#ZEC It has really started again, truly remarkable!
Recently, I've been closely watching the trend of ZEC, and the more I look, the more I feel a familiar sensation — that kind of prolonged bottoming phase, suddenly starting to continuously form a structure of 'higher highs and higher lows'. The most obvious example is that it has formed a particularly standard rhythm of 'double top not falling but stabilizing, then continuing to surge'.
Normally, in a weak market, the second top is usually pushed down directly by the bears. But this time, ZEC not only withstood it but also formed a structure of 'neckline moving upwards'. This pattern usually indicates:
Market selling pressure is not as heavy as before, giving a sense of 'emotional bottom emerging'. More crucially, ZEC's volatility is basically in sync with the mainstream, but the retracement is noticeably shallower.
This characteristic is especially common in those phases where: old projects have been consolidating for a long time, the chips are clean, and just a little volume can push it up.
Now ZEC is precisely stuck near the previous high resistance area.
If this range can be broken through, it may directly open up a larger level of space above.
Because there aren't many chips above it, once it breaks through, the resistance will be very light.
Looking at several pullbacks that haven't broken the low, it indicates that there are buyers steadily stepping in below.
This is a typical 'bottom lifting structure', and the maturity of the trend is much higher than it seems on the surface.
Although the volume hasn't exploded, a closer look reveals: declines are on reduced volume, rises are on increased volume; once this rhythm is amplified, it is likely that a trend choice is coming. #加密市场回调 $BTC #美国结束政府停摆 $ETH #ETH走势分析 $ZEC Stay calm, everything will be publicly announced in advance at the square! Just wait quietly!
Regarding future market trends, K's view is very simple:
Wait for the pullback to finish, then continue with a bearish stance.
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#BTC$BTC #ETH$ETH #币安合约锦标赛#比特币VS代币化黄金 BTC is at a key position, is the second rise the correction point for the interest rate hike in Japan on the 19th? But you can start laying out now, whether you can understand the position is key, contract strategies are in motion, the military tactics have been passed on, and the tactical deployment has begun. If you don't understand, just ask and I will share my tactics with you.
Remember: In the face of the major trend, all rises can only be considered a rebound. Following the strategic layout means you're guaranteed to profit.
#BTC This position you don't understand the old question, if you understand it clearly then you must have made a lot of money. The position is there, as long as you don't gamble on the Dan, you will definitely make a big profit and enjoy the rewards. Stick to the K God strategy, which is to enjoy the rewards #隐私叙事回归 $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 $BNB The line is all drawn before, welcome to supervise, the whole internet witnesses!
#ETH BTC pancake, the second pancake has reached a critical position, is it the correction position for the interest rate hike on the 19th in Japan? However, it can be arranged now, whether one can understand the position is key, contract strategy is on, the military strategy has been transmitted, the strategy is initiated, if you don’t understand, ask to pass your military strategy. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $SOL recognize K God, welcome to supervise against fake products!
Is the rapid stretch of Bitcoin and Ethereum a rebound or a trap?—The core is closely related to the rise of U.S. stocks.
In a blink, Ethereum has broken through 3200 again. This surge can be described as 'the market that has been pent up for half a month is released all at once.' Bitcoin continues to stabilize at 93000 USD, and BNB has strongly reclaimed 900 USD. The core driving force behind this overall rebound is—U.S. stocks taking off again.
The Nasdaq has had several consecutive large bullish candles on the daily chart. Although it has not yet reached a new high, it has completely absorbed last month's correction. In other words, after the U.S. stock market has completed its repair, it is highly likely to continue reaching new highs, continuing on its 'long bull road before interest rate cuts.'
It is worth highlighting a major news piece that brings a super bullish sentiment:
The market is exploring the bottom again after a short-term decline. Overall, this wave of decline is mainly triggered by negative news rather than a systemic withdrawal of funds. Therefore, in my opinion, there is no need to be overly pessimistic about the subsequent market—after all, the previous deep drop was due to real money flowing out of ETF funds, and these two situations are completely different. Of course, the current rebound strength is limited, and prices have not yet returned to pre-decline levels, so the short-term market is likely to remain volatile.
A recent phenomenon worth noting is the surge in silver prices. To be honest, the gold boom over the past year has already become a consensus, and now it's the market's turn to speculate on silver. This indicates that as long as there are consensus and audience assets, price increases are just a matter of time; capital will eventually focus on these targets for manipulation.
In the current market environment, it is very difficult to make quick money through short-term operations. From price structure to market sentiment, we can see that we are already in a bear market. Therefore, I still do not recommend everyone to buy the dip on a large scale, especially when the direction is not yet completely clear.
Besides 'not recommending buying the dip', I prefer to suggest everyone to exchange some coins: swap worthless altcoins for mainstream assets. If that's too difficult, directly swap for Bitcoin or Ethereum is also fine. You can also consider some DeFi blue chips, for example, UNI has been continuously declining recently, which might be suitable for swapping some altcoins into. It is important to understand that the long-term value of most altcoins is 0, but assets with fundamentals at least have a chance for long-term holding.
Currently, the focus is still on short positions, and the overall trend is here; it is not worthwhile to go long at this time! At the very least, we need to wait for a stop in the decline. Remember: in the face of a major trend, all increases can only be considered as rebounds. Following the strategic layout is definitely the way to profit.
Most retail investors are experiencing a complete bull-bear cycle for the first time this round, and their operating methods can almost be seen at a glance from the public sentiment in the square.
Typical mindset when transitioning from bull to bear: first denial, then fantasy, and finally buying more as prices drop.
When the market turns from the top, retail investors are still immersed in the pleasure of making money earlier, generally believing that 'it's just a pullback', 'the trend hasn't changed', and 'institutions will definitely bring it back'. The discussion area is filled with calls to hold and increase positions, and no one is willing to believe that the bull market has ended.
At this point, retail investors usually go through three major steps:
Step 1: Continue to average down and increase positions.
In the early stages of a decline, almost everyone averages down, comforting themselves, and some even directly leverage, fantasizing about recovering their costs in one go.
Step 2: Hold on and not sell.
When key support is broken, turning from floating profits into floating losses, they still refuse to admit defeat, insisting that 'if you haven't sold, you haven't lost', treating their positions as a belief.
Step 3: Attribute all declines to external factors.
FUD, market manipulators harvesting, institutions running away, macro instability... The more reasons they find, the less willing they are to acknowledge that the trend has reversed.
Until BTC drops by 50%-70%, a large number of altcoins go to zero, and liquidity hits the bottom, retail investors finally realize in despair that 'the bull market is really over'. But by then, they are often deeply trapped, unable to move or escape, and may even cut losses at the true bottom.
And the new retail investors who have not experienced a complete cycle may have to go through the same script again. Time will verify this one by one. #加密市场回调 $BTC #ETH巨鲸增持 $ETH #加密市场观察 $SOL
Currently, these three mainstream hedging ranges are very attractive, with stop losses set at new low positions. Based on a $500 margin, increase the position by 1 times, and increase the scale by 1.5 times.
The market has once again plummeted today, which can be seen as a cold splash of water ahead of the December market. In fact, I still hold a relatively pessimistic view regarding the upcoming trends in this period — the probability of a significant rise from now until the end of January is very low. Recently, the regulatory authorities have once again emphasized the risks associated with cryptocurrency-related financial services, mainly due to the various cryptocurrency advertisements and promotions that have appeared on social media platforms lately. A group of people has started to be tricked and deceived, which naturally worsens public opinion.
From this perspective, increasing regulation is actually necessary. Frankly speaking, most people indeed lack basic awareness of financial scams. As the number of scammers increases, it ironically leads to more criticism of cryptocurrencies. But ultimately, cryptocurrencies are just tools that are unfairly blamed. Of course, this will further reduce the influx of new capital; coupled with the series of holidays like Christmas, New Year, and Spring Festival, it is basically impossible for retail investors to drive the market.
However, there is no need to adopt an extremely pessimistic outlook. Especially since the previous sharp decline has already shaken things up, I believe that even if the market continues to fall, breaking previous lows will be quite challenging, resembling more of a slow decline and oscillation. If the market trend aligns with expectations, I still recommend using a grid strategy in the next 1-2 months, with the goal of steadily achieving around 10% net returns.
Additionally, this wave of decline has an external factor, which is the market speculating whether Powell will announce his resignation tonight. The US stock market has also shown a clear downward trend before the market opens. However, the decline in the US stock market is actually quite limited; even if there is negative news, it is a short-term impact. Moreover, the next Federal Reserve chairman is likely to be someone aligned with the Trump team, which does not pose a systemic issue in the long term. Therefore, I personally feel that there is no need to be overly anxious about this adjustment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH Have you capitalized on this wave of shorts? Stay tuned for more.
#ETH Recently, have all my posts mentioned focusing on emptiness? Is there a problem with the strategy? If you say I'm just a backseat driver, bring your doubts to me, and I'll make you admire me completely. If I can't do it, feel free to criticize me. #加密市场反弹 $BTC #不要赌单 $ETH
In the past two months, the project team has been pushing various matters, but when the price is stagnant, most people's attention tends to decrease. It's only during a surge or a drop that everyone suddenly realizes there has been quite a bit of progress.
Let me highlight a few key points:
1: The first halving will occur in mid-December 2025, with daily emissions dropping from 7200 to 3600.
In the cryptocurrency world, the most robust and fail-proof narrative is 'halving'. A direct supply cut in half, such a structural change, the market cannot pretend it doesn't see it.
2: Taoflow (Flow-based emissions) has officially been implemented in November.
This mechanism adjustment is significant, shifting incentive distribution from 'considering price' to 'considering staking inflow'.
For all subnets, this will reshape the reward structure—more inclined towards actual usage and real computational power contribution, rather than purely market sentiment fluctuations.
3: The implementation of subnets continues to progress, quietly but steadily applying in real scenarios:
• Score (SN44) x AVIA: Vision AI officially deployed to 3000+ European gas stations
• Zeus (SN18) x WeatherXM: Integrating thousands of decentralized weather stations
• ReadyAI (SN33) x Ipsos: Enterprise-level real-time research tasks have gone live
These are not superficial collaborations, but real business applications running off-chain.
Overall, my own judgment is:
Although the fundamentals of TAO are not being loudly discussed, they are indeed continuously strengthening; the mechanisms are becoming more reasonable; coupled with a deterministic halving cycle, as long as $BTC doesn't run into problems, this wave of TAO in December is highly likely to rebound to around 400.
#币安HODLer空投AT $BTC #ETH巨鲸增持 $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 $$ Recently, I've been advising good partners to short, and all recent posts have emphasized being short. No problem with that!
Today the market dropped sharply, 4 major reasons:
(1) The Bank of Japan issued hawkish remarks, hinting at an interest rate hike.
(2) Trump tweeted that Powell will resign, causing panic in the financial markets; everyone is worried that the blonde-haired Trump will make chaos.
(3) Recently, the People's Bank of China further cracked down on cryptocurrency trading.
(4) Yearn yETH pool was attacked, with a large amount stolen.
#加密市场反弹 $BTC #特朗普加密新政 $ETH Recently, I've been telling good partners to go short; I've mentioned this in the conclusion of all my previous posts. No problem, right!
Your investment mindset in the crypto market determines whether you can have 5 million dollars!
If you have already earned an 'enough' amount of assets for yourself in the crypto world, how would you continue to invest?
This varies from person to person; some bet heavily on contracts, only to see their numbers go to zero, while others only engage in projects that are about taking advantage of the market, and some simply do contract trading, earning hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars, or even a slightly larger small target. But what I want to say is that many people might be very surprised by the real answer to this question. You can see from Tether's recent movements—they are frantically increasing their holdings in gold and investing in gold mines. Nowadays, Bitcoin, gold, and U.S. Treasury bonds have become their core reserve assets.
Domestic regulatory agencies have started to crack down on the hype around virtual currency trading.
Why are people not allowed to participate in virtual currency freely? Fear of losing money, fear of being deceived, fear of addiction, fear of gambling, fear of capital harvesting, fear of capital outflow... Of course, the core reason is that virtual currencies inherently possess anonymity and cross-border attributes, making asset transfers too convenient, which itself touches the regulatory red line. Seeing this, many people are probably preparing to complain.
But from a different perspective, in the domestic investment mentality of 'only allowed to make money, not allowed to lose money'—if the government does not ban virtual currencies, once someone loses money, the most likely reaction will be:
'It’s those heavenly dragon people causing trouble!'
'Isn’t the white glove responsible?'
'I invested because I trusted the government, you have to take responsibility!'
'This is my hard-earned money!'
Not to mention cryptocurrencies, even a slight drop in housing prices can lead to chaos. When housing prices rise, some people are even willing to commit fraud, seek intermediaries to handle five or six loans, and give salespeople red envelopes, just afraid they can’t buy; when housing prices correct, they immediately turn into accusations against the banks, developers, and the government. But the essence of buying is just a commodity house.
Similarly, it is common in various forums and comment sections: when looking at a blogger's post and losing money, they start to complain that the blogger is at fault; profits belong to themselves, losses blame others—the fundamental logic of a mature market is 'willing to gamble, willing to lose', rather than passing the responsibility around.
The task of regulatory agencies is not only to crack down on fraud but also to protect those who do not understand the market and to prevent extreme events caused by uncontrolled emotions. In such an environment, an open virtual currency market will indeed become a high-risk area.
These are also the reasons why mature financial markets can accommodate virtual currencies, while it is currently not possible domestically. In the U.S., there are many people who go bankrupt and then go to the garbage station to find work; no one goes crazy, no one blames the government, no one asks regulators to 'make up for losses'. This investment culture is the true soil for virtual currencies to survive. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $BTC #香港稳定币新规 $ETH
Real-time Market: ZEC/USDT 459. USD, 24h Transaction 870 million USD, Volatility 19%, Privacy sector rising against the trend +2%. On-chain heat waves rolling: Shielded pool accumulated 4.9 million ZEC (30% of supply), QoQ surged 159%; Weekly trading volume skyrocketed from 40,000 to over 100,000, active addresses outrageous 919% surge; Grayscale Zcash Trust size 155 million USD, whales firmly hold 1.49% circulating supply. Indicators are shouting in unison: "Wake up! Opportunity is knocking on the door!"
Intelligence Bureau Monitoring Content Analysis:
The Intelligence Bureau has locked onto the X ecosystem trends: Quantum computer FUD has turned into a windfall, ZEC is dubbed the "Starknet Killer"; Winklevoss swept 233K ZEC (150 million USD) in one go, the community passionately shouts "Never Sell", comparable to Burniske's embodiment. Hayes is bullish on the privacy season, ZEC monthly trading volume skyrocketed 1150% to 290 million; New regulatory guidelines Clarity Act are in place, speculation washes the bear market dust clean—privacy coins directly upgrade from background roles to the main stage!
The market is very chaotic at this stage, with large funds like market makers and whales causing price divergences, a double kill situation may arise. In such cases, it is essential to avoid blind impulses, as both long and short are not preferred directions.
Content Analysis:
Alert: Bearish clamp is tightly stuck at the 470 high point, selling pressure amplifies following the NASDAQ's pullback, but at the low level 460–465 there is "vampire capital" crazily absorbing 72 million USD, whales in Hyperliquid positions +55K. The upward resistance is flimsy, while the buying zone below resembles a vacuum pump—big players smirk, while small investors are in a frenzy; this wave is a false dip but a true opportunity to accumulate, clearly a staged act!
Trading Ideas and Views:
War Room Focus: The resistance zone (465–470) trading volume is gradually dwindling, the accumulation zone (460–465) is explosively large, and bearish energy is starting to weaken.
$ZEC operation: You can trade with 15 kinds of K-lines, constantly shorting, as long as it breaks the previous high, just cut loss. One day of shorting can be quite enjoyable.
Viewpoint: The privacy revolution of ZEC + institutional influx are converging, this ridiculous pullback is just a minor interlude before the comedic climax. Humorous HODLers will naturally laugh last!
(Personal analysis, for reference only, not investment advice)
Follow me, and I will take you through the surface to uncover the real wealth signals.
The overall market has been significantly healthier than last week in the past couple of days. Although it hasn't continued to surge, being able to hold steady after a rebound is a very positive signal, conducive to extending this repair market. Currently, BTC is still repeatedly confirming support around 90,000, while ETH is testing the 3,000 line multiple times. From a structural perspective, it is highly likely that this period of volatility will have a downward break in the future, but as long as the previous low around 80,000 is not lost, even if it experiences a second or even third test, it is a regular bottom building trend.
Today, I also saw a piece of not-so-good news, which is that the regulatory authorities have once again emphasized the need to continuously strengthen the management of crypto-related activities. In the past period, the cancellation of some industry meetings has indirectly proven this point. To put it realistically, expecting local funds to enter the market on a large scale to push up the market in this context is almost impossible. The poor performance of this round of altcoins is not only due to the varying quality of projects but also the bigger issue of too few new users and a lack of incremental funds, making it difficult for hot spots to sustain. This is a common reality that needs to be faced in the coming months.
Another reason why the market is likely to be challenging is that there is indeed a lack of sufficiently strong new narratives within the circle. Recently, the BNB chain attempted to reignite ecological enthusiasm, although it did bring out a few short-term hot spots, the overall continuity is not strong. Instead, the concept of "stock coins" (tokenization of stocks) is being tried by more platforms, such as certain trading platforms that recently launched stock coin trading. If this track really takes off, it will be a new breakthrough for the entire crypto market.
Speaking of stock coins: they generally belong to the category of RWA (real-world assets on-chain), but currently, liquidity is limited, and the custodial model still requires more trust accumulation. However, from a more macro perspective, the promotion of RWA and interest rate market-related businesses indicates that the underlying architecture of DeFi is still being continuously improved.
Everyone, pay attention and don’t get lost, thank you! Strategies will be publicly disclosed in the square at any time, just wait for the position, everyone can wait quietly! #香港稳定币新规 $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ZEC Currently, there's no problem being short in the short term, just take a hit and leave, remember to manage your losses and positions well!
After the incident in 1011, it was clear that the domestic side realized the risk level of the cryptocurrency market. Recently, the risk control on inflows and outflows has been significantly tightened: there have been more and more examples of bank cards and Alipay being suddenly frozen, essentially a one-size-fits-all strong regulation.
If this continues, it will really become increasingly difficult to trade cryptocurrencies domestically, and it can even be said that the old ways of the crypto market may soon become unviable. Could it be a way to protect new investors in another manner! #加密市场观察 $BTC #BitDigital转型 $ETH
This position really requires us to maintain our mindset — just now, there was significant capital opening an unusual large short position in the futures market.
You understand, such large orders are not something retail investors can easily execute.
Last time, before the dramatic drop in the market on October 11, a certain major player who "sensed the risk in advance" made a similar move, resulting in a massive profit from the subsequent crash. Whether it was luck, a model, or sensitivity to news... we outsiders cannot draw a conclusion, but the data is indeed real.
Personally, my position has shifted slightly towards the short side,
not because I blindly trust anyone, but out of respect for the movements of large funds; we must manage our positions well.
When the market reaches such a sensitive interval, the wind can change at any moment,
remember this: do not follow emotions, and do not follow information, because many new investors do not know how to read it; following the trend is the hard truth. #加密市场反弹 $BTC #ETH巨鲸增持 $ETH #加密市场观察 $BNB When the key position is reached, strategies will be given in advance at the square; if not, just wait quietly! Currently, short-term trading can plan for light positions to short the head, and ensure proper position management with stop losses.
This week's Bitcoin trend is relatively stable. Even if it doesn't continue to rise in the next few days, Bitcoin can hold at 90,000, and Ethereum barely stands at 3,000, which is acceptable. Currently, what is worth looking forward to is the interest rate cut landing because, for the current monetary environment, an interest rate cut will be a real benefit, unlike the kind of 'good news turning into bad news' that everyone understands.
Although I predict that the market won't be too good in the next one to two months, the low point from last week is likely to become an important support level, which means that even if there are further declines later, it won't drop below the support too much. I am using a grid strategy to cope with the upcoming market. On the one hand, even if the market is going to rise, it requires a long period of sideways movement to regain energy. On the other hand, the overall market has actually fallen quite a bit, and the space for further decline is relatively limited. The grid strategy is likely to capture the oscillation profits during this period. Similar to the grid are LP or option sellers; the logic is essentially similar.
Overall, it seems that we may have to go through a boring market for a while, a phase that almost always occurs after a major market crash. However, it's also the end of the year, Christmas and New Year's Day are coming soon. Since the whales are off to celebrate, we shouldn't fall behind in spirit; let's eat and play, and avoid watching or acting too much in the recent market.
#BTC Bitcoin daily line encounters pressure 93000, closing with a small volume bullish candle, indicating insufficient buying interest, and indeed has weakened. This resistance level is still quite strong; yesterday I told everyone not to chase the long position, and that was correct, right? Look at eth, sol, bnb, which one has risen? They are all weaker than Bitcoin.
On the other hand, looking at this small bullish candle alone, the upper shadow is not long enough, so it cannot be considered a top signal. Therefore, continue to watch the 4-hour chart; if trading daily, one must closely observe the 4-hour K-line.
90919 If it can hold here, it is likely to continue moving upward to the next daily resistance at 942286; if it can't hold, it will go to 90000 and then rebound, forming a top here. For those shorting, there is no rush; today will provide direction during the day.
The height of this rebound has indeed exceeded my expectations. I took a small loss in shorting, but as long as it can reach 94261, I will short heavily. From a structural perspective, no matter how it bounces, it will eventually retreat, and the second exploration of the lowest point will see 84919. For those currently out of the market, just wait; opportunities will definitely come.
#加密市场反弹 $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT $ZEC Currently in a fluctuating pullback, one can go long in small ranges, continuously taking advantage of the movements.