Brothers, from now on, Liang Ge will shift from Bitcoin to gold, embracing a new main line! Interested parties, come to the chat room to discuss! #加密市场观察 $ZEC $AIA $GIGGLE
Liang Ge's Daily Gold Review: Ready to Launch After a High, Precise Support Level Layout is Just Right!
Liang Ge often says that trading should follow the trend and also match the rhythm! This wave of correction is to build momentum for the upcoming rise. Entering at the right support level is necessary to steadily reap the benefits of the trend!
Current Market Analysis: Gold is behaving very orderly on the 4-hour chart. After a prior surge, the bulls are taking a breather, currently undergoing a consolidation and correction. The key support area is the core for us to capture the next wave of the market!
From the formation, after gold prices surged to a high and then retreated, they are currently undergoing a healthy adjustment within the ascending channel. There are two key support levels on the chart:
1. The 4385-89 range is the short-term defense line, the first buying level during the correction; 2. The 4350-55 line is a strong support at the lower track of the channel, a zone that the bulls must defend, and it is also key for the continuation of the trend.
Don’t be misled by the current correction; the upward trend is not damaged at all—this isn’t a reversal, it’s the bulls building momentum! The K-line surge and retreat are just washing away short-term profit positions; once the correction is in place, the counterattack momentum will be even stronger.
Evening Operation Strategy:
When gold first touches the 4382-89 range, enter long positions immediately! If it retreats to the 4372-78 area, add positions in line with the trend! Unified defense should be below 4365, with the target first looking at 4413-18; if it breaks through, hold on for greater space!
Follow Liang Ge's rhythm, layout support levels in batches, and hold on to the trend without losing out!
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Special Reminder: Strict defense, control positions well, and do not hold onto losing trades!
Six Classic Volume Patterns Explained in One Chart
Trend Judgment | Understanding Major Players' Moves | Avoiding the Risk of Chasing Highs
1. **Extreme Volume** Pattern: A sharp increase in trading volume to recent or historical highs, often using the 20-day moving average as a reference.
Meaning: Market sentiment reaches an extreme, with intense competition between bulls and bears. This is usually a signal of large-scale capital outflow from the market. If prices stagnate at this time, it often indicates the formation of a short-term top, and attention should be paid to the risk of a pullback.
2. **Double Volume** Pattern: A significant increase in daily trading volume compared to the previous day, usually doubling or more.
Meaning: Often appears when key price levels are broken, indicating the entry or exit of strong funds, suggesting that the existing trend may accelerate.
3. **Accumulated Volume** Pattern: Trading volume remains at a high level for a period of time, showing a dense volume pattern with volume accumulating gradually.
Meaning: A typical characteristic of major players accumulating positions or washing out weak hands in the bottom area. Prices often consolidate within a narrow range, building momentum for a subsequent rise.
4. Low Volume
Pattern: Trading volume shrinks to a recent or historical low, indicating extremely light market activity.
Meaning: Reflects weakening selling pressure and a wait-and-see attitude from both buyers and sellers. Often a signal of the end of a downtrend, indicating an approaching bottom and an imminent trend reversal.
5. Half Volume
Pattern: Daily trading volume is approximately half that of the previous day, a significant decrease.
Meaning: In an uptrend, this often indicates a shakeout to clear out weak hands. The trend usually remains intact, and the upward movement often continues after the shakeout.
6. Concave Volume
Pattern: Trading volume exhibits a concave structure with a long-term "low in the middle and high at both ends," followed by a gradual increase in volume and a price stabilization and breakout.
Meaning: Market sentiment shifts from cold to warm, with funds gradually returning. This is a clear signal that the bottom has been formed and the trend is strengthening, indicating a bullish outlook.
The Golden Week makes a strong return, reaching a new high of 4420!
The market has seen two consecutive days of gains, and has broken through the psychological barrier of 4400 during the day, setting a new high.
If it stabilizes above this level, it may further test the 4430-4450 range in the short term. If there is a pullback, pay attention to the support level at 4482.
At the same time, the evening data from the U.S. market and the U.S. market fluctuations are key variables. At this moment, if entering the market, one must be very cautious and strictly control risks.
Don't panic about the golden set order; grasping the rhythm is the key. Don't blindly hold onto orders, and don't easily trust biased words. Brother Liang offers you tips to break free—follow the right trend, and it's not difficult to resolve your position.
Gold continues to make strides in the morning, claiming victory by reaching 4385, just one step away from a thousand yuan in domestic gold prices!
Returning to the hourly level of the market, the moving averages maintain a bullish arrangement and spread upwards, with the bottom support for gold prices gradually rising. Currently, the upward momentum shows no signs of peaking.
However, in the past, people often said, "Those in the car fear a pullback, while those not in the car fear missing out." Isn't this the most real mindset right now? Although everyone online is looking at the possibility of a rise in 2026, with the price approaching the 4400 mark, volatility is definitely going to be significant. Those looking to enter must remain steady and not blindly chase highs.
For those not in the market, pay attention to pullback opportunities, focusing on the area around 4400-4410 for short opportunities. When the dark clouds disperse, there will be a sky full of stars!
09:40 | Real-time Market According to the latest data from December 22, the spot gold price has strongly broken through the October 20 high of $4381.4 per ounce, setting a new historical record. The current increase is +0.95%, showing significant bullish momentum.
Market Analysis Gold prices have continued to break through strongly despite tight liquidity during Christmas week, confirming an effective breakout of the technical upward channel. The pressure at the upper boundary of the channel, which had been tested multiple times (around 4381), has now been surpassed, further opening up upward space.
Key Reminders
1. After the breakout, the primary focus is whether the price can stabilize in the 4380-4385 range; 2. The next key resistance looks towards the 4400 integer level; if the strong momentum continues, it may further test higher levels; 3. Trend traders can hold long positions, but short-term chasing of highs should pay attention to position control.
Market Background This breakout coincides with the market's focus on U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations, reflecting the market's positive pricing for the easing cycle next year. Geopolitical uncertainties and central bank gold purchasing demand also provide medium to long-term support for gold.
Gold Weekly Review and Outlook: Christmas Week showdown at the upper channel, breakthrough or correction?
Last week's review: fluctuating upwards, accumulating strength Last week, gold was quite 'conflicted', overall showing a fluctuating upward rhythm, but with weak momentum. Apart from Wednesday, which closed with a solid bullish candle, the other days were filled with small candles with long upper and lower shadows, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears. The weekly chart ultimately closed with a small bullish candle, a typical accumulation consolidation pattern.
This week's focus: liquidity vs data tide, gold in the eye of the storm This week marks the start of Christmas week, and market liquidity may decline, but there are still plenty of highlights! Two core major events will influence market sentiment:
1. U.S. third quarter GDP final value: This will be a key data point to test the reasonableness of the Federal Reserve's 'interest rate cut next year' expectations.
Your profits come from the mistakes of others. The profits in the market essentially stem from the deviations in others' decisions, but we cannot predict how many people will make mistakes, when they will make mistakes, nor can we guarantee that we will always be correct. Therefore, the only thing we can control in trading is to minimize the duration of our own mistakes as much as possible. The rest of the time, we just need to wait patiently for others to make mistakes. Let's encourage each other.
Trends are a one-way ride, with no return. Time, however, always reciprocates—taking away youthful recklessness and gifting mature insights; taking away fantasies of quick victories and leaving behind the patience of perseverance.
On this road, happiness and heartache intertwine. I remember the joy of first understanding trends, and the deep nights of repeated losses; I remember the exhilaration of catching the main upward wave, and the regret of missing the turning point. The long river of the market never stops for anyone but always fairly reflects the image of every trader: it teaches you a lesson when you're greedy and rewards you when you're rational.
How many years have passed? The market has changed—varieties have evolved, rules have been updated, and technology has iterated. But some things never change: candlesticks still pulse like a heartbeat, trends still surge like rivers, and Brother Liang's love for trends has become increasingly clear and bright over time.
It turns out that the true way of trading is merely to understand the unidirectionality of trends, yet still embrace the reciprocity of time. In irreversible market conditions, be a version of yourself that can iterate—carving understanding with every transaction and accumulating strength with every moment of waiting. The market has taken away our youthfulness but has returned something much more precious: the ability to find certainty in uncertainty and to maintain a calm mindset amidst volatility.
When a new trend begins, may you and I still be present. With eyes tempered by time, we see the direction clearly; with a heart honed by the market, we hold our positions firmly.
The river still flows. We still move forward. This is the most romantic agreement between traders and trends.
A total of 38 trades were guided, 37 wins and 1 loss! A total of 575 points!
Precise rhythm switching is the key to victory in this period! Trading is not about frequent operations, but about doing the right thing at critical moments!
Why do I get trapped more when I try to average down? Brother Liang deeply analyzes the core differences between passive averaging down and active averaging up.
A must-read pain point for beginners: “Brother Liang, I’m trapped, can I average down to lower my cost?” Brother Liang clearly warns: The first reaction after being trapped is definitely not to average down! This is a fatal trap that leads from floating losses to deep traps.
1. Passive averaging down = a road of no return
1. Contradicting market trends: Breaking through key support is the market telling you “you judged wrong,” and averaging down at this time is using funds to fight against the trend, which shows a lack of respect for the market. 2. Fantasizing about unlimited funds: The underlying logic of the averaging down strategy is “unlimited bullets, the target must rise,” but the reality is that funds are limited, and declines have no bottom, ultimately leading to being fully trapped. 3. Destroying the mindset: Deep traps consume not only money but also time and mindset; passively waiting causes countless missed opportunities and subsequent operations become mistakes.
2. The correct first step: Actively cut losses, gracefully admit mistakes Brother Liang's core principle: First learn to cut losses, then learn to make money!
· Accept small losses: Strictly control the extent of losses and eliminate large losses; this is the first rule of survival in the market. · Execute stop-loss: Cutting losses is not admitting defeat; it is about preserving capital and the opportunity to fight again. · Set an observation period: If you cannot decisively cut losses, set an observation period of 2 hours/2 days; if the price does not return to the cost zone, decisively exit.
3. Three death signals, never average down
1. Market trend breaks downward: Under systemic risk, individual stocks find it hard to stand alone. 2. High-volume breakouts at highs: Panic selling from funds, with huge potential for further declines. 3. Low-volume decline: The target is ignored, with further lows beneath; averaging down is like catching flying knives.
4. Active averaging up = chasing victory Brother Liang emphasizes: Oppose passive averaging down, encourage planned active averaging up! The core difference between the two: one is a lucky remedy after making a mistake, and the other is increasing positions during a winning streak. Three major prerequisites for active averaging up:
· Position: A relative bottom after sufficient adjustment. · Plan: Develop a phased layout plan in advance. · Signal: Positive technical signals such as stopping declines, stabilizing, and increasing volume should appear, rather than “averaging down when it drops.” · Discipline: After buying in phases, if the trend strengthens, hold the position; if it hasn’t started, wait, and never add blindly.
Learning to cut losses is the starting point of becoming a qualified trader. Surviving is always more important than making a single profit! Brother Liang's iron rule: Never passively average down, safeguard the capital lifeline!