The_Coin_Hunter
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#巨鲸动向 shows a significant divergence! The whales are also in a 'long-short showdown'.⚖️
On one side, the '1011 insider whale' continues to transfer BTC to exchanges (over 6,500 coins in 3 weeks), while on the other side, another whale with a '100% win rate' on Hyperliquid is increasing BTC long positions against the trend, with an average entry price of $111,000 and a nominal value of the position reaching $113 million.
When the whales are divided, which side are you on?
$BTC $ETH
On one side, the '1011 insider whale' continues to transfer BTC to exchanges (over 6,500 coins in 3 weeks), while on the other side, another whale with a '100% win rate' on Hyperliquid is increasing BTC long positions against the trend, with an average entry price of $111,000 and a nominal value of the position reaching $113 million.
When the whales are divided, which side are you on?
$BTC $ETH
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#Token2049新加坡 The status of Asia's Web3 center has been reaffirmed! This annual grand event has attracted over 25,000 global participants.
🔥 Three major highlights:
1. Industry leaders gather to define the future: Hundreds of industry leaders, including TRON founder Justin Sun, deliver speeches to delve into core topics such as the integration of AI and Web3, RWA, and regulations.
2. An active ecosystem makes a strong appearance: The TRON ecosystem showcases itself with the theme of "Interstellar Journey," launching a series of community activities to demonstrate its ecological strength and cohesion.
3. A barometer of trends: The consensus at the conference indicates that the industry's focus is shifting from speculation to "practical applications and large-scale adoption," with Asia's pivotal role in the new cycle becoming increasingly prominent.
What is the strongest signal released by this grand event? Which narrative do you think will become the next focal point?
$TRX $BTC $ETH
🔥 Three major highlights:
1. Industry leaders gather to define the future: Hundreds of industry leaders, including TRON founder Justin Sun, deliver speeches to delve into core topics such as the integration of AI and Web3, RWA, and regulations.
2. An active ecosystem makes a strong appearance: The TRON ecosystem showcases itself with the theme of "Interstellar Journey," launching a series of community activities to demonstrate its ecological strength and cohesion.
3. A barometer of trends: The consensus at the conference indicates that the industry's focus is shifting from speculation to "practical applications and large-scale adoption," with Asia's pivotal role in the new cycle becoming increasingly prominent.
What is the strongest signal released by this grand event? Which narrative do you think will become the next focal point?
$TRX $BTC $ETH
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The event is about to end, friends who haven't claimed their rewards should act quickly!⏰
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#亚洲家族办公室加密资产配置 The giant whale has quietly entered the scene, and crypto assets are becoming the "new standard" for wealth management in Asia.
The latest report reveals that ultra-high-net-worth families in Asia are systematically increasing their holdings in crypto assets. Nearly 90% of respondents already hold digital assets, with nearly half allocating over 10%. A clear allocation target is forming: 5%.
This is not speculation, but a profound paradigm shift:
1. Purpose shift: 90% of investors view it as a "long-term wealth preservation" tool, rather than short-term speculation.
2. Strategy upgrade: Shifting from tentative ETF purchases to directly holding tokens and more complex arbitrage strategies.
3. Demand evolution: Over 80% of investors are calling for more diversified ETFs, with the highest demand for $SOL . Products that include staking rewards are particularly favored.
When family offices managing generational wealth start voting for the future with real money, what signals do you see?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
The latest report reveals that ultra-high-net-worth families in Asia are systematically increasing their holdings in crypto assets. Nearly 90% of respondents already hold digital assets, with nearly half allocating over 10%. A clear allocation target is forming: 5%.
This is not speculation, but a profound paradigm shift:
1. Purpose shift: 90% of investors view it as a "long-term wealth preservation" tool, rather than short-term speculation.
2. Strategy upgrade: Shifting from tentative ETF purchases to directly holding tokens and more complex arbitrage strategies.
3. Demand evolution: Over 80% of investors are calling for more diversified ETFs, with the highest demand for $SOL . Products that include staking rewards are particularly favored.
When family offices managing generational wealth start voting for the future with real money, what signals do you see?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
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#SOL上涨潜力 has received attention from institutions again! Bitwise CIO suggests that SOL may replicate the successful paths of BTC and ETH, ushering in an 'epic year-end surge'.
The core logic has three points:
1. Clear institutional demand: corporate treasuries continue to increase their holdings, with total holdings accounting for 1.55% of the circulating supply; if a spot ETF is approved (with market predictions exceeding 95%), it will open up a huge incremental space.
2. Technical upgrades are imminent: the Alpenglow upgrade proposal has received nearly unanimous support, aiming to reduce transaction confirmation time to 150 milliseconds, paving the way for high-performance applications.
3. Strong ecological growth: the network performs stably under high load and has set a record for monthly trading volume on DEX. The recently concluded Solana Breakpoint 2025 also showcased the ecosystem's diverse expansion in areas such as gaming, AI, and RWA.
Despite ongoing challenges (such as historical stability of the network), the synergy of institutional narratives, technological iterations, and ecological prosperity has formed a strong force. Do you believe SOL will take the lead as the next main character in the upcoming rally?
$SOL
The core logic has three points:
1. Clear institutional demand: corporate treasuries continue to increase their holdings, with total holdings accounting for 1.55% of the circulating supply; if a spot ETF is approved (with market predictions exceeding 95%), it will open up a huge incremental space.
2. Technical upgrades are imminent: the Alpenglow upgrade proposal has received nearly unanimous support, aiming to reduce transaction confirmation time to 150 milliseconds, paving the way for high-performance applications.
3. Strong ecological growth: the network performs stably under high load and has set a record for monthly trading volume on DEX. The recently concluded Solana Breakpoint 2025 also showcased the ecosystem's diverse expansion in areas such as gaming, AI, and RWA.
Despite ongoing challenges (such as historical stability of the network), the synergy of institutional narratives, technological iterations, and ecological prosperity has formed a strong force. Do you believe SOL will take the lead as the next main character in the upcoming rally?
$SOL
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#美联储FOMC会议 Interest rates were cut as expected, but the policy focus has undergone a historic shift! 📉
The Federal Reserve decided at the December meeting to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%–3.75%. More importantly, the official statement clearly listed the "increased downside risks to the labor market" as a core basis for the policy shift for the first time, marking a change in focus from "anti-inflation priority" to "preventive support for employment."
📊 Economic forecasts reveal challenges
The simultaneously released Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) paints a complex picture:
· Growth expectations significantly downgraded: The forecast for real GDP growth in 2025 was sharply revised down from 2.3% in September to 1.7%.
· Inflation remains sticky: The PCE inflation forecast for 2025 was slightly revised up to 2.9%, and for the first time, a clear roadmap for "meeting the target by 2028" was outlined.
· Interest rate path: The dot plot shows that officials expect only one rate cut in 2026, with the long-term median interest rate maintained at 3.0%, above historical levels.
⚖️ Significant internal divisions exist
The voting result for this decision was 9:1:1, reflecting profound divisions within the committee over whether the main current risk is "growth slowdown" or "inflation rebound."
💎 What does this mean for the market?
This meeting was interpreted by institutions as "more dovish than expected," not only because of the rate cut but also due to the announcement of restarting balance sheet expansion (purchasing government bonds) to maintain market liquidity. The clear shift in policy stance provides a more accommodating liquidity environment expectation for risk assets.
Do you think the Federal Reserve's policy "seatbelt" can protect the economy's soft landing?
$BTC $ETH
The Federal Reserve decided at the December meeting to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%–3.75%. More importantly, the official statement clearly listed the "increased downside risks to the labor market" as a core basis for the policy shift for the first time, marking a change in focus from "anti-inflation priority" to "preventive support for employment."
📊 Economic forecasts reveal challenges
The simultaneously released Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) paints a complex picture:
· Growth expectations significantly downgraded: The forecast for real GDP growth in 2025 was sharply revised down from 2.3% in September to 1.7%.
· Inflation remains sticky: The PCE inflation forecast for 2025 was slightly revised up to 2.9%, and for the first time, a clear roadmap for "meeting the target by 2028" was outlined.
· Interest rate path: The dot plot shows that officials expect only one rate cut in 2026, with the long-term median interest rate maintained at 3.0%, above historical levels.
⚖️ Significant internal divisions exist
The voting result for this decision was 9:1:1, reflecting profound divisions within the committee over whether the main current risk is "growth slowdown" or "inflation rebound."
💎 What does this mean for the market?
This meeting was interpreted by institutions as "more dovish than expected," not only because of the rate cut but also due to the announcement of restarting balance sheet expansion (purchasing government bonds) to maintain market liquidity. The clear shift in policy stance provides a more accommodating liquidity environment expectation for risk assets.
Do you think the Federal Reserve's policy "seatbelt" can protect the economy's soft landing?
$BTC $ETH
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#加密市场反弹 The market is experiencing a prolonged rebound that violates expectations, with key resistance levels facing a test! 🚀
Major cryptocurrencies are generally rising. Bitcoin (BTC) has increased approximately [X]% in the last 24 hours, currently priced at [Y] dollars; Ethereum (ETH) has risen about [Z]%, currently priced at [W] dollars.
Points to observe in this rebound:
· Changes in macro expectations: The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve [for example: interest rate cuts] may be one of the main driving forces.
· Technical recovery: After a continuous decline, there exists a technical demand for a rebound due to excessive selling.
· Capital and sentiment: Attention should be paid to whether the rebound is accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, and whether the market's "fear and greed index" has moved away from the extreme fear zone.
Key positions: Strong resistance above BTC is located near [for example: $92,000], and if it can break through with volume, the rebound space is expected to open; below [for example: $88,000] is an important support level that needs to be maintained.
In summary: Is this rebound a technical recovery within a downtrend, or the starting point of a new market cycle? It remains to be seen whether it can effectively break through key resistance and receive continued support from the fundamentals.
What is your view on the sustainability of this rebound?
$BTC $ETH
Major cryptocurrencies are generally rising. Bitcoin (BTC) has increased approximately [X]% in the last 24 hours, currently priced at [Y] dollars; Ethereum (ETH) has risen about [Z]%, currently priced at [W] dollars.
Points to observe in this rebound:
· Changes in macro expectations: The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve [for example: interest rate cuts] may be one of the main driving forces.
· Technical recovery: After a continuous decline, there exists a technical demand for a rebound due to excessive selling.
· Capital and sentiment: Attention should be paid to whether the rebound is accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, and whether the market's "fear and greed index" has moved away from the extreme fear zone.
Key positions: Strong resistance above BTC is located near [for example: $92,000], and if it can break through with volume, the rebound space is expected to open; below [for example: $88,000] is an important support level that needs to be maintained.
In summary: Is this rebound a technical recovery within a downtrend, or the starting point of a new market cycle? It remains to be seen whether it can effectively break through key resistance and receive continued support from the fundamentals.
What is your view on the sustainability of this rebound?
$BTC $ETH
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The Bitcoin of #比特币波动性 2025 can be described as a 'roller coaster' chronicle! 🎢
From approaching a historical peak of $126,000 in October to struggling below $90,000 by the end of the year, the high point saw a pullback of over 30%.
Multiple analyses indicate that after experiencing several intense sell-offs throughout the year, Bitcoin is facing the risk of its first annual decline since 2022.
This epic volatility, is it a risk or an opportunity? Do you think it can recover its losses before the end of the year?
$BTC
From approaching a historical peak of $126,000 in October to struggling below $90,000 by the end of the year, the high point saw a pullback of over 30%.
Multiple analyses indicate that after experiencing several intense sell-offs throughout the year, Bitcoin is facing the risk of its first annual decline since 2022.
This epic volatility, is it a risk or an opportunity? Do you think it can recover its losses before the end of the year?
$BTC
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#美国结束政府停摆 A major source of macro uncertainty has been temporarily resolved! ✅
The longest government shutdown in U.S. history, lasting 43 days, officially ended on the evening of November 12. President Trump signed a bill to fund government operations until January 30, 2026.
For the market, this eliminates a significant political uncertainty in the short term. Although the shutdown is estimated to have dragged down GDP, the resumption of government operations helps stabilize economic expectations.
Do you think the easing of political risks will bring a more positive risk appetite to the cryptocurrency market by the end of the year?
$BTC $ETH
The longest government shutdown in U.S. history, lasting 43 days, officially ended on the evening of November 12. President Trump signed a bill to fund government operations until January 30, 2026.
For the market, this eliminates a significant political uncertainty in the short term. Although the shutdown is estimated to have dragged down GDP, the resumption of government operations helps stabilize economic expectations.
Do you think the easing of political risks will bring a more positive risk appetite to the cryptocurrency market by the end of the year?
$BTC $ETH
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#Token2049新加坡 The Asia Web3 Annual Conference has concluded! In October this year, over 25,000 industry pioneers from more than 160 countries gathered in Lion City, with over 300 speakers and more than 500 exhibitors collaborating to sketch the blueprint for the future.
🔥 Highlights of the event:
· Insights from industry giants: Big names like Vitalik Buterin and Tom Lee discussed industry trends. Although CZ was absent, the topic remained hot.
· Ecological feast: The TRON ecosystem showcased five major projects with high-profile presentations, launching treasure hunts and exclusive cars as part of five exciting gifts, igniting community interaction.
· Trend indicators: The deep integration of AI and Web3, the institutional transformation of RWA (Real World Assets), and the multi-chain future became core topics.
💎 Insights and outlook
This grand event clearly indicates that the industry's narrative is shifting from conceptual speculation to infrastructure building and practical application. Innovation within a compliant framework has become the cornerstone of global dialogue.
What is the strongest signal conveyed by this event that connects the East and West?
$TRX $ETH
🔥 Highlights of the event:
· Insights from industry giants: Big names like Vitalik Buterin and Tom Lee discussed industry trends. Although CZ was absent, the topic remained hot.
· Ecological feast: The TRON ecosystem showcased five major projects with high-profile presentations, launching treasure hunts and exclusive cars as part of five exciting gifts, igniting community interaction.
· Trend indicators: The deep integration of AI and Web3, the institutional transformation of RWA (Real World Assets), and the multi-chain future became core topics.
💎 Insights and outlook
This grand event clearly indicates that the industry's narrative is shifting from conceptual speculation to infrastructure building and practical application. Innovation within a compliant framework has become the cornerstone of global dialogue.
What is the strongest signal conveyed by this event that connects the East and West?
$TRX $ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 Peak Debate Scene, CZ unexpectedly took out a gold bar! 🥇
At the Binance Blockchain Week, CZ had a heated debate with gold bull Peter Schiff on "the future forms of currency".
Climax moment: CZ took out a gold bar on the spot and asked Schiff to verify its authenticity. Schiff was unable to confirm due to unfamiliarity with the mint marks. CZ emphasized: "It's hard to distinguish gold, but Bitcoin is easy."
Core conflict:
· Schiff's claim: Tokenized gold is a clear proof of ownership of physical gold in the vault, with a clear source of value.
· CZ's rebuttal: The value of Bitcoin comes from global consensus and fixed supply, and its transparency and verifiability are superior monetary attributes in the digital age.
In this direct confrontation of old and new stores of value, which side do you stand on?
$BTC
At the Binance Blockchain Week, CZ had a heated debate with gold bull Peter Schiff on "the future forms of currency".
Climax moment: CZ took out a gold bar on the spot and asked Schiff to verify its authenticity. Schiff was unable to confirm due to unfamiliarity with the mint marks. CZ emphasized: "It's hard to distinguish gold, but Bitcoin is easy."
Core conflict:
· Schiff's claim: Tokenized gold is a clear proof of ownership of physical gold in the vault, with a clear source of value.
· CZ's rebuttal: The value of Bitcoin comes from global consensus and fixed supply, and its transparency and verifiability are superior monetary attributes in the digital age.
In this direct confrontation of old and new stores of value, which side do you stand on?
$BTC
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#以太坊市值超越Netflix The encrypted assets officially join the ranks of the world's top assets! 🚀
Ethereum (ETH) market capitalization has exceeded 556 billion USD, successfully surpassing streaming giant Netflix and at one point exceeding payment company Mastercard, ranking 25th in the global asset market capitalization list.
The core driving forces behind this historic milestone:
· Institutional funds pouring in: Data tracking shows that "whale" holders and corporate treasury funds have significantly increased their holdings of ETH recently.
· Continuous ecosystem expansion: The development of Ethereum in DeFi, NFT, and Layer 2 ecosystems continues to attract mainstream capital attention.
· Strong network activity: During the surpassing period, Ethereum's daily on-chain transaction volume exceeded 1.2 million, and the number of active addresses surged, indicating strong demand for network usage.
The "world computer" launched a decade ago now has a market value that rivals the most well-known tech and financial giants globally. This marks the entry of the capital market into a new stage of "crypto + traditional" co-construction.
Which traditional giant do you think Ethereum's market value will target for the next "flip"?
$ETH
Note: Global asset market capitalization rankings fluctuate in real-time, and the above data is compiled from market reports in August 2025.
Ethereum (ETH) market capitalization has exceeded 556 billion USD, successfully surpassing streaming giant Netflix and at one point exceeding payment company Mastercard, ranking 25th in the global asset market capitalization list.
The core driving forces behind this historic milestone:
· Institutional funds pouring in: Data tracking shows that "whale" holders and corporate treasury funds have significantly increased their holdings of ETH recently.
· Continuous ecosystem expansion: The development of Ethereum in DeFi, NFT, and Layer 2 ecosystems continues to attract mainstream capital attention.
· Strong network activity: During the surpassing period, Ethereum's daily on-chain transaction volume exceeded 1.2 million, and the number of active addresses surged, indicating strong demand for network usage.
The "world computer" launched a decade ago now has a market value that rivals the most well-known tech and financial giants globally. This marks the entry of the capital market into a new stage of "crypto + traditional" co-construction.
Which traditional giant do you think Ethereum's market value will target for the next "flip"?
$ETH
Note: Global asset market capitalization rankings fluctuate in real-time, and the above data is compiled from market reports in August 2025.
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 Binance Blockchain Week showcases the ultimate showdown! ⚔️
CZ faces off against renowned gold investor Peter Schiff in a debate. Schiff insists that tokenized gold has physical backing; CZ uses the example of 'physical gold bars being hard to authenticate' to highlight the advantages of Bitcoin's verifiability.
This is a clash of ideas between old-world tangible assets and native assets of the digital age.
Who do you support?
$BTC
CZ faces off against renowned gold investor Peter Schiff in a debate. Schiff insists that tokenized gold has physical backing; CZ uses the example of 'physical gold bars being hard to authenticate' to highlight the advantages of Bitcoin's verifiability.
This is a clash of ideas between old-world tangible assets and native assets of the digital age.
Who do you support?
$BTC
See original
#币安区块链周 On-site coverage! The Dubai venue is filled with energy and vision.
This year's Binance Blockchain Week is not just a conference, but a global gathering place for Web3 visionaries and innovators. Participants from around the world are delving into the latest trends, from blockchain AI to the future of DeFi.
The on-site interaction areas, in-depth seminars, and the relaxed exchanges between attendees make the feeling that “the future is here” particularly strong. This event is about technology, but more importantly, it is about connecting communities and visions around the world.
What are you most looking forward to hearing?
$BNB $BTC
This year's Binance Blockchain Week is not just a conference, but a global gathering place for Web3 visionaries and innovators. Participants from around the world are delving into the latest trends, from blockchain AI to the future of DeFi.
The on-site interaction areas, in-depth seminars, and the relaxed exchanges between attendees make the feeling that “the future is here” particularly strong. This event is about technology, but more importantly, it is about connecting communities and visions around the world.
What are you most looking forward to hearing?
$BNB $BTC
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#BinanceBlockchainWeek The industry gala opens today in Dubai! The world's attention is focused here.
Core highlights of the event:
· Top guests gathered: The UAE Minister of AI and Digital Economy gave the opening speech, Michael Saylor shared his views on Bitcoin, and Binance CEO Richard Teng discussed the future with leaders from Ripple and Solana.
· Annual heavyweight debate: CZ and gold bull Peter Schiff will engage in a face-off on "Bitcoin VS Tokenized Gold", which is one of the biggest highlights of this conference.
· Scale and significance upgraded: This event is held at the Coca-Cola Arena in Dubai, expected to attract over 5000 participants, with a significant increase in institutional involvement, becoming a key hub connecting traditional finance and Web3 innovation.
The most important voices and trends in the industry collide here. Which guest's sharing are you most looking forward to, or which topic do you think will impact the market?
$BNB $BTC $ETH
Core highlights of the event:
· Top guests gathered: The UAE Minister of AI and Digital Economy gave the opening speech, Michael Saylor shared his views on Bitcoin, and Binance CEO Richard Teng discussed the future with leaders from Ripple and Solana.
· Annual heavyweight debate: CZ and gold bull Peter Schiff will engage in a face-off on "Bitcoin VS Tokenized Gold", which is one of the biggest highlights of this conference.
· Scale and significance upgraded: This event is held at the Coca-Cola Arena in Dubai, expected to attract over 5000 participants, with a significant increase in institutional involvement, becoming a key hub connecting traditional finance and Web3 innovation.
The most important voices and trends in the industry collide here. Which guest's sharing are you most looking forward to, or which topic do you think will impact the market?
$BNB $BTC $ETH
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#加密市场观察 Long and short signals clash, the market stands at a crossroads.
Bearish pressure: A sudden plunge occurred during the Asian session, with BTC briefly falling below $86,000. ETF fund inflows are weak, and the market lacks buyers at lower prices.
Bullish signs: Last week, digital asset ETPs (exchange-traded products) recorded an inflow of $1.06 billion, indicating that some funds are positioning themselves in advance. Technical analysis suggests that the market has shown initial signs of stabilization after the sharp decline.
Current market sentiment is extremely sensitive; do you think this is a risk or an opportunity?
$BTC $ETH
Bearish pressure: A sudden plunge occurred during the Asian session, with BTC briefly falling below $86,000. ETF fund inflows are weak, and the market lacks buyers at lower prices.
Bullish signs: Last week, digital asset ETPs (exchange-traded products) recorded an inflow of $1.06 billion, indicating that some funds are positioning themselves in advance. Technical analysis suggests that the market has shown initial signs of stabilization after the sharp decline.
Current market sentiment is extremely sensitive; do you think this is a risk or an opportunity?
$BTC $ETH
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#分享您对BTC的看法 Market divergence intensifies, which side are you on?⚔️
Bullish views:
· Institutions continue to increase holdings, spot ETF inflow of $120 million
· Technical daily golden cross formation, target $95,000
· Fed rate cut expectations are warming up, liquidity is favorable
Bearish risks:
· Leverage long position liquidation pressure still exists
· If the weekly line falls below $88,000, it may dip to $85,000
· Market sentiment index remains in the "fear zone"
Are you choosing to buy on dips, or continue to wait and see?
$BTC
Bullish views:
· Institutions continue to increase holdings, spot ETF inflow of $120 million
· Technical daily golden cross formation, target $95,000
· Fed rate cut expectations are warming up, liquidity is favorable
Bearish risks:
· Leverage long position liquidation pressure still exists
· If the weekly line falls below $88,000, it may dip to $85,000
· Market sentiment index remains in the "fear zone"
Are you choosing to buy on dips, or continue to wait and see?
$BTC
See original
#美股2026预测 Wall Street Optimistic Outlook: S&P 500 Index Expected to Reach 8000 Points by 2026! 🚀
Several top Wall Street investment banks have recently released their outlook for 2026, generally optimistic about the continuation of the upward trend in U.S. stocks.
· JPMorgan Chase: Sets a baseline target of 7500 points and believes that if the Federal Reserve's rate cuts exceed expectations, the index could break through 8000 points.
· Deutsche Bank: Also provided one of Wall Street's highest targets of 8000 points.
· Morgan Stanley: Target at 7800 points, expecting U.S. stocks to outperform other major global markets.
Core Driving Logic:
1. AI Super Cycle: Viewed as the core engine, driving record capital expenditures and corporate profit expansion.
2. Strong Corporate Earnings: The market generally expects S&P 500 constituent earnings to achieve double-digit growth by 2026.
3. Shift in Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s rate cut expectations provide key liquidity support to the market.
Potential Risks:
Despite the optimistic outlook, institutions also indicate risks. Market sentiment may experience significant volatility due to the high valuations of AI-related stocks and "K-shaped" economic divergence. Predictions from Bank of America are relatively cautious, suggesting that market returns may trend towards "moderate."
Amidst the intertwining of the AI wave and macro policies, which investment bank's viewpoint do you agree with more? Is it proactive positioning or cautious observation?
$SPX $ETH
Several top Wall Street investment banks have recently released their outlook for 2026, generally optimistic about the continuation of the upward trend in U.S. stocks.
· JPMorgan Chase: Sets a baseline target of 7500 points and believes that if the Federal Reserve's rate cuts exceed expectations, the index could break through 8000 points.
· Deutsche Bank: Also provided one of Wall Street's highest targets of 8000 points.
· Morgan Stanley: Target at 7800 points, expecting U.S. stocks to outperform other major global markets.
Core Driving Logic:
1. AI Super Cycle: Viewed as the core engine, driving record capital expenditures and corporate profit expansion.
2. Strong Corporate Earnings: The market generally expects S&P 500 constituent earnings to achieve double-digit growth by 2026.
3. Shift in Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s rate cut expectations provide key liquidity support to the market.
Potential Risks:
Despite the optimistic outlook, institutions also indicate risks. Market sentiment may experience significant volatility due to the high valuations of AI-related stocks and "K-shaped" economic divergence. Predictions from Bank of America are relatively cautious, suggesting that market returns may trend towards "moderate."
Amidst the intertwining of the AI wave and macro policies, which investment bank's viewpoint do you agree with more? Is it proactive positioning or cautious observation?
$SPX $ETH
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#加密市场反弹 Violent surge! BTC breaks through $91,000, up over 13% in 24 hours. 🚀
Shorts suffer heavy losses, 110,000 people liquidated, short position liquidation of $129 million.
Core driver of the rebound: Probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December soars to 85%.
The key is whether it can stabilize above $92,000.
Do you think this is a true rebound or a trap for the bulls?
$BTC $ETH
Shorts suffer heavy losses, 110,000 people liquidated, short position liquidation of $129 million.
Core driver of the rebound: Probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December soars to 85%.
The key is whether it can stabilize above $92,000.
Do you think this is a true rebound or a trap for the bulls?
$BTC $ETH
See original
#加密市场反弹 Macro expectations have reversed, and the market welcomes a strong rebound! 🚀
Recently, the crypto market has experienced a strong rebound, with Bitcoin significantly rising from a weekly low of $80,600, now back above $91,000, an increase of over 13% compared to the low. Ethereum has also once again broken through the key psychological level of $3,000.
🔥 Core drivers of the rebound
· Fed rate cut expectations have surged: The market's expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December have jumped dramatically from about 22% a week ago to 84.9%. This is the primary driver of the warming sentiment towards risk assets.
· Technical oversold rebound: Bitcoin's pullback from October's historical high exceeded 30%, leading to a strong technical rebound demand.
· Shift in options market signals: Bullish sentiment has returned to the derivatives market, with call options at a strike price of $100,000 becoming the product with the highest open interest.
💡 Potential risks and challenges
Despite the improvement in market sentiment, challenges still exist:
· ETF fund outflow pressure: Since November, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has faced record fund outflows, posing a test for the market's continued rise.
· Sentiment remains in "extreme fear": Although the cryptocurrency fear and greed index has risen, it still remains in the "extreme fear" zone, indicating that investor confidence has not fully recovered.
· Key resistance levels suppressing: The $92,000 to $100,000 range is a strong resistance area for Bitcoin, and an effective breakout requires sustained volume.
💎 Summary and outlook
This rebound is driven by improvements in macro expectations and technical oversold conditions. In the short term, if it can stabilize above $91,200 and successfully break through $92,000, further upward movement is expected; while the $80,000 - $82,000 range is seen as a solid key support level at present.
Do you think this rebound is the starting point of a new market cycle, or just a strong rebound in a bear market?
$BTC $ETH
Recently, the crypto market has experienced a strong rebound, with Bitcoin significantly rising from a weekly low of $80,600, now back above $91,000, an increase of over 13% compared to the low. Ethereum has also once again broken through the key psychological level of $3,000.
🔥 Core drivers of the rebound
· Fed rate cut expectations have surged: The market's expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December have jumped dramatically from about 22% a week ago to 84.9%. This is the primary driver of the warming sentiment towards risk assets.
· Technical oversold rebound: Bitcoin's pullback from October's historical high exceeded 30%, leading to a strong technical rebound demand.
· Shift in options market signals: Bullish sentiment has returned to the derivatives market, with call options at a strike price of $100,000 becoming the product with the highest open interest.
💡 Potential risks and challenges
Despite the improvement in market sentiment, challenges still exist:
· ETF fund outflow pressure: Since November, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has faced record fund outflows, posing a test for the market's continued rise.
· Sentiment remains in "extreme fear": Although the cryptocurrency fear and greed index has risen, it still remains in the "extreme fear" zone, indicating that investor confidence has not fully recovered.
· Key resistance levels suppressing: The $92,000 to $100,000 range is a strong resistance area for Bitcoin, and an effective breakout requires sustained volume.
💎 Summary and outlook
This rebound is driven by improvements in macro expectations and technical oversold conditions. In the short term, if it can stabilize above $91,200 and successfully break through $92,000, further upward movement is expected; while the $80,000 - $82,000 range is seen as a solid key support level at present.
Do you think this rebound is the starting point of a new market cycle, or just a strong rebound in a bear market?
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