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The latest Federal Reserve data shows that as of the week ending December 17, the balance of commercial paper in the U.S. has significantly rebounded:
Unadjusted increased by about 18 billion dollars, and after seasonal adjustment, it also increased by 11.2 billion dollars, while the outstanding balance of commercial paper from foreign financial institutions also saw a slight rise.

In simple terms, what does this mean?
Commercial paper is an important tool for short-term financing for companies and financial institutions. A rebound in the balance usually indicates one of two things, or both happening simultaneously:
First, there is an increase in short-term funding demand from companies and financial institutions;
Second, the market's acceptance and liquidity of short-term financing channels have improved.

Considering the recent context, with divergences in the interest rate path and the market's uncertainty about future policy directions, institutions are more inclined to allocate funds through short-term tools rather than extending durations all at once. This change often occurs during the market's 'wait-and-see period,' where risk appetite has not fully returned but liquidity has started to flow again.

For the crypto market, such signals may not immediately reflect in prices but are often leading indicators of marginal changes in liquidity. Short-term funds move first, and risk assets usually won't be too far behind.
The key going forward is still to watch: whether this type of financing demand is a temporary year-end behavior or will continue into the new year. #美国非农数据超预期 #巨鲸动向