阿伟远航

#美国非农数据超预期 2025.12.18
Last night, there was a sudden surge, and people in the group were shouting bullish again. Then, an hour later, it dropped even lower. One can only say that charting is an art, worth learning for those in the crypto space.

After experiencing charting, BTC directly created a low point. Let's see tomorrow's interest rate hike situation. The short-term impact of the interest rate hike will pass in a few days; Bitcoin won't collapse to 70,000.

ETH directly liquidated the long position of my buddy. My buddy has unlimited bullets, while everyone else's bullets are limited. Don't blindly follow my buddy; he is also losing.

SOL actually has quite a good on-chain performance, but if you really believe in SOL, you are really doomed, as the market is just too bad.

Are there still players in the circle? Are there still patterns? Is there still anyone?
Next door, the cannon fire is intense. Just watch the excitement more and the market less.

Trading essentially relies on long-term accumulation and repeated market validation; it cannot reveal true skill in just a week or two.

Those impressive trading systems often take a long time to demonstrate stable profitability and risk control capabilities.

The current rules seem to encourage users to flip coins and bet on the outcome, purely comparing who is bolder and who has higher leverage, which deviates from the original intention of trading.

Since this is a competition against AI, which relies on strategy and discipline, and does not engage in reckless all-in bets based on short-term profits to determine wins and losses, aren't we just forcing human players to become gamblers? #ETH走势分析

#美国非农数据超预期 2025.12.17

Market Trends
btc0 eth shows a slight rebound, while altcoins continue to plummet.

US stocks rebounded, with Tesla reaching an all-time high. The market predicts a high likelihood of a US stock market crash in the second half of 2026, hence interest rate cuts will accelerate in that period.

Market Highlights:
1. The BSC chain launch platform form surged, with a high degree of chip control. If it pulls back to the 0.3-0.35 range, it can still be a good buy.
2. Sol chain swarms, arc, and others surged, with contract holdings close to market value. Similar to the previous pippin and jellyjelly, forming a new market-making model, which had previous hype but a very low market value. BN has contracts that allow easy exit, similar to buying a shell with BN contracts for pump—dump.
3. The launch platform on the Sol chain for pump seems to have soft-launched; there were no activities held at the Sol conference this time. As previously mentioned, the hype has faded, so do not touch!!

#美国非农数据超预期 2025.12.17BTC has been fluctuating. Fortunately, after dropping below 85000, it quickly recovered. Now we just have to see how it performs next, as the truth is there are fewer retail investors in the market.
ETH yesterday directly caused Big Brother Majie to take a loss again, and then he reopened. The strong-willed Majie has already been liquidated more than 2200 wu since 10.11. Is he the chosen one?
SOL has always talked about building an ecosystem and reviving on-chain activities, but every time there is a crash, it ranks first in declines. I don't know what else to say; we can only watch as it performs weakly.

In the future, the reserve of Bitcoin (BTC) may be similar to that of gold.
Most of it is in the hands of the state, with large institutions holding some.
The rest is scattered among individuals.

$PTB has dropped for so long, it's rebounding a bit. Pay attention to take profit, and don't short it!

#隐私叙事回归 Hey guys, there are still 15 days left in 2025, every day is hard to bear, this imitation and big pie is getting thin every day.
BTC has been going around directly following the U.S. stock market to close, or in other words, crypto stocks are spiraling down, and there are plenty of people catching the falling knives.
ETH Even the strongest people can't withstand Big Pie Ge's continuous slide down, so it has also broken down directly.
SOL No matter what the fundamentals are, they can't change the fact that retail investors are not 'excited', after all, it's all about various 'infrastructure' without the joy of last year's meme summer.

Recently, the liquidity in the market is really poor.

During this extremely low liquidity phase, those who are willing to step up and share their observations and perspectives, regardless of whether the coins they are looking at ultimately succeed, deserve respect. Because in this market, most of us are ordinary people, without insider information, and can only rely on publicly available information and logic to make judgments. Moreover, the bear market itself is filled with uncertainty, and there is no perspective that is 'inevitably correct'.

#ETH走势分析

There are only a few days left in 2025,

This year has been the year with the least wealth effect for retail investors, and those playing with altcoins have not made any wealth at all.

This is extremely rare in the history of cryptocurrency. Even during the deep bear market of 2022, there was still a wave of excitement brought by #GMT.

The essence of those who dare to hold cash and wait for opportunities is that they are not afraid of missing out on this opportunity, even if they can't make money. Those who do not dare to hold cash and wait for opportunities are not only afraid of missing out on opportunities but also have a strong greed. They want to earn every penny in the market, but instead, they end up losing money!

2025.12.15
#ordi
Spot light position intervention, waiting for a wave of increase, take profit. From October 2023, it rose from 3 to 97, an increase of 33 times, then began to decline all the way down to October 11, 2025, falling to nearly 0.6, a drop of 161 times. Currently rebounding to around 4.5.

#美联储降息 This week's information volume is very large, and the Americans are going to celebrate Christmas 🎄

Federal Reserve officials are speaking, several important economic data

Tuesday: Non-farm data, affecting the interest rate cut expectations for January next year

Thursday: U.S. CPI data, which will mainly affect the Federal Reserve officials' decisions on interest rate cuts

Official speeches: New York Fed President Williams spoke twice

Thursday: U.S. initial jobless claims from last week

It's too deep here, guys can't grasp it, let's take a break.

The whole market is silent, what to play?

#美联储降息 BTC has interrupted the weekend's upward trend since last weekend, and this week it's unclear if it can continue, at least there hasn't been any sign so far. Let's see around five o'clock in the afternoon. ETH continues to follow along, without breaking out into an independent trend. SOL is currently holding a conference, all good news; it remains to be seen whether it can turn into a complete buying opportunity.

Personal effort is of no use in the face of a major trend; without a trend, effort will only lead to greater losses. It's best to continue doing what one is good at, as it is indeed too difficult to operate in areas where one is not proficient.

#BEAT #FOLKS are all low circulation new coins + Binance Alpha + contracts, ignoring the market's reverse rise. If you haven't got the chips earlier, just wait for the drop. Don't short, with a fee of -2, there's no way to win by going short.
Can't get the meat, definitely getting hit.

#加密市场观察 Altcoins are not driven by value, but by market makers + market-making drivers. #Bitcoin market observation
Many people are still staring at the K-line asking why it fell; altcoins at this stage have no reference significance in the K-line.
Because there are no market makers, no depth, no liquidity, it is only free fall.
Currently, the altcoin market has been completely cut off from power.
When the power comes back, which fans can still spin, and which will crash and explode on the spot, will be clear at a glance.
Because new market makers and new social capital are coming in.
They won't pick up trash; they will only choose to quickly restore operational capabilities at the top.
The bottom of altcoins has never been a point, but a whole period of time.
It’s not that it can rise just because it has hit the bottom; when emotions collapse, it doesn't count as the bottom either.
The real bottom is that vacuum period when the market makers are completely dead, the project side is lying flat, and new market makers haven't entered the scene yet.
And now, it should be roughly in this stage.

The impact of Japan's interest rate hike is minimal, and investment institutions will not abandon operations that have been in place for several years for such a small gain.

The countdown to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike has very little impact and can be ignored. Don't be swayed by analysts exaggerating risks, as it leads to panic and sharp declines. At this moment, the cryptocurrency market has no liquidity; the only thing you can do is survive, preserve your resources, and avoid reckless trading that could wipe out your positions. The US stock market is down, gold is down, so the cryptocurrency market will definitely continue to decline. #美联储降息

#美联储降息 No one is buying Dogecoin at the bottom now. Throughout this year, I have advised everyone not to touch altcoins. The trend of Dogecoin has passed, and now no one is buying Dogecoin at the bottom. Five years have told you that Dogecoin is just a flash in the pan and not worth long-term investment.

Have you woken up now, buddy? Who still cares about altcoins these days?

Today, I will share a steady approach suitable for beginners, starting with 10U. The key is to cultivate discipline through practice, rather than getting rich overnight. This method has been personally tested and is particularly suitable for those just starting out.

First, take the 10U principal and split it into two portions (5U each). Start with the first trade using 5U, and it is recommended to choose mainstream coins like Ethereum (ETH), where with 100x leverage, you can buy approximately 0.3 coins. The key rules are:

• Set a stop loss at 20%: For example, with a 5U principal, if it drops to 4U, you must cut the position, don't hold on stubbornly!

• Set a take profit at 100%: If you make it to 10U, get out, don’t be greedy!

Remember these stage goals:

• Win 3 times in a row: Principal goes from 10U→20U→40U→80U (use half of the capital for each operation)

• After reaching 80U: Start splitting positions, using only 10U for each trade, leaving 8 opportunities for trial and error (you will only lose everything after hitting the margin call 8 times)

• After reaching 200U: You can slightly increase your investment, but before 1000U, you must use the isolated position model (only lose the funds of a single position, not the principal)

The operational iron rules must be strictly adhered to:

1. Admit mistakes immediately if the direction is wrong: Cut at a 20% loss, don’t wait for a rebound, the more you hold on, the more you lose!

2. Never go all in: Always keep half of your funds in reserve.

3. Get out when you’ve made enough: Take profit at 100% and stop, even if it later rises 10 times, it’s no longer your concern!

4. Use the isolated position model: Calculate risks independently for each trade, and in case of liquidation, only lose the money from that one trade, not the overall capital!

What is the core of this approach?
It is not to get rich quickly, but to develop good habits at the lowest cost:

• Learn strict stop losses (cut at 20% loss, no dragging your feet)

• Reject greed (take profit at 100%, don’t envy others’ doubling coins)

• Split positions for trial and error (keep enough principal for multiple attempts, avoid losing everything in one go)

Beginners remember: The crypto world is not short of wealth myths, but lacks those who can survive to seize opportunities. First, use this 10U to practice discipline, and once you understand stop losses, take profits, and position management, then talk about making big money!