刘丞相

ZEC has really been skyrocketing these past few days, jumping from less than $390 to $449 in just one day, with an increase of over 12%. Watching the numbers in your account jump happily, many people might be secretly delighted. But if you hold a significant position in ZEC, I advise you not to get too excited just yet—it's time to consider selling.
Why do I say this?
First, let's look at the technical side. Although the EMA and MACD both indicate upward momentum, the RSI has quietly entered the overbought zone. What does this mean? The rise has been too rapid, market sentiment is overly heated, and a pullback could happen at any time. Looking at the price, it peaked at $457 within 24 hours but then showed obvious weakness and failed to break through. There is heavy pressure above, and every step upward consumes a large amount of buying power, while the current trading volume has started to show signs of fatigue.

A coin suddenly surges like this, and many people's first reaction is that there must be some good news about it. But SSV is different; it is rooted in the Ethereum ecosystem, focusing on staking infrastructure. The explosion of such 'infrastructure-type' tokens often signifies more than just their own matters; it resembles a signal.
Think about it: if the market is worried about Ethereum's prospects, how could funds be so boldly pouring into key projects deep within its ecosystem? This seems to indicate that market consensus is quietly forming: Ethereum's fundamentals remain solid, and its ecological value may be building up for the next wave of market activity. SSV's strength is like the prophetic duck in the spring river, suggesting that the overall 'water temperature' of the Ethereum ecosystem is warming up.

Recently, this market is really hard to watch. Mainstream tokens are dropping one after another, the trend looks like a pile of something, causing anxiety. Just look at those charts, few greens and many reds, all the moving averages pressed above, MACD lying still underwater, and trading volume shrunk pitifully— the entire market seems drained of strength, even the rebounds seem weak.
But the more it is like this, the more calmly one must observe. I don't know if you've noticed, but on October 11th, there was a sharp 'needle' in the market, with the lows hitting quickly and deeply. Although some of it was recovered later, that position has already been like a nail, firmly embedded in many people's minds. Looking back now, isn't that just the 'immortal pointing the way'?

It’s said to be the leader in the RWA (Real World Assets) sector, with the project team constantly bragging about regulatory progress, cross-chain bridge launches, and TVL hitting new highs... But what’s the result? The coin price still crashed. Looking today, ONDO has fallen over 6% in the last 24 hours, now priced at less than 0.37 dollars. Compared to those altcoins that easily reach several dollars, being this 'leader' really feels quite frustrating.
Turning on the K-line chart, it’s truly hard to look at. The MACD has long turned green to negative, and the price is continuously probing downwards, with the short-term moving averages pressing down from above. The trading volume is not small, with over 6 million dollars traded in the last 24 hours, but unfortunately, it’s all selling pressure. Where is the so-called 'bullish signal'? All I see is devastation.

The overall market is a bit sluggish, and many tokens are falling, but there is one coin that is rising against the trend, and that is PORTAL. Looking at the data, it has risen more than 6% in the last 24 hours and almost 18% in a week, with the price bouncing back to around 0.0246 USD. The technical indicators are all 'prosperous': moving averages are diverging upwards, MACD has a golden cross, and RSI is also in the strong zone, not to mention the narratives of 'securing 25 million in financing' and 'connecting over 200 games', which at first glance seems like a new round of market activity is about to start.
But if you have experienced, or heard about the 'glorious history' of PORTAL before, you might have a big question mark in your mind. This coin is not the first time playing this kind of routine. When the market is good, it may remain silent or even decline quietly, but once the overall market weakens and lacks hotspots, it jumps out to 'shine alone', quickly pulling up the price to create an illusion of 'strong resistance to decline' and 'about to break through'. By the time it attracts enough attention, especially from retail investors who are eager to jump in because of the rising price, it often leads to a cruel harvesting.

Recently, the price trend of ZEC resembles a play with no buyers. Watching it slide from a high point down to 378.90, a drop of over 5%, those who still expect it to rebound might need to wake up.
Technical charts do not lie. MA7 and MA25 are hanging high above 410, while the price lies alone underground—a typical bearish arrangement. The MACD is struggling below the zero axis, with both DIF and DEA negative, like a car out of gas, sliding downwards due to inertia. The trading volume also appears weak; the so-called 'increased volume rally' is nowhere to be seen, but 'decreased volume decline' is quite solid.
Some say that ZEC has good news: it's going to be listed for dual currency investment on a major platform, and a lending feature is set to be launched, with privacy technology being discussed again. But in front of the relentless K-line decline, these stories are like watering withered flowers—the roots are already rotten, and no matter how good the surface work is, it can't stop the outcome.

Recently, among the many noisy cryptocurrencies, there is a token that stands out as particularly quiet, yet it has unknowingly carved out its own rhythm - it is EDU. There are no overwhelming calls to buy, no sudden emotional hype, but it simply continues to move upward, step by step, steadily.
Look at the data: EDU has risen nearly 10% in the last 24 hours, easily standing around $0.138. The trading volume is also significant, with over 5 million units traded, indicating that there are indeed people seriously buying and selling, not just empty noise. Even more interestingly, its trend looks particularly solid: the price is firmly above several key moving averages, and the MACD has also shown a bullish crossover, technically exuding a sense of 'confidence'.

The OM token has been quite lively these past few days, with the price rising over 11% in 24 hours and currently hovering around 0.0736. At first glance, the numbers may seem unremarkable, but if you focus on the daily chart, the kind of oscillating rhythm is clearly what swing traders love - not hitting the limit up, but active enough to make people eager.
Why is it suitable for swing trading?
First, let's look at the technical aspects. The MACD has turned positive, and both the DIF and DEA are slowly moving upwards. Although they haven't fully diverged yet, the bars are above the zero axis, suggesting a short-term bullish sentiment. The 7-day moving average is also gradually crossing upwards, and there are occasional spikes in trading volume, like yesterday when the trading volume exceeded 148 million tokens, indicating that there is capital being stirred up.

The recent market is not stable, many coins are falling along with the market, but one coin is like a 'nail household' - ZEC. The price is hovering around 398 dollars, neither up nor down, it's so horizontal that it makes people uneasy.
Look at the data: the highest in 24 hours surged past 417, the lowest only 386, repeatedly fluctuating in the range of thirty-some dollars in between. The trading volume is quite active, with 230 million dollars traded in 24 hours. But the price? Steady as a rock. You say it's strong, but it hasn't really risen; you say it's weak, but it just can't fall.
This kind of movement is clearly someone controlling the market. The tactics of the big player are quite torturous, not following the market, nor playing by the rules, just stubbornly staying here. You wait for it to drop, but it just won't; you think it’s about to break out, but it pulls back. It's all about mentality, and those watching the market can easily get frustrated.

The market has been relatively quiet these past two days, with many mainstream coins lying flat along with the market. But there are always some 'small players' that like to jump out at times like this—like gaming coins.
Taking a look at ACE (Fusionist), it suddenly surged over 29% in the past day, with the technical aspects and community sentiment heating up. EMA bullish arrangement, MACD golden cross, RSI surging high, it clearly looks like 'I want to make things happen.' Upon further checking, it turns out that token migration is also quietly underway, with 26% of tokens already transferred and community activity not low.
Does this scene seem a bit familiar? Every time the market is dull, it seems that funds like to sneak into gaming tokens. Why?

Recently, if you have ZEC in hand, your mood is probably like a roller coaster—when it rises, you want to set off firecrackers, and when it falls, you just want to close the software and play dead. This coin is strange.
You can tell by looking at the price. A few days ago, it even touched 440, and in the blink of an eye, it could drop to 391, performing a 'plummeting waterfall' in just one day, with a decline of nearly 10%. The trading volume is quite large, nearly 200 million a day, but look at that K-line, the upper and lower shadows are as long as a hedgehog, clearly someone is drawing the chart. What MACD golden cross, RSI rebound, it looks a bit warm in the short term, but do you really believe it can go up all the way? Look at those moving averages, the 7-day line is pressing down at 414, and the 25-day line is still at 437, the price can't even stabilize above the moving averages, it's obviously a rebound to let you escape—or to lure you into the market.

ASTER, this coin, has surged in popularity due to rumors that CZ has bought in again. It must be said that the celebrity effect really works in the crypto world; when big players make a move, news spreads quickly, and a bunch of retail investors rush to act, fearing they will miss the boat.
Looking at the data, ASTER's price has indeed fluctuated recently, dropping to a low of 0.911 within 24 hours and then pulling back to around 0.937. The trading volume is also significant, with over 40 million USDT changing hands, indicating that many people are paying attention. The insight report also mentioned that an institutional wallet quietly withdrew three million ASTER, and the project team is accelerating repurchases, injecting nearly four million dollars into it daily. These actions seem to be paving the way for the price.

If you have been paying attention to SOL, you will notice that it is increasingly resembling less of a 'retail coin'. From JPMorgan issuing commercial paper on Solana, to State Street Global Advisors and Galaxy joining forces to launch tokenized funds, to various institutional-level ecosystem projects continuously securing massive financing - all these point to one fact: SOL is becoming an important piece in Wall Street's layout of the on-chain world.
This is not a conspiracy theory, but a clear indication. Institutions are entering the market not to speculate on cryptocurrencies, but to build ecosystems, issue assets, and create liquidity on the blockchain. The more prosperous the ecosystem, the more frequent the activities on the chain, the more real the demand for SOL becomes. This is the fundamental driving force behind its occasional price surges. In simple terms, this is a game of 'institutions setting the stage, retail investors watching the show'; if the stage is set well, the coin price will naturally be pushed up by someone.

The Bitcoin market is increasingly giving off a feeling: this trend simply has no liquidity. The price just swings back and forth, unable to go up or down, as if something invisible is holding it in a certain range. Around 90,000 dollars, it has become a temporary 'ceasefire line' for both bulls and bears.
You can see from the data that the highest in 24 hours is 90,634 and the lowest is 89,766, with a fluctuation range so narrow it makes you drowsy. The trading volume is also mediocre, with a turnover of 540 million USDT, which isn't a lively scene for Bitcoin. In this market, it's nicely called 'consolidation', but to put it bluntly, it's a deadlock.

Look, LRC has started again. In one day, it surged over 13%, the price is climbing steadily, the chart is flourishing, with talk of EMA golden crosses and MACD turning positive, analysts are explaining it all very convincingly, even the 'short squeeze' has become a reason for further increases. The market is in an uproar, is someone feeling itchy again, thinking the opportunity has come?
But I advise you to stay calm. The tricks of these altcoins are something experienced players have seen too many times. Every sudden surge is not about value discovery; it’s essentially a meticulously arranged dinner—and you might just be the dinner itself.
Look at its history, when has this kind of coin not surged abruptly, then quietly dropped back to the starting point, or even lower? It has no solid foundation, nor real ecological support; all the 'explosive growth' is purely a short-term game of capital. Those beautiful technical indicators are nothing but tools to attract retail investors to follow the trend in the eyes of the major players. They draw charts, tell stories, and create a sense of panic that 'if you don't buy now, it will be too late', and when you really rush in, you might find that you are catching the last wave.

The overall market is a bit sluggish, and many people feel there isn't much to watch. But if you observe carefully, you'll find a type of token that is particularly 'dramatic'—various fan tokens. They often surge unexpectedly during quiet market periods, instantly becoming the center of attention.
Take the recent Juventus fan token (JUV) as an example; a rumor of acquisition directly caused it to soar over 30% in one day, with the price skyrocketing from around $0.6 to nearly $0.9. The reason is that it's rumored that stablecoin giant Tether intends to spend 1 billion euros to acquire Juventus Football Club, with an additional investment of 1 billion euros. This kind of 'sky-high acquisition' story acts like a bomb in a dull market, quickly attracting a lot of attention and funds, with 24-hour trading volume skyrocketing to tens of millions of dollars.

If you keep an eye on it, you will find that the trend of this coin is actually quite regular—after a rebound, there is often a correction, and each rebound high is gradually decreasing.
From the data, although indicators like MACD and EMA show that there is still room for short-term growth, the RSI has already indicated a possible overbought situation. In other words, chasing high now might just land you at the tail end of a rebound. This has happened several times before, surging up and then slowly dropping back, with the big players repeatedly harvesting in the process.
So for those who trade in waves, now is not the time to chase; rather, it is a good opportunity to consider selling in batches. The characteristic of ZEC is that it rises sharply and falls quickly, making it particularly suitable to sell in batches during rebounds and slowly buy back when it drops to a low point. Don't be misled by short-term surges, and especially don't let news of 'explosive growth' or 'breakthroughs' throw off your rhythm.

Do you still remember ORDI? The 'star' that once shouted 'surpass Ethereum' in the circle. Last year, it really was in the limelight, with constant topics, and prices soaring to the sky, as if everyone thought they had grasped the next hundredfold coin. What happened? The glory lasted only a month or so, and before the slogan even cooled down, the cryptocurrency price cooled off first.
How lively it was at that time, all the major communities were spreading the news, as if not talking about ORDI meant falling behind. Prices doubled and doubled again, giving people the illusion that history could be made at any moment. But the plot twist came faster than expected. Not long after, the prices began to struggle, with a continuous decline; the initial surge was as fierce as the subsequent fall was tragic. Later, I heard many old players murmuring, and the shadow of the 'Shenzhen gang' was certainly behind this—waiting for the hype to reach its peak, they threw out big bets, cashed out, and left retail investors dumbfounded in a mess. Cryptocurrency prices? Naturally, they plummeted, returning to where they came from.

Those paying attention to SEI might be a bit confused—clearly, there are cooperation announcements one after another, and institutional funds are entering the market, so why does the price shoot up only to be smashed back down? It's like riding an uncontrollable roller coaster, pausing briefly at a high point, then plunging downward the next second.
From the data, SEI has indeed been very active recently: teaming up with Xiaomi, potentially reaching hundreds of millions of users in the future; major players like BlackRock and Vanguard are gradually entering the market; the technical indicator RSI has even entered the oversold zone, seemingly setting the stage for a rebound.
However, the market has not shown any mercy. After a brief surge, the price quickly fell back and is currently hovering around 0.1378 USDT, with the daily line still showing a decline. This inevitably raises the question: if positive news doesn't work, then what actually does?

Recently, this LUNA coin has really gone crazy, pulling up every day without looking back. The screenshot is right there: it directly soared by 30% in 24 hours, and over seven days it’s even more exaggerated, nearly doubling. The current price is around $0.19, but look at that candlestick chart, it shot up to $0.24 and then crashed down, it's like a roller coaster, very thrilling.
Why is it so intense? There are a few fires burning behind it. First, the Terra community is upgrading, and confidence seems pretty high; second, the founder Kwon Do-hyung's lawsuit has been ruled, and the market loves this kind of big news, speculating and trading wildly as soon as there's any movement. With those two fires combined, the price just shoots up like a rocket.