天狼_B911

Santa Claus has brought you gifts from the snowy mountain.........
#加密市场观察

Cryptocurrency forces global stock market reform!

Latest news: Nasdaq is preparing to submit documents to extend stock trading hours on weekdays to 23 hours.

Last night's wave of sell-off was mainly due to:

1. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged at the meeting in January next year is 75.6%,
2. The market expects the Bank of Japan to raise rates by 25 basis points on Friday
3. The next Chair of the Federal Reserve successor brings new variables

The yen carry trade was unwound, withdrawing liquidity from global risk assets. Historical data shows that similar policy shifts have previously triggered sharp declines in cryptocurrencies, and the current market is preemptively reacting to this risk, leading to a breach in Bitcoin.

$HYPE The founder of HYPE said with a smile that the PMF in the crypto circle is to issue a scam coin and then sell it.
Trump expressed agreement, while also believing it sells quite well.
HYPE's price has reached the lower edge of the range, showing signs of preparing for a further breakdown, with short-term pressure in the 27.7—28 area. When the price rebounds, short at highs, targeting 21; aggressive traders should go short directly. The overall market is also declining, and the entire market is not good, with no coin able to stand alone; the goal is to short.

A mature trader is never the type who says 'I never lose.'
What truly makes the difference is who can keep losses within a manageable range.

If you don't want your trading career to end abruptly, the first thing to do is not to study how complex indicators are, but to execute risk management effectively.
Without risk control, no matter how good the market conditions or how high the win rate, one uncontrolled operation will bring everything back to square one.

Only by surviving first do you earn the right to talk about profit.
Long-term survival is necessary to allow the strategic advantage to gradually manifest over time.

What you need to do is not to follow others, not to gamble on direction, but to:
Establish a trading system that belongs solely to you,
Verify through backtesting whether it truly has a positive expectation,
Then constrain yourself with rules, using position sizing and stop-losses to protect your account.

The key point is just one sentence:
Strictly executing trading rules + reasonable risk management allows you to enter the market.

Trading is not about who has the biggest courage, but about who can survive the longest. #加密市场观察

Stop earning hard money.

Hard money essentially means:
The harder you work, the more you are controlled by the times;
The more you strive, the less results you get.

Why?
Because hard money is trading time for small change, while easy money is trading knowledge for the future.

Look up and see
Those who truly make money do not rely on "tiredness" to get rich:
They rely on models, systems, trends, networks, compound interest, leverage...
They do not rely on fate.

Hard money can support you, but easy money can change you.
Hard money makes you exhausted, while easy money elevates you.

So remember:
Hard work will not make you rich, it will only make you old.
If you want to change, first change your path, then change your methods.
#加密市场观察

The Hidden Big Shots in the Cryptocurrency World: Qian Zhimin

From 2013 to 2016, Qian Zhimin scammed over 40 billion through pyramid schemes, most of which was returned. However, she foresightedly spent 1.1 billion RMB to purchase 190,000 BTC at an average cost of 6,000 yuan. She even wrote in her logs that when BTC rises to 50,000 USD, she would sell it to buy an island in Europe. Later, when the scheme was exposed, she fled to the UK, becoming the largest BTC money laundering case in history.

In front of Qian, names like Li Xiaolai and Xu Mingxing are just juniors.
#美联储降息

Rich people don't go to Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou Difficulties must empty Ethereum Air Force leader! #ETH走势分析

All stop losses are correct.

Frequent stop losses are a problem with your frequent trading.
A stop loss that is too large is a problem with your excessive leverage.
Not daring to stop loss is a problem with your greed and fear management.

Stop losses are innocent; all stop losses are correct.

#加密市场观察

You must forget everything about the past because those things are not important. What truly matters is the choices you make now.

Perhaps your story didn't start with profit, but that doesn't determine your entire life. What you want to become depends entirely on your own choices.

------- Toddler Psychology
#美联储降息

In short-term trading, one must learn to verify their judgments from multiple dimensions.

If your judgment is correct, it can definitely be validated from different angles; it can be verified not only positively but even negatively, because everything is dialectically unified.

For example, if you judge that this sector is the main line, you can verify it based on the recognition and popularity of the leading stocks, as well as from the sector's tier structure, the trading volume of the sector index, the importance of the themes, the fermentation of news, and even the nodes in the emotional cycle. You can even use the previous main sector and whether the core stocks are retreating for a reverse validation.

#加密市场观察

The essence of the poor is spending time and energy on a bunch of things that do not make money and do not make themselves stronger.

For example,
Clearly, the salary is not high, yet they can scroll on Douyin and Xiaohongshu for three hours;
Clearly wanting to make money, yet arguing for half a day in group chats about whether something is worth dozens of yuan;
Knowing they should learn skills, yet they would rather spend an entire evening gossiping, cursing celebrities, and watching jokes;
Clearly having no savings, yet researching every day how to take advantage of 9.9 yuan deals;
Wanting to change jobs, yet saying every day for three months, "I'll see tomorrow";
Saying they want to start a business, yet repeatedly asking dozens of friends for their opinions, not solving problems, and watching opportunities slip away.

Doing these things a hundred times will not make your income increase by a dime.

Those who really make money have a completely opposite mindset:
While others are scrolling short videos, they are learning marketing, writing copy, and building projects;
While others are nitpicking over hundreds of yuan, they are looking for skills that can help them increase their income over the long term;
While others are indulging in emotions and gossip, they are connecting resources, studying trends, and enhancing their understanding.

Being poor and rich does not start with "money,"
but rather with where you spend your time every day.

If what you do every day cannot enhance your abilities, cannot broaden your horizons, and cannot create value,
then life will not get better; it will just be time moving forward.

If you want to turn the tables, it is not about working harder,
but about stopping those unprofitable habits and putting your time into directions that can increase your value.

This is the underlying logic of all those who make a comeback.#加密市场反弹

Why is it that 95% are defeated and eliminated by the market?

Most people who follow trends die in fluctuations;
Most people who engage in consolidation die in trends;
Most short-term traders die in surges;
Most people without methods die in chaotic actions;
Most people with methods die in execution;
Most people relying on subjectivity die in feelings;
Most people relying on news die in headlines;
Those who haven't been completely wiped out are the invulnerable old demons.

Trading is a learning-oriented school, and its most popular major is - Behavioral Science!!

Let a little at the bottom, let a little at the top, eat a bit more in the middle, that's how operations work.

When trading stocks:
1. Tools should be simple;
2. Ideas should be simple.

There are two ways to buy: buy on dips, buy on strength. When the stock reaches a high point and you don't know whether to sell, in the end, it's definitely a futile effort, just paper wealth.

Knowing how to buy is being a student, knowing how to sell is being a master. When prices go up, look for support; when prices go down, look for resistance. Don't get this major principle of trend operation wrong, your operational skills can definitely improve significantly.

How to take profits? You can leave when you are satisfied.
A simple way is: when the reason you bought disappears, that is a good exit opportunity. Don't look too good when prices rise, and don't look too bad when they fall. Aim for opportunities with a win rate above 70%; sometimes making a move once a month is enough.

A hunter does not raise his gun and shoot at flying birds; he will slowly aim with his limited bullets and then hit the target with one shot. #加密市场反弹

$BTC The short-term market is constantly fluctuating, and many trends are hard to understand. It even feels like a thriving situation. By looking at the weekly and daily charts, one can see that the overall decline has not ended. Even if there is an adjustment upward, the adjustment period is not sufficient. The major likelihood is that Bitcoin will reach 75,000 once, which is also a good opportunity to buy the dip. As long as this position does not break down, Bitcoin will experience a large cyclical fluctuation in the range of 75,000 to 110,000. If Bitcoin breaks below 75,000 later, it will completely enter a bear market with a bottom buying position between 50,000 to 55,000. Winter is here; trade less and keep your money safe, patiently waiting for the bottom to appear.

Yesterday, a child asked me a soul-searching question: How to make money?
I said: Trading.
He asked again: What is trading?
I initially wanted to say "buy low, sell high," but that was too superficial.
After thinking all night, the most honest answer is:

The world is full of inconsistencies—information asymmetry, differing time preferences, and the unknown future. A trader's job is to bear the uncertainties that others are unwilling to bear and to create connections within these gaps.

The highest-level traders do not trade assets but rather their own cognitive boundaries #加密市场反弹

Warren Buffett once said: "Anyone who is not making money has a very complicated mind." Many people do not lack opportunities, but are trapped by their own thoughts. When faced with a project, they never think about how to start, but are instead overwhelmed by various concerns: "I am not ready yet" "What if I fail?" The more concerns they have, the less willing they are to take the first step.

They mistakenly believe this is prudent analysis, but in reality, it is self-delaying. Those who can truly succeed and make money often have a straightforward approach: once they see the direction clearly, they act decisively, avoiding internal conflict and self-doubt.

Buffett and Munger's decades of practice have long confirmed: intelligence is not about how much you think, but about seeing accurately and acting quickly. For things you understand, focus and work diligently; for things you cannot see through, do not hesitate to let go in a timely manner. Overthinking is just the beginning of stagnation; daring to act is the first step to breaking the deadlock and welcoming change.

#ETH走势分析 Essential K-line Basics for Trading.

$ETH Although the daily level is disturbed by macro data, the upgrade of Fusaka has led to a reduction in Layer-2 transaction fees (expected 60%) and an increase in ecological activity (the number of new addresses on the chain) supporting the price to maintain above $3,000. Aggressive buy at $3,010-$3,020, target $3,120-$3,180. Stop loss at $2,970
Aggressive sell: $3,150-$3,190 (resistance zone), stop loss set at $3,230

$BTC Short-term faces pullback pressure, $91,500-$92,300 is the short-term resistance level (previous highs coinciding with the upper Bollinger band), if unable to break through, it may turn into a resistance level. BTC: In the short term, can buy at $88,500-$89,200, target $90,800-$91,900; if breaks $92,000 in the medium term, can increase position to $95,000. BTC stop loss $87,800