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There are quite a few typical bearish comparisons, let's first explode the shorts, and then start exploding the longs $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

The support at this position of Ether 2880 is indeed strong, but I didn't expect it to break through so early. After taking about 80 points, I didn't manage to get more, which is a bit difficult 😂$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

At night, I am looking at 88000-88800. If it holds here, I will short again. The pattern looks slightly smaller, targeting the 86500-86000 range $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析 .

美股开盘，加密货币概念股普涨
BlockBeats 消息，12月17日，美股开盘，道指开涨0.12%，标普500指数涨0.03%，纳指涨0.07%。
加密货币概念股方面，MSTR涨0.46%，CRCL涨2.00%，COIN 涨2.57%，SBET涨0.21%，BMNR涨0.54%。
$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

The rhythm of the day was perfect, with precise control over the segments and real-time adjustments throughout. The short position in the morning gained over 1300 points, while the long position in the afternoon steadily secured 700 points. $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

The clearing map 85900-86000 may be about to explode, it's a bit dangerous here, if it continues, look down 86000-85000$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

It's still much easier to make pancakes. Regardless of long or short positions, pancakes remain very stable, having gained 700 points. This Ethereum is probably toxic, with fluctuations of about 20 points up and down?$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #BTC走势分析 #加密市场观察

The goals have all been reached, tonight we must watch a short video, looking at 88000$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

This space must remain empty, the big pie is basically within the target range, 88000-86000 fluctuations are relatively easier to handle, and a solid support can easily achieve over 1300 points of space $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

Morning reminder of the high altitude, it has been proven that the big pie performed perfectly as expected, retracing to around 86000, 1700+ points $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

Let's talk about the "arm wrestling" between Japan and the US regarding monetary policy.

The market may generally underestimate the deep impact of Japan's interest rate hike. This is not only an adjustment of interest rates but also a fundamental shake-up of the logic of "borrowing yen and investing globally" that has been in place for the past thirty years. In contrast, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts seem more like a policy response within an established cyclical framework, with different levels of influence.

The so-called "expectations have been digested" is indeed optimistic. On one side is the restructuring of the yen debt system, while on the other side is the continued easing of dollar liquidity. Such a scale of bidirectional pressure will not result in global capital rebalancing that can be completed in a matter of weeks. If the dollar continues to cut interest rates, it will inevitably accelerate the clearing of large arbitrage assets priced in dollars— the scale of the funds behind this is far beyond what can be measured in tens of billions.

The real turning point may require waiting for liquidity to finally surpass a certain critical water level, at which point new asset classes will gain sustained attention.

In this process, Bitcoin presents a contradictory characteristic: it was born outside the traditional monetary system, and therefore, in theory, can avoid the direct crushing effects of major changes in "reserve currency" policies; however, in the short term, it still cannot escape the trading attributes of dollar-denominated assets, inevitably bearing the pressure during liquidity tightening. The core issue may be how long it takes for institutions to recognize it as a new "long-term allocation option"—this may be the key to unlocking its next stage.

The impact of the halving cycle still exists, but I tend to believe that its patterns may be weakened next time. Compared to the AI narrative that still needs time to be validated, Bitcoin provides a solution that is closer to the essence of finance: clear structure, transparent rules, and greatly reduced decision-making and research costs for institutions. When the next cycle starts, it is very likely to become the natural choice for capital prioritizing efficiency.

Stay patient and manage risks well. In the future wave of assets, holders may occupy different positions. But the premise of everything is: survive and wait for the wind to come. $BTC #美联储降息 #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察

SOL is currently oscillating and consolidating in the range of 123-134. The price has tested the support at 123 twice without effectively breaking down. When rebounding near the pressure zone of 130-134, attempt a short position with a light position, aiming for a downward target towards the range of 123-125, with strict defense at 135$SOL $BTC #加密市场观察 #solana

ZEC is currently consolidating narrowly above a critical moving average. On-chain data shows continued capital inflow, coupled with increased attention on privacy projects and tightening supply after the halving, providing strong fundamental support. Technically, the price is building momentum below the previous high, maintaining an overall upward structure.

Consider gradually buying in the 390-395 range on a pullback, as this area overlaps with key support and demand zones, targeting 410 and 425. $BTC $ZEC #zec #加密市场观察 #美联储降息

On the morning of December 17th, Ethereum
Ethereum synchronization is high, the rebound remains relatively weak

Today, the upper pressure is still focused on 2970; overall, we are looking at a pressure range of 2970-3000, with a decline towards around 2880

Short-term support is around 2880, which is a relatively ideal area for a bounce. If it breaks down, then it is highly likely to go towards the range of 2620-2660 $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

12.17 Morning Bitcoin
Yesterday, Bitcoin surged past the key resistance level of 88000 in the early hours before retreating, currently oscillating around 87500.

From a technical perspective, the 4-hour level continues to be pressured at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, with bullish momentum exhausted and the upward channel completely lost; the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands are synchronously opening downwards, establishing a bearish pattern. The MACD indicator continues to show a dead cross below the zero axis, with green bars continuing to increase in volume, indicating that bearish strength is accelerating. The trend clearly leans bearish; in critical areas, it is better to be cautious rather than attempt to force a breakout, with strict defense measures.

You may consider placing short positions in the 88000-88800 range, with a target down to 86500-86000. If there is a valid breakout, further targets may be set down to 85000. $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析

It's been a long time since I went out, I have to say this feeling is really nice. The only trouble is that I have to go out in batches now, which is really not easy.

SOL morning reminder's low point, reaching close to around 130, precisely giving a space of 5 points, friends on the platform are asking if it's comfortable $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #solana

It's that easy and effortless, near the ethereal 2970 space, in the blink of an eye, just over 50 points $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

Tonight's Non-Farm Payroll, the market has already started to stir.

It’s always like this—data isn't out yet, but the market moves first. Every price fluctuation is testing your resolve.

Do you see an opportunity or a trap? Are you feeling fear or impulse?

Remember: when expectations rise early, the real direction often becomes clear only after the data is released.

⏰ Non-Farm Payroll Release: 21:30

- Non-Farm Employment Change, expected +40,000
- Unemployment Rate, expected 4.40%

Note:

The early rise is just to set up for a better short. Don’t let emotions take control, stick to the plan.

The market is always there; survive, and there will be a next time.

Stay focused and be prepared. $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析