Khalid__S

XRP price has rebounded from its recent local lows, climbing nearly 4% from yesterday’s bottom before stabilizing after a modest pullback. While the broader market structure remains cautious and not yet decisively bullish, emerging technical and on-chain signals suggest that downside momentum may be losing strength.
With Ripple moving closer to regulated U.S. banking status, attention is now shifting toward whether large holders — particularly XRP whales — will continue stepping in to validate a genuine trend reversal rather than a short-lived bounce.
Bullish Divergence Signals Momentum Shift
On the daily chart, XRP has printed a clear bullish divergence between December 1 and December 12. During this period, price action formed a lower low, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) registered a higher low.
RSI is a momentum oscillator, and this type of divergence often appears when selling pressure is weakening, even as price continues to drift lower. Historically, such setups tend to precede relief rallies or early-stage reversals, especially when supported by volume or on-chain confirmation.
This divergence has already triggered a short-term bounce. However, what makes the signal more compelling is that the largest XRP holders are not merely observing it — they are actively accumulating.
Whale Accumulation Confirms Conviction
Data shows that the two largest XRP holder cohorts have begun adding to their positions:
Wallets holding more than 1 billion XRP increased their holdings from 25.36 billion XRP on December 9 to 25.42 billion XRP
Wallets holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP reversed their selling trend, rising from 8.08 billion XRP on December 11 to 8.15 billion XRP at the time of writing
Combined, these two groups accumulated approximately 130 million XRP, which at current prices equates to roughly $265 million in net buying.
This behavior is critical. Whale accumulation during a bullish divergence often suggests strategic positioning, rather than short-term speculation. It confirms that large holders are aligning their capital with improving momentum conditions.
Timing also plays a major role. Ripple’s recent progress toward securing a U.S. banking license strengthens its long-term institutional narrative, giving additional credibility to whale interest at current price levels.
Key XRP Price Levels That Will Define the Reversal
For the bullish divergence to remain valid and evolve into a broader trend shift, price confirmation is essential.
Upside Levels to Watch
$2.11: The first critical resistance
A daily close above this level would represent a 3.72% move from current prices and signal that buyers are regaining short-term control. XRP has failed to hold above this level since early December.
$2.21: Structural resistance
A sustained break above $2.21 would shift market structure decisively bullish and reopen the path toward $2.58 and potentially higher, depending on broader market conditions.
Downside Risk Levels
$1.96: Divergence invalidation zone
A breakdown below this level accompanied by RSI weakness would invalidate the bullish divergence.
$1.88 → $1.81: Deeper downside targets
If selling pressure accelerates, these levels become the next areas of interest for buyers.
Constructive Setup, But Confirmation Still Needed
At present, XRP’s setup is constructive but incomplete. Momentum indicators are improving, and whale accumulation has already provided one layer of confirmation. However, for a full reversal to materialize, large holders must continue to add support, not simply react once to technical signals.
If whale accumulation persists alongside a breakout above key resistance levels, XRP could transition from a relief rally into a sustained bullish phase. Until then, the market remains in a wait-for-confirmation mode, with both upside potential and clearly defined risk.
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