先生Crypto

12.17 There are three entry logic for small structures in Ethereum; personally, I tend to prefer a weak rebound along a red line to the 3050-3100 range;

As for whether it can reach the top of the small structure again, or the price behavior of a breakout is uncertain (there is the last macro narrative this week), we'll see as we go; (the video has detailed explanations of entry points) #美国非农数据超预期

12.17 The small structure of Bitcoin has three small structure entry logics; first, it tends to make a weak rebound along a red line to the 89500-90500 range;

Whether it can break through or re-establish a small structure top is uncertain (the final macro narrative of this week is about to land); we will observe as we go; (the video explains the detailed entry logic) #美国非农数据超预期

Stopped

12.15 Ethereum small structure update; similar to Bitcoin, there are two variations of small structures; personally prefer the red network line; consolidating around 3150-3170 📉; #加密市场反弹

12.15 Bitcoin's mid-cycle view remains unchanged; currently within a descending trend flag channel, there will be another drop after the consolidation;

Two types of small structures; the first type consolidates to 90,000 - 91,000; the second type retraces to around 93,500 before dropping;
Personally leaning towards the first red line; suggest main hole; #美联储降息

12.14 Market Dynamics

1. BTC surged along with the US stock market the day before yesterday and then corrected yesterday, still in a disorderly adjustment phase, which is a precursor to a trend change;

2. ETH is primarily influenced by insider trading; based on past experiences, the insider should be eliminated;

3. SOL can only be said to be following the trend; in fact, the on-chain ecosystem has been developing quite well recently, but no one is paying attention;

4. Nasdaq has gained greater discretion and can refuse high-risk IPOs;

5. Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: Long-term rate cuts cannot be ruled out;

6. Gold price breaks $4,350, reaching a new historical high.

7. USDCTreasury minted 85 million USDC on the Solana chain; #美联储降息

12.13 Two Entry Logics for Bitcoin:

1; Right-side breakout entry, around 9.45 as a potential resistance area, this line forms a head expansion segment, creating a multi-serrated structure with the left-side structure;

2; Descending flag breakdown entry; can switch to a medium-term trend at any time;

Currently not biased towards either method, at this stage there is a small-scale disordered consolidation, entry is not recommended; #加密市场反弹

12.13 Market Dynamics;

1. BTC has risen along with the US stock market, recovering yesterday's losses, and has returned to the price level around this morning when I woke up. Are we waiting for the weekend again?

2. ETH saw a spike yesterday, liquidating the long position of Brother Ma Ji, and then began to rebound. Of course, after the liquidation, Brother Ma Ji opened a position again;

3. Spot silver has climbed above 63 dollars per ounce, reaching a historic high; silver bull markets always arrive so unexpectedly;

4. The number of initial jobless claims in the US is 236,000, higher than the expected 220,000;

6. The Fed's dovish stance is favorable for risk assets, and the attractiveness of short-term bonds and gold may decline;

7. The old US Congress urges the SEC to allow 401(k) accounts to hold Bitcoin 5, and giant whales have staked 25,000 ETH, drawing attention to on-chain data; #美联储降息

12.12 Market Dynamics

1. BTC has surged with the interest rate cut, breaking down past 94000. It has now erased all its gains; let's see how today unfolds;

2. ETH has broken through 3500 with the interest rate cut, and it has also erased all its gains; similarly, we can only wait and see;

3. "Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Three interest rate cuts fail to quell internal disputes; we must be wary of "stagflation risks";

4. Goldman Sachs: The hawkish camp of the Federal Reserve has been appeased; future easing depends on the labor market;

5. Powell: I believe that currently no one expects interest rate hikes as a baseline, and the Federal Reserve has not made any decisions regarding the January meeting; next year's baseline outlook will be for steady economic growth;

6. Bitmine has once again purchased 33,504 ETH from FalconX, valued at 112 million dollars;

7. BlackRock has deposited 2196 BTC into Coinbase, valued at 202.76 million dollars;

8. Trump criticizes the Federal Reserve for its insufficient interest rate cuts and interviews Powell's successor;

9. Spot gold has surged by 16 dollars in the short term, currently reported at 4205.23 dollars/ounce

#美联储降息

The cyclical view of Bitcoin at 11.12 remains unchanged; this consolidation structure that started from 80,000 has not yet completed, and after it is completed, there will be another price action at a lower point;
There is controversy over the small cycle structure; it is uncertain which one to follow;
At the same time, there is a potential resistance structure and a bullish triangle on the right side; it is recommended to observe first, waiting for a breakthrough on the right side or a small-level top; #加密市场反弹

BTC
Update on the details of the small timeframe; as shown;
Still need one more pullback at the 15f level;
Not sure if it can break the 9.45 position, but still need one more rebound;
Prioritize participating in the small level pullback;
Open a position after waiting for a rebound; ​​​#加密市场反弹

12.10 Market Dynamics

1. BTC rebounded as expected above 93,000; this rebound has a high likelihood of continuation; (those who watched yesterday's live stream should have gained something from it;)

2. ETH's increase surpasses BTC, crossing 3,250, also with a high likelihood of continuation;

3. Federal Reserve chair candidate Hasset: The Federal Reserve still has ample room to cut interest rates;

4. Gold hits a record high, breaking $4,200 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.23%;

5. BlackRock transferred 272.293 BTC to Coinbase Prime, valued at $24.58 million;

6. Glassnode: Public and private company BTC holdings increased to 1.08 million;

7. Standard Chartered Bank lowers Bitcoin's year-end target price to $100,000; #加密市场反弹

12.09 Market Dynamics

1. BTC continues to fluctuate with a significant amplitude, between 89000-92000, and a small-level trend reversal is expected within this week;

2. ETH keeps receiving positive news, whether from DAT company continuing to buy or ETF applications, showing a stronger performance than before;

3. Strategy's CEO Phong Le stated that the company will continue to hold Bitcoin until at least 2065, adhering to its long-term accumulation strategy;

4. BlackRock transferred $78.3 million in Ethereum to Coinbase;

5. Gold reached a historic high, breaking $2800 per ounce;

6. Deutsche Bank predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points and signal a pause;

7. Bitcoin ETF attracted $352 million, XRP fund remains popular, and a Pakistani minister suggested including Bitcoin in the national reserves;

8. BlackRock submitted a prospectus for a staking Ethereum trust ETF, expanding its crypto products;

12.08 Market Dynamics

1. BTC started to rebound after breaking below 88000 in the evening, reaching nearly 92000 at night and currently oscillating around 90000;

2. A lot of big players are opening positions in ETH, and it's uncertain what positive news this week will bring. All I can say is that ETH is performing quite strongly, and there are indeed many big players willing to open positions;

3. The long positions of the 'whales' who opened short positions after the flash crash on 1011 have increased to 14,277 ETH, worth over 42.95 million dollars; I can see that many 'whales' have been liquidated;

4. Michael Saylor has once again released Bitcoin Tracker information, which may disclose accumulation data; Strategy has joined the Open Semantic Interchange standard OSI;

5. SEC head: the entire U.S. financial market may migrate on-chain within two years;

6. According to Cryptoslate, the SEC will hold a roundtable on cryptocurrency, financial regulation, and privacy on December 15;

7. If Bitcoin reaches $100,000, it will liquidate 9.1 billion in shorts;

8. Gold may welcome a historic year, and the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates;

#加密市场观察

12.06 The medium-term view on BTC remains unchanged: waiting for this descending flag pattern to complete before starting to position for a medium-term short; currently in the second segment of the zigzag structure;
The small cycle is in the second segment of the zigzag structure, in the 2nd wave; in a state about to complete;
Ideally, wait for a pullback above 92,000 to consider a position; if no opportunity is given, then wait for the right timing; #加密市场观察

12.06 Market Dynamics

1. BTC's small structure 📉 is said to have directly crashed the market price, and the news is hard to understand; let's wait for opportunities over the weekend with lower volume;

2. ETH's overall cycle is still quite strong, now still above 3000, let's see, after all, many people are saying that BE trends are different;

3. U.S. September core PCE fell short of expectations, giving the Federal Reserve a green light for further rate cuts;
U.S. Bank: The market may quickly digest expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cut in January;

4. CoinShares: The DAT bubble has basically burst, which may support the market if the macro environment improves;

5. ETH's recent pullback has caused significant profit-taking, increasing liquidation risks;

6. Strategy transfers 6536 BTC to Fidelity, with 28% of holdings already custodied by Fidelity

#美联储重启降息步伐

This backhand hole is still quite flexible#ETH走势分析

12.05 Market Dynamics

1. BTC has been fluctuating, touching 94,000 and then starting to pull back. After dipping to around 90,800 in the early morning, it has now returned to 92,000. It's Friday, so let's see if there will be a small structural change;

2. ET seems to be stronger than Bitcoin, as Bitcoin started to pull back first while Ethereum maintained a high position for a while before it couldn't hold on and followed suit. Keep a close watch on this;

3. Sui: The first 2x leveraged SUI ETF has been approved by the U.S. SEC and is listed on NASDAQ;

4. JPMorgan: The decline in Bitcoin prices, combined with high electricity prices, has led to selling pressure from high-cost miners in the market;

5. BlackRock CEO calls BTC a "fear asset," holding 780,000 BTC;

6. The market expects a 94% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December;

7. Schwab and Citibank will offer BTC mortgages in early 2026;

8. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 29 dropped to 191,000;#美SEC推动加密创新监管

12.04 Market Dynamics:

Once again, we must rely on the U.S. stock market and narratives created by Trump to survive. Yesterday, we called in robotic relay AI to see if it can work.

1. BTC is fluctuating; last night it suddenly dropped from 9.3 to around 9.16, then slowly climbed back up. It is currently fluctuating around 93500. There is a stagnation performance appearing in the 1-hour chart; if you watched last night's video and opened a long position this morning, it's up to you to decide on the pattern;

2. ETH is performing strongly, rising steadily, and is close to surpassing 3200, basically recovering last week's losses;

3. The Federal Reserve's three-year loss period has come to an end, and it is now back to profitability;

4. BlackRock predicts that the surge in U.S. Treasury bonds will drive institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies;

5. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is 89%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 11%;

6. Bank of America predicts that the strong upward trend of the S&P 500 index will fade by 2026;

7. SEC: The Bitcoin Market Structure Bill is about to pass; tokenization needs to continue advancing; #ETH巨鲸增持

12.03 Market Dynamics; (Video to be updated later)

1. BTC surged with a flood of positive news, it's just a matter of whether this will be a V-shaped reversal or a rebound; a long-awaited increase of $8000; fortunately, I was clever enough to withdraw my limit orders;

2. ETH followed the surge of Bitcoin, and the companies in DAT have recently seen their investments increase again, with enough arguments to persuade shareholders to continue buying;

3. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.2%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 10.8%;

4. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: The U.S. will achieve low inflation growth, and inflation will continue next year;

5. Trump: Will announce the new head of the Federal Reserve early next year, Yellen does not want the job;

6. Musk warns that the U.S. debt crisis could trigger severe fluctuations in BTC;

7. BlackRock CEO: The current state of Bitcoin is similar to the internet in 1996; $BTC

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