币圈大太子

How much have you missed out on in the past half month? Steadily with the prince's brothers, the highest profit was 6 times, and the one with the most profit reached 15,000 U last night, peaking at 50,000 U. The prince emphasized medium-term spot trading last month and informed you of the outcome of short-term trading. Most of the brothers were eager to make quick money last month; now, compared to those in short-term trading, look at how much profit the brothers on the prince's medium-term spot trading team have made. They have steadily won at the starting line, while those who play short-term are nervously facing zero. For those people, it’s a question of whether they are even alive, and this is before the market has even started, as the prince said. The current starting amount and the plan to use five times the funds next month to exchange for the space below is already a bit late; the bottom weekly price keeps rising, one is 10 times and another is 50 times. In the cryptocurrency world, a day is like ten years in the human world. The prince led you from Ethereum at 2,250, and it only took 15 days. The prince has achieved 20 consecutive victories in short-term trading, and the doubling in the private domain from half a month ago also took only 10 days. Currently, the brothers on the team who started following 15 days ago have basically made around double the profit, with the highest being 6 times, steady and secure. While outside there is a chorus of wailing, with contract liquidation, missed opportunities, chasing highs, and being shaken off the bus, buying trash coins, all risks abound. At the moment when the bull market is roaring, the prince is a safe barrier, and medium-term spot trading is rushing towards 50 times. Completing one major upward wave after another.

Not every trade I lead will make money. For example, if a coin rises 50 times or 100 times, you might still be losing money, and the reason lies in cognitive issues. Just like the 500,000 U trade I led at the beginning of 2024 with a 17 times return on Pepe, out of 170 people who followed the trade, 80 lost money, half made about 1 time profit and left, while the other half broke even, only 7 people achieved over 5 times profit. Therefore, if you are not someone with understanding and composure, and if you lack either of these, I advise you not to follow me, because if you do, you will definitely lose money. My actual trades and the coins I buy are shared daily through videos with the brothers. If you are still like a headless fly relying on my performance, I assure you that you won't find anyone else in the Chinese-speaking world who can lead you to profit. I shared a video about medium-term thinking a couple of days ago!

Although Pippin is rising, you see the retail investors in this cryptocurrency circle, all of whom are losing money. Look at picture two; the more it rises, the more retail investors lose. Currently, we are still in the stage where the main uptrend of altcoins has not yet arrived. As the prince said, the major uptrend of altcoins happens once every four years, lasting about two weeks, and even if you heavily increase your margin, you can't withstand it. But when you look back, you see those mainstream altcoins: ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE. How many have made money from last year to this year during the rise? All are losing terribly, let alone altcoins. The more it rises, the more retail investors lose because retail investors only buy at the peak and sell at the bottom, reversing the bull and bear markets.

Clearly falling to the bottom, a normal person's first reaction should be to buy more. One can only say that the main force has successfully washed out the retail investors! Because they lack medium-term awareness, lack of cycle awareness, do not understand macroeconomics, and do not understand market cap.

First, not everyone can identify a bull market.
Second, even if they know it's a bull market, they won't believe it because the candlestick charts and news make them fearful.
Third, even if they believe it, they can't hold on.
Fourth, even if they hold on and buy, they can't hold their positions.
Fifth, even if they hold their positions, they won't sell (there are plenty of people who lose money on a hundredfold coin and people who walk away with a 10% profit).
Sixth: A bull market doesn't require too many people to believe in it. As the prince says in his live stream, a bull market is a process of mutual selection between the market and retail investors, where only diamond hands will laugh last.
It's still that saying; the prince always emphasizes that the key to winning in the end is these three things: direction, bottom chips, and patience. The purpose of the trading team exists here: to help you understand, to guide you in following the trend, to help you buy, to help you stay steady, and to help you capture that last big profit.

In a bull market, 99% of retail investors lose money, it's really not that the market is bad, on the contrary, it's that the market is too good. When the market is good, human nature comes out completely.

A bull market is never a stage where everyone makes money together; its essence is the redistribution of chips. Those who endure through the bottom and those who rush in during the mid-to-late stages are destined not to be the same batch. What truly determines whether you can make money is not in the bull market, but whether you were present before the bull market arrived.

The problem with retail investors always lies in the rhythm. When the market falls, they check negative news daily, the more they look, the more afraid they become, and the more afraid they are, the less they dare to buy; when it starts to rise, they begin to look for reasons to say this is a slow bull, there will be pullbacks, and as a result, one bullish candlestick after another breaks their mentality, and in the end, they chase in just in time to catch the position when the big players are selling.

The order of operations is almost uniform: when falling, they want to survive, selling at the lowest; when rising, they want to double, chasing at the highest. It's not that they don't try hard, it's just that every effort happens to be applied in the wrong place.

The most brutal part of a bull market is that it will infinitely amplify your shortcomings. When greedy, you think you are a genius; after a pullback, you start to doubt life; seeing others double their investments, you can't help but switch coins; seeing small coins surge, you start to fantasize about breaking even, only to end up giving back all that you earned before.

To be more realistic, most people are not here to invest; they are just gambling under the guise of a bull market. They don't look at cycles, they don't look at structures, they don't understand what the big players are doing, just fixated on whether it has risen today and if it can double tomorrow. For such people, a bull market is just a tool for accelerating losses.

Those who can truly make money in a bull market are often the quietest. Because when others are excited, they have already started to slowly let go; when others are in despair, they have long stabilized their chips. A bull market is just a phase for realizing understanding, not a phase for learning understanding.

So, it's said that a bull market is not here to save retail investors; a bull market is here for liquidation. Whether you made money or not has long been written by your previous choices.

Why does the U.S. experience three rate cuts without a surge, while Japan's single rate hike leads to a plummet? Taking things out of context is the gambler's approach. This year, the macroeconomic benefits in the crypto circle have been suppressed. The market value is even more so.

Current KOLs do not allow you to be patient (because many KOLs are also new retail investors) and do not pay attention to bottom chips (most at the bottom advise people to cut losses, while at high points they lead people to take risks) provide no direction (because they themselves have not gone through a full cycle of bull and bear markets)

Not buying at the bottom, providing strategies at high points, in essence, is making you shift from investing to gambling.

Most KOLs never provide direction, or simply cannot provide direction.
They do not study the bottom chips, do not allow you to have patience, and only promote the short-term 'versatility', as if not flipping back and forth every day is letting the market down.
Today, those who are bearish on altcoins will push you to buy coins again after the market rises, and after it goes from 1 to 10, they will say it will rise to 13, but the lessons from the beginning of the year tell you that most people who entered the market last year have dropped more than 20 times.

The market has no memory. When the prince bought Ethereum at the bottom in 2000, what were those big shots doing? Have you all forgotten? What were they doing when it rose to 4000? They started looking at where to go long or short again,

What is the essence?
It turns you from investing into gambling.

The essence of playing short-term is that those who did not catch the mid-term are forced to play short-term.

Currently devouring the world of cryptocurrency (with only a pitiful market value of 30 trillion 😂)

Once tightly pursuing the cryptocurrency sector, the SEC
while penalizing people, was also copying homework

Now they simply stop pretending
and personally come to educate you
about what a cryptocurrency wallet is
how to store cryptocurrency assets
what custody means
what self-custody means

Previously it was
"This is illegal"
now it is
"Come, let me teach you how to use it"

Powell has about 6 months left in his term, and the issue is no longer 'whether there will be a change in personnel,' but rather 'who will take over and when pricing will begin.'
Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has made it clear that he does not want to take this position, which is essentially equivalent to voluntarily exiting. The market's default optimal solution is Hassett.

Why him?
First, his position is extremely clear. Hassett openly supports cryptocurrency, which is crucial in the current political environment.
Second, he has repeatedly emphasized that 'existing economic data supports further interest rate cuts,' which is not ambiguous; he is clearly taking a side.
Third, his economic philosophy aligns closely with Trump’s; to put it bluntly, they are on the same team.

So the logic is simple.
Once Hassett is confirmed by the market to enter the succession pathway, the Fed’s 'hawkish-neutral' pricing will be quickly overturned, replaced by 'policy-driven easing expectations.' This is also why I've been saying that in the second half of next year, the probability of further interest rate cuts is not just slightly increasing, but structurally certain.

However, there is a point that many people easily misunderstand.
Interest rate cuts do not mean unlimited liquidity.

The impact of this liquidity set will basically be exhausted by around May next year.
The subsequent interest rate cuts resemble more of a 'policy confirmation' and 'emotional endorsement,' rather than a new round of massive liquidity.

In other words,
the first half of the year is pricing driven by liquidity expectations,
the second half is driven by the political cycle + policy direction for valuation.
To put it bluntly, the market only speculates on expectations, but once they materialize, it will push vigorously.

The Bitcoin rainbow chart predicts that the price in 2026 will be between $150,000 and $440,000. Old OGs all know the gold content of the rainbow chart.

Looking back, why did those old OGs, industry leaders, emphasize the current round of Bitcoin at $400,000 to $500,000 a year ago? The Americans have definitely been putting effort into cryptocurrency over the past two years, but looking at the market value, the crypto market is relatively unchanged compared to four years ago, still at $3 trillion, while the U.S. stock market is at $60 trillion, and gold is at $26 trillion. The Prince mentioned before that even if Bitcoin is $130,000 each, it is only one-tenth of gold. However, since the inception of the crypto market, its growth rate has been much faster than that of gold and the U.S. stock market. Their growth rate from 0 to 1 might take 30 years, while the crypto market only took 3 years. In 2017 it was $800 billion, in 2021 it was $3 trillion. So why does the Prince emphasize this round's minimum market value of $7.5 trillion? By comparing the market share of Bitcoin and Ethereum in previous bull markets, we can estimate the lowest point of this round. Moreover, this calculation is based on the previous halving growth.

Many people are shorting now, not because they are smarter
but because they were 'fed' by the main players

Staying flat at high levels
but crashing down when it drops
After several times
bullish confidence has been shattered
bears start to feel
'Oh, so shorting is this comfortable'

What are the main players doing at this time?
Nurturing bulls when in high-level fluctuations
Nurturing bears when in low-level fluctuations

The more bears do it, the smoother it gets
The more they increase their positions
Cognition begins to form inertia
As soon as there’s a rebound, they short
As soon as there’s a rise, they think it’s a false breakout

But this is an incremental market
Medium to long-term
Bears have never been the ultimate winners
A real big market
Must be pulling up with the bears

When the bear positions pile up to the extreme
Emotions align to the point of being unable to align any further
That one
Is not a reaction for you
It's directly sending you away

The market never reasons with retail investors
It only exploits your 'experience'

Mature speculators neither short nor long,
but do the right side; the first step in leverage is already wrong.

How you miss Bitcoin is how you miss Ethereum; how you miss Ethereum is how you miss altcoins.

The first layer, the Bitcoin stage, filters for trend and cycle awareness.
Those who miss Bitcoin lack trend behavior and cycle behavior.
They constantly interpret short-term fluctuations, taking oscillations and news as direction, and treating pullbacks as reversals.
The lowest point clearly appears, yet due to a lack of mid-term thinking, they can only jump back and forth in emotions, ultimately missing the main trend time and again.

The second layer, the Ethereum stage, filters for execution and position stability.
When BTC has already established the cycle direction, Ethereum provides opportunities that are pro-cyclical and low-understanding cost.
Those who miss ETH do not fundamentally lack understanding, but are unable to convert their judgments into sustained positions, always exhausting themselves between "almost there" and "wait a bit longer."

The third layer, the altcoin ecosystem stage, filters for the highest level of market adaptability and anti-human nature awareness.
This is the ultimate filter of the entire cycle.
The prince made it very clear in yesterday's live stream that when the main force oscillates at high Bitcoin levels, it is nurturing longs, and when it oscillates at low Bitcoin levels, it is similarly cultivating shorts.
Meanwhile, altcoins have been completely conditioned to "short altcoins and look down on altcoins" through four to five years of continuous decline.

Now, as soon as you mention the three words "altcoins," nine and a half out of ten people will criticize you.
This is not rational judgment; it is a conditioned reflex trained by a long bear market.
The prince has repeatedly stated before that
altcoins are an entire industry's ecological layer. They are tied up with too much.
The industry needs altcoins, and bull markets cannot do without altcoins. Because without altcoins, the first to disappear are not retail investors, but the entire industry!

When a sector falls to a point where no one can accept it, can discuss it, and is left only with ridicule,
it often enters the "unrefusable price range."
This is not an emotional judgment; it is an inevitable result of ecology and cycles.

So in this cycle,
those who miss Bitcoin are likely to miss Ethereum,
and those who miss Ethereum will almost inevitably miss altcoins.

Those who are calling for shorts now will certainly say they "have been bullish for a long time" in the future. The prince has always said that without mid-term thinking, chasing highs, selling out, missing out, cutting heads, forced shorts, and liquidation, all the problems will find you.

Gambling
is betting on "short-term uncertain fluctuations."
It does not care about trends, does not care about probability structures, only cares about whether the next move is up or down.
Essentially, it is about using emotions, luck, and the thrill to fight against randomness.
Therefore, it relies on uncontrollable events.

Speculation
acknowledges short-term unpredictability but is certain that long-term events will occur.
It does not bet on "whether it will rise," but waits for "when it will rise."
It does not bet on single-point results but bets on cyclical trends and time.
Therefore, it relies on structural inevitability.

The market must have
cycles
trends
emotional extremes
liquidity turning points

Speculation does: wait
Gambling does: guess

The difference between gambling and speculation is: the former bets on market fluctuations, while the latter waits for the inevitable rises and falls of the market. In trading, gambling will not succeed.

KFC event ended