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$ETH $BNB $XRP The bull market is still on, come to the live room to chat and see the good bull market #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析
$BTC $ETH $BNB 🔥 A large number of options expire this week! Bitcoin faces a critical test, with $23 billion in contracts potentially triggering the market!
According to Bloomberg, about $23 billion in Bitcoin options will expire next Friday (December 22), accounting for more than half of the total open contracts on the Deribit platform! Market volatility has significantly increased, with the 30-day implied volatility rising to nearly 45%. The skew of options is about -5%, indicating that the market is still more concerned about downside risks.
📌 Key strike prices focus:
· Call options are heavily concentrated at $100,000 and $120,000 · However, around $85,000 has accumulated about $1.4 billion in put options, which could become a price "magnet zone," increasing the risk of a breakdown!
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🏛️ Subtle signals from the Federal Reserve: Goolsbee (a Federal Reserve official) released mixed signals in his latest speech: ✅ If inflation continues to decline, a rate cut could be considered ❌ But he expressed unease about "preemptive rate cuts" ⚠️ Emphasized the need to see more "sustained" progress in inflation cooling
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💵 The dollar strengthens, mainstream currencies under pressure: The dollar index rose slightly to 98.425, while the euro fell to 1.1725 against the dollar. A strong dollar typically suppresses risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
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📉 Volatility in altcoins intensifies:
· USTC falls over 13% in 24 hours, STEEM down over 10% · Multiple cryptocurrencies like LRC, 10TX, STORJ, THETA, FIDA hit new lows · Q1 saw a decline of 17.59% during the week
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💰 Large fund movements: Monitoring shows that on December 19, $90 million USDT was transferred from an unknown wallet to Binance, possibly injecting liquidity into the market and may indicate significant trades are about to occur.
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📌 Summary: Options expiration + macro policy uncertainty + dollar strength + widespread declines in altcoins, the market is in a highly sensitive phase. It is recommended to closely monitor the performance of the $85,000 Bitcoin support level and changes in market liquidity before and after the weekend.
$ETH $BNB $XRP 【🔥CPI Data Pre-Heavy Expectations】The Federal Reserve is highly likely to "hold steady" on interest rates in January next year!
According to the latest data from CME's "FedWatch": 📍January meeting next year: ✅The probability of maintaining interest rates is as high as 73.4% ✅The probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 26.6%
📍Expectations until March next year: 🟢The cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 45.8% 🟡The probability of maintaining interest rates is 43.2% 🔵The cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 10.9%
The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to remain cautious in the first quarter of next year, and the pace of rate cuts may be more conservative than some predictions. Traders have already positioned themselves in anticipation of the inflation data release!
$ETH $BNB $XRP 【Breaking! Wall Street Giants Officially Enter the Crypto World】🔥
JPMorgan has deployed its digital deposit token JPM Coin to the Base blockchain under Coinbase! This marks the financial giant's first large-scale connection to the public blockchain ecosystem.🚀
💎 Key Points Analysis: 1️⃣ JPM Coin is not a stablecoin but a digital form of bank deposits with interest, currently limited to transfers between whitelisted users. 2️⃣ This move directly responds to institutional clients' demand for on-chain bank deposit products, primarily used for collateral and margin payments in crypto trading. 3️⃣ JPMorgan emphasizes that the deployment includes complete permission control and risk isolation, showing that traditional finance is steadily moving towards the DeFi space.
What does this mean? The boundaries between traditional finance and the crypto world are rapidly merging, and institutional-level blockchain applications are reaching an important milestone!💼
$ETH $BTC $XRP 【Non-Farm Payrolls Show Mixed Signals: Unemployment Rate Jumps to 4.6%, Market Bets on Early Rate Cuts?】
Last night's non-farm data has once again left the market in a quandary.
📊 Key Data Overview:
· New Jobs: November +64,000, above the expected 50,000 (but October was significantly revised down to -105,000) · Unemployment Rate: Rises to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021 · Wage Growth: Year-on-year 3.5%, month-on-month 0.1%, both below expectations, slowing to cyclical lows · Retail Sales: Zero growth in October, consumer momentum seems to weaken
After the data release, the market's expectation of a rate cut in January next year jumped from 22% to 31%, with an expectation of two rate cuts throughout 2026. The dollar briefly fell below 98, gold surged above $4310, and non-US currencies collectively rebounded.
🤔 Behind the data, the signals are complex:
· Rising labor participation rate, a rising unemployment rate may not be entirely bad · The private sector's average monthly increase over the past six months is 44,000, the slowest growth since the pandemic · ADP weekly data shows hiring rebounded in late November, but it is still preliminary data
🎙️ Perspectives from Various Parties:
· Former Federal Reserve economist Sam: Cautions to view the November unemployment rate cautiously, as the government has warned that the data may have discrepancies · White House economic advisor: Describes the rise in the unemployment rate as "statistically insignificant," advising against overinterpretation · “Fed Mouthpiece” Timiraos: Points out that hiring speed has clearly slowed, but Powell previously believed the unemployment rate might only rise by 0.1-0.2 percentage points · CNBC Commentary: The labor market remains in a “low hiring, low layoff” state, with the Fed struggling to balance between fighting inflation and preventing recession
🚦 What’s Next? Strategists point out that slowing wage growth gives the Fed room to take action, but December's non-farm and retail data will be crucial for validation. Before this, long-term interest rates may continue to fluctuate within a range.
The market is pricing in “recession worries” and “rate cut expectations.” Are you more concerned about the unemployment rate alarm or the policy easing signals brought by slowing wages?
$ETH $BNB $SOL 🔥【Non-farm data is released, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision faces the 'ultimate test'!】🔥
The non-farm employment report released today is a 'key moment' for the Federal Reserve! Although the next interest rate decision will wait until January 28, the Federal Reserve will also reference December data, but this report is enough to shake the market's judgment on last week's interest rate cut decision.
Last week, there were already significant divisions within the Federal Reserve, and today's employment data will become the 'solid evidence' to determine which side is right:
⬇️ If the data is weak → the interest rate cut decision will instantly turn into a 'premonition', and the Federal Reserve will be one step ahead! ⬆️ If the data is strong → officials opposing the interest rate cut will immediately gain confidence, and subsequent policies may be more cautious.
This report not only concerns the economic climate but also directly involves the Federal Reserve's credibility and policy direction. How does the market view this? Do you think the interest rate cut is a foresight or too early? Come and discuss in the comments!
$XRP $ETH $SOL 【POLYMARKET】The heat is on! The prediction market is being redefined by it🔥 Not just predictions, it is becoming a mainstream financial tool! Deep integration with Rainbow and MetaMask has sparked a surge in political and economic predictions. The newly launched 'betting asset collateralization' gameplay has generated heated discussions, and the upcoming public testing of Rainbow integration (testlight) has attracted attention across the internet — user experience may be disrupted once again!
【BASE】Ecosystem explosion, driven by on-chain games + asset tokenization 🚀 In collaboration with Eigencloud and Privy_io, promoting verifiable computing and 'frictionless' wallets, independent game developers are ecstatic! BASE is becoming a key distribution layer for tokenized stocks, backed by the Coinbase ecosystem, and may even reshape the global economic structure in the future! Global payments, creator empowerment, and integration with EDEL / XMTP… how far can its boundaries extend?
【MET】Met Dhabi event is trending! Community combat power is at its peak 💪 Meteora not only showcased powerful LP tools and profit effects but also revealed the fervent community behind it. Despite discussions around communication style, the product's strength speaks for itself! Will the new collaboration with AmericaDotFun ignite the next wave of growth? The market is closely watching!
【TRX】Income skyrocketing, annualized surge of 8.5%→$601 million 💰 Quietly entering the top three in overall income, second only to Solana and Ethereum! Can TRX challenge Ethereum? Even Vitalik has commented on its rise. With USDT multi-chain payments continuously empowering it, TRX has frequently appeared in various promotional activities. Is it really about to迎来第二春吗?
Preaching for the industry, prioritizing culture and charity! The Little Puppy Community Coin is trending at Binance Square on the 15th! Welcome everyone to join the construction and preaching of the Little Puppy Community! $ETH $BNB $SOL #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #DOGE #PEPE
| Ethereum staking rate near 28%, BNB breaks $900, SEC releases new custody guidelines🔥
📈 $ETH $BNB 1️⃣ Ethereum staking rate hits a new high: Beacon Chain staking volume reaches 34.67 million ETH, accounting for 27.93% of the supply. Lido's share is 24.74%, with net inflows exceeding 16.51 million ETH after the Shanghai upgrade. 2️⃣ BNB breaks $900: currently quoted at $900.17, with a 24-hour increase of 2.94%, market volatility is significant, please pay attention to risk control!
· The U.S. SEC releases cryptocurrency custody guidelines, detailing the pros and cons of self-custody and third-party custody, highlighting risks such as “re-staking.” · The real test for crypto IPOs will be in 2026: next year will be a “trial year,” with future listed companies likely to lean more towards infrastructure and compliance service providers.
🔒 Security and Cases
· Aevo's old vault was attacked, with losses of about $2.7 million; the platform claims normal operation and will open for claims. · HyperFund scam promoters face 11 charges, with a maximum sentence of 20 years. · A cryptocurrency exchange store in Hong Kong was robbed unsuccessfully; the owner was slightly injured, and property was not lost. · A Ukrainian student was brutally murdered by classmates over cryptocurrency, with the suspect including a diplomat's stepson.
🤝 Cooperation and Ecosystem
· Ripple partners with AMINA to expand into the European market through stablecoin payments.
📉 Data Tracking
· USDe supply has fallen back to 6.526 billion tokens, down 2.99% over 7 days. · The RWA sector's TVL reaches $16.536 billion, with the top three being BlackRock BUIDL, Tether Gold, and Ondo Finance.
💹 Macro and Market
· The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in January 2026 is 75.69%. · A weak labor market may suppress cryptocurrency prices: a rising unemployment rate could affect risk appetite and liquidity, which would then transmit to asset prices.
$ETH $BTC $XRP 【Weekly Report Overview | Cryptocurrency Market Value Exceeds $3.2 Trillion, Stablecoins Significantly Account for It, These New Projects Are Worth Noting!🚀】
📊 Market Overview The total market value of global cryptocurrencies reached $3.22 trillion, up 2.2% from last week. The cumulative net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the United States is approximately $57.9 billion (this week +$286 million); the cumulative net inflow of Ethereum spot ETFs is approximately $13.09 billion (this week +$208 million).
💵 Stablecoin Landscape Total market value is $310 billion, including: • USDT accounts for 60.06% ($186.2 billion) • USDC accounts for 25.29% ($78.4 billion) • DAI accounts for 1.73% ($5.36 billion)
🔗 DeFi & Public Chain Updates TVL slightly increased to $121.4 billion (+0.49%). Top three public chains by TVL: 1️⃣ Ethereum — 68.32% 2️⃣ Solana — 8.36% 3️⃣ BNB Chain — 6.53%
⚡ Performance of Various Chains is Clearly Diverging: • Trading Volume: Sui surged 47%, Ton increased 25%; Ethereum and Solana slightly declined. • Transaction Fees: Most decreased, Solana's fees dropped significantly by 42.94%. • Active Addresses: Sui's active addresses surged by 49.28%, only Aptos declined. • TVL: Except for a slight increase of 0.75% for Ethereum, others generally fell by 1%-4%.
🆕 Focus on New Projects 🌟 AlIScale — A stablecoin “self-custody” digital banking/payment facility, focusing on serving creators, small and micro businesses, and cross-border teams, enabling stablecoin payments, payroll, and e-commerce without a bank account.
🌟 Goblin Finance — Aptos ecosystem DeFi yield infrastructure, optimizing returns for users through automated liquidity management, cross-market strategies, etc., and providing deep liquidity for Aptos.
🌟 Magma Finance — A new generation decentralized exchange (DEX) and liquidity infrastructure based on Sui/Move.
💬 Summary: The market is overall trending upwards, stablecoins maintain a solid share, competition among public chains is fierce, and new projects continue to innovate in payment, yield optimization, and trading infrastructure! Which chain or project are you optimistic about? Feel free to chat!~
$ETH $BTC $SOL Cryptocurrency Weekly Highlights: Funds Quietly Flowing Back, When Will the Market Break Through?
📊 Core Data Overview
· Global Cryptocurrency Market Cap: $3.13 Trillion · BTC Market Share: 58.7%, Market Cap Approximately $1.83 Trillion · Stablecoin Market Cap: $309.1 Billion (Increased for 3 Consecutive Weeks, USDT Accounts for 60.21%) · Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 28 (Fear Zone), RSI 46.17 (Neutral)
📈 Mainstream Coin Performance Divergence Past 7 Days:
· ETH +2.34% · M +25.79% ⬆️ · ZEC +16.26% ⬆️ · BTC -0.14% · SOL -1.52%
💰 ETF Funds Continue to Enter
· U.S. Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow: $286.2 Million · U.S. Ethereum Spot ETF Net Inflow: $209 Million
🏦 Macroeconomic Landscape Smooth The Fed's December Rate Cut has been Priced in by the Market Early, Coupled with Powell's Hawkish Remarks, Major Assets Outside of Gold Responded Flatly. Cryptocurrency Faces Short-Term Pressure, Overall Maintaining a Volatile Pattern.
The Market is Still Gaining Strength, Continuous Inflows into Stablecoins May Indicate a Pre-Change Signal. Is it a Volatile Washout or Strengthening Momentum? What do you think?
$ETH $BTC $XRP 【Breaking! Wall Street giants officially embrace the crypto era】🚀
📢 On December 9, Bank of America launched a major initiative: starting January 2026, its wealth management advisors will be able to directly recommend cryptocurrency ETFs and related products to high-net-worth clients, no longer limited to executing trades. This means that crypto assets are officially entering the traditional wealth management allocation list, and the mainstream capital entry channel is further opening up!
💰 Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts have released a prediction: if Bitcoin continues to follow a trend similar to gold, its price could soar to $170,000 in the coming months! With major banks speaking out successively, does this signal the start of a new bull market?
📈 The market has already reacted in advance:
· Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 2.49%, returning above $92,000 · Ethereum (ETH) surged by 6.21%, briefly breaking through $3,300 · The AI sector led the way, with a 24-hour increase of 4.46%, including Fetch.ai (FET) rising nearly 10% and Worldcoin (WLD) increasing by 6.5%
✨ The era of deep integration between traditional finance and the crypto market may really have arrived. Are you ready?