve's easing form a dual drive. The strong performance of silver against declines in gold confirms the determination of silver bulls, and the market sentiment of 'bullish without guessing the top' dominates the trend;
The bullish trend that started from the low of 60.79 has completely unchanged, with the current price of 65.29 firmly standing at the key level of 65. The level of 63.2 serves as short-term support, and 60-61 is a strong support zone. As long as the support level is not broken, the upward momentum will continue;
The 1-hour chart indicators show active funding around 63.5, with MACD significantly expanding above the zero line, and the MA moving averages forming a steep bullish arrangement, confirming that bullish momentum is still being strongly released.
Trading Advice: Light long positions near 63.5-64.0
Defense: 63.0
Target: 65.3, 65.8
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
The long-term support from industrial demand for silver and the favorable financial attributes of the Federal Reserve's easing form a dual drive. The strong performance of silver against declines in gold confirms the determination of silver bulls, and the market sentiment of 'bullish without guessing the top' dominates the trend;
The bullish trend that started from the low of 60.79 has completely unchanged, with the current price of 65.29 firmly standing at the key level of 65. The level of 63.2 serves as short-term support, and 60-61 is a strong support zone. As long as the support level is not broken, the upward momentum will continue;
The 1-hour chart indicators show active funding around 63.5, with MACD significantly expanding above the zero line, and the MA moving averages forming a steep bullish arrangement, confirming that bullish momentum is still being strongly released.
Trading Advice: Light long positions near 63.5-64.0
Defense: 63.0
Target: 65.3, 65.8
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#黄金 12.17 Morning Gold Strategy
The non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, but the unemployment rate has risen, creating mixed signals that make the market cautious. However, the Federal Reserve's easing cycle remains unchanged, and the bullish fundamentals of gold's financial attributes are still present. The fluctuations are merely a temporary balance of bullish and bearish forces;
The daily candlestick shows a stalemate, and the hourly chart has not broken the rebound trend from the low point of 4271. The current price of 4321 is in the midpoint of the 4271-4350 range, and the fluctuations are a correction of the previous decline, with the bullish pattern unchanged;
The hourly chart indicators show that there is significant capital support at the low point of 4271, with MACD showing increasing red bars above the zero axis, and the MA moving averages have returned to a bullish arrangement, confirming that bullish momentum is gradually recovering.
Operational Suggestions: Light long positions near 4300-4310
Defense: 4290
Target: 4325, 4330
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
The non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, but the unemployment rate has risen, creating mixed signals that make the market cautious. However, the Federal Reserve's easing cycle remains unchanged, and the bullish fundamentals of gold's financial attributes are still present. The fluctuations are merely a temporary balance of bullish and bearish forces;
The daily candlestick shows a stalemate, and the hourly chart has not broken the rebound trend from the low point of 4271. The current price of 4321 is in the midpoint of the 4271-4350 range, and the fluctuations are a correction of the previous decline, with the bullish pattern unchanged;
The hourly chart indicators show that there is significant capital support at the low point of 4271, with MACD showing increasing red bars above the zero axis, and the MA moving averages have returned to a bullish arrangement, confirming that bullish momentum is gradually recovering.
Operational Suggestions: Light long positions near 4300-4310
Defense: 4290
Target: 4325, 4330
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#黄金 Gold and Oil Trading Ideas and Non-Farm Day Summary
Today's non-farm night market fluctuated significantly, with gold, oil, and silver trading closely tied to the Federal Reserve's easing expectations, the impact of non-farm data, and the interconnection of various commodities. Key points were precisely controlled, and the operational rhythm and risk control were executed properly, successfully achieving profit targets.
In terms of trading ideas, gold is centered around Federal Reserve policies and non-farm data: during the day, relying on the support of 4295-4300 to set short positions, accurately probing down to the target of 4275; on non-farm night, judging bullish momentum based on the easing cycle, reversing to long positions in the range of 4268-4275, with the market rising to 4292.7, perfectly realizing expectations, and combining MACD and MA moving averages to verify trends during operations. Oil focused on capital flow and the dollar's correlation, setting long positions in the morning at 56.8-57.0 targeting 57.5, adjusting in a timely manner after the market broke below expectations; in the evening, relying on the support of 56.0-56.2 for short positions, reaching the target of 55.5. Silver also leveraged non-farm expectations, setting long positions in the range of 62.0-62.5, peaking at 63.68 to complete wave harvesting.
During the execution of trading on non-farm day, the entry and take-profit points for each commodity were precisely matched to the market, strictly implementing stop-loss strategies, adhering to the principle of 'better to miss than to make a mistake', and controlling risks based on the idea of capital preservation. At the same time, providing one-on-one guidance for depositing clients, assisting clients in realizing profits through meticulous point tracking.
This successful trading was derived from a comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic factors, data, and technical aspects, and we will continue to monitor the dollar and Federal Reserve policy trends, maintaining rhythm control and risk management principles to provide more precise strategic support for trading.
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
Today's non-farm night market fluctuated significantly, with gold, oil, and silver trading closely tied to the Federal Reserve's easing expectations, the impact of non-farm data, and the interconnection of various commodities. Key points were precisely controlled, and the operational rhythm and risk control were executed properly, successfully achieving profit targets.
In terms of trading ideas, gold is centered around Federal Reserve policies and non-farm data: during the day, relying on the support of 4295-4300 to set short positions, accurately probing down to the target of 4275; on non-farm night, judging bullish momentum based on the easing cycle, reversing to long positions in the range of 4268-4275, with the market rising to 4292.7, perfectly realizing expectations, and combining MACD and MA moving averages to verify trends during operations. Oil focused on capital flow and the dollar's correlation, setting long positions in the morning at 56.8-57.0 targeting 57.5, adjusting in a timely manner after the market broke below expectations; in the evening, relying on the support of 56.0-56.2 for short positions, reaching the target of 55.5. Silver also leveraged non-farm expectations, setting long positions in the range of 62.0-62.5, peaking at 63.68 to complete wave harvesting.
During the execution of trading on non-farm day, the entry and take-profit points for each commodity were precisely matched to the market, strictly implementing stop-loss strategies, adhering to the principle of 'better to miss than to make a mistake', and controlling risks based on the idea of capital preservation. At the same time, providing one-on-one guidance for depositing clients, assisting clients in realizing profits through meticulous point tracking.
This successful trading was derived from a comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic factors, data, and technical aspects, and we will continue to monitor the dollar and Federal Reserve policy trends, maintaining rhythm control and risk management principles to provide more precise strategic support for trading.
#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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#黄金 Non-Farm Payroll Market Outlook and Trading Opportunities
Long position at 4285 for a take profit at 4310 this morning, and the short position also made a profit, now fully focused on the Non-Farm Payroll market.
Yesterday, after the gold plunge, the rebound was weak, failing to recover the 4300 mark and consolidating for a long time. There is a high probability of a "Door Painting" trend on Non-Farm night. The daily candle shows signs of increased volume, and the RSI is turning downward, indicating increasing bearish momentum.
Trading Strategy: After the data, rely on high shorts at 4300-4305, with a short-term target of 4270 and strict stop-loss control for very short trades; if it breaks below 4270, watch for support at 4257; if 4305 breaks strongly, abandon the short position and observe before judging the trend. Remember not to cling to battles and maintain strict risk control on Non-Farm night.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 $BTC $ETH
Long position at 4285 for a take profit at 4310 this morning, and the short position also made a profit, now fully focused on the Non-Farm Payroll market.
Yesterday, after the gold plunge, the rebound was weak, failing to recover the 4300 mark and consolidating for a long time. There is a high probability of a "Door Painting" trend on Non-Farm night. The daily candle shows signs of increased volume, and the RSI is turning downward, indicating increasing bearish momentum.
Trading Strategy: After the data, rely on high shorts at 4300-4305, with a short-term target of 4270 and strict stop-loss control for very short trades; if it breaks below 4270, watch for support at 4257; if 4305 breaks strongly, abandon the short position and observe before judging the trend. Remember not to cling to battles and maintain strict risk control on Non-Farm night.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 $BTC $ETH
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