老黑说Crypto

广东爱情故事，烧鸭和白切鸡#加密市场观察

Brothers, don't panic. Analyzing the BTC price trend for nearly 8 years (from Christmas 2017 to 2024) in the week before and after, overall, liquidity tends to decrease around Christmas, and profit-taking is common, leading to increased volatility. However, in half-year reductions (like in 2020 and 2024), it is often stronger #加密市场观察 .

别人恐惧 我贪婪... 相信行业一定有未来 相信自己的努力一定能翻身...自己的人生 自己做主 #币安人生

PIPPIN BEAT Current market 2 demons have been confirmed, which other demon coins are promising? Brothers, let's study together in the comments section #加密市场观察

Japan's long-term government bond yields have risen to multi-year highs (10-year near or exceeding 2%, 30-year exceeding 3.3%), while U.S. Treasury yields remain around 4%. The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds recently broke through 1.95%-1.96%, reaching a new high since 2007; the 30-year yield exceeded 3.37%.
This is primarily due to strong expectations from the Bank of Japan (possible interest rate hikes), combined with Japan's fiscal stimulus plans, leading to a sell-off of government bonds and a surge in yields.
Potential consequences include:
Significant appreciation pressure on the yen: narrowing interest rate differentials may weaken the attractiveness of "yen carry trades" (borrowing low-interest yen to invest in high-yield assets), leading to a return of global funds to Japan and the unwinding of carry positions.
Consequences: Japanese export companies' competitiveness declines, import costs decrease, but the market experiences short-term volatility.

Global market turbulence (bloodbath): Unwinding of carry trades may trigger a chain reaction: global stock markets, bond markets, cryptocurrencies, and other risk assets may sell off (similar to the "yen carry unwinding storm" in August 2024, leading to a double whammy for global stocks and bonds).
In Japan: a "double whammy" for stocks and bonds (the Nikkei index may plummet, government bond prices may crash).
Global impact: Funds may withdraw from emerging markets and U.S. stocks, pushing up global borrowing costs; U.S. Treasury yields may rise passively (influenced by capital flow).
Japan's economic and fiscal risks: High yields increase government borrowing costs (Japan's debt/GDP exceeds 250%), potentially falling into a "debt spiral": the higher the yield, the heavier the fiscal burden, the worse the market confidence.
BOJ's dilemma: continuing to raise rates risks economic collapse (high rates suppress growth), while not raising rates risks uncontrollable inflation and a vicious cycle of further depreciation of the yen.
Long-term: the end of the 30-year ultra-low interest rate era, Japan becomes a "tightening source" for global liquidity, affecting global asset pricing.

Impact on investors:
Short-term massive volatility: conduct proper risk management, avoid leverage.
Opportunities: long positions in yen, safe-haven assets (such as gold); but risk assets (such as the stock market) face pressure. A flash crash or forced liquidation may occur.
Overall, it reflects the normalization of Japan's monetary policy leading to a reshaping of global carry trades. The short-term consequence is increased market turbulence, while the medium to long-term may reshape the global interest rate landscape. #加密市场观察

The organization just bought it, and it's a big pullback. Rest assured for half a month to force the short-term market $btc #加密市场观察

Just now, MicroStrategy made another move, purchasing 10,645 bitcoins for a total price of approximately 980.3 million US dollars #巨鲸动向

$AIA was delisted a few days ago. Today, there was a new token 1:1 swap. Everyone is betting on relisting the contract, but the previous delisting confirmed that the project party harvested through the contract. In a few days, there will be another ALPHA, which I really don't understand. This is money given to the project party to prolong its life, continuing the opportunity for malice? @binance #加密市场观察

0x53ec33cd4fa46b9eced9ca3f6db626c5ffcd55cc

$DOYR has already fallen this much and still follows the zero-washing method. The day before yesterday I broke even. I have thought about whether to exit, but after considering it, the topic is hot, the trading is strong, and it is easy to reverse. I can only be trapped by passive faith
🤡
what fuck!!!#加密市场观察

The funding rate of BEAT has been pulled to -1.x again. The dealer is still leading the bulls, making it easy to continue to push up or maintain high-level fluctuations, forcing the shorts to get liquidated.
The dealer's current method is either to explode one-sided harvesting or to rely on the funding rate to nurture QI and gradually reduce positions.
The current market value is over 2 billion, which is already overvalued and has become a monster coin. Pay attention to data changes for a chance to catch a short-term market trend #加密市场观察

Weekend liquidity depletion BTC oscillates upward within the range After enduring Japan's interest rate hike and the Christmas market, it is highly likely to continue upward #加密市场观察

The blockchain has indeed been very dry these past 2 days, but the current crisis at Binance is significant. On-chain liquidity has SOL and BASE, facing attacks from both sides. PERP has a host of new products encroaching on centralized businesses, not to mention that exchanges like OKX are eyeing the situation.
Sigh, the Chinese section has opened, so don’t let it be sparse ah#加密市场观察

The current price of BTC is between the support level of 88000 and the resistance level of 94000. The short-term moving averages are entangled and oscillating, and the trend direction is unclear, with insufficient trading volume. Over the weekend, watch more and act less, waiting for signals from the US market #加密市场观察 .

@PlanetOfMemes
An X account focused on sharing satirical memes, funny videos, and commentary on global absurdities and politics. Currently, the account has about 269,000 followers. He created a meme coin 3 hours ago, while the previous meme coin was created by the community. Already aboard, waiting for the flight #加密市场观察
BtgJr7qyer76QRr4SLPLypAs9srLBFVNob3c76UJpump

ALPHA new coin $rave opening market value is not high, no private placement, quite fair, but today's on-chain liquidity is too poor. Airdrop order number earnings about 75 dollars, the project party is still quite conscientious #加密市场观察

Congratulations on the 5th anniversary of $SOL! I believe $500 will be here soon #加密市场观察 CM2vi3AE6KYJVwaWCH6EKtP1Z1UfMudxX4Y44goUpump

Once again summarize your experiences and find which method suits you.
All roads lead to Rome. Each generation has its own version of a god. Believe in yourself, you are the next GOD. GOOO!!!#加密市场观察